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广发期货《金融》日报-20250930
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-30 02:22
Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Core Viewpoints - No clear core viewpoints are presented in the reports Summary by Related Categories 1. Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **IM Spread Data**: IM's current - spot spread is -160.43, up 47.96 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 35.00% and an all - time quantile of 7.00%. Various IM inter - period spreads also show different values and changes [1] - **Other Index Spreads**: Spreads of IF, IH, IC, etc., including current - spot spreads and inter - period spreads, have their own values, changes, and quantiles. For example, IC's far - month to quarterly - month spread is -173.40, up 0.60 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 2.00% [1] - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Ratios such as CSI 500/SSE 50, CSI 1000/CSI 300, etc., have their latest values, changes, and quantiles. For instance, the CSI 500/SSE 50 ratio is 1.5910, down 0.0004 from the previous day, with a 1 - year historical quantile of 96.70% [1] 2. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **Basis Data**: TS basis is 1.4369, down 0.0131 from the previous day, with an all - time quantile of 18.30%. TF basis is 1.4331, down 0.0116 from the previous day, with an all - time quantile of 35.70%. T basis is 1.5973, up 0.2089 from the previous day, with an all - time quantile of 55.00% [5] - **Inter - Period Spreads**: Different inter - period spreads of TS, TF, T, and TL have their own values, changes, and quantiles. For example, TS's current - quarter to next - quarter spread is 0.0860, with no change from the previous day, and an all - time quantile of 43.30% [5] - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Cross - variety spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc., have their latest values, changes, and quantiles. For instance, TS - TF is -3.1590, up 0.0390 from the previous day, with an all - time quantile of 14.40% [5] 3. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Futures Closing Prices**: Domestic AU2512 contract closed at 866.52 on September 29, up 10.46 from September 26, a 1.22% increase. AG2512 contract closed at 10939, up 307 from September 26, a 2.89% increase. Foreign COMEX gold and silver also showed price increases [7] - **Spot Prices**: London gold, London silver, and domestic gold and silver spot prices all increased. For example, London gold rose from 3758.78 on September 26 to 3832.94 on September 29, a 1.97% increase [7] - **Basis and Other Data**: Basis data such as gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract, silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract, etc., have their values, changes, and quantiles. Inventory and position data of precious metals also showed certain changes [7] 4. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Spot Quotes**: Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rates of MAERSK, CMA CGM, etc., showed different changes. For example, MAERSK's freight rate increased from 1613 on September 29 to 1645 on September 30, a 1.98% increase [8] - **Container Shipping Indexes**: SCFIS (European route), SCFIS (US - West route), and other indexes showed declines. For example, SCFIS (European route) decreased from 1254.92 on September 22 to 1120.49 on September 29, a 10.71% decrease [8] - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of EC2602, EC2604, etc., all decreased. The basis of the main contract decreased from -228.6 to -332.2, a 45.34% change [8] - **Fundamental Data**: Global container shipping capacity supply remained unchanged. Shanghai's port on - time rate decreased by 43.80%, while port calls increased by 10.97%. Overseas economic indicators such as the Eurozone's composite PMI and the US manufacturing PMI showed slight increases [8]
《金融》日报-20250929
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-29 03:05
| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | 2025年9月29日 | 品种 | 長新值 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | | | | | | | | | | | 价差 | 较前一日变化 | -25.05 | 17,60% | F期现价差 | 6.24 | 30.30% | | | | | | | | | | | HH相邮价案 | 76.40% | 3.38 | 2.52 | 74.1096 | 期现价差 | IC期现价差 | -160.91 | 13.81 | 2.40% | 0.20% | 16.32 | IM期现价差 | -208.39 | 30.00% | 2.60% | | 次月-当月 | -10.80 | 3.00 | 35.60% | 35,60% | 李月-崇月 | ...
股指期货价差日报-20250923
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-23 06:18
| 股指期货价差日报 | 投资咨询业务资格: 证监许可【2011】1292号 2025年9日23日 | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品种 | 价差 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | 历史1年分位数 | 全历史分位数 | -38.61 | 7.90% | E期到分差 | -1.09 | 14.30% | | | | | | | -2.84 | H期现价差 | 0.82 | 58.6096 | 61.40% | 期现价差 | -25.58 | 0.0096 | IC期现价差 | -211.93 | 0.40% | IM期现价差 | 5.00% | -259.28 | -11.89 | 0.10% | | 次月-当月 | -13.00 | 10.00 | 29.5096 | 31.8096 | 季月-崇月 | -22.40 | 23.20 | 48,7096 | 3 ...
