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TACK Portfolio Manager Commentary
Etftrends· 2026-02-25 16:30
name used by Cary Street Partners LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC; Cary Street Partners Investment Advisory LLC and Cary Street Partners Asset Management LLC, registered investment advisers. Cary Street Partners is the Adviser for the Fairlead Tactical Sector ETF (TACK). For full disclaimers and disclosures, please view Disclaimers and Disclosures.Fairlead Strategies, LLC is a registered investment adviser and the Subadviser for TACK. For access to the full disclaimers and disclosures for Fairlead Strategies, includ ...
The Big 3: MSFT, CAT, RIVN
Youtube· 2026-02-24 18:00
Market Overview - The current market is experiencing mixed signals, with consumer confidence and inflation presenting challenges, despite inflation being at 3.4% [2][3] - There is ongoing concern regarding high retail prices and unresolved tariff issues, along with a weakening dollar [3] Company Analysis: Microsoft - Microsoft is making a significant investment of $50 billion in the AI sector, positioning itself as a leader in this space [6][7] - The stock has seen a substantial run-up in the past 90 days but is currently experiencing a correction, which presents a buying opportunity [6][7] - It is suggested that investors could see a return of 10% to 12% over a 12 to 18-month period, making it a valuable addition to portfolios [7][8] Company Analysis: Caterpillar - Caterpillar has shown impressive growth, with a 127% increase over the past year and over 30% year-to-date [18] - The company is expected to benefit from AI advancements in the heavy machinery sector, with potential returns of 8% to 10% [16][17] - The stock is viewed as uniquely positioned to maintain market share against competitors as AI adoption increases [17] Company Analysis: Rivian - Rivian is currently in a challenging position within the EV sector, but there is potential for an 8% to 10% upside with strategic entry points [26][27] - The company is focusing on lower-tier vehicles, which is expected to drive growth and improve market share by 2027 [27] - Investors are advised to accumulate shares gradually rather than making large investments, as Rivian could enhance overall portfolio performance [28][29] Technical Analysis: Microsoft - The stock is near significant low points, with key price levels identified at 354.56 and 368, indicating potential support and resistance [11][12] - A falling wedge pattern suggests a possible bullish setup, although the trend remains uncertain [12][13] - The RSI indicates oversold conditions, which may present a buying opportunity if momentum shifts [13] Technical Analysis: Caterpillar - Caterpillar's stock has broken out of an upward sloping channel, with current trading between 743 and 775 [20][21] - A bullish breakout is anticipated if the price exceeds previous highs after a consolidation phase [21][22] - Key support levels are identified at 762 and 724, with a warning sign of declining momentum at current highs [22][23] Technical Analysis: Rivian - Rivian's stock has experienced significant volatility, with a notable drop from highs near 18.25 to a current level around 15.23 [31][36] - Key support levels are identified at 14 and 13.25, while resistance levels are at 15.75 and 17 [33][34] - The RSI is trending upward, indicating potential for recovery if the stock breaks above resistance levels [34][35]
TheStreet Pro Analysts Say, “It’s a Stock Picker’s Market – Here Are 4 to Consider”
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-19 12:17
Market Overview - The current market is characterized by high volatility, with significant sector rotation occurring, leading to a divergence in stock performance compared to previous years [1] - The so-called "Magnificent 7" stocks, including NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Tesla, have underperformed in 2026, with declines of 18% and 9% respectively, while Consumer Defensive stocks like Walmart, Pepsi, and Clorox have seen substantial gains [1] Sector Performance - Consumer Defensive stocks are performing exceptionally well, with Walmart, Pepsi, and Clorox up 16%, 13%, and 21% respectively [1] - Industrial stocks are also showing positive performance, with Caterpillar up more than 30% [1] Investment Strategy - The current market environment is described as a stock picker's market, emphasizing the need for careful selection of investments rather than relying on index-heavy stocks [2][3] - TheStreet Pro offers trade ideas and research tools to assist investors in building a successful portfolio [3] Company Insights - McDonald's has shown a long-term return of over 850% in the last 20 years, with an 8% increase in 2026, indicating a potential for further growth [6] - The stock of McDonald's is in a long-term uptrend and has recently broken out of a consolidation phase, reaching a new all-time high [6]
Alphabet's new AI music model could lure content creators from rivals
CNBC· 2026-02-18 20:11
