Financial Performance - Intel's total revenue for Intel Products in 2025 was $49.1 billion, a decrease of $324 million from 2024[123]. - Operating income for Intel Products in 2025 was $12.7 billion, down $269 million from 2024, with a total operating margin of 26%[125]. - Client revenue in 2025 was $27.6 billion, down $1.1 billion from 2024, primarily due to lower client volume and inventory reductions[126]. - DCAI revenue increased by $794 million in 2025, driven by a 9% increase in server volume due to higher hyperscale customer demand[126]. - Consolidated revenue for Intel was $52.9 billion in 2025, a decrease of $248 million from 2024, with CCG revenue down 3% due to lower client volumes[142]. - Gross profit increased by $1.0 billion, or 6%, in 2025 compared to 2024, driven by reduced asset impairments and accelerated depreciation charges[146]. - Operating loss for Intel Foundry was $10.3 billion in 2025, an improvement from a $13.3 billion loss in 2024, primarily due to reduced asset impairments and lower operating expenses[132]. - Mobileye revenue in the "all other" category was $1.9 billion in 2025, up $240 million from 2024, due to improved customer inventory levels[137]. - Operating income for the "all other" category was $264 million in 2025, compared to an operating loss of $57 million in 2024, driven by higher Mobileye revenue[139]. Research and Development - R&D expenses were $13.8 billion in 2025, down from $16.5 billion in 2024 and $16.0 billion in 2023, focusing on AI integration and next-generation process technologies like Intel 18A and Intel 14A[84]. - Total R&D and MG&A expenses for 2025 were $18.4 billion, down 17% from 2024, representing 34.8% of revenue[148]. - R&D expenses for 2025 decreased by $2.8 billion, or 17%, from 2024, primarily due to lower payroll-related expenditures and $610 million of lower share-based compensation[150]. Capital Expenditures and Investments - The company plans significant long-term investments in manufacturing expansion, including a new facility in Ohio[176]. - As of December 27, 2025, the company had commitments for capital expenditures of $9.1 billion for 2026 and $3.7 billion in long-term capital expenditures[177]. - The company initiated the consolidation of assembly and test operations in Costa Rica into larger sites in Vietnam and Malaysia to align capital spending with market demand[118]. - The transition to a disciplined capital deployment strategy in 2025 includes consolidating assembly operations in Costa Rica into larger sites in Vietnam and Malaysia, expected to complete by the end of 2026[72]. Strategic Partnerships and Market Position - A strategic partnership with NVIDIA was announced to co-develop custom client and data center products, leveraging both companies' technologies[28]. - The company aims to revitalize the x86 ecosystem to support evolving market needs, including those driven by various AI applications[28]. - The competitive landscape in the data center CPU market remains intense, with significant competition from AMD, NVIDIA, and custom silicon developers among others[45]. Supply Chain and Manufacturing - The focus on a secure and geographically diversified supply chain is emphasized in light of increased geopolitical tensions[25]. - The company expects supply constraints to persist into 2026, potentially limiting the ability to meet customer demand for CCG and DCAI products[142]. - The semiconductor supply chain remains volatile, with reliance on sole-source providers for critical tools and materials, necessitating close relationships with suppliers to mitigate risks[73]. - The company plans to continue manufacturing the majority of its products in its own factories to optimize performance and meet customer demand, while also streamlining operations by consolidating its Costa Rican assembly and test operations by the end of 2026[31]. Workforce and Organizational Changes - The company had an undesired turnover rate of 7.9% in 2025, compared to 5.9% in 2024[91]. - The company employed 85,100 people as of December 27, 2025, focusing on attracting and retaining top talent[89]. - The 2025 Restructuring Plan led to a 15% reduction in the core Intel workforce, with restructuring charges totaling $2.2 billion, primarily from employee severance and asset impairment[113]. - The company has streamlined organizational structures to enhance agility and accountability, emphasizing technical excellence and customer impact[90]. Environmental Initiatives - The company aims for 95% global renewable electricity use by December 31, 2025, tying executive bonuses to this target[102]. - The company has invested in environmental projects to cut greenhouse gas emissions, energy, and water use[97]. Financial Transactions and Gains - The company divested 51% of Altera for net purchase consideration of $4.3 billion, including $4.8 billion in cash proceeds received in Q3 2025[109]. - The company recorded a $163 million benefit from the reduction of a previously accrued fine of $401 million from 2023, with a guarantee funded by a $340 million deposit[178]. - The company