Core Insights - The focus is on identifying undervalued companies with significant growth potential, particularly in technology, AI, fintech, and cloud infrastructure [1] - Emphasis is placed on rigorous fundamental analysis combined with forward-looking strategies to assess business quality and leadership execution [1] - The investment strategy targets platform businesses with network effects and monetization models that are not fully recognized by the market [1] Investment Strategy - The approach includes monitoring cash flow resilience, balance sheet flexibility, and establishing valuation floors to protect capital [1] - The goal is to invest in opportunities where narrative changes can lead to multi-year upside with limited downside risk [1] - The research aims to provide practical insights that empower investors to understand the core drivers of durable value creation beyond surface-level headlines [1]

Group 1 - The article introduces Sophos Research as a new contributing analyst to Seeking Alpha, highlighting the opportunity for others to share investment ideas and get published [1] - Laura Bennett, the author, has a technical background in software engineering and has transitioned into financial markets, focusing on the intersection of technology and capital allocation [2] - The author analyzes tech companies through both technical and fundamental lenses, covering areas such as enterprise software, cloud infrastructure, AI platforms, and trading technology [2]

Meanwhile, Core Weeave dropping for a second day in a row after announcing its buying data center provider Core Scientific. The company getting a slew of downgrades today as analysts worry about near-term overhang. City putting the AI cloud infrastructure company on a 90-day downside catalyst watch.The analyst behind that call, Tyler Radkkey, joins us here on Fast Now. Tyler, great to have you with us. Nice to see you again.Um, this all has to do with lockups. So, it's sort of a a technical alert. Can you w ...

Core Insights - Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) shares have increased by 81.4% year to date, significantly outperforming the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the Zacks Internet Software Services industry's growth of 7.9% and 26.8%, respectively [1] - The S&P 500 Composite has risen by 6.2% during the same period [1] Price Performance - The stock's performance has surpassed major players like Microsoft (MSFT) and Amazon (AMZN), which have gained 18.3% and 1.8%, respectively [4] - CoreWeave (CRWV) has experienced a remarkable increase of 313% since its trading debut on March 28 [4] Challenges for Nebius - Nebius, based in Amsterdam, is a neo cloud company that has recovered from a significant sell-off in April, but still faces challenges due to a volatile global macroeconomic environment [5] - The company competes with major players in the AI cloud infrastructure space, including Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet, as well as smaller competitors like CoreWeave [5] Market Dynamics - Amazon Web Services and Microsoft's Azure dominate over half of the cloud infrastructure services market [6] - Microsoft's partnership with OpenAI provides Azure with priority access to leading AI models, while Amazon's AI segment is experiencing triple-digit percentage growth year over year [6] Financial Performance - Despite strong top-line growth, NBIS remains unprofitable, with management indicating that adjusted EBITDA will be negative for the full year 2025, although it expects to turn positive in the second half of 2025 [7][9] - The company has raised its 2025 capital expenditure forecast to approximately $2 billion, up from $1.5 billion, which raises concerns about sustaining high capital intensity amid fluctuating revenues [8] Strategic Focus - Nebius is concentrating on technical enhancements to improve reliability and reduce downtime, aiming to boost customer retention and increase its share of the AI cloud compute market [9] - The company has reaffirmed its annual recurring revenue (ARR) guidance of $750 million to $1 billion and overall revenue guidance of $500 million to $700 million for 2025 [9] Valuation Concerns - Nebius appears overvalued, indicated by a Value Score of F, with shares trading at a Price/Book ratio of 3.75X, lower than the Internet Software Services industry's ratio of 4.2X [12][13] Investment Outlook - Given the intense competition from hyperscalers and ongoing unprofitability, the near-term outlook for NBIS is tempered, leading to suggestions that investors may consider locking in gains and offloading the stock [14]

Company Performance - Seagate has achieved a 65% return year-to-date in 2025, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 5% increase, driven by structural improvements and a shift towards next-gen technologies like HAMR [3] - The company forecasts Q4 adjusted EPS to be between $2.20 and $2.60, with revenue expected between $2.25 billion and $2.55 billion [7] Market Context - Seagate's stock has historically shown significant volatility, with a peak-to-trough decline of 58% during the 2022 inflation crisis and a 35.6% drop during the COVID-19 pandemic [10][11] - The stock currently trades at 18x consensus 2025 earnings, well above its three-year average of 5x, indicating elevated investor confidence but also a potential for steep declines [11] Technological Advancements - Seagate's Mozaic 3+ platform achieves 3 TB per platter through HAMR technology, with plans for 40 TB drives in 2026 and 100 TB drives by 2030, positioning the company for long-term growth [6] - The demand for high-capacity HDDs is bolstered by the increasing need for data storage in generative AI and cloud infrastructure, where HDDs remain dominant for cold storage applications [5] Competitive Landscape - Seagate's price-to-sales ratio has risen to 3x, compared to Western Digital's typical 1x during market downturns, reflecting a premium valuation amid economic uncertainties [11] - Despite strong growth expectations, the stock's performance is susceptible to macroeconomic shocks and operational setbacks, with little margin for error [8]

Key Takeaways DELL's ISG revenues rose 12% in Q1 FY26, led by strong AI and traditional server demand. Servers and networking revenues climbed 16% to $6.32 billion, fueling ISG's overall growth. APEX platform and AI-optimized servers are central to DELL's multi-cloud and AI strategy.Dell Technologies (DELL) is expanding its cloud services through its infrastructure solutions and rich partner base that provides essential hardware and services that support cloud environments. Through its APEX platform, the ...

expert David. We have seen the Iranian regime which obviously at least for now its missiles appear to be a little impotent. That's good news.But they are still a risk on the cyber side, are they not. That's absolutely correct. Iran has been building up their cyber capabilities for for a number of years and they are on par with other nation states. Uh they very much leverage their cyber capabilities very similarly to what we do here in the United States with cyber command, a direct extension of military forc ...

