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This AI Chip Giant Could Be the Market's Next Big Winner
MarketBeat· 2025-10-17 22:22
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the rising interest in artificial intelligence (AI) and highlights Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) as a disciplined investment opportunity amidst the hype surrounding the AI sector. Company Overview - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings on October 16, leading to a 0.5% rally in stock price [2] - The company has a current stock price of $295.37, with a 52-week range of $134.25 to $311.37 and a dividend yield of 0.88% [2] Financial Performance - TSM achieved a remarkable 40.8% growth in revenue over the past year, a significant feat for a company valued at $1.2 trillion [3] - The company's gross profit margin was reported at 59.5%, exceeding management's estimate of 55.5% to 57.5% [5] - Net income margin increased from 42.8% in the same quarter last year to 45.7% this quarter, indicating strong profitability [6] Market Position - TSM's near-monopoly status in the semiconductor industry has solidified its competitive position, allowing it to maintain pricing power despite geopolitical tensions [4] - The company has a return on equity (ROE) of 37.8%, significantly higher than peers like Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (ROE of 4.7%) [7] Future Outlook - Management has guided gross margins to be between 59% and 61% for the fourth quarter of 2025, which is expected to positively impact earnings per share (EPS) and ROE [8] - Analysts have set a 12-month stock price forecast for TSM at $371.67, indicating a potential upside of 25.83% from the current price [9] Analyst Sentiment - The consensus price target among analysts for TSM is $363.33, suggesting a 20.4% increase from the current price, with one analyst projecting a price target of $400, representing a 32.5% upside potential [10] - TSM is viewed as a stable investment option in the AI and chip growth sectors, offering lower volatility compared to smaller companies [11]
TSMC Earnings: I Wish I Hadn't Sold
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-17 17:10
Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of BRK.B either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any i ...
Taiwan Semiconductor's Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Rise Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-10-17 16:40
Core Insights - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) reported third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $2.92, reflecting a 39% year-over-year increase and surpassing Zacks Consensus Estimates by 12.74% [1][11] - TSM's net revenues reached $33.10 billion, up 40.8% year-over-year, exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates by 5.06% [1][11] Financial Performance - Revenue distribution by platform: high-performance computing (57%), smartphone (30%), Internet of Things (5%), automotive (5%), digital consumer electronics (1%), and other segments (2%) [2] - Wafer revenues by technology: 5nm technology contributed 37%, followed by 3nm at 23%, and 7nm at 14% [3][4] - Geographical revenue contributions: North America (76%), China (8%), Asia Pacific (9%), Japan (4%), and EMEA (3%) [5] - Gross margin was 59.5%, an increase of 170 basis points year-over-year; operating margin was 50.6%, up 310 basis points; net profit margin was 45.7%, expanding 290 basis points [6][11] Balance Sheet & Cash Flow - As of September 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $90.107 billion, slightly down from $90.36 billion as of June 30, 2025; inventories decreased to $9.456 billion from $10.43 billion [7] - Accounts receivable increased to $10.082 billion from $8.08 billion in the previous quarter; long-term debt was $34.15 billion, marginally down from $34.73 billion [8] Guidance - For Q4 2025, TSM expects revenues between $32.2 billion and $33.4 billion, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate of $31.97 billion; anticipated gross profit margin between 59% and 61% and operating profit margin between 49% and 51% [9]
TSMC: Buy The Backbone Of The Semiconductor Industry
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-17 16:33
Core Insights - TSMC has recently released its Q3 earnings, highlighting its significance in the semiconductor industry [1] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of identifying undervalued companies with strong fundamentals and cash flows, particularly in sectors like Oil & Gas and consumer goods [1] - The article reflects a long-term value investing approach while acknowledging the potential for deal arbitrage in certain situations [1] Company Analysis - TSMC is recognized as a critical player in the semiconductor sector, warranting a detailed evaluation following its earnings report [1] - The focus is on companies that are currently undervalued or disliked despite having solid fundamentals, which could lead to substantial returns [1] Investment Philosophy - The investment strategy prioritizes long-term value while also exploring opportunities in deal arbitrage, indicating a flexible approach to investment [1] - There is a clear preference for industries and companies that are well understood, avoiding high-tech and certain consumer goods sectors that are perceived as complex [1]
Analysts Aren't Buying into AI Bubble Fears — Instead, They're Even More Bullish
247Wallst· 2025-10-17 14:47
Analysts at Barclays just raised their price target on Taiwan Semiconductor (NYSE: TSM) Â to $275 with an "Overweight†rating. ...
3 Reasons To Buy TSMC's Q3 2025 Beat And Raise
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-17 14:30
Consistent with its recent streak of monthly revenue outperformance, TSMC (NYSE: TSM )( OTC:TSMWF ) has done it again with stronger-than-expected quarterly results. The company grew revenue by 41% y/y to $33.1 billion, outpacing the upper range of its previous guidanceAnalyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinio ...
TSMC Is Getting The Best Out Of Everyone's Buck
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-17 14:19
Don’t just invest—dominate with Tech Contrarians' realized return on closed positions of 65.8% since inception. You’ll get exclusive insights into high-focus stocks, curated watchlists, one-on-one portfolio consultations, and everything from live portfolio tracking to earnings updates on 50+ companies.Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myse ...
TSMC: A Strong Buy At All-Time Highs
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-17 14:06
Analyst’s Disclosure:I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of TSM, NVDA, AMD either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whet ...
TSMC Stock Gains After Earnings. Where the Chart Says It's Headed Next.
Barrons· 2025-10-17 13:59
Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing has demonstrated significant technical advancements this year, showcasing its leadership in the semiconductor industry [1] Group 1 - The company has delivered a technical clinic, indicating its strong performance and innovation in semiconductor manufacturing [1]
Taiwan Semiconductor-Heavy ETFs in Focus on Upbeat Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-10-17 11:45
Core Insights - TSMC reported a 39.1% year-over-year increase in third-quarter profit, driven by strong demand for AI chips, and raised its 2025 revenue growth outlook for the second time this year [1][2][4] Financial Performance - TSMC's revenues reached NT$989.92 billion, exceeding the expected NT$977.46 billion, while net income was NT$452.3 billion, surpassing the estimate of NT$417.69 billion [3] - The company expects annual sales growth in the mid-30% range, a few percentage points higher than previous forecasts [2] Market Trends - The AI market is experiencing positive developments, leading to increased demand for semiconductor products, as noted by TSMC's CEO [4] - TSMC's stock has surged 75% over the past six months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 26% increase, bringing its market capitalization to $1.56 trillion [5] Valuation Metrics - TSMC's trailing P/E ratio is 34.74X, higher than the industry average of 29.72X, with a price/book ratio of 10.53X compared to the industry's 9.70X [6] Trade Relations - TSMC is monitoring U.S. tariff developments and may receive exemptions due to its significant investments in U.S. facilities [7] Investment Opportunities - Investors can consider TSMC through various ETFs, including SP Funds S&P World (ex-US) ETF, SP Funds S&P Global Technology ETF, and others, which have significant allocations to TSMC [8]