President Trump expected to announce tonight that major tech companies are stepping up to cover the soaring electricity costs tied to America's AI boom. >> A White House official telling Fox that a growing number of tech firms have already signed a pledge, agreeing to pony up for the power plants and infrastructure needed to support massive new data centers, ensuring everyday Americans don't get stuck footing the bill. Joining us now, former EPA chief of staff during Trump's first term, Mandy Gunakara.Mandy ...

Federal Reserve Insights - The Federal Reserve shows little inclination towards rate cuts, with discussions leaning towards raising the target rate instead [1][2] - New regional Fed presidents believe tariffs are inflationary and oppose rate cuts, which has led to a contrary effect on inflation [2][3] Economic Growth and Deregulation - Anticipation exists that the Fed will not cut rates until a new chairman is appointed, with potential cuts expected in the second half of the year [3][5] - Significant fiscal policy changes, including 100% expensing for companies, are expected to drive investment and consumer aid, with tax refunds increasing over 20% year-over-year [4][5] Fed Models and Predictions - Current Fed economic models predict a growth rate of only 1.7%, which is viewed as unrealistic given the actual growth rate of around 4% [5][6] - The Fed's models do not account for the impact of deregulation and supply-side tax cuts, which are believed to lower inflation and stimulate economic growth [11][12] Future Economic Outlook - There is a belief that the economy could grow by 5% with a CPI inflation rate of less than 1% by 2026, especially if geopolitical tensions are resolved [15][17] - The combination of deregulation, tax reform, and energy dominance is seen as essential for enhancing productivity and achieving growth without inflation [17][18]

Market Overview - The S&P 500 decreased by 1.4% and the DOW by 1.1%, marking the worst week of 2026, with the tech-heavy NASDAQ down 2.3% due to policy chaos from the administration [1] - The market is experiencing volatility as the administration's tariff policies shift, impacting investor sentiment and market stability [1][11] Tariff Policy Changes - The Trump administration is considering rolling back steel and aluminum tariffs due to inflation concerns, which have moderated to 2.4% in January after a year of price fluctuations caused by these tariffs [2][3] - Shares of United States Steel Corp (X) fell by 3.4% and Alcoa (AA) by 2.8% in pre-market trading as renewed foreign competition becomes a possibility [2] Deregulation Efforts - The administration repealed the EPA's "Endangerment Finding," which was crucial for regulating greenhouse gases, benefiting the traditional energy sector but creating confusion for the auto industry [6][7] - Ford (F) and General Motors (GM) saw modest gains of 0.5% and 0.2% respectively, but the long-term implications of this deregulation remain uncertain as global markets move towards electric vehicles [6][8] Trade Deals and Global Relations - Recent trade announcements include a new framework with India, tariff reductions with Taiwan, and a deal with the U.K., but market reactions have been muted due to skepticism about the effectiveness of these frameworks [9][10] - The iShares MSCI Taiwan ETF saw a small increase of 0.9%, but concerns about a potential visit to China by the President may limit market optimism [10] Conclusion on Market Sentiment - The major indices are down, with the S&P 500 experiencing a 2.1% decline for the week, reflecting market uncertainty regarding the administration's policy changes [11] - Investors are left questioning the logic behind rolling back tariffs to combat inflation that the tariffs themselves helped create, highlighting the unpredictable nature of current market conditions [12]

Economic Performance - Strong job growth reported, particularly in the private sector, with production workers seeing pay increases and more hours worked [1][3] - Wage income proxy, calculated as hourly earnings times hours worked, increased to 5.6% at an annual rate over the past three months [3][4] - Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rose by 2.4% over the same period, resulting in a real wage increase of 3.2% [3][4] Productivity and Business Environment - Productivity is booming, contributing to profitability for businesses, with only a 1.1% increase in unit labor costs [4] - Factory construction is experiencing significant growth, linked to tariff-driven trade policies and immediate depreciation write-offs, leading to increased business capital investment [6] Energy Sector Developments - Demand for power is increasing, with deregulation in the oil, gas, and coal sectors potentially lowering average auto costs by approximately $2,400 [5] Economic Confidence - A Gallup poll indicates a rebound in economic confidence, with a 49-36% positive outlook [1]

Group 1: Tariff Costs and Impact - A Federal Reserve Bank of New York study found that nearly 90% of the cost of President Trump's 2025 tariffs was borne by US firms and consumers, contradicting claims that foreign countries were responsible for the costs [1][4][9] - In the first eight months of 2025, 94% of tariff costs were absorbed by American businesses and consumers, with this share decreasing to 92% in September and October, and further to 86% in November as foreign exporters began to take on more costs [1][2][9] Group 2: Revenue and Economic Effects - The US collected $30 billion in customs duties in January alone, leading to a fiscal year-to-date total of $124 billion, which represents a 304% increase from the same period a year earlier [10] - For the calendar year 2025, tariff collections reached $287 billion, nearly tripling the previous year's total, with projections indicating that levies will raise $171.1 billion in 2026, marking the largest tax increase since 1993 [10] Group 3: Domestic Investment and Supply Chain Diversification - Tariffs have reportedly spurred domestic investment and supply-chain diversification, with companies like Stellantis pledging $13 billion, Toyota $10 billion, and Apple announcing $600 billion in US investment [12] - China's share of US imports has decreased to below 10% in 2025, down from nearly 25% in 2017, as Mexico and Vietnam have gained market share, which advocates argue reduces dependence on a single foreign supplier [13]

Let's get uh right to our next guest here at Pebble Beach. David Solomon is chairman and CEO of Goldman Sachs. And you're killing it, David.It's been eight years. >> It's we're in the we're in the eighth year. Joe, >> I think there were a couple years where maybe you wouldn't have wanted to be out here at a at a at a golf tournament maybe.>> Yeah. I mean, I you know, there there there are times when I think it's great to be out here and there are times where you've got to have your head down and and focused ...