received $5.7 billion in accelerated disbursements under the commercial CHIPS Act agreement[110]. - The company issued 275 million shares to the U.S. Department of Commerce at a price of $20.00 per share as part of the CHIPS Act agreement[110]. - The company completed a share sale to SoftBank Group for 87 million shares at $23.00 per share, totaling $2.0 billion[111]. - The company sold 215 million shares to NVIDIA at $23.28 per share for an aggregate cash purchase price of $5.0 billion[111]. Impairments and Financial Adjustments - The company recognized $3.3 billion in non-cash impairments and accelerated depreciation charges related to manufacturing assets[117]. - Intel incurred $950 million in asset impairments in 2025, significantly lower than the $3.3 billion recognized in 2024[132]. - The company recorded accelerated depreciation charges of $456 million in 2025 due to adjustments in the useful lives of certain manufacturing assets[204]. - The company recognized non-cash impairment charges of $494 million for property, plant, and equipment, while in 2024, the charges amounted to $2.3 billion[206]. Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued momentum in the semiconductor industry, driven by the rapid adoption of AI technologies across multiple sectors[23]. - The company expects a significant decrease in the percentage contribution of Intel Core products to CCG sales in 2026, as sales of Intel Core Ultra processors are anticipated to increase[56]. - Intel expects a hypothetical increase in interest rates of 1% would result in an increase in annual interest expense of approximately $97 million from debt outstanding as of December 27, 2025[196].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fourth quarter revenue was $13.7 billion, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of revenue above guidance, driven by strong growth across all businesses, particularly in AI infrastructure [18][20] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Q4 was 37.9%, approximately 140 basis points ahead of guidance, while full year non-GAAP gross margin was 36.7%, up 70 basis points year-over-year [18][20] - Non-GAAP earnings per share for Q4 was $0.15, exceeding guidance of $0.08, driven by higher revenue and stronger gross margins [19][20] - Operating cash flow for Q4 was $4.3 billion, with positive adjusted free cash flow of $2.2 billion [20] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Intel Products' Q4 revenue was $12.9 billion, up 2% sequentially, with Client Computing Group (CCG) revenue at $8.2 billion, down 4% quarter-over-quarter despite a 16% growth in AI PC units [22][23] - Data Center and AI (DCAI) revenue was $4.7 billion, up 15% sequentially, reflecting strong demand for traditional server compute [24] - Custom ASIC business grew over 50% in 2025, reaching an annualized revenue run rate greater than $1 billion in Q4 [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total addressable market (TAM) for client consumption was estimated to be greater than 290 million units in 2025, marking two consecutive years of growth [23] - Demand for traditional servers remains strong, with a focus on ramping available capacity to support the uptick in data center demand [9][24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to capitalize on AI-driven trends by strengthening its client franchise and advancing its data center, AI accelerator, and ASIC strategies [6][12] - A focus on simplifying the organization and reducing bureaucracy to improve efficiency and accelerate decision-making has been emphasized [4][6] - The long-term ambition is to rebuild Intel as a compute platform of choice for the next era of AI-driven computing, supported by world-class engineering and a renewed culture of execution [12][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the significant growth opportunities presented by AI across all business lines, despite acknowledging supply constraints that limited growth [6][15] - The company is committed to improving yield and efficiency in manufacturing to better support customer demand [15][16] - Management anticipates a strong year of growth for DCAI in 2026, with expectations of improved supply beginning in Q2 [28][29] Other Important Information - The company has strengthened its balance sheet, ending 2025 with $37.4 billion in cash and short-term investments [21] - The completion of strategic partnerships and investments, including a $5 billion investment from NVIDIA, has bolstered the company's financial position [20][21] Q&A Session Summary Question: Supply constraints and yield improvements - Management indicated that improving yields and throughput are key drivers for increasing supply, with expectations for improvements in Q2 [34][35] Question: Gross margin expectations - Management noted that gross margin is expected to decline in Q1 due to lower revenue and the impact of new product introductions, but improvements are anticipated as supply increases [40][41] Question: Server prospects and market share - Management emphasized the importance of the data center