中国现代国际关系研究院拉美所副研究员严谨在接受北京日报采访时说，目前美国在海上打击所谓"贩 毒船"的做法已遭到越来越多盟友的反对。委内瑞拉政府在国内有着相当坚实的民意基础，委内瑞拉军 队也具备战斗力。如果美军真的大规模入侵，很可能陷入长期战争泥潭，就像国际舆论所说的"第二场 越南战争"。"无论美国民众还是特朗普的基本盘'让美国再次伟大'（MAGA）运动，现在都不支持特朗 普挑起一场新的战争，他们对特朗普政府一直在编织的'毒品恐怖主义'叙事并不认同。如果从军事包围 转向大规模地面进攻，还要获得美国国会的战争授权，现在看难度很大。"严谨说。（@北京日报 记者 白波 视频来源：新华网） 【美国再扣委内瑞拉油轮，学者：#美军若入侵委内瑞拉或陷第二场越战#】#美国不具备对委发动地面 战条件# 当地时间12月20日凌晨，在美国国防部支持下，美国海岸警卫队在委内瑞拉附近海域扣押了一 艘悬挂巴拿马国旗的油轮。这是10天内美方在委附近海域扣押的第二艘油轮。委方谴责这一严重"海盗 行为"触犯国际法。 ...

Group 1 - The USS Ford aircraft carrier strike group has entered the Caribbean region as part of a military deployment by the U.S. Department of Defense to combat transnational crime and drug terrorism [1] - The USS Ford, which has been in service since 2017, carries over 5,000 personnel and can deploy more than 75 aircraft [1] - Recent military activities include two B-52 bombers flying close to the Venezuelan coast, indicating heightened military presence in the area [1] Group 2 - Venezuelan President Maduro has expressed indifference to U.S. congressional discussions regarding military actions, asserting the country's independence and freedom [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent military actions taken by the U.S. against vessels suspected of drug trafficking, resulting in casualties and raising international controversy regarding legality and motives [1]. Summary by Sections Military Actions - On September 9, the U.S. military sank two vessels in the Eastern Pacific, killing six individuals, under the directive of President Trump [1]. - The vessels were identified as belonging to a "terrorist organization" by the U.S. government, with each carrying three people [1]. Casualties and Impact - Since September 2, U.S. military actions against alleged "drug trafficking vessels" have resulted in at least 75 deaths [1]. - The Trump administration has not provided evidence linking the attacked vessels and individuals to drug trafficking [1]. Controversy and Criticism - The military actions have sparked criticism both domestically and internationally, with some UN human rights experts labeling them as "extrajudicial killings" [1]. - The Pentagon has initiated its largest military deployment in the Caribbean in over 30 years, including the deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford strike group [1]. Political Context - The U.S. government claims these military actions are aimed at combating "drug terrorism," potentially targeting the Venezuelan government led by Maduro, which has been at odds with the U.S. [1]. - Venezuela has accused the U.S. of attempting to instigate regime change through military threats and expanding its military presence in Latin America [1].

Core Points - The U.S. military sank two ships in the Eastern Pacific on November 9, which were allegedly involved in drug trafficking, resulting in six deaths [1] - This operation was conducted under the directive of President Trump and is part of a broader military deployment in the Caribbean, the largest in over 30 years [1] - The U.S. government has not provided evidence linking the attacked vessels to drug trafficking, leading to domestic and international criticism [1] Military Actions - The U.S. military's actions since September 2 have resulted in at least 75 deaths in the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific due to attacks on alleged drug trafficking vessels [1] - The deployment includes the aircraft carrier USS Gerald R. Ford strike group to the Caribbean region [1] - Trump has indicated a consideration to strike ground targets within Venezuela and has authorized the CIA to conduct covert operations in the country [1] Political Context - The U.S. government claims these military actions are aimed at combating "drug terrorism," but they may also be targeting the Venezuelan government, which has been at odds with the U.S. [1] - The Venezuelan government has accused the U.S. of attempting to instigate regime change through military threats and expanding military presence in Latin America [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the U.S. military's recent actions against alleged drug trafficking vessels in the Eastern Pacific, resulting in the deaths of six individuals, under the directive of President Trump [1][3] - Since September 2, the U.S. military has reportedly killed at least 75 people in operations targeting what it claims are drug trafficking boats in the Caribbean and Eastern Pacific [1][3] - The Pentagon has initiated its largest military deployment in the Caribbean in over 30 years, including the deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier strike group to the region [1][3] Group 2 - The U.S. government has not provided evidence linking the attacked vessels and individuals to drug trafficking, leading to domestic and international criticism, including accusations of "extrajudicial killings" from UN human rights experts [1][3] - Trump's administration claims that military actions are aimed at combating "drug terrorism," but they may also be targeting the Venezuelan government led by Maduro, which has been at odds with the U.S. [1][3] - The Venezuelan government has accused the U.S. of attempting to instigate regime change through military threats and expanding its military presence in Latin America [1][3]