《金融》日报-20250919
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-19 02:49
| 股指期货价差 | 日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 叶倩宁 | Z0016628 | 2025年9月19日 | 全历史分位数 | 历史1年分位数 | 品种 | 最新值 | 较前一日变化 | | | | | | | | | | 10122 | IF期现价差 | -10.91 | 35.00% | -13.09 | 40.50% | | | | | | | | | | | | H期邮价差 | -2.03 | -5.45 | 40.10% | 46.40% | 期现价差 | 42.80% | IC期期份是 | -28.28 | -20.65 | 28,6095 | IM期现价差 | -21.60 | -13.79 | 75.0096 | 57.50% | | 次月-当月 | -11.20 | 0.20 | 32 7096 | 34.8 ...
《金融》日报-20250917
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-17 06:27
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views The reports present a comprehensive analysis of various financial products including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metals, and container shipping. They offer daily updates on price differentials, historical percentile rankings, and price movements, which can assist investors in understanding market trends and making investment decisions. 3. Summary by Report Type Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report - **Price Differentials**: Provides price differentials for various stock index futures contracts such as IF, IH, IC, and IM, including spot - futures spreads and inter - period spreads. For example, the IF spot - futures spread is 2.78, and the IF inter - period spread (next month - current month) is - 9.40 [1]. - **Historical Percentiles**: Presents historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles for each spread, which helps investors assess the relative position of current spreads in historical data. For instance, the historical 1 - year percentile of the IF spot - futures spread is 69.60% [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Offers ratios between different stock index futures, like IC/IF, IC/IH, and IF/IH, along with their historical percentiles [1]. Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report - **Basis and IRR**: Reports the basis and implied repo rate (IRR) for different treasury bond futures contracts (TS, TF, T, TL). For example, the TS basis on September 16, 2025, is 1.5336, with an IRR change of - 0.0395 [2]. - **Inter - Period Spreads**: Provides inter - period spreads for different contracts, such as the TS inter - period spread (current quarter - next quarter) of 0.0660 on September 16, 2025 [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Presents cross - variety spreads between different treasury bond futures, like TS - TF, TS - T, etc. For example, the TS - TF spread on September 16, 2025, is - 3.3810 [2]. Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Futures and Spot Prices**: Reports domestic and foreign futures closing prices, spot prices, and their changes for gold and silver. For example, the AU2510 contract price increased by 10.48 (1.26%) on September 16, 2025, compared to the previous day [5]. - **Basis and Ratios**: Provides basis values and ratios between different precious metal products, along with their historical percentiles. For instance, the gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract basis is - 3.98, with a historical 1 - year percentile of 16.00% [5]. - **Interest Rates, Exchange Rates, and Inventories**: Reports interest rates, exchange rates, and inventory data for precious metals. For example, the 10 - year US Treasury yield decreased by 0.01 ( - 0.2%) [5]. Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report - **Spot Quotes and Indexes**: Reports spot quotes for Shanghai - Europe shipping routes and various shipping indexes, including their changes. For example, the SCFIS (European route) decreased by 116.2 ( - 7.47%) from September 8 to September 15 [7]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Provides futures prices and basis values for container shipping futures contracts. For example, the EC2602 contract price increased by 55.2 (3.64%) from September 15 to September 16, and the basis (main contract) decreased by 155.8 ( - 125.18%) [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: Reports fundamental data such as global container shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators, and overseas economic data. For example, the global container shipping capacity supply remained unchanged at 3305.11 million TEU on September 17 compared to the previous day [7].
