IREN Limited
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AI圈迷上疯狂“炼金术”
3 6 Ke· 2026-02-26 08:43
最新迹象显示,海外科技公司正越来越多地转向以芯片为抵押的贷款来筹集资金,用于它们庞大的AI 投资。这些芯片正是训练其大型语言模型的核心。 此类贷款往往以GPU作为抵押,并由科技集团的租赁协议提供担保,在AI军备竞赛中广受欢迎。该行 业目前每年都会在芯片领域耗资数千亿美元,尽管这些芯片往往很快就会过时。 而越来越多的投资者眼下也正被高达7%-17%左右的诱人收益率所吸引,这类贷款收益率通常高于科技 公司自身发行的债务。 "投资者非常兴奋,"King & Spalding律师事务所专门从事金融与重组业务的合伙人David Ridenour表 示,"人们甚至愿意接受'概不议价'的条款,挤破头也要挤进这些GPU交易中。" GPU融资彻底火了 自2023年末云计算服务商CoreWeave开创先河以来,随着高端芯片需求激增与价格飙升,GPU抵押债 务正日益普及。据花旗集团估算,GPU及配套服务器可占数据中心项目总成本的30%至40%。 此类贷款通常由科技公司和投资机构设立的特殊目的载体(SPV)承接,用于批量采购高性能芯片,随后 租赁给科技企业用于训练人工智能模型。 据熟悉GPU融资的律师透露,此类交易中贷款方往往需迅速 ...
IREN vs. MSTR: Which Bitcoin-Focused Stock is a Buy Right Now?
ZACKS· 2026-02-17 15:01
Core Insights - IREN Limited is transitioning from a pure-play crypto-mining company to an AI Cloud Service Provider, targeting $3.4 billion in annualized run-rate revenues by the end of 2026, primarily from its AI cloud business [3][19] - Strategy, the world's largest bitcoin treasury company, holds 713,502 bitcoins and achieved a bitcoin yield of 22.8% in 2025, translating to a gain of $8.9 billion [8][20] IREN Limited Overview - IREN reported $2.3 billion of annualized run-rate revenues under contract in Q2 2026, including a significant agreement with Microsoft [3] - The company secured $3.6 billion in GPU financing and received $1.9 billion in customer prepayments from Microsoft, covering approximately 95% of GPU-related capital spending [4] - IREN has over 4.5 gigawatts of secured power, with only 10% needed to reach its $3.4 billion ARR target, leaving substantial capacity for future growth [5] - Total revenues fell 23% in Q2 2026, primarily due to declining Bitcoin mining revenues as the company shifts focus [6][7] Strategy Overview - Strategy's bitcoin yield increased to 22.8% in 2025, supported by over $25 billion raised through equity offerings, which were primarily used to purchase Bitcoin [8][9] - The company continued to buy Bitcoin during price declines, acquiring 32,470 bitcoins for about $3.1 billion in Q4 2025 [10][11] - Strategy maintains controlled leverage with net leverage around 10-13% and a cash reserve of $2.25 billion, covering over 2.5 years of interest and dividend payments [11][12] Comparative Analysis - Earnings estimates for IREN have been revised downward, with a projected EPS of 38 cents for fiscal 2026, while Strategy's EPS estimate has been revised upward to $98.83 [13][15] - Over the past three months, IREN shares have decreased by 13.6%, while Strategy shares have lost 35.3% [16] - Strategy trades at a trailing P/B multiple of 0.87X, significantly lower than IREN's 5.59X, making it more attractive for value-seeking investors [18] Conclusion - IREN's long-term potential lies in its AI cloud services and strong power availability, but it faces short-term revenue pressures due to its shift away from Bitcoin mining [19] - Strategy's growth is driven by increasing Bitcoin holdings and strong capital access, making it a more stable investment option [20]
IREN: Execution De‑Risk And Secured Capacity Drives Growth
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-13 08:44
Core Viewpoint - The next 12-18 months are critical for IREN Limited's performance, and the company should be valued as an AI infrastructure provider [1] Company Analysis - IREN Limited is positioned to leverage its capabilities in AI infrastructure, which may enhance its market valuation and performance in the upcoming period [1]
IREN Aims for $3.4B AI Cloud ARR by 2026: Can it Hit the Target?
