能源化工期权 2025-11-25 能源化工期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要：能源类：原油、LPG；聚烯烃类期权：聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯；聚酯类期 权：对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片；碱化工类：烧碱、纯碱；其他能源化工类：橡胶等。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an early morning strategy report on energy and chemical options dated November 20, 2025 [1] - It covers various energy and chemical option types, including energy (crude oil, LPG), polyolefins (PP, PVC, etc.), polyesters (PX, PTA, etc.), alkali chemicals (caustic soda, soda ash), and others (rubber) [2] - The recommended strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - The report provides the latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest of multiple underlying futures contracts, such as crude oil (SC2601), LPG (PG2601), and methanol (MA2601) [3] Group 3: Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - It presents the volume and open interest PCR of different option varieties, which are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [4] Group 4: Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of option underlyings are analyzed from the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [5] Group 5: Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The report shows the implied volatility data of various options, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility [6] Group 6: Strategy and Recommendations Crude Oil Options - Fundamental analysis shows that US crude oil inventories have different changes, with an increase in total, strategic, and commercial inventories and a decrease in Cushing inventories [7] - The price trend has been volatile, with different trends in each month from August to November [7] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility is above the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 540 and 460 respectively [7] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling a bearish call + put option combination and a spot long - hedging strategy of constructing a long collar [7] LPG Options - The LPG market is firm, with supply tightening recently. The price trend has also been volatile from August to November [9] - Option factors show that the implied volatility has dropped to below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 4500 and 4250 [9] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling a neutral call + put option combination and a spot long - hedging strategy of constructing a long collar [9] Methanol Options - The supply of methanol may increase, and the price has shown a weak trend since August [9] - Option factors indicate that the implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 2500 and 2000 [9] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of constructing a bearish put spread, a volatility strategy of selling a bearish call + put option combination, and a spot long - hedging strategy of constructing a long collar [9] Ethylene Glycol Options - The supply of ethylene glycol has increased, and the price has been weak. Option factors show that the implied volatility is below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, and the pressure and support levels are 4500 and 4050 [10] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of constructing a bearish put spread, a volatility strategy of shorting volatility, and a spot long - hedging strategy [10] Polypropylene Options - The production of polypropylene has increased, and the price has been weak. Option factors show that the implied volatility has dropped to around the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, and the pressure and support levels are 7000 and 6300 [10] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of constructing a bearish put spread and a spot long - hedging strategy [10] Rubber Options - The tire production capacity utilization rate has different changes, and the rubber price has been in a weak consolidation. Option factors show that the implied volatility has dropped to below the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 16000 and 15000 [11] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling a bearish call + put option combination [11] PTA Options - The PTA load has been adjusted, and the price has shown a rebound with pressure. Option factors show that the implied volatility is above the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, and the pressure and support levels are 4700 and 4300 [11] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling a neutral call + put option combination [11] Caustic Soda Options - The production capacity utilization rate of caustic soda has changed regionally, and the price has been weak. Option factors show that the implied volatility is at a high level, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, and the pressure and support levels are 3000 and 2200 [12] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of constructing a bearish spread and a spot long - hedging strategy of constructing a long collar [12] Soda Ash Options - The inventory of soda ash has increased year - on - year, and the price has been in a low - level weak consolidation. Option factors show that the implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 1860 and 1100 [12] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of constructing a bearish spread, a volatility strategy of shorting volatility, and a spot long - hedging strategy of constructing a long collar [12] Urea Options - The enterprise inventory of urea has decreased, and the price has shown a rebound from low - level consolidation. Option factors show that the implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 1800 and 1600 [13] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling a neutral call + put option combination and a spot long - hedging strategy [13] Group 7: Option Charts - The report includes various option charts for different underlying assets, such as price trend charts, trading volume and open interest charts, open interest PCR and trading volume PCR charts, and implied volatility charts for crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc. [14][35][55]

