We're back on Morning Trade Live. You're running out of time to get the flowers and make the dinner reservation. Valentine's Day, remember, is tomorrow.But maybe you want to buy your special someone shares of a restaurant instead. If so, here's where notable restaurant stocks are trading this morning. We've got Brinka down 1.4%, but the rest are up. We've got Darden up just fractionally.McDonald's holding in there off the back of its pretty good quarter there, particularly when it comes to comps. Chipotle i ...

story. In the meantime, Diane Kinghal joining us, host of Morning Movers and Fast Market taking a look at some of the big names to watch. Paycom earnings.We'll start off with that. >> Listen, Paycom shares under pressure and this is obviously a guidance story, not uh the trailing quarter because it did actually do better than expected uh on revenue for the trailing quarter. Now, earnings came in a penny light of expectations.Uh Justin EPS coming in at two well actually a penny better than expect at 245. She ...

Summary of Pershing Square Holdings Investor Meeting (February 11, 2026) Company Overview - **Company**: Pershing Square Holdings (OTCPK:PSHZ.F) - **Key Speaker**: Ryan Israel, Chief Investment Officer - **Chairman**: Rupert Morley Core Industry Insights - **Market Context**: The current market environment is seen as fascinating for public market investors, with significant updates across the portfolio and broader business strategies being discussed [1][3]. Key Financial Performance - **2025 Performance**: - Net Asset Value (NAV) grew by **20.9%** - Total shareholder return was **33.9%** - Compound growth in NAV and share price over 8 years is **23%** [9][10]. - **Share Buybacks**: In 2025, **6.6 million shares** were repurchased for approximately **$370 million**, totaling **$1.8 billion** in buybacks since inception [12]. - **Dividends**: The company has paid out **$666 million** in dividends, with an **86%** increase since the dividend policy was amended in 2022 [11][12]. Strategic Updates - **Howard Hughes Holdings**: - Acquired **$900 million** worth of shares, increasing ownership to **46.9%** [8][9]. - Committed to purchasing up to **$1 billion** in preferred securities to facilitate the acquisition of Vantage, an insurance company [9][22]. - The transformation aims to turn Howard Hughes into a diversified holding company akin to Berkshire Hathaway [17][20]. Investment Strategy - **Investment Focus**: The strategy emphasizes acquiring high-quality, durable growth companies, with a focus on long-term value creation [17][20]. - **Recent Investments**: - New investments in **Hertz**, **Amazon**, and **Meta** were disclosed, with a focus on companies with strong growth potential [43][46]. - Exited positions in **Chipotle**, **Canadian Pacific**, and **Nike** due to underperformance [44][41]. Market Analysis - **S&P 500 Performance**: The S&P 500 has seen a **112%** increase over the last six years, with earnings growth being the primary driver [53][56]. - **Top Companies**: The top 10 companies in the S&P 500 are expected to grow earnings at **25%**, significantly influencing overall market growth [58][59]. - **Valuation Insights**: Current market multiples are seen as potentially undervalued given the expected earnings growth, suggesting optimism for future performance [59][60]. Organizational Updates - **Team Expansion**: New hires include Jordan Aguiar-Lucander, Jill Chapman, and Lucas Richards, enhancing the investment and legal teams [49][50]. - **Investment Philosophy**: The firm maintains a concentrated investment strategy, focusing on a select number of high-quality businesses while keeping a library of potential investment opportunities [52][60]. Conclusion - **Future Outlook**: The firm is optimistic about navigating the current market environment, leveraging its investment strategy and organizational strengths to capitalize on emerging opportunities [45][51].

Company Overview - Robinhood's fourth quarter revenue missed expectations, leading to an almost 8% decline in after-hours trading [1] - The stock was already down about 40% from its all-time high in October, raising concerns about its performance during the current crypto downturn [4] Financial Performance - Key metrics showed deceleration, particularly in net deposit growth, which continued to decline into January [2] - Despite the topline miss, management's commentary on future business growth and transaction volumes was constructive, indicating a decent outlook [3] Crypto Market Impact - Crypto revenue has decreased from over 20% to an expected near 10% of total business, with a potential 50% haircut to current trading volumes during a crypto winter [6] - This scenario would only result in a manageable 10% hit to Robinhood's EBITDA [6] Business Diversification - Robinhood is better positioned during the current crypto downturn due to its diversified product lineup, including a significant increase in net interest income and new offerings like retirement accounts and banking products [9][10] - The company is evolving into a more comprehensive financial app, which enhances its resilience compared to previous downturns [8] Options Trading Growth - Options trading, which constitutes about 25% of Robinhood's revenue, is expected to see significant growth, potentially up to 40% due to increased penetration and new product offerings [12][14] - The options market is less cyclical, allowing for trading in both up and down markets, which supports long-term growth for Robinhood [13] Prediction Markets - Robinhood's entry into prediction markets is seen as a potential growth area, leveraging its strong distribution capabilities despite increasing competition [15] - The company has announced a partnership that enhances its control over economics and product innovation in this space [16]