广发期货《金融》日报-20250917
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-17 03:55
Group 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core Data - **Price - Spot Spread**: For example, the price - spot spread of IH is 2.78, with a change of 2.99 compared to the previous day, and its historical 1 - year and all - time percentiles are 69.60% and 73.20% respectively [1]. - **Inter - period Spread**: Such as the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts of IF is - 9.40, changing by - 1.40 from the previous day, with 1 - year and all - time percentiles of 36.00% and 38.30% [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratio**: The ratio of IC/IF is 1.5863, changing by 0.0151, and its 1 - year and all - time percentiles are 99.50% and 96.20% [1]. Group 2: Treasury Bond Futures Spread Daily Report Core Data - **Basis**: On September 16, 2025, the basis of TS is 1.5336, changing by - 0.0395 compared to the previous day, and its percentile since listing is 22.80% [2]. - **Inter - period Spread**: For example, the spread between the current - quarter and next - quarter contracts of TS is 0.0660, changing by 0.0060, with a percentile of 38.70% since listing [2]. - **Cross - variety Spread**: The spread of TS - TF is - 3.3810, changing by - 0.1020, and its percentile since listing is 9.80% [2]. Group 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report Core Data - **Futures Closing Price**: The AU2510 contract closed at 842.08 yuan/gram on September 16, 2025, up 10.48 yuan or 1.26% from the previous day [5]. - **Spot Price**: The price of London Gold on September 16, 2025, was 3689.59 dollars/ounce, up 10.70 dollars or 0.29% from the previous day [5]. - **Basis**: The basis of Gold TD - Shanghai Gold main contract is - 3.98, changing by - 0.41, and its 1 - year percentile is 16.00% [5]. - **Ratio**: The ratio of COMEX gold/silver is 86.93, changing by 0.81 or 0.94% [5]. - **Interest Rate and Exchange Rate**: The 10 - year US Treasury yield on September 16, 2025, was 4.04%, down 0.01% from the previous day [5]. - **Inventory and Position**: The inventory of Shanghai Futures Exchange gold on September 16, 2025, was 53226 kg, unchanged from the previous day [5]. Group 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report Core Data - **Spot Quotation**: On September 12, 2025, the freight rate of MAERSK from Shanghai to Europe was 1705 dollars/FEU, down 81 dollars or 4.54% from September 11 [7]. - **Container Shipping Index**: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index on September 15, 2025, was 1440.24, down 116.2 or 7.47% from September 8 [7]. - **Futures Price and Basis**: The EC2602 contract closed at 1572.1 on September 16, 2025, up 55.2 or 3.64% from September 15, and the basis of the main contract was - 31.4, down 155.8 or 125.18% [7]. - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply on September 17, 2025, was 3305.11 million TEU, unchanged from September 16 [7]. - **Overseas Economy**: The Eurozone's composite PMI in August 2025 was 51.00, up 0.10 or 0.20% from July [7].
《金融》日报-20250915
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-15 08:05
Report 1: Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report Core Data Summary - **Spot-Futures Spreads**: The IF spot-futures spread was 1.20, down 12.76 from the previous day; the IH was 0.06, down 7.06; the IC was -9.64, down 7.75; the IM was -30.08, down 18.00 [1]. - **Inter - Delivery Spreads**: For example, the next - near spread of IF was -6.20, up 1.40; the far - near spread of IM was -45.20, up 58.60 [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: The ratio of CSI 500 to SSE 50 was 2.4078, up 0.0201; the ratio of CSI 1000 to SSE 300 was 1.6415, up 0.0145 [1]. Report 2: Bond Futures Basis and Spread Daily Report Core Data Summary - **Basis**: The TF basis on September 12, 2025, was 1.1549, up 0.0604; the T basis was 0.9678 [2]. - **Inter - Delivery Spreads**: The current - next spread of TS was -0.0280, up 0.0300 on September 12, 2025 [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: The spread between TS and TF was -3.2200, down 0.0400 on September 12, 2025 [2]. Report 3: Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report Core Data Summary - **Futures Closing Prices**: The domestic AU2510 contract closed at 834.22 yuan/gram on September 12, up 3.44; the AG2510 contract closed at 10035 yuan/kg, up 237 [3]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold was 3642.64 dollars/ounce on September 12, up 9.10; London silver was 42.16, up 0.66 [3]. - **Basis**: The basis of gold TD - SHFE gold was -3.88, up 0.81; the basis of silver TD - SHFE silver was -1, up 25 [3]. - **Ratios**: The ratio of COMEX gold to silver was 86.24, down 1.09; the ratio of SHFE gold to silver was 83.13, down 1.66 [3]. Report 4: Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report Core Data Summary - **Spot Quotes**: The Shanghai - Europe future 6 - week freight rate of MAERSK was 1705 dollars/FEU on September 12, down 81 [4]. - **Container Shipping Indexes**: The SCFIS (European route) settlement price index on September 8 was 1556.46, down 217.1 from September 1 [4]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The EC2602 contract closed at 1497.4 points on September 11, down 26.6; the basis of the main contract was 125.9, down 203.8 [4]. - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply on September 14 was 3302.99 TEU, down 0.20 [4].
