摘要 折价幅度靠前 AA 城投债（主体评级）中，"21 攀国投"估值价格偏离程度最大。净价跌幅靠前 50 只个券中，"24 产 融 06"估值价格偏离幅度最大。净价上涨幅度靠前 50 只个券中，"21 万科 02"估值价格偏离幅度最大。净价上涨幅 度靠前 50 只二永债中，"25 秦农农商银行二级资本债 01"估值价格偏离程度最大。 风险提示 统计数据偏差或遗漏，高估值个券出现信用风险 固定收益动态(动态) 图表1：折价幅度靠前 AA 城投债（主体评级） | 债券名称 | 剩余期限 | 估值价格 | 估值净价 | 估值收益率 | 当日估值 | 票面利率 | 隐含 | 主体 | 成交日期 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (年) | 偏离(%) | (元) | 偏离(bp) | 收益(%) | (%) | 评级 | 评级 | | | 21 攀国投 | 1.91 | -0.28 | 40.93 | 19.82 | 2.11 | 6.80 | AA(2) | AA | 2026/3/11 | | 26 郑路 02 ...

证券研究报告 [Table_Page] 跟踪分析|房地产 [Table_Title] 房地产行业：26 年 2 月 REITs 月报 商业不动产 REITs 加速推进，意义重大 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 -20% -8% 4% 16% 28% 40% 04/24 07/24 09/24 12/24 02/25 04/25 房地产 沪深300 [Table_Author] 分析师： 郭镇 SAC 执证号：S0260514080003 SFC CE No. BNN906 021-38003639 guoz@gf.com.cn 分析师： 胡正维 SAC 执证号：S0260524080002 021-38003768 huzhengwei@gf.com.cn 请注意，胡正维并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员会的注 册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 | 股票简称 | 股票代码 | 货币 | 收盘价 | 最近 | 评级 | 合理价值 | | EPS(元) | | PE(x) | | EV/EBITDA(x) | ROE | | | --- | --- | ...

高质量发展筑基，新模式构建引领 [Table_Industry] 房地产 十五五规划纲要决议点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 涂力磊(分析师) | 021-23185710 | tulilei@gtht.com | S0880525040101 | | 谢皓宇(分析师) | 010-83939826 | xiehaoyu@gtht.com | S0880518010002 | | 陈昭颖(分析师) | 021-23183953 | chenzhaoying@gtht.com | S0880525100002 | 本报告导读： 十四届全国人大四次会议表决通过关于国民经济和社会发展第十五个五年规划纲要 的决议。我们认为，"十五五"时期房地产将聚焦高质量发展，加快构建发展新模式， 通过新房品质打造、库存加速消化、土地严格控制、保障体系完善等路径多层次优 化住房供给，推动市场步入平稳健康发展区间。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 房地产《第 10 周成交回升，保障和改善民生有利 释放刚改需求》 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - According to Wind data, among the bonds traded at a discount, "24 Chanrong 04" has a relatively large deviation in bond valuation price. Among the bonds with rising net prices, "21 Vanke 02" ranks high in terms of valuation price deviation. Among the Tier 2 and perpetual bonds with rising net prices, "24 ICBC Perpetual Bond 01" has a relatively large deviation in valuation price; among the commercial financial bonds with rising net prices, "24 CCB TLAC Non - capital Bond 01A" ranks high in terms of valuation price deviation. Among the bonds with a trading yield higher than 5%, real - estate bonds rank high. The changes in credit bond valuation yields are mainly distributed in the [-5,0) range. The trading terms of non - financial credit bonds are mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, with the highest proportion of discount trading for varieties within 0.5 years; the trading terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds are mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the highest proportion of discount trading for 4 - 5 - year - term varieties. By industry, the bonds in the computer industry have the largest average deviation in valuation price [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Discounted Bond Trading Tracking - The report lists 40 bonds with large discount trading, including "24 Chanrong 04", "24 Chanrong 02", etc. Information such as remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield, and trading volume is provided. For example, "24 Chanrong 04" has a remaining term of 2.88 years, a valuation price deviation of - 0.39%, a valuation net price of 76.72 yuan, a valuation yield of 13.20%, and a trading volume of 13980,000 yuan [5]. 2. Bonds with Rising Net Prices Trading Tracking - The report lists 42 bonds with large positive deviations in trading, including "21 Vanke 02", "22 Vanke 06", etc. Information such as remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield, and trading volume is provided. For example, "21 Vanke 02" has a remaining term of 1.87 years, a valuation price deviation of 6.56%, a valuation net price of 51.48 yuan, a valuation yield of 115.38%, and a trading volume of 25330,000 yuan [6]. 3. Tier 2 and Perpetual Bonds Trading Tracking - The report lists 42 Tier 2 and perpetual bonds, including "24 ICBC Perpetual Bond 01", "24 BOC Perpetual Bond 01", etc. Information such as remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield, and trading volume is provided. For example, "24 ICBC Perpetual Bond 01" has a remaining term of 3.34 years, a valuation price deviation of 0.03%, a valuation net price of 101.32 yuan, a valuation yield of 1.93%, and a trading volume of 1177760,000 yuan [7]. 