Summary of Conference Call on China Property Market Industry Overview - The conference call focused on the **China Property** market, specifically the performance of major property developers in January 2026 and expectations for the first quarter of 2026 [1][2]. Key Points Sales Performance - Contracted sales for the 25 major developers tracked fell **32% year-on-year (y-y)** in January 2026, despite a low base due to the Chinese New Year (CNY) calendar effect [1][2]. - The top 50 and top 100 developers experienced declines of **26% and 29% y-y**, respectively, in January, compared to **-22% and -29%** in December [2]. Divergence in Developer Performance - State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs) outperformed other developers with milder declines. Notable performers included: - **China Overseas Land & Investment (COLI)**: +20% y-y - **Jinmao**: +14% y-y - **CR Land**: +0.4% y-y - Conversely, developers like **Sunac**, **Shimao**, **CIFI**, **Midea RE**, and **GZ R&F** reported declines exceeding **50% y-y** [3]. Market Outlook - The physical property market is expected to continue its downtrend in 2026-27, with projected declines of **8% and 6% y-y** in secondary home prices [4]. - A meaningful nationwide housing policy is anticipated to remain muted in the coming months, contributing to fragile buyer sentiment and increased inventory [4]. Investment Sentiment - Recent sentiment-driven outperformance in the China property industry is viewed as unsustainable, with expectations of a sector pullback as results season approaches [5]. - The focus remains on quality names with credible self-help stories, such as: - **CR Land (1109.HK)** - **Seazen (601155.SS)** - **C&D International (1908.HK)**, which is seen as a consolidator in the residential market with optimized landbanks [6]. Additional Insights - The analysis indicates that home prices in tier 1 and select tier 2 cities could stabilize in the second half of 2027 if the macro environment remains resilient [4]. - The overall sentiment in the market is cautious, with expectations of continued challenges for developers, particularly those with weaker brand recognition and fewer saleable resources [5][6].

Summary of China Property Sector Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Property Sector - **Key Focus**: Market expectations, policy changes, sales performance, and investment opportunities Core Insights 1. **Investor Positioning**: Many investors in Hong Kong, Singapore, and overseas have been underweight in the China property sector, while sectors like metals, mining, tech, and healthcare are well-owned. There is a shift towards increasing exposure in the property sector due to fear of missing out on potential recovery [1][2] 2. **Sales and Investment Trends**: Secondary sales improved in January, with a month-on-month increase compared to December. However, new home sales remain weak, with a year-on-year decline of approximately 30% expected to persist into Q1 2026 due to last year's high base [2][4] 3. **Policy Easing Expectations**: Positive market sentiment in January was driven by expectations of policy easing, including VAT cuts and adjustments to down payment requirements for commercial properties. The easing of the "three red lines" policy indicates that deleveraging targets may have been met [2][15] 4. **Opportunistic Window**: There is a belief that an opportunistic window may exist from January to March before the National People's Congress meeting and FY25 earnings reports, suggesting potential for strategic investments during this period [2] 5. **Stock Picks**: Recommended stocks include China Overseas Land & Investment (COLI), Jinmao, and Greentown, which are expected to benefit from land acquisition growth and ample saleable resources in 2026. CR Land is noted for its strong fundamentals but is already well-owned [3] 6. **Secondary Market Activity**: Secondary transaction volumes improved to approximately 26,038 units in the week ending January 25, 2026, reflecting a 19% year-on-year increase. This is seen as a positive sign for market confidence [3][9] 7. **New Home Sales Performance**: New home sales increased by 15% week-on-week but are still down approximately 30% year-on-year. The primary sales trend remains uncertain and is not yet sustainable [4][11] 8. **Land Acquisition Trends**: Significant increases in land acquisition costs were noted for several companies, with Jinmao seeing a 78% increase year-on-year. In contrast, Vanke and Longfor reported substantial declines in land acquisition values [17] Additional Important Points - **Policy Support**: Recent supportive policies include lowering the minimum down payment for commercial property mortgages and extending tax refund policies for home buyers [15][16] - **Market Sentiment**: The market's positive response to policy changes indicates a potential shift in investor sentiment towards the property sector, despite ongoing challenges in new home sales [2][4] - **Valuation Insights**: The sector's valuations are being closely monitored, with recommendations varying from buy to neutral based on individual company fundamentals [20] This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call regarding the China property sector, highlighting both opportunities and ongoing challenges.