能源化工期权 2025-11-19 能源化工期权策略早报 | 卢品先 | 投研经理 | 从业资格号：F3047321 | 交易咨询号：Z0015541 | 邮箱：lupx@wkqh.cn | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 黄柯涵 | 期权研究员 | 从业资格号：F03138607 | 电话：0755-23375252 | 邮箱：huangkh@wkqh.cn | | 李仁君 | 产业服务 | 从业资格号：F03090207 | 交易咨询号：Z0016947 | 邮箱：lirj@wkqh.cn | 能源化工期权策略早报概要：能源类：原油、LPG；聚烯烃类期权：聚丙烯、聚氯乙烯、塑料、苯乙烯；聚酯类期 权：对二甲苯、PTA、短纤、瓶片；碱化工类：烧碱、纯碱；其他能源化工类：橡胶等。 策略上：构建卖方为主的期权组合策略以及现货套保或备兑策略增强收益。 表1：标的期货市场概况 | 期权品种 | 标的合约 | 最新价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量 | 量变化 | 持仓量 | 仓变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an energy and chemical options strategy morning report dated November 17, 2025 [1] - It covers various energy and chemical options, including energy, polyolefins, polyesters, alkali chemicals, and others [2] - The recommended strategy is to construct option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - The report provides the latest prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of various option underlying futures contracts [3] Group 3: Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR data of different option varieties are presented, which are used to describe the strength of the underlying option market and the turning point of the underlying market [4] Group 4: Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of different option underlying contracts are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [5] Group 5: Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of different option varieties are provided, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility [6] Group 6: Option Strategy Analysis for Each Variety Energy - related Options Crude Oil - Fundamental analysis shows changes in US crude oil inventories; the market has a complex price trend from August to November [7] - Option factor research indicates that the implied volatility is above the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, the pressure level is 540, and the support level is 460 [7] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling call + put option combinations and a spot long - hedging strategy of a long collar [7] Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) - The LPG market is relatively strong; the price trend shows a pattern of decline, rebound, and consolidation [9] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility has dropped to below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.80, the pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 4250 [9] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling neutral call + put option combinations and a spot long - hedging strategy of a long collar [9] Alcohol - related Options Methanol - Supply may increase, and the price trend is weak; the market is under pressure [9] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, the pressure level is 2500, and the support level is 2000 [9] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of a bear spread of put options, a volatility strategy of selling bearish call + put option combinations, and a spot long - hedging strategy of a long collar [9] Ethylene Glycol - Supply growth pressure exists; the price trend is weak [10] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, the pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 4050 [10] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of a bear spread of put options, a volatility strategy of shorting volatility, and a spot long - hedging strategy of buying put options and selling out - of - the - money call options [10] Polyolefin - related Options Polypropylene - Production has increased; the price trend is weak [10] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility has dropped to around the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, the pressure level is 7000, and the support level is 6300 [10] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of a bear spread of put options and a spot long - hedging strategy of buying at - the - money put options and selling out - of - the - money call options [10] Rubber - related Options Rubber - Tire production capacity utilization and inventory turnover days show certain trends; the price trend is weak and consolidating [11] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility has decreased to below the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, the pressure level is 16000, and the support level is 15000 [11] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling bearish call + put option combinations [11] Polyester - related Options PTA - Device operation and load adjustment affect the market; the price trend shows a pattern of decline, rebound, and consolidation [11] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is above the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, the pressure level is 4700, and the support level is 4300 [11] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling neutral call + put option combinations [11] Alkali - related Options Caustic Soda - Production capacity utilization varies by region; the price trend is weak and bearish [12] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is at a relatively high level, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, the pressure level is 3000, and the support level is 2200 [12] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of a bear spread and a spot long - hedging strategy of a long collar [12] Soda Ash - Inventory has increased year - on - year; the price trend is weak and consolidating [12] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, the pressure level is 1860, and the support level is 1100 [12] - Recommended strategies include a directional strategy of a bear spread, a volatility strategy of shorting volatility, and a spot long - hedging strategy of a long collar [12] Other Options Urea - Enterprise inventory is decreasing, and port inventory is increasing; the price trend shows a pattern of low - level consolidation and rebound [13] - Option factor research shows that the implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, the pressure level is 1800, and the support level is 1600 [13] - Recommended strategies include a volatility strategy of selling neutral call + put option combinations and a spot long - hedging strategy of buying at - the - money put options and selling out - of - the - money call options [13] Group 7: Option Charts - The report includes various option charts for different varieties, such as price trend charts, volume and open interest charts, open interest PCR and turnover PCR charts, implied volatility charts, and historical volatility cone charts [14][34][52]