Market Overview - The S&P 500 is attempting its first three-session win streak since late January, with markets solidly higher [1] - Sector rotation is a significant theme, with investments increasing in energy, technology, consumer discretionary, materials, and financials, while real estate, utilities, and consumer staples are being sold off [1] Economic Indicators - New orders for manufactured durable goods, excluding transportation, increased by 0.9% in December, surpassing estimates of a 0.3% increase [1] - January industrial production rose by 0.7% month over month, exceeding forecasts of a 0.4% increase [1] Company Developments - Alphabet announced the launch of Lyria 3, a generative music model available in its Gemini app, allowing users to create custom 30-second tracks [1] - The introduction of Lyria 3 is expected to enhance the quality of soundtracks for YouTube Shorts, potentially increasing creator engagement on the platform compared to competitors like TikTok and Instagram Reels [1] Upcoming Earnings Reports - Companies reporting quarterly earnings after the market close include DoorDash, Carvana, Occidental Petroleum, Figma, Blue Owl Capital, and Molson Coors Beverage [1] - Before the market opens on Thursday, Walmart, Quanta Services, Deere, and Wayfair are scheduled to report their results [1]
Why Energy Stocks Are Rallying While Oil Prices Stall - Chevron (NYSE:CVX), State Street Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (ARCA:XLE)
Benzinga· 2026-02-17 19:36
Core Viewpoint - Energy stocks are experiencing a rally despite stable crude oil prices, driven by corporate fundamentals, sector rotation, and investor sentiment favoring cash-flow-rich energy companies [1][14]. Group 1: Strong Earnings and Corporate Fundamentals - Integrated energy firms benefit from diversified revenue streams, with refining and chemical operations remaining profitable, which insulates balance sheets from oil price fluctuations [2]. - Companies have shown disciplined capital management, prioritizing shareholder returns over volume growth, which resonates with investors seeking consistency [5]. Group 2: Investor Behavior and Market Dynamics - There is a market rotation towards sectors with strong free cash flow and attractive dividends, with energy stocks fitting this profile [3][4]. - High dividend yields and share buyback programs are appealing in a high-interest-rate environment, attracting investors seeking income [4]. Group 3: Geopolitical and Supply Factors - Geopolitical risks, such as potential supply disruptions from the Middle East or Russia, add a risk premium to energy equities, making them more attractive to investors [6]. - Companies with exposure to natural gas and LNG exports are gaining attention due to rising global demand, particularly in Europe and Asia [7]. Group 4: Technical Strength and Investor Sentiment - Investor psychology views energy equities as a hedge against inflation and a defensive play amid economic uncertainty, supporting stock prices even without immediate commodity price catalysts [8]. - The current environment favors companies that generate consistent cash flow and return capital to shareholders, highlighting the importance of fundamentals in stock performance [15].
3 Industrial Stocks Making New All-Time Highs
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-14 13:07
Group 1: Industry Overview - The industrial sector is experiencing growth driven by increased demand for infrastructure, particularly in semiconductors, data centers, and aerospace, supported by rising U.S. defense spending [1] - The manufacturing sector is showing signs of recovery, with the ISM Manufacturing PMI rising to 52.6, indicating expansion and the fastest growth in new orders since 2022 [3] - The industrial sector is benefiting from long-term tailwinds such as lower interest rates, a rebounding manufacturing cycle, and the adoption of agentic AI [6] Group 2: Company Performances - Illinois Tool Works operates with an 80/20 business model across seven divisions, focusing on high-value clients to mitigate cyclical risks [7] - Honeywell plans to spin off its Aerospace division to concentrate on industrial automation, with the split expected to be completed by Q3 2026 [9] - Deere and Company has transformed into a tech-oriented firm with high-margin revenue from automated farming equipment, reporting a 14% year-over-year revenue increase to $12.39 billion [12][13] Group 3: Stock Performance - The Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund has gained nearly 13% year-to-date, indicating a breakout in the industrials sector amidst a market rotation away from tech stocks [4] - Illinois Tool Works, Honeywell, and Deere are all hitting new all-time highs, reflecting positive market sentiment and optimistic forecasts for 2026 [5] - Deere's stock has reached a new all-time high, driven by strong technical trends and investor confidence despite potential tariff headwinds [15]
MRNA Starts 2026 Volatile: Examining Rally & Pullback, Outsized Options
Youtube· 2026-02-13 21:13