Vi e w p o i n t | 29 Jan 2026 01:59:47 ET │ 13 pages China Property Three Red Lines to Ease but Unlikely to Leverage Up for Investment in ST CITI'S TAKE Policies pacing up: talk of easing "three red lines" — Property firms are no longer required to report "three red lines" indicators to authorities (Bloomberg, 29 Jan). We note the "three red lines" were implemented since Aug'2020 in an aim to limit debt and encourage sector deleveraging. Indeed, after the Qiushi Journal article (link) that set a supportive ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **China Equity Strategy**: The 2026 JPM China Opportunity Forum highlighted a constructive outlook on China equities, emphasizing thematic trades such as leading exporters, beneficiaries of AI infrastructure capital expenditure, anti-involution strategies, K-shaped consumption recovery, and property market upside optionality [2][7]. Core Insights - **AI Ecosystem**: The memory and ESS (Energy Storage Systems) sectors are benefiting from global AI capital expenditure demand. Notable trends include a memory up-cycle and rising localization. However, consumer electronics and automotive sectors are facing component cost increases and lower trade-in subsidies year-on-year [6][14]. - **Anti-involution Strategies**: Companies like H World and Atour are shifting to rational pricing strategies to enhance market share. Home appliance brands are focusing on innovation rather than price cuts. The solar industry is also expected to see continued anti-involution efforts [6][31]. - **Consumption Trends**: Leading brands are innovating and optimizing to counteract soft domestic demand, with a focus on overseas growth. The "Liberation Day" in April 2025 is noted as a potential trigger for a future recovery in consumer confidence [6][29]. - **Healthcare Sector**: Drug innovation is a key growth driver for pharmaceutical companies, with a focus on launching new drugs and expanding into overseas markets. Healthcare service providers are gradually recovering, aided by technology upgrades [35][38]. - **Humanoid Robots**: China leads in global humanoid robot shipments, driven by government orders. The sector faces challenges in commercialization and scalability, but industrial applications are expected to show strong potential [40][41]. Important Data Points - **Smartphone Market**: Global smartphone shipments are expected to decline by 0.9% in 2026, with iPhones projected to outperform Android devices. JPM forecasts iPhone EMS builds at 251 million units for 2025, a 6% year-on-year increase [14][15]. - **Automotive Sales**: A slow start for passenger vehicle sales in 2026 is anticipated, with a forecasted decline of 24-29% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2026 [15]. - **Energy Storage Systems**: Global ESS battery shipments are projected to grow over 40% to approximately 900 GWh in 2026, driven by policy momentum in China and strong orders from Europe [19]. - **Semiconductor Market**: The semiconductor industry is expected to see divergent dynamics, with consumer electronics facing softness while memory and foundry segments show strength. Average DRAM pricing is forecasted to increase by approximately 60% year-on-year in 2026 [20][21]. Company-Specific Insights - **Top Picks**: J.P. Morgan's preferred companies include Zhongji Innolight, NAURA, and CATL, among others, with various ratings and market caps provided [8][10][11][13]. - **Healthcare Innovations**: Companies like Hansoh are targeting over 80% of revenue from innovative medicines by FY25, with a robust pipeline in oncology and diabetes [35][37]. Additional Considerations - **Cost Management**: Companies are overcoming upward cost pressures through process optimization and effective cost pass-through strategies in export markets [34]. - **Global Expansion**: Chinese brands are increasingly building capacity and expanding distribution in emerging markets, with notable investments in ASEAN production bases [33]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and data points from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current landscape and future outlook for various sectors within the Chinese market.

27 January 2026 | 6:56AM CST Equity Research CHINA PROPERTY WEEKLY WRAP Week 4 Wrap - Transactions improved across markets but leading indicators showed slowing signs Key highlights for the week: Central level: the MNR and MOHURD jointly released new measures to further support urban renewal with enhanced execution flexibility. Key points include: 1) more flexible land transition policies, whereby the original 5-year fixed transition period, during which land use and planning conditions could not be altered ...

Accessible version China Property (H/A) Investor feedback: "wait-and-see" to skepticism; FY25 earnings preview Price Objective Change From "wait-and-see" to skepticism on policy outlook Investor feedback to our sector outlook report (YA report dated 08 January 2026), in which we expressed our contrarian positive view on the sector, has ranged from a broadly "wait- and-see" stance to skepticism. The strong performance of other sectors (especially tech) has also reduced any perceived urgency to reposition. Ke ...