ZACKS· 2026-02-11 16:45
Core Insights - IREN Limited (IREN) aims to achieve $3.4 billion in annualized run-rate revenues (ARR) by the end of 2026, primarily driven by its AI cloud business [1][10] Financial Performance - In Q2 of fiscal 2026, IREN reported approximately $2.3 billion of ARR under contract, including a significant agreement with Microsoft and $0.4-$0.5 billion from the Prince George site [1][10] - IREN secured $3.6 billion in GPU financing and received $1.9 billion in customer prepayments from Microsoft, covering about 95% of the GPU-related capital spending associated with the Microsoft contract [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IREN's fiscal 2026 revenues is $1.01 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 98.6%, while the estimate for fiscal 2027 revenues is $2.76 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 172.6% [4] Power and Infrastructure - IREN has secured over 4.5 gigawatts (GW) of power, which is crucial in the current data center market, and only about 10% of this power will be used to reach the $3.4 billion ARR target by the end of 2026 [3] - The company plans to deploy around 140,000 GPUs by the end of 2026, supported by its available power capacity [3] Competitive Landscape - IREN faces significant competition from Applied Digital (APLD) and TeraWulf (WULF) in the AI infrastructure sector [5] - Applied Digital is constructing Delta Forge 1, an AI data center campus with an initial capacity of 430 megawatts (MW) [6] - TeraWulf has expanded its portfolio by acquiring two sites, adding approximately 1.5 GW of power capacity, increasing its total to about 2.8 GW [7] Stock Performance - IREN's shares have increased by 142.5% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Financial Miscellaneous Services industry's decline of 23.4% [8]
Bitcoin Mining Economics Signal Potential Market Floor
Etftrends· 2026-02-10 22:03
Core Insights - Bitcoin is currently trading below the average production cost for publicly listed miners, which is approximately $74,600, a situation that historically does not persist for long [1] - The gap between mining economics and current prices may indicate an approaching market bottom, especially as large holders have resumed buying after a period of selling [1] - Entities holding more than 10,000 bitcoin sold around $28 billion during the recent downturn but have since purchased approximately $4.7 billion in the last two weeks [1] - Trading volumes have reached historic highs, with global crypto exchange-traded product volumes hitting a record $18.5 billion on February 8, indicating potential final selling pressure [1] - The production cost threshold creates natural support levels, suggesting that spot prices remaining significantly below production costs are typically short-lived [1] Mining Sector Performance - The CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI) has $201.3 million in assets and has returned 14.5% year-to-date, providing direct exposure to companies navigating production economics [1] - IREN Limited (IREN) is the largest position in the fund at 22.5% of assets, followed by Cipher Mining Inc. (CIFR) at 18.3% [1] - The CoinShares Bitcoin ETF (BRRR) holds $425.5 million in assets with a 0.25% expense ratio and has seen $4.56 million in net inflows over the past month [1] - Despite over 75% of bitcoin positions being underwater, behavioral and production-level signals suggest that downside momentum may be nearing exhaustion [1]
Should You Buy, Sell or Hold IREN Stock Post Q2 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2026-02-09 15:52
Core Insights - IREN Limited's shares increased by 5.1% following the release of its second-quarter fiscal 2026 results, driven by significant growth in its AI Cloud Business, which saw a sequential increase of 136.9% to $17.3 million from $7.3 million in the previous quarter [1][9]. Business Transition and Market Opportunity - IREN is transitioning from a pure-play crypto-mining company to an AI Cloud Service Provider, positioning itself to benefit from the rapidly growing AI compute infrastructure market, which is projected to grow at a CAGR of 23.8% [2]. - The company aims to achieve $3.4 billion in annualized run-rate revenues (ARR) by the end of calendar 2026, with $2.3 billion of ARR already under contract, including a significant agreement with Microsoft [3]. Financial Backing and Growth Capacity - In the second quarter of fiscal 2026, IREN secured $3.6 billion in GPU financing and received $1.9 billion in customer prepayments from Microsoft, covering approximately 95% of GPU-related capital expenditures associated with the Microsoft contract [4]. - IREN has secured over 4.5 gigawatts (GW) of power, with only about 10% needed to reach its $3.4 billion ARR target, leaving substantial capacity for future growth [5]. - The company expanded its power capacity by securing a 1.6-gigawatt site in Oklahoma, enhancing its U.S. footprint and supporting long-term expansion plans [6]. Revenue Estimates and Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IREN's fiscal 2026 revenues is $1.08 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 112.8%, while the estimate for fiscal 2027 revenues is $2.78 billion, indicating a year-over-year increase of 156.2% [7]. Competitive Landscape - IREN faces significant competition in the AI infrastructure space from established players like Applied Digital and TeraWulf, which may impact its market position [10]. - Recent developments from competitors include Applied Digital's construction of a large AI data center and TeraWulf's acquisition of sites to expand its power capacity [11][12]. Stock Performance and Valuation - IREN's shares have declined by 30.5% over the past three months, underperforming the industry average decline of 17.3% and lagging behind peers like Applied Digital and TeraWulf [13]. - The company's shares are currently considered overvalued, trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 5.6X compared to the industry average of 3.02X [17]. Conclusion - IREN's strategic shift towards AI cloud services is yielding positive early results, supported by strong contracts and funding. However, the high level of competition and premium valuation suggest a cautious approach to investment in the stock [20].
