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Molson Coors(TAP) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-05 13:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is reducing its top and bottom line guidance for 2025, now expecting net sales revenue to decline by 3% to 4% on a constant currency basis, compared to a previous low single-digit decline [11] - Underlying pretax income is now expected to decline by 12% to 15% on a constant currency basis, a significant change from the previous low single-digit decline [12] - Underlying earnings per share are anticipated to decline by 7% to 10%, contrasting with earlier expectations of low single-digit growth [12] - The company reaffirms its underlying free cash flow guidance of $1,300 million plus or minus 10% [36] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Core power brands, including Coors Light, Miller Lite, and Coors Banquet, maintained a 15.2% volume share of the industry for the first half of the year, up from 13.4% three years ago [15] - Banquet has shown strong performance with over 15% distribution growth in the first half of the year [16] - The company is experiencing a shift to value-seeking behaviors in the U.S., focusing on pack size rather than brand loyalty [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. beer industry is down approximately 5% year-to-date, which is worse than previously expected [9] - The Midwest premium pricing has increased by over 180% since January, significantly impacting costs [10] - In Canada, the Molson family of brands gained volume share despite a challenging industry backdrop [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to focus on premiumization in both beer and beyond beer categories, despite current market pressures [18] - The strategy includes leveraging capabilities and partnerships to support profitable growth and maintaining the health of core brands [24] - The company is committed to executing its share repurchase program and has repurchased 9.4% of its outstanding shares [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views the current softness in industry performance as cyclical, driven by macroeconomic factors [13] - Consumer sentiment in the U.S. remains low, particularly affecting lower-income and Hispanic consumers [6][7] - Management believes that consumer confidence will eventually improve, although the timing is uncertain [42] Other Important Information - The company has raised its quarterly dividend each year since 2021 and continues to execute its share repurchase plan [25] - The integration of Fever Tree is progressing well, and it is expected to contribute positively to brand mix in the Americas [23] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: Can you unpack the updated guidance and the profit headwinds, specifically regarding aluminum and the Midwest premium? - Management indicated that the industry did not improve as expected, and the dramatic increase in the Midwest premium significantly impacted Q2 and future assumptions [39][40] Question: Have you seen any increases from the Midwest premium in Q2, or is that expected in the back half of the year? - Management confirmed that the Midwest premium increased unexpectedly, with an anticipated impact of $20 million to $35 million for the remainder of the year [58] Question: What is the company's confidence level regarding the cyclical nature of the current industry decline? - Management maintains that the current decline is cyclical and believes consumer confidence will eventually recover [42][56] Question: How is the company addressing the competitive environment and potential changes in marketing strategies? - Management is focusing on driving brand campaigns and leveraging partnerships to improve market share, particularly in the on-premise channel [96] Question: Can you provide insights on the volume deleverage impact for the second half of the year? - Management expects to reverse a volume deleverage of approximately 300,000 hectoliters in the second half, mainly in Q3 [103]
Molson Coors(TAP) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-05 13:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is reducing its top and bottom line guidance for 2025, now expecting net sales revenue to decline by 3% to 4% on a constant currency basis, compared to a previous low single-digit decline expectation [10][12] - Underlying pretax income is now expected to decline by 12% to 15% on a constant currency basis, a significant change from the previous low single-digit decline forecast [12] - Underlying earnings per share are anticipated to decline by 7% to 10%, contrasting with earlier expectations of low single-digit growth [12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The U.S. beer industry is experiencing a decline of approximately 5% in the second quarter, which is worse than previously expected [8][10] - Core power brands, including Coors Light, Miller Lite, and Coors Banquet, have retained a 15.2% volume share of the industry for the first half of the year, up from 13.4% three years ago [15] - Banquet has shown strong performance, gaining over 15% distribution in the first half of the year and being a top five volume share growth brand [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer sentiment in the U.S. remains low, particularly affecting lower-income and Hispanic consumers, leading to reduced consumption trends [5][6] - In Canada, the Molson family of brands has posted volume share gains despite a challenging industry backdrop [17] - The UK market remains highly competitive, with brands like Carling and