4. Commercial Financial Bonds Trading Tracking - The report lists 25 commercial financial bonds, including "24 CCB TLAC Non - capital Bond 01A", "24 BOC TLAC Non - capital Bond 01A", etc. Information such as remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield, and trading volume is provided. For example, "24 CCB TLAC Non - capital Bond 01A" has a remaining term of 1.42 years, a valuation price deviation of 0.05%, a valuation net price of 100.48 yuan, a valuation yield of 1.65%, and a trading volume of 20050,000 yuan [9]. 5. Bonds with a Trading Yield Higher than 5% - The report lists 17 bonds with a trading yield higher than 5%, including "21 Vanke 02", "22 Vanke 06", etc. Information such as remaining term, valuation price deviation, valuation net price, valuation yield, and trading volume is provided. For example, "21 Vanke 02" has a remaining term of 1.87 years, a valuation price deviation of 6.56%, a valuation net price of 51.48 yuan, a valuation yield of 115.38%, and a trading volume of 25330,000 yuan [10]. 6. Distribution of Credit Bond Valuation Deviations on the Day - The changes in credit bond valuation yields are mainly distributed in the [-5,0) range [3]. 7. Distribution of Trading Terms of Non - financial Credit Bonds on the Day - The trading terms of non - financial credit bonds are mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, with the highest proportion of discount trading for varieties within 0.5 years [3]. 8. Distribution of Trading Terms of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bonds on the Day - The trading terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds are mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the highest proportion of discount trading for 4 - 5 - year - term varieties [3]. 9. Discount Trading Proportion and Trading Volume of Non - financial Credit Bonds by Industry - By industry, the bonds in the computer industry have the largest average deviation in valuation price [3].

Core Viewpoint - Vanke A's recent performance shows a slight decline in stock price, with a focus on its rental housing and property management business, which continues to expand and adapt to market demands [1][11]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For the period ending September 30, 2025, Vanke A reported a revenue of 161.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 26.61%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -28.02 billion yuan, down 56.14% year-on-year [9][18]. - The company has distributed a total of 103.03 billion yuan in dividends since its listing, with 8.06 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [19]. Group 2: Business Operations - The rental housing business, including non-consolidated projects, achieved a revenue of 3.70 billion yuan, reflecting a 7% year-on-year growth, with the expansion of 40,600 new rental units and 11,100 newly opened units during the reporting period [2][11]. - Vanke's property service segment operates in 100 cities, managing 3,051 projects, and focuses on high-quality residential property services [3][12]. Group 3: Strategic Initiatives - The company is actively responding to national policies on affordable housing, with 125,700 units included in the affordable rental housing category [2][11]. - Vanke's subsidiary, Wanwu Cloud, has launched the "Wanwu Cloud City" brand, aiming to enhance urban service efficiency through digital and mechanized operations [3][12]. Group 4: Market Position - Vanke has been recognized in the Fortune Global 500 list, ranking 356th in 2016 and 307th in 2017, indicating its strong position in the urban construction and living services sector [3][13]. - The company is focused on the most dynamic economic regions in China, including the three major economic circles and key cities in the central and western regions [3][13].