Group 1: Report Overview - The report is an energy and chemical options strategy morning report dated November 13, 2025, covering various energy and chemical option varieties [1][2] - The strategy focuses on constructing option portfolio strategies mainly as sellers, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - Multiple option varieties are presented, including crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG), methanol, etc., with details on their latest prices, price changes, trading volumes, and open interest [3] Group 3: Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - PCR indicators (volume PCR and open interest PCR) for various option varieties are provided, which are used to describe the strength of the underlying asset's market and potential turning points [4] Group 4: Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - Pressure and support levels for each option variety are analyzed from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest call and put option open interest [5] Group 5: Option Factor - Implied Volatility - Implied volatility data for different option varieties are presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and their changes [6] Group 6: Strategy and Recommendations for Each Option Variety Crude Oil - Fundamental analysis shows that U.S. refinery demand has stabilized and rebounded, shale oil production has slightly increased, OPEC exports have risen, and European refinery demand is about to enter the peak season [7] - The market has shown a complex trend of rising and falling in different months. Implied volatility is above the average, and the open interest PCR indicates a weak market. The pressure level is 590, and the support level is 450 [7] - Recommended strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7] Liquefied Petroleum Gas - The cost - end crude oil is under supply - surplus pressure and geopolitical disturbances. The LPG market has shown a pattern of over - decline and rebound with resistance [9] - Implied volatility has dropped to below the average, the open interest PCR indicates a weak market, the pressure level is 4550, and the support level is 4200 [9] - Strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9] Methanol - Port and enterprise inventories are high, and the supply is increasing. The market has been in a weak downward trend [9] - Implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR indicates a weak and volatile market, the pressure level is 2500, and the support level is 2000 [9] - Strategies involve constructing a bear spread with put options, a short - biased call + put option combination, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [9] Ethylene Glycol - Port and downstream factory inventories are high, and the supply is expected to continue to increase. The market has been weak [10] - Implied volatility is below the average, the open interest PCR indicates strong short - selling power, the pressure level is 4500, and the support level is 4050 [10] - Strategies include constructing a bear spread with put options, a short - volatility strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Polypropylene - PE and PP inventories at production enterprises, traders, and ports show different trends. The market has been in a weak downward trend [10] - Implied volatility has dropped to around the average, the open interest PCR indicates a weak market, the pressure level is 7000, and the support level is 6300 [10] - Strategies include constructing a bear spread with put options and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] Rubber - Exchange rubber warehouse receipts are at a ten - year low, and there is an expectation of inventory accumulation. The market has been in a weak consolidation pattern [11] - Implied volatility has decreased to below the average after a sharp rise, the open interest PCR is below 0.6, the pressure level is 16000, and the support level is 14500 [11] - Strategies include constructing a short - biased call + put option combination [11] PTA - PTA social inventory has increased, and new production capacity is expected to lead to continued inventory accumulation. The market has shown a pattern of rebound with resistance [11] - Implied volatility is above the average, the open interest PCR indicates a volatile market, the pressure level is 4700, and the support level is 4300 [11] - Strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination [11] Caustic Soda - The average utilization rate of caustic soda production capacity has increased. The market has been in a weak downward trend [12] - Implied volatility is at a relatively high level, the open interest PCR indicates a weak and volatile market, the pressure level is 3000, and the support level is 2000 [12] - Strategies include constructing a bear spread and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12] Soda Ash - Soda ash factory inventories have increased. The market has been in a low - level weak consolidation pattern [12] - Implied volatility is at a relatively high historical level, the open interest PCR indicates strong short - selling pressure, the pressure level is 1860, and the support level is 1100 [12] - Strategies include constructing a bear spread, a short - volatility combination, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [12] Urea - Enterprise inventory is at a high level, and port inventory has decreased. The market has shown a pattern of low - level consolidation and rebound [13] - Implied volatility is around the historical average, the open interest PCR indicates strong short - selling pressure, the pressure level is 1800, and the support level is 1600 [13] - Strategies include constructing a neutral - biased call + put option combination and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [13]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector is divided into energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, and others. Strategies are recommended for selected options in each sector [8]. - A seller - based options portfolio strategy and spot hedging or covered strategies are constructed to enhance returns [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Overview of Underlying Futures - Information on the latest price, price change, percentage change, trading volume, volume change, open interest, and open interest change of various energy - chemical option underlying futures is presented, including crude oil, LPG, methanol, etc [3]. 