Core Viewpoint - U.S. investors may be overlooking better investment opportunities in international stocks due to the fear of missing out on U.S. market gains, particularly as the S&P 500 reaches record highs [1][2] Group 1: International Exposure - Increasing international exposure is suggested as a safer and smarter alternative to investing more in the U.S. economy, as foreign stocks are currently trading at cheaper valuations and performing better [2][10] - The iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA) is highlighted as a suitable vehicle for gaining international exposure [4] Group 2: Historical Performance - Historical data shows that foreign stocks outperformed the S&P 500 between 2002 and 2009, primarily due to a weaker U.S. dollar [5][6] - Analysts predict a potential reversal of the recent U.S. stock performance dominance, leading to a recovery in non-U.S. stocks [8][9] Group 3: Valuation Comparison - The S&P 500 is currently priced at 24.5 times trailing earnings and 23.6 times forward-looking earnings, which is high compared to the MSCI EAFE's 10-year average P/E of 14.2 and trailing-12-month P/E of 16.7 [12][14] - Analysts emphasize that international stocks are closer to their historical averages, suggesting greater price appreciation potential compared to overvalued U.S. stocks [14] Group 4: Diversification Strategy - Adding international exposure is recommended to shield portfolios from economic and political uncertainties in the U.S. [16] - The iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF includes quality foreign companies such as SAP, ASML, Nestlé, and Novartis, providing a diversified investment option [17]

Impact of AI on Job Market - AI will significantly impact the job market, reducing the need for certain roles in financial accounting and HR payroll [1] - The job market will shift, with decreased demand for some job profiles [1] - Companies should invest in roles that can connect AI with their business [1] - Manufacturers should explore using AI to enhance factory productivity and logistics [1] Skills and Education - Not everyone needs to become a data scientist or computer scientist [1] - Policymakers may be underestimating the impact of AI on the labor market [1]

Trade & Tariffs - The U S is considering tariffs on goods from various countries, including Vietnam (20%), Canada (35%), and Brazil, with numbers constantly changing and remaining under negotiation [2][3][4] - Concerns exist that President Trump might double the baseline universal tariff to 20% [5] - China opposes unilateral tariffs and accuses the U S of undermining the free-trade system [9][10] - Vietnam was surprised by the U S's announcement of a 20% tariff on its goods [1][43] - The EU is potentially willing to accept a 10%-15% tariff to avoid retaliation and maintain current import levels to the U S [19][20][32] - The U S is considering 50% tariffs on copper imports, potentially benefiting countries with long-term contracts if consumers pay the tariffs [52][53][56][58] Economic Impact & Market Trends - Tariffs are unlikely to bring manufacturing output or employment back to the U S and could harm the U S economy [6][8] - The U S economy is expected to slow down by about 1 percentage point, but a recession is not the base case unless additional shocks occur [34] - Emerging market currencies are experiencing a losing streak due to President Trump's tariffs [35] - Goldman Sachs suggests markets are complacent and see tariff deadlines being pushed back, with the range of tariffs shrinking to around 10% [36][37][39] Geopolitics & International Relations - China is seeking to strengthen ties with ASEAN countries, potentially vying for influence in Southeast Asia [11][12] - The U S is considering potential sanctions on Russia, possibly including secondary sanctions for buying oil and LNG [14][15] - Britain and France have agreed to exchange migrants as part of a plan to deter illegal crossings, requiring EU sign-off [78][79] Technology & AI - Tesla is expanding its robotaxi service into California and Arizona, with potential launches in the San Francisco Bay Area within a month or two [85] - Apple is planning a pipeline of new products for release in the first half of 2026, including a new iPhone [86] - SAP's recent growth has been powered by a pivot to the cloud and artificial intelligence [88] - SAP's CEO suggests Europe needs to focus on competitiveness and opportunities in AI before regulation, as there aren't many AI use cases in Europe [91][92]