Why IREN's Post-Market Selloff Misses The Big Picture
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-06 19:37
分组1 - The article discusses IREN Limited, highlighting that the company's primary business remains focused on Bitcoin mining despite potential shifts in its operations [1] - The author emphasizes the importance of combining scientific expertise with financial analysis to identify promising biotechnology companies that innovate in unique ways [1] - The focus is on evaluating the science behind drug candidates, the competitive landscape, clinical trial design, and market opportunities while balancing financial fundamentals [1] 分组2 - The article aims to provide insights that help investors understand both opportunities and risks in the biotechnology sector, which can yield significant returns through breakthrough science [1]
IREN's Q2 Loss Wider Than Expected, Revenues Decline Q/Q
ZACKS· 2026-02-06 19:16
Core Insights - IREN Limited reported a wider loss of 44 cents per share in Q2 fiscal 2026, compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a 9 cents loss, and a profit of 9 cents per share in the same quarter last year [1] - The company experienced a net loss of $155.4 million, a significant decline from a net income of $384.6 million in the previous quarter [1] - Total revenues fell by 23.1% sequentially to $184.7 million, missing the consensus estimate by 16.49% [1] Financial Performance - Bitcoin revenues decreased by 28.2% sequentially to $167.4 million, while AI Cloud Services revenues increased by 137% to $17.3 million from $7.3 million in the previous quarter [3] - Adjusted EBITDA was $75.3 million, down from $91.7 million in the previous quarter, but the adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 41% from 38% [3] - Operating expenses remained flat at $235.5 million, with significant impacts from non-cash and non-recurring items, including $219 million in unrealized financial instrument losses and a one-time debt conversion expense [4] Balance Sheet and Financing - As of December 31, 2025, IREN had $3.26 billion in cash and cash equivalents, up from $1.03 billion as of September 30, 2025 [5] - The company secured $3.6 billion in additional GPU financing related to its Microsoft contract at an interest rate of less than 6% [5] - Year-to-date funding totals $9.2 billion, sourced from customer prepayments, convertible notes, GPU leasing, and GPU financing [5] Growth Outlook - IREN aims to expand its GPU capacity by 140,000 units, which is expected to generate $3.4 billion in annual recurring revenues by the end of 2026 [6] - The construction of the Childress Horizon 1–4 project is progressing to support a large deployment for Microsoft [6] - The British Columbia AI expansion is advancing, with $0.4 billion in annual recurring revenues already contracted and further negotiations ongoing [6] - A new 1.6 GW data center campus in Oklahoma will increase total secured grid-connected power to over 4.5 GW, enhancing long-term growth capacity [6] Strategic Focus - IREN's growth strategy is structured around three core pillars: Capacity, Customers, and Capital, leveraging its secured power footprint, deep hyperscaler engagement, and diversified financing capabilities to scale its AI cloud platform efficiently [7][8]
IREN Earnings: Caught In The Eye Of The AI Storm
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-05 23:47
分组1 - IREN Limited (IREN) shares are experiencing a decline in after-hours trading following the release of second quarter results amid a broader sector selloff affecting high-multiple AI companies [1] - The market sentiment has shifted, causing investors to become increasingly cautious regarding investments in high-multiple AI players [1]
Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) Beats Q1 Earnings Estimates
ZACKS· 2026-02-04 13:11
分组1 - Oaktree Specialty Lending (OCSL) reported quarterly earnings of $0.41 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.38 per share, but down from $0.54 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +8.84% [1] - The company posted revenues of $75.1 million for the quarter ended December 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.32%, and down from $86.65 million year-over-year [2] - Oaktree Specialty Lending shares have declined approximately 4.7% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 1.1% [3] 分组2 - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.38 on revenues of $74.58 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $1.54 on revenues of $300.09 million [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank for Financial - Miscellaneous Services is in the top 36% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating that the industry outlook can significantly impact stock performance [8]