3.2 Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume PCR and open interest PCR of various energy - chemical options are provided, which can be used to analyze the strength of the underlying option market and the turning point of the market [4]. 3.3 Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure points, pressure point offsets, support points, support point offsets, maximum call option open interest, and maximum put option open interest of various energy - chemical options are given, which can help analyze the pressure and support levels of the underlying options [5]. 3.4 Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, change in weighted implied volatility, annual average implied volatility, call option implied volatility, put option implied volatility, 20 - day historical volatility, and difference between implied and historical volatility of various energy - chemical options are presented [6]. 3.5 Option Strategies and Recommendations 3.5.1 Crude Oil Options - Fundamental analysis shows that US refinery demand has stabilized and recovered, shale oil production has slightly increased, OPEC exports have increased, and European refinery demand is about to enter the peak season [7]. - The option implied volatility has decreased to near the average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 500 and the support level is 450 [7]. - Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [7]. 3.5.2 LPG Options - The cost - end crude oil is under pressure from oversupply and geopolitical issues. LPG has shown a market trend of over - sold rebound and slight consolidation [9]. - The option implied volatility has dropped significantly to below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.80, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 4550 and the support level is 4200 [9]. - Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [9]. 3.5.3 Methanol Options - Port and enterprise inventories are high and difficult to deplete significantly in the short term. Methanol has shown a weak downward trend [9]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak and volatile market. The pressure level is 2200 and the support level is 2050 [9]. - Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy of put options. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [9]. 3.5.4 Ethylene Glycol Options - Port and downstream factory inventories are high, and the port inventory is expected to continue the accumulation cycle. Ethylene glycol has shown a weak market trend [10]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates below the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, indicating strong short - selling power. The pressure level is 4500 and the support level is 4050 [10]. - Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy of put options. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - volatility strategy. Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [10]. 3.5.5 Polypropylene Options - PE and PP inventories have different trends. Polypropylene has shown a weak downward trend [10]. - The option implied volatility has decreased to near the average, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 7000 and the support level is 6300 [10]. - Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy of put options. Volatility strategy: None. Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [10]. 3.5.6 Rubber Options - Exchange rubber warehouse receipts are at a ten - year low, and there is an expectation of inventory accumulation. Rubber has shown a weak consolidation trend [11]. - The option implied volatility has decreased to below the average after a sharp rise, the open interest PCR is below 0.60. The pressure level has dropped significantly to 16000 and the support level is 14500 [11]. - Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot hedging strategy: None [11]. 3.5.7 PTA Options - PTA social inventory is accumulating, and although the polyester start - up will remain high, inventory accumulation is expected to continue. PTA has shown a rebound trend with pressure [11]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high level, the open interest PCR is around 0.70, indicating a volatile market. The pressure level is 4700 and the support level is 4300 [11]. - Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot hedging strategy: None [11]. 3.5.8 Caustic Soda Options - The average utilization rate of caustic soda production capacity has increased. Caustic soda has shown a weak short - selling trend [12]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high level, the open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak and volatile market. The pressure level is 2600 and the support level is 2240 [12]. - Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy. Volatility strategy: None. Spot collar hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy a put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [12]. 3.5.9 Soda Ash Options - Soda ash factory inventory has increased. Soda ash has shown a low - level weak consolidation trend [1]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high historical level, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating strong short - selling pressure. The pressure level is 1300 and the support level is 1100 [12]. - Directional strategy: Construct a bearish spread combination strategy. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - volatility combination strategy. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [12]. 3.5.10 Urea Options - Enterprise inventory is at a high level, and port inventory has decreased. Urea has shown a low - level shock and rebound trend [13]. - The option implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average, the open interest PCR is below 0.60, indicating strong short - selling pressure. The pressure level is 1800 and the support level is 1600 [13]. - Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy. Spot hedging strategy: Hold a spot long position + buy an at - the - money put option + sell an out - of - the - money call option [13].