Company Overview - Madna's shares have rallied after the company narrowed its fourth quarter loss and reiterated its 10% revenue growth target, despite a 30% year-over-year revenue decline for the quarter [1] - The company anticipates a revenue rebound in 2026, with revenue expected to be split equally between the US and international markets [1] Market Performance - Madna's stock has increased by approximately 32% over the past 52 weeks, outperforming the healthcare sector, which has faced challenges recently [3] - The stock moved 5% higher in a recent trading session, indicating positive market sentiment despite previous pullbacks [2] Sector Analysis - The healthcare sector is experiencing a rotation away from high-flying technology and AI stocks towards more defensive sectors like healthcare and consumer staples [4] - However, the healthcare sector is facing government and legislative risks, particularly related to public healthcare spending and vaccine regulations [5][6] Analyst Insights - Analysts have adjusted their price targets for Madna, with RBC raising its target from $25 to $30 and Jefferies from $30 to $37, suggesting a more favorable outlook [7] Technical Analysis - Recent trading activity shows that Madna's stock has not yet surpassed previous relative highs near $45, with notable highs around $48 and $52 [8] - The stock is currently closing above its shorter-term moving averages, indicating potential upward momentum [9] - Significant volume activity is noted between price levels of $33 to $35, with current trading closer to $40 to $42, suggesting potential for rapid price movements [11] Options Activity - Madna has seen outsized options activity, with a volume five times the 5-day average, totaling about 170,000 options traded [12][13] - The expected price move for February is approximately ±8.2%, indicating market volatility [14] - A notable bullish trade involved 14,400 call options at a $47 strike price, reflecting positive sentiment among traders [15]
Jobs are up, but hiring is slowing - here’s what’s really going on
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-12 11:01
Welcome to Stocks and Translation, Yahoo Finance's video podcast that cuts through the market mayhem, the noisy numbers, and the hyperbole to give you the information you need to make the right trade for your portfolio. I'm Jared Blicker, your host. And with me is my co-host, Yahoo Finance senior reporter Brooke De Palma, who's here to connect the dots and to be that bridge between Wall Street and Main Street.Today, we're honing in on the job market, but also keeping a focus on markets as well. Our phrase o ...
Stocks Mixed on Sector Rotation out of Tech
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-04 15:03
Market Overview - The markets are focusing on earnings, economic news, and the passage of a spending bill to end the partial government shutdown [1] - The January ISM services index is expected to fall by -0.3 to 53.5, while initial weekly unemployment claims are anticipated to increase by 3,000 to 212,000 [1] - The University of Michigan January consumer sentiment index is expected to decline by -1.4 to 55.0 [1] Mortgage Applications - US MBA mortgage applications fell by -8.9% in the week ended January 30, with the purchase mortgage sub-index down -14.4% and the refinancing sub-index down -4.7% [2] - The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage decreased by -3 basis points to 6.21% from 6.24% in the prior week [2] Treasury and Government Funding - The Treasury announced a quarterly refunding totaling $125 billion in sales of T-notes and T-bonds, meeting expectations [3] - The funding package only covers the Department of Homeland Security through February 13, while the rest of the government is funded through September 30 [3] Labor Market - The January ADP employment change rose by +22,000, which is below expectations of +45,000, indicating signs of weakness in the US labor market [4] Stock Market Performance - Stock indexes are wavering due to mixed corporate earnings results and a rotation out of technology stocks [5] - The S&P 500 Index is up +0.08%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index is up +0.54%, while the Nasdaq 100 Index is down -0.56% [6] Earnings Season - Q4 earnings season is in full swing, with 150 S&P 500 companies scheduled to report earnings this week [7] - 80% of the 195 S&P 500 companies that have reported so far have beaten expectations, with S&P earnings growth expected to climb by +8.4% in Q4 [7] International Markets - Overseas stock markets are mixed, with the Euro Stoxx 50 up by +0.11% and China's Shanghai Composite up by +0.85% [8] Interest Rates - March 10-year T-notes are down by -3 ticks, with the 10-year T-note yield up +1.4 basis points to 4.280% [9] - The Eurozone January core CPI was revised downward by -0.1 to +2.2% year-over-year, the smallest increase in four years [10] Company-Specific Movements - Super Micro Computer is up more than +15% after forecasting Q3 net sales of at least $12.30 billion, exceeding the consensus of $10.25 billion [13] - Advanced Micro Devices is down more than -13% after forecasting Q1 sales of $9.8 billion, below projections of around $10 billion [17] - Eli Lilly is up more than +6% after reporting Q4 revenue of $19.29 billion, above the consensus of $18.01 billion [15]
This Wealth Manager Just Dumped Its Entire $3.5 Million Stake in the iShares Biotech ETF
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-27 16:45
The iShares Biotechnology ETF offers targeted access to the U.S. biotechnology sector, providing investors with a liquid vehicle to participate in the industry's growth and innovation. The fund's strategy emphasizes broad exposure to leading biotech companies, balancing established names with emerging innovators. Its scale and index-based approach enable efficient sector allocation for portfolio managers seeking specialized healthcare exposure.The fund's portfolio consists primarily of equity securities of ...