Market Overview & Strategy - The soft landing trade is currently in effect, but structural and fundamental improvements are needed for consumer discretionary and small-cap sectors to continue outperforming beyond a tactical trade [2] - A bullish narrative for the second half requires cyclical sectors, including consumer discretionary, to perform well and contribute to earnings growth beyond growth-led sectors [7] - The market is currently pricing in a lot of good news, and sentiment is somewhat stretched, requiring earnings season to deliver [12] - Risk-reward is slightly more to the downside than upside, but a bullish case depends on more factors contributing positively [15] Investment Opportunities - AI remains a favored growth theme, with opportunities potentially underpriced in many stocks [4] - Consider AI plays outside the US to complement structural growth names already prominent in the index [4] - Focus on companies globally that are improving quality and efficiency, regardless of the economic backdrop [9] - Companies that are users or adopters of AI tools, like SAP, represent investment opportunities as structural improvers not yet priced to perfection [10] Risks & Concerns - Consumer matters for a bullish second half, with potential issues including inventory pulled in ahead of expected tariffs and credit issues affecting working-class consumers [5][7] - Short-term caution is advised, echoing Jamie Dimon's warning about market complacency on tariffs [10][12] - While not the base case, a surprise Fed rate hike would negatively impact equity markets [11]

Core Insights - BILL Holdings (BILL) shares have declined 43.7% year-to-date, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet - Software industry, which have returned 7% and 16.1% respectively [2][9] - The decline is attributed to a challenging macroeconomic environment, persistent inflation, and high interest rates affecting small and medium businesses (SMBs) spending on digital initiatives [2][9] Company Performance - BILL is experiencing growth in its SMB clientele, with partnerships with companies like Regions Financial and Adyen enhancing its digital payment solutions [5][6][7] - In Q3, BILL processed nearly $79 billion in payments across 30 million transactions, adding 4,200 new customers, driven by AI and automation features [10][12] - The company launched new solutions like Supplier Payments Plus and financial automation innovations to streamline SMB payments and improve cash flow management [11] Financial Guidance - For Q4 fiscal 2025, BILL expects revenues between $370.5 million and $380.5 million, indicating year-over-year growth of 8-11% [13] - For the full fiscal 2025, revenues are projected between $1.45 billion and $1.46 billion, suggesting a year-over-year growth of 12-13% [14] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q4 fiscal 2025 earnings is 40 cents per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of 29.82% [15] - The consensus for fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $1.46 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 13.02% [16] Competitive Landscape - Despite its expanding portfolio, BILL faces stiff competition from accounting software providers like SAP and Intuit, which have launched services that directly challenge BILL's market position [17][18]

| ml 小米 | 1940 | | 7.34 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ROOKING Holdings | 6881 | 0.79% | 5668.04 | | (Booking.com) | | | | | 高道 | 1750 | -0.06% | 159.35 | | Adobe | 1621 | 2.32% | 373.38 | | 应用材料 | 1568 | 1 0.21% | 195.39 | | arm Arm Holdings | 1567 | + 0.16% | 148.02 | | ≤ 索尼 | 1510 | 0.32% | 25.17 | | PDD Holdings (Pinduoduo) | 1200 | -1.23% | 105 | | Schneider Electric | 1502 | 1.63% | 267.47 | | Spotify | 1480 | 0.1% | 722.12 | | SK Hynix | 1465 | 3.73% | 212.27 | | Shopify | 1461 | 1 1.64% | 114.32 | | ...