股指期货价差日报-20250911
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-11 08:50
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - The reports mainly present the daily data of stock index futures spreads, treasury bond futures spreads, precious metals spot - futures, container shipping industry, and capital flow and key positions changes, including the latest values, changes compared with the previous day, historical quantiles, etc., to help investors understand the market trends and price relationships of different financial products [1][2][3][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures Spreads - **Price - Spot Spreads**: IF price - spot spread is - 12.96, down 2.91; IH is - 1.79, up 1.44; IC is - 12.54, down 68.71; IM is - 79.17, down 18.94 [1]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: Different contracts' inter - period spreads show various changes, such as IF's far - month to current - month spread is - 54.20, down 7.20 [1]. - **Cross - variety Ratios**: Ratios like CSI 500/CSI 300, IC/IF also have specific values and changes, e.g., CSI 500/CSI 300 is 1.5594, down 0.0025 [1]. Treasury Bond Futures Spreads - **IRR and Basis**: TS IRR is 1.4442, down 0.0180; TF basis is 1.3160; T basis is 1.0310 [2]. - **Inter - period Spreads**: For example, TS's current - season to next - season spread is 0.0300, down 0.0040 [2]. - **Cross - variety Spreads**: TS - TF is - 3.0750, up 0.1170 [2]. Precious Metals Spot - Futures - **Futures Closing Prices**: Domestic AU2510 contract is 833.42 yuan/g, down 1.06; AG2510 contract is 9796 yuan/kg, down 50. Foreign COMEX gold is 3680.40 dollars/ounce, up 16.60 [3]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold is 3639.81 dollars/ounce, up 15.64; Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold T + D is 829.72 yuan/g, down 2.19 [3]. - **Basis**: Gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract is - 3.70, down 1.13; silver TD - Shanghai silver main contract is - 12, down 13 [3]. - **Ratios, Rates, and Other Data**: COMEX gold/silver ratio is 88.36, down 0.23; 10 - year US Treasury yield is 4.04%, down 0.04% [3]. Container Shipping Industry - **Spot Quotes**: For Shanghai - Europe routes, MAERSK's rate is 1786 dollars/FEU, down 65 [5]. - **Shipping Indexes**: SCFIS (European route) settlement price index is 1566.46, down 207.1; SCFI (European) is 1315 dollars/TEU, down 166.0 [5]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: EC2602 contract price is 1527.4, unchanged; the basis of the main contract is 132.0, down 207.1 [5]. - **Fundamental Data**: Global container shipping capacity supply is 3299.69 FTEU, unchanged; Shanghai port on - time rate is 32.58%, down 1.99% [5]. Capital Flow and Key Positions Changes - No valid data is provided in the given report for this part.
《金融》日报-20250911
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-11 01:38
1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views - The reports present the latest values, changes from the previous day, historical percentile rankings of various futures spreads, prices, and related indicators for different types of futures including stock index futures, treasury bond futures, precious metal futures, and container shipping futures on September 11, 2025 [1][2][3][5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Stock Index Futures - **Futures - Spot Spreads**: IF, IH, IC, and IM futures - spot spreads are -12.96, -1.79, -12.54, and -79.17 respectively, with changes of -2.91, 1.44, -68.71, and -18.94 from the previous day [1]. - **Inter - Delivery Spreads**: For IF, the spreads between different delivery months show various values and changes, such as the spread between the next - month and current - month contracts being -9.60 with a change of 35.60% [1]. - **Cross - Variety Ratios**: Ratios like CSI 500/CSI 300, CSI 500/SSE 50, etc., are presented with their latest values, changes, and historical percentile rankings [1]. Treasury Bond Futures - **IRR and Basis**: IRR values and basis values for TS, TF, T, and TL are provided, along with their changes from the previous trading day and percentile rankings since listing [2]. - **Inter - Delivery Spreads**: Inter - delivery spreads for different contracts of TS, TF, T, and TL are given, including values, changes, and percentile rankings [2]. - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: Cross - variety spreads such as TS - TF, TS - T, etc., are presented with their latest values, changes, and percentile rankings [2]. Precious Metal Futures - **Domestic Futures**: AU2510 and AG2510 contracts have closing prices of 833.42 yuan/gram and 9796 yuan/kilogram respectively, with price drops of -1.06 and -50 from the previous day [3]. - **Foreign Futures**: COMEX gold and silver主力 contracts have closing prices of 3680.40 and 41.65 