Market Overview - The Dow is holding above the 50,000 level, with small gains noted [1] - The NASDAQ composite is up 1%, indicating a resurgence in the tech sector [2] - The S&P 500 is up about 0.61%, with both the equal-weight S&P 500 and S&P 600 (small caps) reaching record highs [3] Bond and Currency Movements - The 10-year Treasury yield is down to 4.2%, while the 30-year yield is approximately 4.85% [4] - The US dollar index has seen a significant move, down 0.8%, which is notable for currency markets [4] Sector Performance - The technology sector (XLK) is up 1.86%, with semiconductors and software showing strong performance [5] - Healthcare, staples, financials, and consumer discretionary sectors are underperforming, with retail stocks in the red [6] Upcoming Economic Data - The January jobs report is expected to show an increase of 70,000 payrolls, with the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.4% [10] - The consumer price index for January is anticipated to rise by 2.5%, with core inflation expected to inch up by 0.2% month-over-month [13] Industrial and Manufacturing Outlook - The industrial and manufacturing economy is showing signs of a rebound, with PMI data exceeding expectations and new orders index rising significantly [21][22] - This rebound is attributed to easing monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, which has led to a positive shift in leading indicators [28] Investment Opportunities - There is a call for a rotation into "old economy" sectors such as energy, materials, and industrials, which have underperformed during the recent industrial weakness [30] - Investors are encouraged to diversify their portfolios beyond technology, which currently dominates market cap [32] Chipotle's Marketing Strategy - Chipotle recently gave away $1 million in free food to 100,000 customers during the Super Bowl, aiming to attract more consumers amid a slowdown [46][47] - The company plans to open between 350 and 370 new restaurants this year, expanding its footprint in various regions [59][60] SpaceX's Strategic Shift - SpaceX is pivoting its focus from Mars to the moon, which is seen as a more realistic goal for upcoming missions and potential IPO clarity [106][107] - The moon base strategy is linked to the production of materials for orbital data centers, leveraging the moon's resources [109] Oracle's Market Position - DA Davidson has upgraded Oracle's stock to a buy, citing its ties to OpenAI and TikTok as potential growth drivers [113][114]

Group 1: Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - President Trump has been advocating for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, and his nominee to succeed Jerome Powell, Kevin Warsh, supports this view [1] - Federal funds traders predict an 81% chance of a rate cut by summer, with a 45% chance of a cut in April [1] Group 2: Impact on Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) - U.S. companies may benefit from lower borrowing costs after years of tight monetary policy, which is favorable for REITs [2] - REITs benefit from lower interest rates in three ways: they pay 90% of net income as dividends, their valuations rise as future cash flows are discounted using the 10-year Treasury yield, and lower borrowing costs improve their refinancing options [2] Group 3: Historical Performance of REITs - REITs have historically outperformed the S&P 500 during periods of prolonged low rates, as evidenced from June 2009 to November 2015 when the federal funds rate was below 0.21% [3] Group 4: Investment Opportunities in REITs - Not all REITs will perform equally in a declining rate environment, but there are standout opportunities available [4] - Realty Income, a significant player in the REIT sector, has properties valued at $61 billion and clients including Lowe's and Walmart [5] - Realty Income has a strong track record with 112 consecutive quarterly dividend increases and a year-over-year earnings growth of 17%, currently offering a monthly dividend yield of 5.2% [6]

标普500指数与纳斯达克指数周二料稳健高开，在前一交易日大宗商品暴跌后企稳，投资者正为本周密 集来袭的企业财报季做好准备。 帕兰提尔科技盘前股价大涨11.2%，该公司靓丽财报凸显其军用级人工智能工具需求旺盛，美国国防开 支助力季度销售额增长。 泰瑞达股价飙升22%，这家芯片测试设备制造商发布强劲一季度业绩指引，受益于另一波人工智能相关 投资热潮——大型科技企业正斥资数十亿美元推进数据中心扩建。 全泉全球投资高级投资组合经理约翰・坎贝尔表示："帕兰提尔的优异财报对人工智能板块行情形成支 撑。" 谷歌母公司Alphabet在前一交易日创历史新高后，盘前再涨1.3%；亚马逊上涨0.8%。这两家"七大科技 巨头"均将于本周晚些时候发布财报，将为投资者提供人工智能商业化竞赛的最新参考。 超微半导体及服务器制造商美超微电脑均将于当日收盘后发布财报，盘前股价均上涨约2%。 坎贝尔补充道："我们注意到，不少短线资金会在财报发布前提前布局相关个股，押注财报发布后股价 上涨，目前这种情况确实存在。" 头部科技企业近期发布的财报凸显，投资者愈发关注巨额资本支出计划的回报情况。人工智能相关基础 设施投入大幅攀升，企业面临压力，需将投 ...