Core Insights - JA Worldwide and SAP have formed a global partnership to equip young people with essential skills for the evolving job market [1][2] - The initiative, named the Global Career Discovery Initiative, aims to provide structured learning experiences for youth aged 17 to 24 in over 30 countries [2][3] - The first year of the initiative is expected to reach more than 85,000 students and engage 800 SAP volunteers as mentors [3] Group 1: Partnership Details - The partnership builds on two decades of collaboration and combines JA's work-readiness curriculum with SAP's network of employee volunteers [2] - The initiative includes mentorship, career assessments, and immersive experiences with SAP leaders [2][4] - The program is designed to ensure that youth, particularly from underserved communities, learn to shape the future of work [3] Group 2: Goals and Impact - The initiative aims to prepare the workforce of the future by building confidence, digital fluency, and real-world readiness [4] - The partnership focuses on measurable outcomes and global impact while aligning global goals with local relevance [4] - JA Worldwide delivers over 19 million student learning experiences annually, emphasizing entrepreneurship, work readiness, and financial health [5] Group 3: Company Backgrounds - JA Worldwide operates with over 700,000 teachers and business volunteers, aiming to build a brighter future for the next generation [5] - SAP is a global leader in enterprise applications and business AI, trusted for over 50 years to enhance business-critical operations [6]

Core Insights - JA Worldwide and SAP have formed a global partnership to equip young people with essential skills for the evolving job market [1][2] - The initiative, named the Global Career Discovery Initiative, aims to provide structured learning experiences for youth aged 17 to 24 in over 30 countries [2][3] - The program will reach more than 85,000 students in its first year, engaging 800 SAP volunteers as mentors [3] Group 1: Partnership Details - The partnership builds on two decades of collaboration and combines JA's work-readiness curriculum with SAP's network of employee volunteers [2] - The initiative includes mentorship, career assessments, and immersive experiences with SAP leaders [2][4] - The program is designed to ensure that youth, particularly from underserved communities, learn to shape the future of work [3] Group 2: Goals and Impact - The partnership focuses on preparing the workforce of the future equitably and at scale, with measurable outcomes and global impact [4] - The initiative will be rolled out through JA's six regional operating centers, ensuring cultural adaptability across diverse communities [4] - JA Worldwide delivers over 19 million student learning experiences annually, emphasizing entrepreneurship, work readiness, and financial health [5] Group 3: Company Backgrounds - JA Worldwide is recognized for its scale and experience in providing educational opportunities to the next generation of innovators and leaders [5] - SAP is a global leader in enterprise applications and business AI, trusted by organizations for over 50 years [6]

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Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the evolution of foreign investment in China during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, highlighting a transition from high growth to a decline and then a narrowing of the decline, showcasing resilience amid global economic fluctuations and value chain restructuring [1]. Group 1: Foreign Investment Scale - The foreign investment scale in China has remained high, with actual foreign investment amounting to approximately $600 billion from 2021 to 2024, surpassing 43 trillion yuan [3]. - In 2021, the actual foreign investment reached 1,149.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.9%. In 2022, it was 1,232.68 billion yuan, up 6.3%. However, in 2023, it dropped to 1,133.91 billion yuan, a decrease of 8.0%, and in 2024, it further declined to 826.25 billion yuan, down 27.1% [5][4]. - By the first four months of 2025, actual foreign investment was 320.78 billion yuan, showing a year-on-year decline of 10.9%, but the decline was 16.2 percentage points less than the total decline in 2024 [5]. Group 2: Structural Changes in Foreign Investment - There is a structural transformation in how foreign investment is perceived and utilized in China, with higher expectations for advanced technology and services as the country undergoes economic restructuring [8]. - The competitive strength of Chinese enterprises has increased, leading to a shift from raw materials to more complex manufactured goods in trade with developed countries, indicating a closer alignment in industrial division and technological levels [9]. - Foreign investment is increasingly focused on local R&D and integration with domestic supply chains, transforming China from a global manufacturing base to an innovation hub [9][10]. Group 3: Policy and Future Outlook - The "14th Five-Year Plan" emphasizes attracting foreign investment through various measures, including optimizing foreign investment services and encouraging reinvestment of profits by foreign enterprises [3][6]. - The Chinese government is accelerating the opening of the service sector, with a focus on telecommunications, finance, and healthcare, to enhance foreign investment opportunities [12]. - Looking ahead, the next decade is expected to see significant improvements in China's competitive advantages for attracting foreign investment, with a focus on high-quality development and international cooperation [14][15].