Group 1 - The current economic environment is characterized by geopolitical uncertainty and tariff policy, but corporate sentiment remains positive due to deregulation and potential for lower interest rates [1] - Consumer spending is showing consistent year-on-year growth, with increases observed weekly across debit and credit categories, indicating strong overall economic growth [2] - Credit performance remains robust, with no signs of systemic deterioration in consumer or commercial portfolios, and delinquency rates are low [3]

Summary of Goldman Sachs Group Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: The Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) - **Date**: February 10, 2026 - **Focus**: Strategic priorities, growth plans, macroeconomic outlook, and capital markets activity Key Points Strategic Priorities and Growth - Goldman Sachs has been executing a growth strategy since early 2020, focusing on enhancing client relationships and market share [2][3] - Significant investments have been made to improve client-centric services, leading to increased market share across various business lines [3][4] - The firm has consolidated its asset and wealth management businesses, now managing over $3.5 trillion, with a target to grow revenues in the high single digits and improve margins [5][6] Market Position and Opportunities - The firm is well-positioned for growth due to favorable macroeconomic conditions, including fiscal stimulus and a deregulatory environment [9][14] - Anticipated strong M&A and capital markets activity in 2026, with a constructive outlook for large-cap strategic M&A [16][20] - The firm expects to see a significant increase in advisory activity, with a backlog indicating higher M&A activity than the past five years [21][22] Capital Markets Outlook - The equity capital markets are expected to improve, although not to the peak levels of 2021, with a constructive IPO market anticipated [25][30] - Debt capital markets are also expected to see acceleration, driven by ongoing technology investments and capital needs [30][31] Wealth Management Focus - Goldman Sachs aims to capture more share in the ultra-high net worth segment, currently serving 15,000 of an estimated 100,000 ultra-wealthy individuals in the U.S. [43][44] - The firm is focused on scaling its wealth management platform and enhancing its product offerings through partnerships and tailored solutions [44][46] Regulatory Environment - The current regulatory environment is seen as favorable for expanding asset and wealth management, with expectations of support for such growth from regulators [72][73] - The firm is cautious about maintaining its cultural ethos while pursuing inorganic growth opportunities [67][68] Risk Management and Economic Outlook - Goldman Sachs maintains a strong risk management culture, preparing for potential economic headwinds while remaining optimistic about growth [11][12] - The macroeconomic setup is viewed positively, with expectations for constructive capital markets and M&A activity in 2026 [14][16] Conclusion - Goldman Sachs is positioned for growth, with a focus on enhancing client relationships, expanding its asset and wealth management capabilities, and capitalizing on favorable macroeconomic conditions [80][81] - The firm is committed to delivering value to shareholders through strategic growth and effective capital deployment [81]

Market Reactions - The yield on the 10-year Treasury is up 1.5 basis points, currently at 4.28% [1] - Markets are responding to President Trump's nomination of Kevin Worsh for the Federal Reserve chairman position [1] Federal Reserve Insights - Kevin Worsh criticized the Fed's track record on economic growth and inflation forecasting, suggesting that until there is a regime change at the Fed, old mistakes will persist [1] - Federal Reserve Governor Steven Myer supports Worsh's nomination, highlighting his respect in the financial industry and among policymakers [1] Interest Rate Expectations - The market anticipates at least two rate cuts from the Fed in 2026, with some expecting three [1] - Myer believes that more than a point of interest rate cuts is necessary, arguing that current inflation data may be distorted [1][2] Deregulation and Economic Growth - Myer emphasizes that deregulation can enhance productivity and reduce inflation by easing supply chain constraints [2][3] - He quantifies that continued deregulation could lower inflation by about 0.5% annually, presenting a significant disinflationary force [5] Producer Price Index (PPI) Concerns - The December producer price index showed a monthly gain of 0.5%, with a year-over-year increase of 3% [6] - Myer notes that the Fed targets consumer prices rather than PPI, which can distort the perception of inflation [8][9] Balance Sheet Management - Myer advocates for further reduction of the Fed's balance sheet, contingent on regulatory reforms to reduce demand for reserves [22][23] - He expresses optimism about the potential for balance sheet reduction under Worsh's leadership, linking it to a deregulatory agenda [23] Employment and Technological Change - Myer acknowledges the impact of AI on job displacement but believes new job categories will emerge, similar to past technological advancements [19][20] - He asserts that the Fed has a role in accommodating the transition to new job opportunities created by innovation [19]

Economic Growth and Policy - The current economic agenda is focused on pro-growth measures, including tax cuts for consumers and businesses, lower interest rates, and significant deregulation aimed at reversing the regulatory framework established after the global financial crisis [3][4]. - The budget deficit has reportedly decreased by approximately $90 billion compared to January of the previous year, indicating a period of growth that is generating higher tax revenues [4]. Manufacturing Sector Performance - Recent manufacturing data shows a notable improvement, with the Institute for Supply Managers reporting strong new orders and production figures, suggesting a recovery in the manufacturing sector [1][10]. - The negative impact of tariffs on manufacturing has diminished, leading to a resurgence in growth within the sector, aided by immediate expensing of capital equipment [10]. Future Economic Outlook - There is optimism for GDP growth in 2026, with expectations of a growth spurt occurring in the latter half of 2025 as well [5][7]. - The appointment of a new Federal Reserve chairman is anticipated to positively influence economic conditions, with a focus on achieving high growth alongside low inflation [8].