Summary of China Property Market Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Property Market - **Key Data**: - Real Estate Investment (REI) recorded a significant decline of **-35.8% year-on-year** in December, marking the largest drop since December 2009 [1] - New home prices decreased by **-3.0% year-on-year** in December, while secondary home prices fell by **-6.1% year-on-year** [1] - The overall residential sales volume dropped by **-26% year-on-year** in December [1] Core Insights - **Investment Trends**: - REI for FY25 is projected at **Rmb8.3 trillion**, a **-17.2% year-on-year** decline, falling below residential sales of **Rmb8.4 trillion** [2] - New housing starts are at a **21-year low**, with **588 million sqm** started, down **-20% year-on-year** [2] - The area under construction decreased by **-10%**, reaching **6.6 billion sqm** [2] - **Market Conditions**: - The market is expected to face a structural decline into 2026 unless liquidity improves, with anticipated REI dropping by **-13% year-on-year** [3] - National sales are projected to decline by **-11% year-on-year**, with new home average selling prices expected to fall by **-3% year-on-year** [3] - **Policy Impacts**: - Recent government policies aim to stabilize the market, including a reduction in the down payment for commercial properties from **50% to 30%** and extending tax refunds for home sellers [4] - The easing measures are seen as risk control rather than a direct boost to the market [4] Additional Important Points - **Sales and Earnings Outlook**: - Weak sales and earnings downgrades are anticipated, with a potential short-lived rebound in share prices driven by policy expectations [5] - The luxury retail sector showed positive same-store sales growth in Q4, but December results were below expectations [5] - **Land Sales**: - Land sales in 300 cities decreased by **-9% in area** and **-23% in value**, reaching an 18-year low [2] - The government land revenue for the first 11 months of 2025 was down **-11%** [1] - **Macro Economic Indicators**: - China's GDP growth for FY25 is projected at **+5.0% year-on-year**, with a slight deceleration in retail sales growth to **+0.9% year-on-year** in December [1] This summary encapsulates the critical insights and data points from the conference call regarding the current state and future outlook of the China property market.

13 January 2026 | 6:57AM CST Equity Research China Property: Potential housing provident fund (HPF) reform might help to stabilize market We note heightened focus by top-level policymakers on housing provident fund system reform recently. While we look for further official government announcement and details on the reform, we provide a quick introduction of HPF in this report. Overall, we expect potentially larger-scale, lower-cost HPF lending could help stimulate the weak housing market, especially for the ...

Summary of China Property Weekly Wrap Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **Chinese property sector**, highlighting recent market activities and policy changes affecting the industry. Key Highlights 1. **Central Level Policies**: - Emphasis on stabilizing market expectations in the property sector due to housing's role as a financial asset and household wealth repository [1] - Policy easing is deemed necessary to align with market expectations and prevent speculation cycles [1] - Recent tax cuts include a reduction in VAT on properties held for less than two years from 5% to 3%, marking the first reduction since 2016 [1] 2. **Market Activity**: - Transaction volumes in the primary market decreased by **18% week-over-week (wow)** and **33% year-over-year (yoy)**, while secondary market transactions fell by **29% wow** and **27% yoy** [2] - Overall market activities softened, with secondary visitation down **9% wow** and new listing supply down **5% wow** [2] - Market sentiment remained stable, with price cuts holding at a ratio of approximately **15 times** those with price increases [2] 3. **Key Data Points**: - New home sales volume averaged **-18% wow** and **-33% yoy**; new home search activities increased by **1.5% wow** [5] - Secondary transactions averaged **-29% wow** and **-27% yoy** [5] - Inventory balance increased by **0.1% wow**, with inventory months at **28.7**, compared to an average of **28.0** in December 2025 [13] 4. **Valuation Insights**: - Stronger state-owned enterprise (SOE) developers saw share prices increase by **6% wow**, with notable performers like Jinmao (+9% wow) and Greentown (+8% wow) [25] - Offshore coverage developers traded at an average **33% discount** to end-2026 estimated net asset value (NAV) [25] - Onshore coverage developers traded at an average **13% discount** to end-2026 estimated NAV [25] 5. **Completions and New Starts**: - Completions are expected to show a **mid-single-digit percentage (MSD)** improvement in December 2025, contrasting with a **-25% to -18% yoy** decline in previous months [18] - New starts are anticipated to decline steeply, reflecting land sales trends and cement shipment ratios [18] Additional Insights - The report indicates a potential decline in home appliance sales based on secondary sales trends in approximately **20 cities** [18] - The overall market remains under pressure, with significant year-over-year declines in both new and existing home sales expected to continue into the next quarter [18] This summary encapsulates the critical aspects of the current state of the Chinese property market, including policy impacts, market activity, and valuation trends, providing a comprehensive overview for investors and stakeholders in the sector.

Vi e w p o i n t | 05 Jan 2026 10:38:45 ET │ 13 pages China Property Qiushi Journal Commentary on the Sector: Positive but Not Overread CITI'S TAKE Commentary from Qiushi Journal (official media under the CPC Central Committee) (2-Jan-2026) mentioned: [1] property exhibits notable characteristics of financial assets with wide-ranging interconnections, thus enhancing expectation mgmt is critical; [2] property is a pillar industry ('24: 13% of GDP incl. construction; 70m employment) & major source of resident ...