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - According to Wind data, among the bonds traded at a discount, "24 Chanrong 08" had a relatively large deviation in bond valuation price. Among the bonds with rising net prices, "H2 Vanke 04" had a relatively high degree of deviation in valuation price. Among the Tier 2 and perpetual bonds with rising net prices, "25 Chongqing Three Gorges Bank Perpetual Bond 01" had a relatively large deviation in valuation price; among the commercial financial bonds with rising net prices, "25 Xiamen International Bank Bond 02" had a relatively high degree of deviation in valuation price. Among the bonds with a trading yield higher than 5%, real estate bonds ranked high. The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the [-5,0) range. The trading terms of non-financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, with the 3 - 4 year term variety having the highest proportion of discounted trades; the trading terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the variety with a term of less than 1 year having the highest proportion of discounted trades. By industry, the bonds in the commercial and retail industry had the largest average deviation in valuation price [3]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Discounted Bond Trading Tracking - Bonds such as "24 Chanrong 08", "24 Chanrong 06", "24 Chanrong 04" in the non - banking financial industry and "24 Puzhi 03", "26 Puzhi 01" in the urban investment industry had relatively large deviations in valuation price and were traded at a discount. The trading scale of "23 AVIC Chanrong MTN001 (Sci - tech Innovation Note)" was 64.08 million yuan, which was relatively large among the discounted bonds [5]. 2. Tracking of Bonds with Rising Net Prices - "H2 Vanke 04", "H2 Vanke 06", "H2 Vanke 02" in the real estate industry and "26 Runtou V1" in the commercial and retail industry had relatively large positive deviations in valuation price and rising net prices. The trading scale of "26 Runtou V1" was 362.83 million yuan, which was relatively large among the bonds with rising net prices [6]. 3. Tracking of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Trading - "25 Chongqing Three Gorges Bank Perpetual Bond 01", "25 Luzhou Bank Perpetual Bond", "25 Beibu Gulf Bank Perpetual Bond 01" and other Tier 2 and perpetual bonds had a certain degree of deviation in valuation price. The trading scale of "25 Zhonghang Secondary Capital Bond 03A(BC)" was 433.483 million yuan, which was relatively large among the Tier 2 and perpetual bonds [7]. 4. Tracking of Commercial Financial Bond Trading - "25 Xiamen International Bank Bond 02", "25 CITIC Bank Green Bond 01BC", "25 Zheshang Bank Green Bond 01BC" and other commercial financial bonds had a certain degree of deviation in valuation price. The trading scale of "24 Nanjing Bank 02" was 613.72 million yuan, which was relatively large among the commercial financial bonds [8]. 5. Tracking of Bonds with a Trading Yield Higher than 5% - Bonds such as "H2 Vanke 04", "H2 Vanke 06", "H2 Vanke 02" in the real estate industry and "24 Chanrong 05", "23 Chanrong 10" in the non - banking financial industry had a trading yield higher than 5%. The trading scale of "23 AVIC Chanrong MTN001 (Sci - tech Innovation Note)" was 64.08 million yuan, which was relatively large among the high - yield bonds [9]. 6. Distribution of Credit Bond Valuation Deviations - The changes in credit bond valuation yields were mainly distributed in the [-5,0) range [3]. 7. Distribution of Non - financial Credit Bond Trading Terms - The trading terms of non - financial credit bonds were mainly distributed between 2 and 3 years, with the 3 - 4 year term variety having the highest proportion of discounted trades [3]. 8. Distribution of Tier 2 and Perpetual Bond Trading Terms - The trading terms of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds were mainly distributed between 4 and 5 years, with the variety with a term of less than 1 year having the highest proportion of discounted trades [3]. 9. Discounted Trading Proportion and Trading Scale of Non - financial Credit Bonds by Industry - The bonds in the commercial and retail industry had the largest average deviation in valuation price [3].

Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. Core Viewpoint of the Report The report comprehensively analyzes the credit market from March 2nd to March 8, 2026, covering important credit events, new defaults, rating changes, new non - standard defaults, upcoming bond maturities, and credit bond issuance. It shows that the credit bond issuance and net financing scale have generally increased this week [11]. Summary by Directory I. This Week's Important Credit Events - On March 3, 2026, Luzhou Development Holding Group Co., Ltd. planned to transfer equity worth 1637 million yuan to the Luzhou State - owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission, which would reduce the company's consolidated net assets by 6.16% of the 2024 year - end audited net assets [2]. - On March 3, 2026, Shenzhen Konka A's approximately 199 million yuan shareholder loan to Sichuan Hongxinchen Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. was overdue. The company has taken measures to recover the principal and interest [2]. - On March 3, 2026, the entire shares of Jiangsu Sanfangxiang Jucai Co., Ltd. held by its controlling shareholder and its concerted party were judicially frozen, accounting for 81.29% of the company's total share capital [3]. - On March 4, 2026, Vanke's two loans totaling 347.97 million yuan matured and were extended for one year [3]. - On March 4, 2026, Shaanxi Construction Co., Ltd. and its subsidiaries were involved in 40 lawsuits and arbitrations with a total amount of 3062 million yuan [4]. - On March 4, 2026, Jilin Credit Financing Guarantee Investment Group Co., Ltd. was involved in three enforcement cases with amounts of 46 million, 72 million, and 124 million yuan respectively [4]. - On March 4, 2026, Vanke A responded to the question about the loan interest rate reduction, stating that it was working to optimize financing conditions and reduce interest costs [4]. - On March 6, 2026, the convener, Industrial Bank, announced a meeting for "21 Wuhan Bishui GN001" due to a significant decline in the issuer's 2023 net profit [6]. - On March 6, 2026, Dongfang Fashion Driving School Co., Ltd. announced that the "Dongshi Convertible Bond" was due on April 8, 2026, and the company expected to be unable to pay the principal and interest on time [7]. II. New Defaults This Week There were no new default entities and no new bond extensions this week [7]. III. Rating Changes This Week - Five issuers had their rating levels上调, and two had their rating levels下调. Two had their credit outlooks上调, and three had their credit outlooks下调 [8]. - The specific rating changes include Huangshan State - owned Capital Operation Holding Group Co., Ltd., Meituan, Zhongyuan Agricultural Insurance Co., Ltd., etc. [7]. IV. New Non - standard Defaults This Week On March 5, 2026, the Ruihaitianze Xianning Equity Investment Partnership (Limited Partnership) of Tianfeng Tianrui Investment Co., Ltd. defaulted, involving an amount of 7,312,330 yuan [10]. V. Next Week's Focus Next week, the maturity situations of bonds such as "23 Quanzhou Jinkong MTN001", "25 Dongyangguang SCP005", etc., need to be focused on, with a total repayment amount of 23.48 billion yuan [10]. VI. Credit Bond Issuance Situation - This week, the issuance scale and net financing scale of credit bonds increased. Both the issuance and net financing of urban investment bonds and industrial bonds increased, as did those of state - owned and private enterprises [11]. - Specifically, the total credit bond issuance this week was 192.489 billion yuan, a 169.25% increase from last week. The net financing scale was 68.07 billion yuan, an increase of 131.13 billion yuan from last week [11]. - For urban investment bonds, the issuance this week was 71.175 billion yuan, a 152.11% increase from last week, and the net financing was 11.721 billion yuan, an increase of 41.328 billion yuan from last week [11]. - For industrial bonds, the issuance this week was 121.314 billion yuan, an 180.43% increase from last week, and the net financing was 56.349 billion yuan, an increase of 89.802 billion yuan from last week [11]. - From the perspective of the nature of the issuing entity, state - owned enterprises' issuance this week was 184.769 billion yuan, a 166.27% increase from last week, and the net financing was 62.947 billion yuan, an increase of 126.274 billion yuan from last week. Private enterprises' issuance this week was 7.72 billion yuan, a 267.62% increase from last week, and the net financing was 5.123 billion yuan, an increase of 4.856 billion yuan from last week [11]. - The issuance and net financing of credit bonds of all ratings increased this week. For example, the issuance of AAA - rated credit bonds increased by 130.73% month - on - month, and the net financing increased by 74.956 billion yuan [14]. - The issuance and net financing of urban investment bonds of all ratings increased. For example, the issuance of AAA - rated urban investment bonds increased by 99.58% month - on - month, and the net financing increased by 2.883 billion yuan [17]. - The issuance and net financing of industrial bonds of all ratings increased. For example, the issuance of AAA - rated industrial bonds increased by 145.48% month - on - month, and the net financing increased by 72.073 billion yuan [20]. - For state - owned enterprises, the issuance and net financing of all ratings increased. For example, the issuance of AAA - rated state - owned enterprises increased by 129.96% month - on - month, and the net financing increased by 72.253 billion yuan [22]. - For private enterprises, the issuance and net financing of all ratings increased. For example, the issuance of AAA - rated private enterprises increased by 152.38% month - on - month, and the net financing increased by 2.703 billion yuan [24].