Report Overview - The report focuses on energy and chemical options, covering various sectors such as energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, etc. It provides an analysis of the underlying market, option factors, and offers option strategies and suggestions for each selected option variety [8]. 1. Market Overview of Underlying Futures 1.1 Price and Volume Changes - The report presents the latest prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of multiple energy and chemical futures contracts. For example, the latest price of crude oil (SC2601) is 462, with a price increase of 2 and a price change percentage of 0.43%. Its trading volume is 2.93 million lots, an increase of 0.34 million lots, and the open interest is 2.55 million lots, an increase of 0.16 million lots [3]. 2. Option Factors Analysis 2.1 Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR of various option varieties are analyzed. For instance, the volume PCR of crude oil options is 1.00, with a change of 0.15, and the open interest PCR is 0.66, with a change of 0.01. These indicators are used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning point of the underlying market [4]. 2.2 Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of option underlying assets are determined based on the strike prices of the maximum open interest of call and put options. For example, the pressure level of crude oil is 500, and the support level is 450 [5]. 2.3 Implied Volatility - The implied volatility of options is analyzed, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and its changes, annual average implied volatility, call and put implied volatility, historical volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility. For example, the at - the - money implied volatility of crude oil options is 24.1, the weighted implied volatility is 28.90, with a change of 0.91 [6]. 3. Option Strategies and Suggestions for Different Varieties 3.1 Crude Oil Options - **Underlying Market Analysis**: The demand of US refineries has stabilized and rebounded. Shale oil production has slightly increased, and OPEC exports have increased. The European refined oil inventory is in a low - level destocking state, and the crude oil inventory has increased. The crude oil market showed a short - term weak and volatile trend in August, continued to be weak and bearish in September and then gradually rebounded, fell sharply in October and then stopped falling and rebounded, and has shown a weak and bearish sharp decline since November [7]. - **Option Factor Research**: The implied volatility of crude oil options has decreased to near the average. The open interest PCR is below 0.80, indicating a weak market. The pressure level is 500, and the support level is 450 [7]. - **Option Strategy Suggestions**: Directional strategy: None. Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy to obtain option time value and directional returns, and dynamically adjust the position to keep the delta of the position short. Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy, holding spot long + buying put options + selling out - of - the - money call options [7]. 3.2 Other Option Varieties - Similar analyses and strategy suggestions are provided for other option varieties such as liquefied petroleum gas, methanol, ethylene glycol, etc., including underlying market analysis, option factor research, and option strategy suggestions [9][10][11]. 4. Charts - The report includes a series of charts for different option varieties, such as price charts, volume and open interest charts, PCR charts, implied volatility charts, historical volatility cone charts, and pressure and support level charts, to visually present the market conditions and option factors of each option variety [14][36][54].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The energy - chemical sector includes energy, alcohols, polyolefins, rubber, polyesters, alkalis, etc. It is recommended to construct option combination strategies mainly as sellers and spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [2] - Analyze the fundamentals, market trends, option factors of various energy - chemical option varieties, and put forward corresponding option strategies and suggestions 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market Overview - Multiple energy - chemical option underlying futures are presented, including information such as the latest price, price change, price change rate, trading volume, volume change, open interest, and open interest change of each variety [3] 3.2 Option Factor - Volume and Open Interest PCR - The volume and open interest PCR of various energy - chemical options are provided. Volume PCR is used to describe the turning point of the underlying market, and open interest PCR is used to describe the strength of the option underlying market [4] 3.3 Option Factor - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure and support