dollars/ounce respectively, with price increases of 16.60 and 0.30 [3]. - **Spot Prices**: London gold and silver, and Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold and silver spot prices are presented with their price changes [3]. - **Basis**: The basis values of gold and silver, along with their changes and historical percentile rankings, are provided [3]. - **Ratios, Yields, and Exchange Rates**: Ratios, US Treasury yields, US dollar index, and offshore RMB exchange rate are presented with their latest values and changes [3]. - **Inventory and Positions**: Inventory and position data of domestic and foreign precious metal futures are given, including their changes and percentage changes [3]. Container Shipping Futures - **Spot Quotes**: Spot quotes for Shanghai - Europe routes of different shipping companies show price changes, such as Maersk's price dropping from 1851 to 1786 dollars/FEU [5]. - **Shipping Indexes**: Settlement price indexes and Shanghai export container freight indexes for different routes are presented with their price changes and percentage changes [5]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of different contracts and the basis of the main contract are provided, along with their changes and percentage changes [5]. - **Fundamental Data**: Data on shipping capacity supply, port - related indicators, monthly export amounts, and overseas economic indicators are presented with their changes and percentage changes [5].
广发期货《金融》日报-20250902
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2025-09-02 05:33
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views The reports present a comprehensive analysis of various futures markets, including stock index futures, bond futures, precious metals futures, container shipping futures, and also provide information on trading calendars and potential data releases. They offer detailed data on price changes, spreads, ratios, and related market indicators for different futures products, which can help investors understand market trends and potential investment opportunities. 3. Summary by Directory Stock Index Futures - **Price and Spread Data**: The report provides detailed data on the price differences between futures and spot prices, as well as inter - period spreads for different stock index futures such as IF, IH, IC, and IM. For example, the IF spot - futures spread is - 22.55, down 13.11 from the previous day [1]. - **Historical Percentiles**: It also includes historical 1 - year and full - history percentiles of these spreads, which can help investors assess the relative position of current spreads in historical data. For instance, the historical 1 - year percentile of the IF spot - futures spread is 31.40% [1]. Bond Futures - **IRR and Basis**: Data on the implied repo rate (IRR) and basis for different bond futures (TS, TF, T, TL) are presented. For example, the TS IRR is 1.5138, down 0.0400 from the previous day, and the T basis is 1.3586, up 0.3549 [2]. - **Inter - period and Cross - product Spreads**: Inter - period spreads (e.g., current quarter - next quarter) and cross - product spreads (e.g., TS - TF) are provided, along with their historical percentiles, which can assist investors in analyzing the relative value between different bond futures contracts [2]. Precious Metals Futures - **Price Changes**: The report shows price changes in domestic and foreign precious metals futures, spot prices, and related spreads. For example, the AU2510 contract price increased by 1.97% from August 29th to September 1st, and the COMEX gold price rose by 1.13% [4]. - **Basis and Ratio Analysis**: It also includes basis data (e.g., gold TD - Shanghai gold main contract) and ratio analysis (e.g., COMEX gold/silver ratio), which can help investors understand the relationship between different precious metals prices [4]. Container Shipping Futures - **Spot and Index Data**: Spot quotes for container shipping from Shanghai to Europe by different shipping companies are provided, along with various container shipping indices such as SCFIS and SCFI. For example, the MAERSK Shanghai - Europe freight rate decreased by 1.74% from September 1st to September 2nd [6]. - **Futures Prices and Basis**: Futures prices of different container shipping contracts (e.g., EC2602, EC2510) and their basis are presented, which can help investors analyze the relationship between futures and spot prices in the container shipping market [6]. Trading Calendar - **Data and Event Schedule**: The report lists overseas and domestic economic data and events to be released on September 2nd, 2025. Overseas events include euro - zone CPI data and US manufacturing PMI data, while domestic events cover inventory and production data for various commodities such as manganese ore, iron ore, and glass [7].