Ajusco maintaining segment leadership despite regional softness [17] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on premiumization across its portfolio, with plans to develop both beer and beyond beer products [18][20] - The strategy includes leveraging capabilities and partnerships to support profitable growth, particularly in the U.S. market [14] - The company aims to maintain the health of its core power brands while navigating macroeconomic pressures [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management views the current softness in industry performance as cyclical, driven by macroeconomic factors, and expects consumer confidence to eventually improve [13][44] - The company is committed to protecting and growing its underlying free cash flow while making prudent capital allocation decisions [37] - Management acknowledges the challenges posed by the Midwest premium pricing, which has increased significantly, impacting cost structures [9][12] Other Important Information - The company has executed a share repurchase program, repurchasing 9.4% of its outstanding shares since its announcement in October 2023 [27] - The company has raised its quarterly dividend each year since 2021, reflecting confidence in its financial health [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you unpack the updated guidance and profit headwinds? - Management indicated that the industry did not improve as expected, with a significant increase in the Midwest premium impacting guidance negatively [40][41] Question: What is the impact of Midwest Premium increases? - The company expects an incremental impact of $20 million to $35 million from the Midwest premium for the balance of the year, with a full-year impact of $40 million to $55 million [55] Question: Are there signs of improvement in consumer confidence? - Management noted that overall consumer confidence has not improved, with value-conscious behaviors continuing among consumers [61][62] Question: How is the company addressing competitive pressures? - The company is focusing on marketing strategies for key brands and leveraging partnerships to enhance market presence [91] Question: What are the drivers of margin contraction? - Management highlighted that volume deleverage, higher COGS due to premiumization, and Midwest premium costs are significant factors affecting margins [75]
Diageo(DEO) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-05 09:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is planning for a more cautious consumer environment in the US for fiscal 2026, indicating a focus on managing inventory levels and achieving normalized stock levels [10][11] - Organic sales guidance for fiscal 2026 is expected to be similar to fiscal 2025, with a potential acceleration in the second half of the year [15][16] - The company anticipates a $50 million reduction in starting EBIT due to disposals, with additional impacts from the sale of Ghana and Seychelles breweries [21][22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The spirits segment in Europe has faced pressure, but the company views this as an opportunity to better control outcomes by focusing on local markets and consumer dynamics [11][12] - The company is focusing on driving growth in key brands such as Don Julio and Guinness, despite organic sales declines [19][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The US market is expected to be cautious, with a stretched consumer wallet impacting sales [28][29] - The company is optimistic about the potential for growth in the Asia Pacific region, particularly in China, despite recent challenges [30][31] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is reorganizing to capture growth opportunities by being more locally focused and occasion-led in various markets [12][13] - There is a clear strategy to enhance commercial execution at the point of sale, with a focus on training and upskilling resources [17][18] - The company is committed to premiumization and expanding its portfolio, particularly in the tequila segment [40][41] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the current macroeconomic pressures but believes that moderation trends in consumer behavior present new opportunities [65][66] - The company remains confident in the long-term growth potential of the US spirits market despite short-term pressures [79][80] Other Important Information - The company is implementing changes to its currency hedging strategy to reduce volatility and align hedge targets with operating profit exposure [36][37] - The company plans to reinvest 50% of cost savings into better commercial execution and digitization efforts [70][71] Q&A Session Summary Question: US depletion outlook and inventory message - Management indicated that inventory levels have normalized and they are planning for a cautious consumer environment in the US for fiscal 2026 [10][11] Question: Investment in Europe and spirits portfolio - Management acknowledged the pressure on the spirits portfolio in Europe but sees it as an opportunity for better control and growth [11][12] Question: Organic sales guidance for fiscal 2026 - Management expects organic sales guidance for fiscal 2026 to be similar to fiscal 2025, with potential acceleration in the second half [15][16] Question: Impact of disposals on EBIT - Management confirmed a $50 million reduction in starting EBIT due to disposals, with additional impacts from recent sales [21][22] Question: Focus on moderation trends - Management noted that moderation trends are here to stay and the company is looking to tap into this with a broader range of products [65][66] Question: Reinvestment of cost savings - Management stated that 50% of cost savings will be reinvested into commercial execution and digitization efforts [70][71]