and AI strategy, focusing on the introduction of new products like Diamond Rapids and Coral Rapids to capture market share [55][56] Question: External foundry revenue expectations - Management expects to begin seeing revenue from external foundry efforts in 2027, with significant customer engagement already underway [76][79]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fourth quarter revenue was $13.7 billion, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of revenue above guidance, driven by strong growth across all businesses, particularly in AI infrastructure [18][22] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Q4 was 37.9%, approximately 140 basis points ahead of guidance, while full year non-GAAP gross margin was 36.7%, up 70 basis points year-over-year [18][20] - Non-GAAP earnings per share for Q4 was $0.15, exceeding guidance of $0.08, attributed to higher revenue and stronger gross margins [18] - Operating cash flow for Q4 was $4.3 billion, with positive adjusted free cash flow of $2.2 billion [19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Client Computing Group (CCG) revenue was $8.2 billion, down 4% quarter-over-quarter, despite a 16% growth in AI PC units [22][23] - Data Center and AI (DCAI) revenue was $4.7 billion, up 15% sequentially, reflecting strong demand for traditional server compute [24] - Intel Foundry revenue was $4.5 billion, up 6.4% sequentially, with an operating loss of $2.5 billion due to the early ramp of Intel 18A [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The total addressable market (TAM) for client consumption was estimated to be greater than 290 million units in 2025, marking two consecutive years of growth [23] - The custom ASIC business grew more than 50% in 2025, reaching an annualized revenue run rate greater than $1 billion in Q4 [24] - The demand for traditional servers remains strong, with a focus on ramping available capacity to support the uptick in demand [9][10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to capitalize on AI-driven trends by strengthening its client franchise and advancing its data center, AI accelerator, and ASIC strategies [6][12] - A focus on simplifying the organization and reducing bureaucracy to improve efficiency and accelerate decision-making has been emphasized [4] - The long-term ambition is to rebuild Intel as a compute platform of choice for the next era of AI-driven computing [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the significant growth opportunities presented by AI across all business lines, despite acknowledging supply constraints [6][15] - The company is committed to improving yield and throughput to better support customer demand, with expectations for improvements in Q2 2026 [16][28] - Management remains transparent about challenges and areas needing improvement, particularly in meeting market demand [15] Other Important Information - The company is focused on building a world-class wafer and advanced packaging foundry, with significant investments in IP and yield improvement [13][14] - The engagement with external customers for the foundry business is active, with expectations for volume production starting in 2028 [80] Q&A Session Summary Question: Supply constraints and yield improvements - Management indicated that improving yields and throughput are key drivers for increasing supply, with expectations for improvements in Q2 [35][36] Question: Gross margin expectations - Management noted that gross margin is expected to decline in Q1 due to lower revenue and the impact of new product costs, with a focus on improving cost structures throughout the year [41][42] Question: Server prospects and market share - Management highlighted the importance of the 16-channel Diamond Rapids and Coral Rapids in driving market share, with a focus on meeting demand from hyperscalers [56][57] Question: Foundry business success metrics - Management defined success in the foundry business as building trust and consistency with customers, with expectations for significant revenue from advanced packaging opportunities [48][53] Question: Server CPU TAM and supply constraints - Management indicated that the demand is largely an x86 phenomenon, with expectations for supply improvements throughout the year [84][86]

Core Viewpoint - Intel's stock is down approximately 7.5% following earnings, which were below expectations for Q1 guidance, impacting both top and bottom lines as well as margins [1][2] Financial Performance - The fourth quarter showed strong performance with beats across various metrics, but the Q1 guidance fell short of expectations [2][9] - Foundry revenue exceeded expectations at $4.51 billion, which is crucial for Intel's turnaround strategy [11][15] Supply Chain and Production Challenges - Intel is facing supply constraints, particularly in the data center segment, which is affecting their ability to meet customer demand [6][14] - Production yields for the Panther Lake product are currently at 60%, which is below the company's standards [12] Strategic Focus and Future Outlook - The company's