Core Viewpoint - The deployment of the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier to the Caribbean is aimed at enhancing the U.S. military's capabilities to combat drug trafficking and transnational crime organizations in the region [1] Summary by Relevant Sections Military Deployment - The USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier will arrive in the Caribbean in mid-November, carrying approximately 5,000 personnel and 75 aircraft, including F/A-18 fighter jets [1] - This deployment is part of a broader strategy by the U.S. military to strengthen its presence in the Southern Command area, particularly around Latin America [1] Regional Reactions - Several countries in the region have condemned the U.S. military presence, with the Venezuelan government accusing the U.S. of attempting to instigate regime change through military threats [1] - The U.S. has faced criticism for its military expansion in Latin America under the guise of anti-drug operations [1] Strategic Intent - The U.S. government has reportedly developed a series of military action plans targeting Venezuela under the pretext of combating "drug terrorism," although President Trump has not yet made a decision on potential actions against targets within Venezuela [1] - Historical context indicates that the U.S. has a history of intervening in Latin American politics, with at least 18 covert regime change operations planned during the Cold War, often resulting in chaos and violence [1]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government has significantly escalated its military presence in the Caribbean under the pretext of combating drug trafficking, raising concerns about the legality and intentions behind these actions [1][2][3] Group 1: Military Actions and Implications - Since September, the U.S. military has reportedly sunk 16 "drug boats" in international waters, resulting in at least 64 deaths [1] - The Pentagon's deployment of a carrier strike group to the Caribbean is seen as a strong signal of an escalation in military operations, potentially extending from international waters to ground targets [1] - There are growing doubts regarding the legality of these military actions, with bipartisan concerns in Congress about compliance with both domestic and international law [2][3] Group 2: Legality and International Response - Critics argue that the U.S. has not provided sufficient evidence to justify the military actions, leading to accusations of extrajudicial killings [2][3] - An independent expert group from the UN Human Rights Council condemned the U.S. actions as violations of international law, emphasizing the lack of legal basis for using lethal force in international waters [2][3] Group 3: Strategic Objectives and Regional Impact - The U.S. claims to be waging a war against "drug terrorism," but analysts question the coherence of this characterization and its alignment with actual drug trafficking patterns [6][7] - The military approach is seen as a significant shift in U.S. drug policy, with concerns that it may not effectively deter drug trafficking organizations [7] - The financial burden of maintaining military operations in the Caribbean is substantial, with daily costs estimated at around $7 million [7] Group 4: Broader Geopolitical Context - Reports suggest that the U.S. military buildup may be aimed at pressuring Venezuelan President Maduro to step down, with concerns about a potential invasion [10][11] - The U.S. is perceived to be reasserting its influence in Latin America, reminiscent of the Monroe Doctrine, with a focus on military deterrence and economic pressure [13][14] - Recent diplomatic tensions with Colombia highlight the potential for backlash against U.S. military actions in the region [11][14]