levels of various energy - chemical options are given, which are determined by the strike prices with the largest open interest of call and put options [5] 3.4 Option Factor - Implied Volatility - The implied volatility data of various energy - chemical options are presented, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and the difference between implied and historical volatility [6] 3.5 Strategy and Suggestions 3.5.1 Energy - related Options - **Crude Oil**: The market is concerned about long - term supply surplus. The option implied volatility drops to near the average. It is recommended to construct a neutral call + put option selling combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging [7] - **LPG**: The PDH device maintenance situation is stable, but the profit is declining. The option implied volatility drops to below the average. Similar strategies as crude oil are recommended [9] 3.5.2 Alcohol - related Options - **Methanol**: Port inventory increases, and the market is in a weak state. The option implied volatility fluctuates around the historical average. A short - biased call + put option selling combination strategy and a long collar strategy are recommended [9] - **Ethylene Glycol**: Supply increases, and the market is weak. It is recommended to construct a bear spread strategy for put options and a short - volatility strategy, along with a long collar strategy for spot hedging [10] 3.5.3 Polyolefin - related Options - **Polypropylene**: Inventory accumulates, and the market is weak. It is recommended to use a long collar strategy for spot hedging [11] 3.5.4 Rubber - related Options - **Rubber**: Inventory decreases, and the market is in a weak consolidation state. A short - biased call + put option selling combination strategy is recommended [12] 3.5.5 Polyester - related Options - **PTA**: Supply support is insufficient, and the market is weak. A short - biased call + put option selling combination strategy is recommended [12] 3.5.6 Alkali - related Options - **Caustic Soda**: Supply decreases, inventory increases, and the market is in a downward trend. A bear spread strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging are recommended [13] - **Soda Ash**: Inventory increases, and the market is in a low - level weak consolidation state. A short - volatility combination strategy and a long collar strategy for spot hedging are recommended [13] 3.5.7 Urea Options - The supply capacity utilization rate increases, inventory changes, and the market is in a low - level weak state. A bear spread strategy for put options, a short - biased call + put option selling combination strategy, and a long collar strategy for spot hedging are recommended [14] 3.6 Option Charts - Charts of various energy - chemical options are provided, including price trends, trading volume, open interest, PCR, implied volatility, historical volatility cones, etc., to visually display the market conditions of each option variety [15][33][51]

Group 1: Report Summary - The report is an energy and chemical options strategy morning report, covering energy (crude oil, LPG), polyolefins (PP, PVC, etc.), polyesters (PX, PTA, etc.), alkali chemicals (caustic soda, soda ash), and other energy and chemical products [3]. - The recommended strategy is to construct an option portfolio strategy mainly as a seller, along with spot hedging or covered strategies to enhance returns [3]. Group 2: Underlying Futures Market Overview - Crude oil (SC2511) latest price is 478, down 7, a decline of 1.38%, with a trading volume of 9.61 million lots and an open interest of 3.53 million lots [4]. - LPG (PG2511) latest price is 4,259, down 34, a decline of 0.79%, with a trading volume of 9.06 million lots and an open interest of 8.12 million lots [4]. - Other varieties such as methanol, ethylene glycol, etc., also have corresponding price, trading volume, and open - interest data [4]. Group 3: Option Factors - Volume and Open Interest PCR - For crude oil options, the volume PCR is 0.83, down 0.11, and the open - interest PCR is 0.88, down 0.15 [5]. - For LPG options, the volume PCR is 1.83, up 0.62, and the open - interest PCR is 0.79, down 0.03 [5]. Group 4: Option Factors - Pressure and Support Levels - The pressure level for crude oil is 570 and the support level is 480 [6]. - The pressure level for LPG is 4,500 and the support level is 4,200 [6]. Group 5: Option Factors - Implied Volatility - The at - the - money implied volatility of crude oil options is 30.57%, and the weighted implied volatility is 33.81%, up 0.83 [7]. - The at - the - money implied volatility of LPG options is 17.815%, and the weighted implied volatility is 19.67%, down 0.13 [7]. Group 6: Option Strategies and Recommendations Energy - related Options (Crude Oil) - Fundamental analysis: OPEC plans to discuss early release of 1.6 million barrels per day of production cuts, and Russia has production cut plans from July to December and