long-term strategy is centered around customer momentum in the foundry business, particularly with major clients like Nvidia and Apple [9][10] - Intel's CEO has emphasized the importance of focusing on core priorities such as AI, data centers, and GPU technology [7][8] Market Dynamics - There is a shift in memory manufacturing away from PC and smartphone memory towards high bandwidth memory for AI data centers, which may limit CPU demand [4][14] - Despite current challenges, there is potential for pent-up demand in the PC market, which may push out into 2027 [15]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fourth quarter revenue was $13.7 billion, marking strong growth across all businesses, driven by AI infrastructure build-out, with AI PC, traditional server, and networking revenue all up double digits sequentially and year over year [17] - Non-GAAP gross margin for Q4 was 37.9%, approximately 140 basis points ahead of guidance, while full year Non-GAAP gross margin was 36.7%, up 70 basis points year over year [17][18] - Non-GAAP earnings per share for Q4 was $0.15, exceeding guidance of $0.08, driven by higher revenue and stronger gross margins [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Client Computing Group (CCG) revenue was $8.2 billion, down 4% quarter over quarter, despite AI PC units growing 16% [21] - Data Center and AI (DCAI) revenue was $4.7 billion, up 15% sequentially, marking the fastest sequential growth this decade [23] - Intel Foundry revenue was $4.5 billion, up 6.4% sequentially, with an operating loss of $2.5 billion in Q4 due to the early ramp of Intel 18A [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The client consumption Total Addressable Market (TAM) was estimated to be greater than 290 million units in 2025, marking two consecutive years of growth [22] - The custom ASIC business grew more than 50% in 2025, reaching an annualized revenue run rate greater than $1 billion in Q4 [23] - The demand for traditional servers remains strong, with a focus on ramping available capacity to support the uptick in demand [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to strengthen its client franchise and advance its data center, AI accelerator, and ASIC strategies to capture growth opportunities presented by AI [6] - A centralized approach for the data center and AI group is being implemented to ensure tight coordination across CPUs, GPUs, and platform strategy [10] - The long-term ambition is to rebuild Intel as a compute platform of choice for the next era of AI-driven computing, focusing on world-class engineering and execution [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the significant growth opportunity AI presents across all businesses, despite acknowledging challenges in meeting demand due to supply constraints [15] - The company is committed to improving yield and efficiency in its manufacturing processes to better support customer needs [16] - Management anticipates a strong year of growth for DCAI in 2026, with improvements in factory network supply expected beginning in Q2 [28] Other Important Information - The company generated $9.7 billion in cash from operations for the full year and ended 2025 with $37.4 billion in cash and short-term investments [19] - The company is planning to retire all $2.5 billion of maturities as they come due this year [30] - The company is focused on building a world-class wafer and advanced packaging foundry, with significant milestones achieved in the development of Intel 18A [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Short-term supply and yield improvements - Management indicated that improving yields and throughput are key drivers of supply increases, with confidence in a positive trajectory [32] Question: Gross margin expectations - Management explained that gross margin decline in Q1 is due to lower revenue and the impact of new product costs, with expectations for improvement as supply and cost structures stabilize [37] Question: Server prospects and market share - Management emphasized the importance of the 16-channel Diamond Rapids and Coral Rapids in driving market share, with a focus on meeting hyperscaler demand [46] Question: Supply constraints and inventory management - Management acknowledged that both client and data center revenues will be down due to supply constraints, but expects improvements in Q2 [52] Question: External foundry revenue expectations - Management anticipates that significant external foundry revenue will begin to materialize in 2028, with ongoing customer engagements [59]

For more on the Intel quarter, let's bring in Fast Money Friend Jean Monster. Uh he's the managing partner at Deep Water Asset Management. Gan, great to have you with us.>> Hi, Melissa. >> Uh what' you make of the I mean, you know, the stock is up 47% this year and it's January uh 22nd. So, you know, this pullback is minor, but what did you make of this quarter.And is the stock appropriately valued here. So at the most basic level, Intel is a meme stock. Uh they're going to grow 3% next year.Uh Nvidia, whic ...