Company News Major Public Opinion - The Shenzhen government has received feedback on the proposed support plan for China Vanke from Beijing. After the authorities deemed the amount insufficient, the plan was expanded. The initial private share placement was set at 20 billion RMB (about $2.9 billion), but the revised scale is unknown. The government is considering introducing other local state - owned enterprises to support Vanke. After Vanke's initial attempt to extend the domestic bond term failed in December, it revised the plan in January and got approval to postpone the repayment of part of the principal of three domestic bonds for one year, with funds provided by Shenzhen Metro Group [2]. Capital Increase and Expansion - Gansu Financial Holding Group Co., Ltd. received a total of 21 billion RMB in capital increase from 15 relevant city - county financial departments. After the increase, its paid - in capital rose to 36.795 billion RMB, an increase of 20.956 billion RMB. The company has 11 outstanding bonds worth 5.5 billion RMB [2]. Involvement in Major Litigation - Zhangjiajie Economic Development Investment Group Co., Ltd. reported that its subsidiary Zhangjiajie Tourism Group Co., Ltd. and its holding subsidiaries had new, undisclosed litigation and arbitration cases with a total amount of about 37.9009 million RMB as of February 26, 2026, accounting for 13.09% of Zhangjiajie Tourism Group's latest audited net asset value [2]. Operating Loss - Longfor Group Holdings Limited issued a 2025 performance forecast, expecting a net profit attributable to the parent of about 1 billion RMB. However, after excluding fair - value changes, the core equity profit was a loss of 1.5 - 2 billion RMB due to the decline in development business settlement income and gross profit margin. The group has achieved positive operating cash flow including capital expenditures for three consecutive years, and its operation and service business is developing steadily [2]. Loan Overdue - Lingnan Ecology and Culture Tourism Co., Ltd. had a loan of about 447.0798 million RMB from Guangzhou Bank Dongguan Branch overdue. The loan was previously extended, and the company and its subsidiaries provided guarantees [2][3]. Transfer of Subsidiary Equity - Suining Fuyuan Industrial Co., Ltd. transferred 97% of the equity of Suining Fucheng Engineering Management Co., Ltd. and 3% held by its subsidiary to the State - owned Assets and Audit Center of Suining Economic and Technological Development Zone. The asset scale at the end of 2024 was 1.51 billion RMB. The company has 7 outstanding bonds worth 2.5 billion RMB [3]. Rating Outlook and Credit Rating Changes - Moody's adjusted the outlook of The Bank of East Asia, Limited from negative to stable, with a subject rating of A3. Fitch upgraded the subject rating of CK Hutchison Holdings Limited from A - to A and adjusted the outlook from positive watch to stable. Fitch also upgraded the subject rating of Schindler Technology China Co., Ltd. from BB to BB+ and adjusted the outlook from positive to stable [3].

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Core Insights - The report emphasizes the government's focus on stabilizing the real estate market, with a shift from risk prevention to supporting people's livelihoods, particularly for newly married and newborn families [5][16][17] - The "small spring" recovery trend in the real estate market continues, with significant increases in new and second-hand housing transactions across various cities [5][9] - The report indicates a notable improvement in new housing supply, although the overall supply levels have not yet returned to normal [5][9] Policy Overview - The central government has reiterated its commitment to stabilizing the real estate market, with a target economic growth rate adjusted to 4.5%-5% for 2026 and a budget deficit maintained at 4% [16][18] - The government aims to enhance fiscal efficiency by allocating 755 billion yuan for central budget investments and 800 billion yuan for long-term special bonds [16][18] - There is a clear intention to support the housing needs of new citizens and young families, with policies expected to strengthen throughout the year [17][19] Market Performance - New housing transactions in 50 cities increased by 183% week-on-week, with a year-on-year growth of 20.7% [5][9] - Second-hand housing transactions also saw a significant rise, with an increase of 189% week-on-week in 11 cities and a year-on-year growth of 13% [5][9] - The report notes that the transaction volume for second-hand homes has maintained a positive trend, with a cumulative year-on-year increase of 36.1% since the beginning of the "small spring" [5][9] Supply and Demand Dynamics - New housing launches improved significantly, with a week-on-week increase of 557%, although the supply remains below normal levels [5][9] - The report highlights a slight increase in second-hand housing listings, with a 0.2% week-on-week rise in 140 cities, indicating a slow recovery in the market [5][9] - The land supply has increased, but transaction performance has been poor, with a total land sale revenue of 6.95 billion yuan, down 73.2% week-on-week [5][9] Capital Market Insights - The real estate sector underperformed in the capital market, with a decline of 4.1% compared to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [5][9] - Major real estate companies experienced varying degrees of decline, with some companies like China Overseas Land and Investment showing smaller declines compared to others [5][9] - The report notes that the C-REITs sector continues to develop, with 14 applications currently under review, indicating a proactive approach to commercial real estate investment trusts [5][9]