supports extending the gasoline export ban until November [8]. - Market analysis: Crude oil has shown a bearish market trend since July, with weak fluctuations in September [8]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates around the mean, open - interest PCR above 1.00 indicates a sideways market, and the pressure and support levels are 570 and 480 respectively [8]. - Option strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [8]. Energy - related Options (LPG) - Fundamental analysis: PDH plant maintenance is stable, but profit decline may lead to a decrease in capacity utilization [9][10]. - Market analysis: LPG has shown an oversold rebound market trend with pressure above [10]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility has dropped significantly to around the mean, open - interest PCR around 0.80 indicates a sideways market, and the pressure and support levels are 4,500 and 4,200 respectively [10]. - Option strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Construct a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [10]. Alcohol - related Options (Methanol) - Fundamental analysis: Port inventory is at a new high, and enterprise inventory and orders have changed [10]. - Market analysis: Methanol has shown a weak market trend with pressure above [10]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility has dropped and fluctuates below the mean, open - interest PCR around 0.80 indicates a weak sideways market, and the pressure and support levels are 2,400 and 2,250 respectively [10]. - Option strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: Construct a bearish put spread strategy; Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [10]. Alcohol - related Options (Ethylene Glycol) - Fundamental analysis: Port inventory is expected to fluctuate at a low level in the short term and may enter a stocking cycle later [11]. - Market analysis: Ethylene glycol has shown a weak market trend with pressure above [11]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates below the mean, open - interest PCR around 0.60 indicates strong bearish power, and the pressure and support levels are 4,500 and 4,250 respectively [11]. - Option strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: Construct a bearish put spread strategy; Volatility strategy: Construct a short - volatility strategy; Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold spot long + buy put option + sell out - of - the - money call option [11]. Polyolefin - related Options - Fundamental analysis: PE and PP inventory levels have changed, with PP having higher inventory pressure [12]. - Market analysis: Polypropylene has shown a weak market trend with pressure above [12]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility has dropped to below the mean, open - interest PCR around 0.80 indicates a weakening trend, and the pressure and support levels are 7,400 and 6,700 respectively [12]. - Option strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: None; Spot long - hedging strategy: Hold spot long + buy at - the - money put option + sell out - of - the - money call option [12]. Rubber - related Options - Fundamental analysis: Affected by the rubber tapping season in Southeast Asia and increased overseas supply expectations, the global rubber futures market has continued to decline [13]. - Market analysis: Rubber has shown a weak sideways market trend with support below and pressure above [13]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility has risen sharply and then dropped to around the mean, open - interest PCR below 0.60, and the pressure and support levels are 17,000 and 14,000 respectively [13]. - Option strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Construct a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy; Spot hedging strategy: None [13]. Polyester - related Options (PTA) - Fundamental analysis: PTA social inventory has increased slightly, and it is expected to maintain a de - stocking pattern [13]. - Market analysis: PTA has shown a weak bearish market trend with pressure above [13]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high level above the mean, open - interest PCR around 0.70 indicates a sideways market, and the pressure and support levels are 5,000 and 4,400 respectively [13]. - Option strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy; Spot hedging strategy: None [13]. Alkali - related Options (Caustic Soda) - Fundamental analysis: Caustic soda plant inventory has increased [14]. - Market analysis: Caustic soda has shown a downward - trending market with pressure above [14]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high level, open - interest PCR below 0.90 indicates a weak sideways market, and the pressure and support levels are 3,000 and 2,440 respectively [14]. - Option strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: None; Spot collar hedging strategy: Hold spot long + buy put option + sell out - of - the - money call option [14]. Alkali - related Options (Soda Ash) - Fundamental analysis: Soda ash plant inventory has decreased, and inventory available days have shortened [14]. - Market analysis: Soda ash has shown a low - level sideways market trend with support below [14]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates at a relatively high historical level, open - interest PCR below 0.60 indicates strong bearish pressure, and the pressure and support levels are 1,300 and 1,200 respectively [14]. - Option strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Construct a short - volatility combination strategy; Spot long - hedging strategy: Construct a long collar strategy [14]. Urea - related Options - Fundamental analysis: Urea enterprise inventory is at a high level, and domestic demand is weak [15]. - Market analysis: Urea has shown a weak sideways market trend at a low level [15]. - Option factor research: Implied volatility fluctuates slightly around the historical mean, open - interest PCR below 0.60 indicates strong bearish pressure, and the pressure and support levels are 1,800 and 1,620 respectively [15]. - Option strategy recommendations: Directional strategy: None; Volatility strategy: Construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy; Spot hedging strategy: Hold spot long + buy at - the - money put option + sell out - of - the - money call option [15].

Group 1: Report Overview - The report focuses on energy and chemical options, providing an early - morning strategy report for September 15, 2025 [2] - It covers various sectors including energy, polyolefins, polyesters, alkali chemicals, etc., and offers strategies and suggestions for different option varieties [3] Group 2: Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Group 3: Core View - The energy and chemical sector is segmented into multiple sub - sectors. Each sub - sector's option varieties are analyzed in terms of fundamental information, market trends, option factors, and corresponding strategies are proposed [9] - The overall market trends of different option varieties show characteristics such as being under pressure, fluctuating, and having different levels of strength or weakness [8][10][11] - Strategies mainly include constructing option combination strategies, bear spread strategies, and spot hedging strategies to enhance returns or hedge risks [8][10][11] Group 4: Market Data Summary Futures Market - For different option varieties, the latest prices, price changes, price change rates, trading volumes, volume changes, open interests, and open interest changes of their underlying futures contracts are presented [4] Option Factors - **Volume and Open Interest PCR**: The volume and open interest PCR data of different option varieties are analyzed, which can be used to describe the strength of the option underlying market and the turning points of the market [5] - **Pressure and Support Levels**: The pressure and support levels of different option varieties are identified from the perspective of the strike prices with the largest open interests of call and put options [6] - **Implied Volatility**: The implied volatility data of different option varieties are provided, including at - the - money implied volatility, weighted implied volatility, and their changes compared with the annual average [7] Group 5: Strategy and Suggestions for Different Option Varieties Energy - related Options - **Crude Oil**: Based on fundamental data and market trends, it is recommended to construct a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [8] - **LPG**: Considering the fundamental situation and market trends, a neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging are suggested [10] Alcohol - related Options - **Methanol**: A bear spread strategy for directional trading and a short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility are recommended, along with a long - collar strategy for spot hedging [10] - **Ethylene Glycol**: A bear spread strategy for directional trading, a short - volatility strategy for volatility, and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging are proposed [11] Polyolefin - related Options - **Polypropylene**: A long - collar strategy for spot hedging is recommended [11] Rubber - related Options - **Rubber**: A neutral - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility is suggested [12] Polyester - related Options - **PTA**: A short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility is recommended [13] Alkali - related Options - **Caustic Soda**: A long - collar strategy for spot hedging is recommended [14] - **Soda Ash**: A short - volatility combination strategy for volatility and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging are proposed [14] Urea Options - A short - biased call + put option combination strategy for volatility and a long - collar strategy for spot hedging are recommended [15]