Diageo(DEO) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-05 09:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is planning for a more cautious consumer environment in the US for fiscal 2026, indicating a focus on managing inventory levels and achieving normalized stock levels [8][9] - Organic sales guidance for fiscal 2026 is expected to be similar to fiscal 2025, with a potential acceleration in the second half of the year [14][30] - The company anticipates a $50 million reduction in starting EBIT due to disposals, with additional impacts from recent sales in Ghana and Seychelles [22][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The spirits segment in Europe has faced pressure, but the company sees this as an opportunity to better control outcomes by focusing on local markets and consumer dynamics [9][10] - The company is focusing on driving growth in key brands such as Don Julio, Guinness, and Johnny Walker, despite organic sales declines [20][30] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The US market is expected to be cautious, with consumer wallets still stretched, impacting sales performance [28][30] - In Asia Pacific, particularly China, the market has been more challenged outside of the Chinese New Year, but the company is optimistic about future growth opportunities [29][30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is reorganizing to capture growth opportunities by being more locally focused and occasion-led, particularly in Southern Europe [10][11] - There is a clear strategy to enhance commercial execution at the point of sale, with a focus on training and upskilling resources [18][47] - The company is committed to premiumization and expanding its portfolio, particularly in the tequila segment [40][42] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges the current macroeconomic pressures but believes that moderation trends in consumer behavior present new growth opportunities [62][70] - The company is focused on balancing growth across its portfolio, with an emphasis on both volume and price mix [56][59] Other Important Information - The company is actively managing its portfolio, with ongoing disposals of non-core assets while maintaining a focus on core brands [86] - There is a commitment to reinvest 50% of cost savings into better commercial execution and digitization efforts [70][71] Q&A Session Summary Question: US depletion outlook and inventory message - Management indicated that inventory levels have normalized and they are planning for a cautious consumer environment in the US for fiscal 2026 [8][9] Question: Organic sales guidance for fiscal 2026 - Management expressed confidence in achieving a similar organic sales performance to fiscal 2025, with expectations for acceleration in the second half [14][30] Question: Impact of disposals on EBIT - Management confirmed a $50 million reduction in EBIT due to disposals, with additional impacts from recent sales in Ghana and Seychelles [22][30] Question: Focus on the Astral brand in the US - Management sees significant growth potential for the Astral brand in the super premium segment and is optimistic about its scaling [40][41] Question: Changes in US route to market - Management highlighted the importance of both increasing the number of salespeople and enhancing their effectiveness through training and focused execution [46][47] Question: Structural headwinds and moderation trends - Management acknowledged the ongoing moderation trend but emphasized the company's ability to innovate and adapt to consumer preferences [62][70]
Diageo to Report FY25 Results: What Surprise Awaits Investors?
ZACKS· 2025-08-04 17:31
Core Insights - Diageo plc is set to release preliminary results for fiscal 2025 on August 5, with expectations of declines in both top and bottom lines, as well as lower organic operating profit in the first half of fiscal 2025 [1][7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for quarterly earnings is $6.75 per share, reflecting a 2.3% decline from the previous year's quarter, while revenues are expected to rise by 0.7% to $20.4 billion [2][3] Group 1: Financial Performance - Diageo's price-led strategy is central to its premiumization approach, allowing for consistent revenue growth despite softer consumer demand [3][4] - The company has reported strong organic net sales growth and positive price/mix contributions, particularly in higher-end offerings like tequila and Guinness [4][10] - The consensus estimate for quarterly revenues is $20.4 billion, indicating a slight increase from the prior year [2] Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - Diageo is refining its productivity program to enhance efficiency and achieve sustainable growth, focusing on balancing cost savings with strategic reinvestment in marketing and brand activation [3][5] - The introduction of the Accelerate program aims to set clear cash delivery goals and improve operational excellence and cost efficiency [5][10] Group 3: Regional Insights - The Asia-Pacific region has shown signs of softness due to downtrading and an unfavorable market mix, highlighting the sensitivity of premiumization efforts to regional economic conditions [6] - Management has indicated that near-term industry pressures are largely driven by macroeconomic factors, affecting the timing and pace of recovery [7]
Molson Coors Q2 Earnings Approaching: Will It Surprise Investors?
