Summary of the Asia Pacific Summit 2025 Conference Call Industry and Company Focus - **Industry**: Global Economics and Investment Strategies - **Company**: Morgan Stanley Key Points and Arguments Economic Outlook - Morgan Stanley's 2026 outlook anticipates moderate global growth and continued disinflation as the base case, with the US being a critical swing factor due to resilient consumption and AI-driven productivity [1][8] - Asia's real GDP growth is projected to accelerate from 4.3% in Q4 2025 to 4.7% in Q4 2026, driven by non-tech exports, improved capital expenditure, labor market conditions, and consumption [1][8] China’s Economic Policy - China's reflation is expected to be gradual, with modestly expansionary and supply-centric policies, including anticipated rate and RRR cuts [1][8] - Spending will focus on tech localization and infrastructure, with slow progress on rebalancing and social welfare support [1][8] Investment Recommendations - Strong performance is expected in risk assets, particularly US and Japanese equities, due to favorable policy and AI-driven fundamentals [1][8] - In Asia, a preference for Japan over emerging markets is recommended for 2026, with Chinese equities likely stabilizing after strong returns in 2025 [1][8] Corporate Themes and Trends - The conference will address four major global themes: Tech Diffusion, Multipolar World, Future of Energy, and Longevity [2] - Ongoing trends in Asia include China's Emerging Frontier, The New India, Singapore at 60, and Korea Renaissance [2] Keynote Speakers - Notable speakers include Chee Hong Tat (Minister for National Development, Singapore), Teo Chee Hean (Chairman, Temasek Holdings), and Sebastian Thrun (Founder of Google X and Waymo) [3] Market Positioning - Morgan Stanley recommends tight market-risk positions versus benchmarks, indicating a cautious approach to market volatility [1][8] - The firm highlights a preference for Japan within its coverage universe, suggesting a strategic focus on Japanese equities [1][12] Earnings Forecasts - The forecast for TOPIX EPS for fiscal years 2025, 2026, and 2027 is ¥185 (+9%), ¥198 (+7%), and ¥225 (+14%) respectively, indicating a positive outlook for Japanese equities [13] Asset Allocation - Morgan Stanley's asset allocation recommendations include a focus on equities, particularly in the US, Europe, Japan, and emerging markets, while maintaining a cautious stance on government bonds and credit [9] Other Important Content - The conference will feature various panel discussions and presentations from Morgan Stanley analysts across different regions, providing insights into global economic trends and investment strategies [3][14][15] - The agenda includes discussions on navigating post-tariff growth divergence, the role of AI in various sectors, and the implications of geopolitical dynamics on investment strategies [14][15][17][18]

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Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The focus is on the Asia Pacific region, emphasizing competitive reinvention and corporate strategies to adapt to emerging technologies and multipolar supply chains [1][4][8]. Core Themes and Insights - Asia is undergoing significant transformation in growth and corporate strategies, with a focus on capital market reforms to enhance competitiveness [1][4]. - The updated Asia Thematic Focus List includes 25 stocks identified as conviction winners, projecting a three-year EPS CAGR of 16.1% for 2025-27, with a forward P/E of 22.6x and a PEG of 1.4x [7][8]. Sub-Thematic Analysis - **Top Sub-Themes**: - China's AI Path ranks highest, followed by the Diabesity Ecosystem and AI & Healthcare [7][8]. - The thematic fund flow and stock mapping have been deepened, quantifying and ranking growth, valuations, and performance across sub-themes [7][8]. Financial Metrics - The Asia Thematic Focus List is trading at a forward P/E of 22.6x and a PEG of 1.4x, indicating a robust growth outlook [7][8]. - Specific sub-themes show promising growth metrics: - **Critical Minerals**: 19.9% sales growth CAGR and 50.0% EPS growth [28]. - **Semiconductor Localization**: 23.2% sales growth CAGR and 32.2% EPS growth [30]. - **AI & Tech Diffusion**: 11.0% sales growth CAGR and 18.8% EPS growth [30]. Thematic Fund Flows - APAC-domiciled thematic funds' AUM reached $191 billion as of September 2025, with significant growth in "Robotics + Automation" and "Artificial Intelligence + Big Data" funds [20][22]. - Digital Economy thematic funds recorded the highest fund flows in Q3 2025 [25]. Valuation Insights - The report highlights that while some sub-themes exhibit strong revenue and EPS growth prospects, they also face high valuations [28]. - The **Future of Energy** sub-themes show lower growth outlooks but offer more valuation support [31]. Additional Observations - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding the competitive landscape and the need for companies to adapt to the evolving market dynamics in Asia [1][4]. - The analysis includes a ranking of sub-themes based on growth, valuation, and risk-reward profiles, providing a comprehensive view of investment opportunities [33][34]. Conclusion - The Asia Pacific region is positioned for significant growth driven by technological advancements and strategic reforms, with various sub-themes offering attractive investment opportunities despite varying valuation metrics [1][4][8].

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November 10, 2025 05:30 AM GMT Quantitative Equity Research Thematic Tides: Quantifying the Next Big Waves Global Thematics, quantified: rules-based, implementable portfolios across AI & Tech Diffusion, Future of Energy, Longevity, Multipolar World. We connect performance, factors, revisions, estimates, valuation, ownership. Standouts: Defense, AI Adopters, Powering AI, Aging Population. M Key Takeaways What this report does. We extend the Morgan Stanley Research division's Key Themes with a rules-based qua ...

Core Insights - Manulife has introduced a refreshed strategy aimed at becoming the number one choice for customers, supported by five new strategic priorities [1][6] - The company is well-positioned to thrive amid evolving global financial landscapes characterized by market volatility and increasing digital expectations [2][3] Strategic Priorities - **Winning Team and Culture**: Focus on strengthening performance, inclusion, and continuous learning to attract top talent [6] - **Diversified Business Portfolio**: Emphasis on growth opportunities in Asia and the U.S., while also investing in the Canadian market [6] - **Empowering Customer Health, Wealth, and Longevity**: Aiming to provide a differentiated value proposition through product innovation and partnerships [6] - **AI-Powered Organization**: Leveraging AI to enhance efficiency and customer experiences [6] - **Superior Distribution**: Optimizing channels to facilitate easier transactions for customers and advisors [6] Financial Targets - Manulife aims for a core return on equity (ROE) of over 18% by 2027, with cumulative remittances exceeding $22 billion from 2024 to 2027, and a core earnings contribution from Asia of 50% [4] Growth Opportunities - The company is launching the Manulife Longevity Institute with a $350 million commitment through 2030 to address gaps in retirement and health protection [8] - Manulife plans to expand its global footprint into India through a joint venture with Mahindra, enhancing its presence in key markets [9][10] Leadership Statements - The CEO emphasized the growth potential across the portfolio and the commitment to long-term value creation for stakeholders [5][11]

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