Intel's conference call just kicking off at the top of the hour. Christina Parts Neville is here on set [music] with the very latest. So the guide was weak because they just don't have enough supply.They warned that there were supply constraint last quarter. Uh the peak of that supply constraint would be in Q1 this actual current quarter. I was able to speak with the CFO very recently just in the last hour or so just about the earnings.And so he attributed that weakness in the guide because of that. You're ...

Core Insights - Intel's outlook for the upcoming quarter has missed analysts' projections, leading to a decline in its stock price [1][6] - The company anticipates that supply levels will reach their lowest point in Q1 before improving in Q2 and beyond, as stated by CFO David Zinsner [1][6] Financial Performance - Intel expects breakeven adjusted earnings in Q1 with revenue projected between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, which is below analysts' expectations [4] - In Q4, Intel reported adjusted earnings of 15 cents per share on revenue of $13.67 billion, exceeding analysts' estimates [4] Market Reaction - The stock price of Intel fell more than 6% in after-hours trading, indicating a potential correction after a significant increase of nearly 50% in January due to optimism surrounding AI product demand [3][5] - The company's recent warnings about supply issues have raised valuation concerns among investors, particularly in light of the stock's recent performance [2][3]

Market Overview - Stocks closed higher for the second consecutive day, with the Dow up about 300 points or 1.6%, the Nasdaq up almost 1%, and the S&P 500 up about 0.5% or 37 points [2][3] - The Russell 2000 and S&P 600 reached record highs, with the Russell 2000 up 0.7% [3] - The VIX index showed a spike above 20 earlier in the week but has since returned to lower levels, indicating reduced volatility concerns [4] Interest Rates and Yields - The 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.25%, while the 30-year yield decreased by two basis points to 4.85% [5] - Higher long-term yields have raised concerns about the Federal Reserve's control over the situation, but the recent decline in yields is seen as positive for investors [6] Sector Performance - Mega-cap sectors, including communication services, consumer discretionary, and technology, led the market gains, with notable performances from companies like Alphabet, Meta, Tesla, and Nvidia [7][8] - Financials also showed strength, with large-cap financials up about 0.6% [8] - Underperforming sectors included real estate, utilities, industrials, and staples, all closing in the red [8] Intel's Q4 Earnings - Intel reported Q4 EPS of 15 cents, beating estimates, and revenue of $13.67 billion, also above the expected $13.43 billion [10][11] - Data center and AI revenue for Q4 was $4.74 billion, exceeding the estimate of $4.42 billion, while client computing revenue was slightly below expectations at $8.19 billion [11] - The Q1 revenue forecast is between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion, which is below the consensus estimate of $12.56 billion, leading to a 5% drop in stock price after the report [11][12] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts noted that despite the weak guidance, there are positive signs in the server market and the importance of CPUs in AI compute [19][28] - Concerns remain about manufacturing yields and inventory levels, which could impact future sales and forecasts [21][23] - The overall sentiment towards Intel's core customers in the PC business appears more confident compared to previous years, indicating a potential positive shift [32] Credit Card Interest Rates - Bank of America and Citigroup are reportedly considering new credit cards with a 10% interest rate, amidst discussions on affordability and high credit card rates [34][35] - Former FDIC chair Sheila Blair commented on the high average credit card rates and the potential for banks to lower them without significant risk to credit availability [36][38]

All right, uh let's get another check on Intel. Those shares are plunging now in overtime after reporting earnings moments ago. The company beating on the top and bottom lines, but the stock under pressure uh now at session lows.Now, the stock had been up nearly 50% this month coming into the print. Joining us now is Seapport Research senior analyst Jay Goldberg. He upgraded the stock to buy this week.So Jay um first of all the rationale behind the upgrade and what did the numbers tell you pro or con that c ...