ZACKS· 2025-08-04 17:11
Core Viewpoint - Molson Coors Beverage Company (TAP) is anticipated to report declines in both revenue and earnings for Q2 2025, with revenues expected at $3.1 billion, reflecting a 3.8% decrease year-over-year, and earnings per share (EPS) projected at $1.83, indicating a 4.7% drop from the previous year [1][10]. Financial Performance - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TAP's revenues is $3.1 billion, down 3.8% from the prior year [1]. - The consensus estimate for earnings has decreased by one cent to $1.83 per share, representing a 4.7% decline year-over-year [1]. - In the last reported quarter, TAP experienced a negative earnings surprise of 37.5%, with an average trailing four-quarter earnings surprise of 0.2% [2]. Market Conditions - The company's Americas business is facing challenges due to tough macroeconomic conditions in the U.S., adversely affecting the U.S. beer industry and TAP's financial and brand volumes [4]. - Factors such as broader industry weakness, loss of contract brewing volume, and difficult year-over-year comparisons are expected to negatively impact Q2 performance [4]. - Macroeconomic headwinds, subdued consumer demand, and the exit from low-margin contract brewing arrangements are contributing to the company's struggles [5]. Strategic Initiatives - Despite the challenges, TAP's Acceleration Plan has supported market share gains through innovation and premiumization, with strategic investments in core brands likely cushioning performance [7]. - The company is focusing on revitalization by streamlining operations and reinvesting in brands, which has driven sustainable growth [7]. - TAP has enhanced its digital capabilities and expanded brewing and packaging operations in the U.K., driven by the success of its Madri brand [8]. Valuation Insights - TAP is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of 7.94X, which is below its five-year high of 15.57X and the industry average of 13.72X, indicating an attractive investment opportunity [11]. - Over the past three months, TAP shares have declined by 16.1%, compared to a 13.6% decline in the industry [12].
ABInBev(BUD) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-31 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - EBITDA increased by 6.5% with continued margin expansion [6][10] - Revenue per hectoliter growth accelerated by 4.9% [6] - Underlying EPS grew by 8.7% in U.S. Dollar terms and 17.4% in constant currency [10][25] - Free cash flow increased by $5 billion compared to last year [26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Non-alcohol beer portfolio revenues increased by 33% [8] - In the U.S., volumes grew by low teens in spirits-based drinks, led by Cutwater and Neutrol [12] - In Brazil, revenue declined by 1.9% due to volume performance, while EBITDA increased by 5.3% [13] - In Europe, volumes were flat, but revenue and EBITDA grew by mid-single digits [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, revenue declined by 6.2% with underperformance in volumes [16] - In Mexico, volumes grew by low single digits, outperforming the industry [12] - Revenue increased in 70% of markets, with top and bottom line growth across four of five operating regions [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to invest in mega brands and platforms, with $3.6 billion spent on sales and marketing in the first half of the year [18] - Focus on premiumization and innovation to drive growth in the beer category [20] - The company aims to optimize its business through disciplined revenue management and operational efficiency [25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management remains confident in the long-term growth of the industry despite short-term volume challenges [37][90] - The company is focused on improving execution in China and leveraging opportunities in the off-premise channel [66] - Management anticipates a recovery in consumer confidence and purchasing power, which could positively impact volumes [56] Other Important Information - The company has a diversified geographic footprint, which has proven to be a strength in delivering consistent results [11] - The net debt to EBITDA ratio improved to 3.27 times, reflecting progress in deleveraging [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Concerns about volume growth in fiscal 2025 - Management acknowledged the volume decline but emphasized confidence in long-term growth potential and the ability to navigate challenges [35][37] Question: Margin improvement sustainability - Management indicated that margin improvements are expected to be sustainable, driven by disciplined revenue management and operational efficiencies [39][40] Question: Key learnings from U.S. market performance - Management highlighted the importance of consistent long-term planning and investment in brands that align with consumer trends [46][48] Question: Consumer slowdown in Mexico and Brazil's volume decline - Management noted that while Mexico outperformed the industry, consumer confidence is lower than historical levels, impacting overall performance [55][56][68] Question: On-premise channel progress in China - Management reported that the on-premise channel remains weak, but there is growth in the off-premise channel, presenting opportunities for improvement [64][66] Question: Plans for category activation around FIFA 2026 - Management sees significant opportunities for category activation during major events like FIFA 2026 and the Winter Olympics, leveraging past experiences for better ROI [91][93]