Company Overview - SoundHound AI (NASDAQ: SOUN) is a developer of audio and speech recognition tools, experiencing rapid growth due to the rise of AI-powered voice services [1] - The company generates most of its revenue from Houndify, a platform for creating customized voice recognition applications [1] Market Position and Growth - SoundHound serves various sectors, including automakers like Stellantis, restaurants like Chipotle, and financial services like Mastercard [2] - The company has made several acquisitions to enhance its presence in the restaurant and AI chatbot industries, including SYNQ3, Allset, Amelia, and Interactions [2] Financial Performance - From 2020 to 2024, SoundHound's revenue is projected to grow at a CAGR of 60%, with expectations of a 49% CAGR from 2024 to 2027, reaching $283 million [3] - Adjusted EBITDA is expected to turn positive in 2027 [3] Valuation and Risks - SoundHound is valued at a market capitalization of $4.18 billion, trading at 18 times its 2026 sales [4] - The company is increasingly reliant on acquisitions to counteract slowing organic growth, with declining gross margins [4] - It is anticipated to remain unprofitable under GAAP through 2027, and its outstanding share count has more than doubled since its SPAC merger in April 2022, indicating potential dilution [4] Business Model Sustainability - SoundHound has not yet demonstrated a sustainable business model, leading to suggestions that investors may prefer more stable options like Apple for exposure to the voice AI market [5]

Core Viewpoint - Sweetgreen's stock has significantly declined, raising questions about whether it presents a buying opportunity or should be avoided by investors [1][2]. Company Overview - Sweetgreen focuses on healthy food in the fast-casual restaurant sector, emphasizing health and sustainability while incorporating automation to reduce costs [1][2]. - The company has plans to open 37 new restaurants by 2025, increasing its total to 266 by the end of Q3 2025 [3]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first nine months of fiscal 2025 grew by 2% to $524 million, but same-store sales dropped by 7% during the same period [3]. - Operating expenses have increased, leading to a net loss of $84 million in the first three quarters of 2025, up from $61 million in the same period the previous year [4]. Strategic Adjustments - In response to financial struggles, Sweetgreen has reduced its new restaurant growth plans to 20 locations in 2026 [5]. - The company holds $130 million in cash and expects to gain an additional $100 million from selling its automation unit, Spyce, which may provide time for a turnaround [5]. Market Position - Sweetgreen's stock has experienced a nearly 80% decline over the past year, resulting in a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 1.2, significantly lower than competitors like Chipotle (4.5) and Cava (7.2) [5][7]. - The low P/S ratio may attract risk-tolerant investors, but the lack of profitability raises concerns about the stock's potential for recovery [9].

Core Investment Thesis - The article highlights the potential of three tech stocks—SoundHound AI, Lemonade, and CoreWeave—as promising investment opportunities in the context of the growing artificial intelligence (AI) market, suggesting they may offer more growth potential than volatile cryptocurrencies [1][2]. SoundHound AI - SoundHound AI specializes in AI-powered voice and audio recognition tools, generating most of its revenue from its developer-oriented platform, Houndify, which allows for customized voice recognition applications across various industries [3][5]. - The company has a market capitalization of $4.7 billion, with a current stock price of $11.12, and analysts project a revenue growth rate of 30% CAGR from 2025 to 2027, with adjusted EBITDA expected to turn positive in the final year [4][6]. - SoundHound is expanding its market presence through acquisitions and serves notable clients like Stellantis, Chipotle, and Mastercard, which positions it well in the growing voice recognition services market [5][6]. Lemonade - Lemonade offers a range of insurance products, including homeowners, renters, and pet insurance, and is particularly appealing to younger customers due to its AI-powered app that simplifies the insurance buying process [7][9]. - The company has a market capitalization of $5.9 billion and a current stock price of $79.41, with its customer base expected to grow from 1 million to 2.87 million between the end of 2020 and Q3 2025 [8][9]. - Analysts forecast a revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth rate of 44% CAGR from 2025 to 2027, driven by the expansion of its pet and auto insurance segments and the introduction of more AI features [9][10]. CoreWeave - CoreWeave transitioned from Ethereum mining to providing cloud-based GPU services for AI and machine learning tasks, significantly expanding its data center operations from three to 33 since the end of 2022 [11][12]. - The company has a market capitalization of $50 billion, with a current stock price of $101.23, and claims its GPUs can process AI tasks 35 times faster and 80% more cost-effectively than competitors [12][13]. - Analysts predict a remarkable revenue growth rate of 95% CAGR and adjusted EBITDA growth of 109% CAGR from 2025 to 2027, as it secures more clients, including major players like Microsoft and OpenAI [12][13].