Core Points - The U.S. government has claimed to have sunk 16 "drug trafficking boats" in the Caribbean and East Pacific since September, resulting in at least 64 deaths [1] - The military deployment in the Caribbean is described as the largest in 30 years, with President Trump authorizing CIA operations in Venezuela [1] - There are growing concerns and skepticism regarding the true intentions behind these military actions [1] Legal Concerns - Questions have arisen about the legality of these military actions under both U.S. domestic law and international law, as Congress has not formally authorized military action [2][3] - Critics, including members of Congress, have expressed concerns over the lack of transparency and evidence regarding the targets of these military operations [2][3] - An independent expert group from the UN Human Rights Council condemned the U.S. actions as violations of international law, equating them to extrajudicial killings [3] Drug Trafficking Justification - Trump's assertion of a "war on drug terrorism" has been met with skepticism, as the motivations for drug trafficking do not align with traditional definitions of terrorism [4] - The focus of U.S. military actions appears misaligned with actual drug trafficking routes, as most cocaine is trafficked through the Pacific rather than from Venezuela [4] - The effectiveness and sustainability of military actions against drug trafficking are questioned, with high operational costs and potential negative impacts on covert operations [4][5] Potential Invasion of Venezuela - Reports suggest that the U.S. military buildup may be aimed at pressuring Venezuelan President Maduro to step down, with concerns about a possible ground invasion [6][7] - Analysts believe that while the current military presence could conduct strikes, it is insufficient for a full-scale invasion [7] - The U.S. aims to leverage military threats to influence Venezuelan elites, rather than seeking a direct invasion [7][8] Shift in U.S. Foreign Policy - There is a noticeable shift in U.S. foreign policy focus towards the Western Hemisphere, with a revival of the Monroe Doctrine [9] - The Pentagon is expected to prioritize homeland and Western Hemisphere defense in its upcoming defense strategy [9] - Recent agreements, such as a $20 billion currency swap with Argentina, reflect a return to economic Monroeism, emphasizing U.S. influence in Latin America [9] Regional Reactions - The U.S. military actions may provoke strong backlash in Latin America, given the historical sensitivity to U.S. interventions [10] - Colombian President Petro criticized U.S. actions as "murder," highlighting the deteriorating relations between Colombia and the U.S. under the current administration [10]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent military actions taken by the United States against drug trafficking in the Caribbean, highlighting tensions with Venezuela and Colombia, as well as the implications of U.S. sanctions on Colombian President Petro [1][2][4][5]. Group 1: U.S. Military Actions - On October 24, the U.S. Defense Secretary announced the sinking of a drug trafficking boat in international waters, resulting in six deaths, marking the tenth military strike against suspected drug vessels since September, which has led to at least 43 fatalities [2][3]. - The U.S. military presence in the Caribbean is being enhanced with the deployment of the USS Ford aircraft carrier strike group to combat drug trafficking and transnational criminal organizations as per President Trump's directive [2][3]. Group 2: U.S.-Venezuela Relations - The U.S. has been conducting military operations near Venezuela, including the deployment of B-1B bombers, which has raised concerns about potential ground military actions in the region [3]. - Venezuelan President Maduro has condemned U.S. actions as fabrications aimed at justifying military aggression, asserting that Venezuela will resist any attempts to instigate war [3]. Group 3: U.S.-Colombia Relations - The U.S. Treasury imposed sanctions on Colombian President Petro and his family, accusing him of allowing drug trafficking to flourish, which has led to increased cocaine production in Colombia [4][5]. - President Petro criticized the sanctions as hypocritical, stating that Colombia has been actively combating drug trafficking for decades and has sought to assist the U.S. in reducing cocaine consumption [4][5].

Core Points - The U.S. Department of Defense has announced the deployment of the USS Ford carrier strike group to enhance military presence in the Southern Command area in response to President Trump's directive to dismantle transnational criminal organizations and combat drug terrorism [2] - This military presence aims to improve the U.S. capabilities in reconnaissance, surveillance, and countering illegal activities that threaten national security and prosperity in the Western Hemisphere [2] - The Trump administration has characterized the situation as a non-international armed conflict with drug trafficking groups designated as terrorist organizations [2] Summary by Sections - **Military Deployment** - The USS Ford carrier strike group and its air wing are being deployed to the Southern Command area to bolster U.S. military presence [2] - This move is part of a broader strategy to combat drug trafficking and weaken transnational criminal organizations [2] - **Government Actions** - The Trump administration submitted a memorandum to Congress indicating the ongoing conflict with drug trafficking organizations [2] - Recent military actions include the sinking of several alleged drug trafficking vessels off the coast of Venezuela [2] - **Regional Implications** - Reports from the U.S. Drug Enforcement Administration indicate that Venezuela is not a primary source of drugs entering the U.S. [2] - The Venezuelan government has accused the U.S. of using military threats to instigate regime change and expand military presence in Latin America [2]