BUD APAC(01876) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-31 04:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total volumes decreased by 6.1% and revenue decreased by 5.6% in the first half of 2025, while revenue per hectoliter increased by 0.5% [8][9] - Normalized EBITDA decreased by 8% and normalized EBITDA margin contracted by 82 basis points [8][9] - In the second quarter, total volumes and revenue decreased by 6.2% and 3.9% respectively [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, volumes decreased by 7.4% in the second quarter, with revenue decreasing by 6.4% and revenue per hectoliter increasing by 1.1% [10] - In South Korea, volumes were impacted by shipment phasing, but the company continued to gain market share in both on-premise and in-home channels [6][13] - In India, the Budweiser brand grew ahead of the industry, delivering double-digit revenue growth and significant EBITDA margin improvement [13][74] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In APAC West, volumes and revenue decreased by 6.9% and 7.1% respectively, with normalized EBITDA decreasing by 8.8% [9] - The contribution of the in-home channel to volumes and revenue increased, with premium and super premium portfolio weights exceeding those in the Chinese restaurant channel [11] - The Indian market showed strong growth momentum, with the premium and super premium portfolio growing by double digits [74] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company continues to invest in mega brands and focus on expanding the in-home channel while enhancing trade execution [5][20] - A channel expansion strategy is in place, focusing on premiumization in the in-home channel [11] - The company is committed to maintaining a sound balance sheet and disciplined financial practices [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted ongoing challenges in China, particularly in the restaurant channel, and expects volume headwinds to continue into the third quarter [20][57] - The company remains focused on enhancing execution of mega brands and expanding distribution in the in-home channel [58] - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential of the Indian market, driven by premiumization and favorable regulatory changes [74] Other Important Information - The company reported a net cash position of $2.4 billion as of June 30, 2025 [15] - An internal restructuring led to a non-underlying income tax of $53 million, which is expected to have no further impact on financials [83] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of anti-extravagance campaign on China - Management acknowledged a slowdown in the Chinese restaurant channel and indicated that the impact would continue into the third quarter [20] Question: Update on South Korea customs tax dispute and anti-dumping duties in Taiwan - The customs tax dispute is ongoing, and management is committed to defending the matter [25] - The impact of anti-dumping duties in Taiwan is still uncertain, and management is monitoring the situation closely [27] Question: Progress on inventory destocking in China - Management reported that inventory levels are lower than the previous year and expect a more normalized base by the end of the year [32] Question: In-home channel penetration and expansion plans - The in-home channel is expected to continue growing, with plans to enhance distribution and execution [39] Question: Market share strategy in Guangdong - Management emphasized the importance of expanding coverage in the in-home channel and improving execution to regain market share [49] Question: Core plus segment performance and competition - Management acknowledged competition pressures in the core plus segment and outlined plans to enhance brand power and distribution [61] Question: Margin outlook in South Korea - Management expressed confidence in future margin recovery driven by pricing, operational efficiencies, and premiumization [71] Question: Trends in the Indian market - The Indian market is experiencing strong growth, particularly in the premium segment, with favorable regulatory changes expected to further boost growth [74]
BUD APAC(01876) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-31 04:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total volumes decreased by 6.1% and revenue decreased by 5.6% in the first half of 2025, while revenue per hectoliter increased by 0.5% [8][9] - Normalized EBITDA decreased by 8% and normalized EBITDA margin contracted by 82 basis points [8][9] - In the second quarter, total volumes and revenue decreased by 6.2% and 3.9% respectively [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In China, volumes decreased by 7.4% in the second quarter, with revenue decreasing by 6.4% and revenue per hectoliter increasing by 1.1% [11] - In South Korea, volumes were impacted by shipment phasing, but market share continued to grow in both on-premise and in-home channels [6][14] - In India, the Budweiser brand grew ahead of the industry, contributing