Core Insights - Astera Labs (ALAB) is strategically positioned in next-generation AI and cloud infrastructure, showcasing a strong start to 2025 with a focus on technological leadership in interconnect standards [1][2] Group 1: Product and Technology Leadership - Astera Labs has established a first-mover advantage with a comprehensive suite of PCIe Gen 6 solutions, including retimers, smart gearboxes, optical modules, and fabric switches, tailored to meet the high performance and signal integrity requirements of modern AI racks [2] - The Leo CXL product family addresses the increasing demand for memory expansion and pooling, supporting both AI and general-purpose compute workloads as data center CPUs adopt CXL 2.0 and 3.0 [2][3] - The introduction of UALink 1.0 in early 2025 is expected to lead to commercial solutions by 2026, creating a scalable, open interconnect for AI accelerators and unlocking a multibillion-dollar opportunity [3] Group 2: Competitive Positioning - Compared to Marvell Technology, which has strengths in custom ASICs and broader market focus, Astera Labs benefits from tighter integration of hardware and software through its COSMOS suite, enhancing AI-specific system observability and fleet management [4] - Broadcom, while a scale leader in PCIe switches and networking silicon, offers less tailored solutions for AI rack-scale deployments, allowing Astera Labs to maintain agility in addressing emerging infrastructure needs like UALink and NVLink-based clustering [5] Group 3: Market Performance and Valuation - Astera Labs' shares have increased by 26.2% over the past three months, outperforming the industry growth of 10.2% and the sector's growth of 7.5%, while the S&P 500 index rose by 3.6% during the same period [6][8] - The company is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 19.19X, slightly below its one-year median of 19.86X, but remains overvalued compared to the industry [9]

Core Viewpoint - Oracle's stock has seen significant gains, increasing by 77% since its 52-week low in April, and is expected to continue its upward trajectory following the release of its latest quarterly report [1][2]. Financial Performance - Oracle reported $57.4 billion in annual revenue for fiscal 2025, reflecting a 9% increase in constant currency terms [5]. - The company anticipates revenue to reach at least $67 billion in fiscal 2026, representing a nearly 17% increase [5]. Growth Drivers - The demand for cloud infrastructure services, particularly for AI applications, is a major growth catalyst for Oracle [2][7]. - Oracle's remaining performance obligations (RPO) increased by 41% year-over-year to $138 billion, indicating strong future revenue potential [6]. - CEO Safra Catz projects that RPO will more than double in fiscal 2026, suggesting sustained growth [7]. AI and Infrastructure Projects - Oracle is a key partner in the $500 billion Stargate AI infrastructure project, which could significantly enhance its revenue pipeline [8]. - The company is experiencing high demand for cloud AI infrastructure, with one customer expressing interest in purchasing Oracle's entire cloud capacity [9]. Capacity Expansion - Oracle plans to build 30 dedicated data centers in fiscal 2026 and increase its MultiCloud data centers from 23 to 70 [10]. - The company forecasts Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) revenue to grow by 70% in fiscal 2026, following a 50% increase last year [11]. Valuation and Future Outlook - Oracle's non-GAAP net income for fiscal 2025 was $6.03 per share, an 8.5% increase from the previous year [12]. - The company expects capital expenses to reach $25 billion in fiscal 2026, which is a slower increase compared to the previous year [12]. - Oracle is projected to exceed its long-term revenue expectations, with anticipated annual bottom-line growth of over 20% through fiscal 2029 [14]. - The stock is currently trading at 31 times forward earnings, aligning with the Nasdaq-100 index's earnings multiple, indicating an attractive valuation for investors [15][16].

Core Viewpoint - Jabil Inc. (JBL) is expected to report year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 FY25, driven by strong demand in various sectors, including cloud and data center infrastructure, capital equipment, and digital commerce [2][11] Group 1: Financial Performance - Jabil is set to release its third-quarter fiscal 2025 results on June 17, with a consensus revenue estimate of $6.98 billion, indicating an increase from $6.77 billion in the same quarter last year [7] - The consensus estimate for earnings is $2.28, up from $1.89 reported in the prior-year quarter [7] - The company achieved an earnings surprise of 7.18% in the last reported quarter and has a trailing four-quarter earnings surprise average of 4.86% [1] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - Jabil formed a strategic collaboration with AVL to enhance its capabilities in developing next-generation vehicle technology, which is expected to improve its commercial prospects in the automotive and transportation industry [3] - The company expanded its photonics product portfolio by launching new transceivers capable of transferring data at speeds of up to 1.6 Terabits per second, targeting the demands of AI/machine learning workloads and high-performance computing [4] - Jabil's Badger Technologies division introduced the Digital Teammate solution platform, utilizing AI and robotics to enhance employee productivity and inventory management [5] Group 3: Segment Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the Regulated Industries segment is $2.98 billion, while revenues from the Intelligent Infrastructure segment are estimated at $2.79 billion, and net sales from Connected Living and Digital Commerce are projected to reach $1.19 billion [6]