to double-digit revenue growth and significant EBITDA margin improvement [14][78] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In APAC West, volumes and revenue decreased by 6.9% and 7.1% respectively, with normalized EBITDA decreasing by 8.8% [10] - The in-home channel's contribution to volumes and revenue increased, with premium and super premium portfolio weights exceeding those in the restaurant channel [12][42] - The Indian market continues to show strong growth momentum, with premiumization driving performance [78] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on investing in mega brands and expanding the in-home channel to navigate current challenges and pursue long-term growth [5][6] - A channel expansion strategy is being implemented to enhance premiumization in the in-home channel [12] - The company is committed to maintaining a sound balance sheet while pursuing disciplined financial practices and capital allocation priorities [16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted ongoing challenges in China, particularly in the restaurant channel, but remains focused on enhancing execution and expanding distribution [21][60] - The company expects volume headwinds to continue into the third quarter, with potential for improvement in the fourth quarter due to easier comparisons [60] - Management emphasized the importance of premiumization and innovation in driving future growth [78][81] Other Important Information - The company reported a net cash position of $2.4 billion as of June 30, 2025 [16] - An internal restructuring led to a $53 million non-underlying income tax charge, which is not expected to impact future financials significantly [87][88] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of anti-extravagance on the catering business in China - Management acknowledged a slowdown in the Chinese restaurant channel and indicated that the impact would continue into the third quarter, focusing on mega brand investments and in-home channel expansion [20][21] Question: Update on South Korea customs tax dispute and anti-dumping duties in Taiwan - The customs tax dispute is ongoing, with no new updates, while the impact of anti-dumping duties in Taiwan is still being assessed [26][28] Question: Progress on inventory destocking in China - Management reported proactive inventory management, with current levels lower than the previous year, and expects a more normalized base by the end of the year [35][36] Question: In-home channel penetration and expansion plans - The company sees significant opportunities in the in-home channel, with plans to enhance distribution and execution to capture market share [38][42] Question: Market share strategy following pricing hikes in Korea - Management indicated that the pricing strategy is aligned with brand strength and innovation, with a focus on maintaining commercial momentum [72][101] Question: Trends in the Indian market - The Indian market is experiencing strong growth, particularly in the premium segment, with ongoing efforts to improve productivity and capitalize on regulatory changes [78][81]
AB InBev Q2 Earnings Around the Corner: Will It Surpass Estimates?
ZACKS· 2025-07-30 15:36
Core Viewpoint - Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (AB InBev) is expected to report year-over-year earnings growth for Q2 2025, despite a slight decline in revenues compared to the previous year [1][2]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AB InBev's quarterly revenues is $15.3 billion, reflecting a 0.01% decline from the same quarter last year [2]. - The consensus estimate for earnings per share (EPS) is 94 cents, indicating a 4.4% increase year-over-year [2][9]. - The earnings estimate has decreased by 2.1% over the past 30 days [2]. Recent Performance - In the last reported quarter, AB InBev's EPS exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 5.2%, with a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of 10.9% [3]. Factors Influencing Q2 Results - The company's results are anticipated to benefit from strategic measures such as pricing actions, premiumization, and revenue management initiatives [4]. - Strong consumer demand for AB InBev's brand portfolio is expected to contribute positively to sales performance [4]. - The focus on premium beer offerings aligns with consumer preferences, and the expansion of the Beyond Beer portfolio is also expected to aid performance [5]. Cost and Economic Challenges - Elevated costs from commodity inflation, supply-chain expenses, and investments for long-term growth are anticipated to impact results negatively [6]. - A challenging macroeconomic environment, particularly weak consumer demand in China and Argentina, poses additional concerns [6]. - Currency and interest rate fluctuations are likely to have further affected quarterly performance [6]. Earnings Prediction - The model predicts an earnings beat for AB InBev, supported by a positive Earnings ESP of +0.37% and a Zacks Rank of 3 [7]. Valuation and Stock Performance - AB InBev's forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16.46X, compared to a five-year high of 23.71X and the industry average of 15.05X [8]. - Year-to-date, AB InBev shares have increased by 33.6%, significantly outperforming the industry's growth of 1.5% [11].