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ASX Market Open: T-minus 10 to Fed cut call – and its making markets edgy | Sep 17
The Market Online· 2025-09-16 22:47
Market Overview - Australian shares are expected to open with a dip of -0.43% as global markets remain cautious ahead of the Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cut [1] - The Federal Reserve is meeting to discuss a potential cut of U.S. interest rates by 0.25 percentage points due to a slowdown in the American jobs market and rising unemployment [2] - Major Wall Street indexes have retracted between -0.1% and -0.3%, while London markets fell by as much as -0.8% [3] Company News - BHP Group (ASX:BHP) has announced the layoff of 750 jobs in its Queensland division due to weak coal prices and plans to mothball its Saraji South mine in November [4] - Paladin Energy (ASX:PDN) has returned to trading after raising $300 million, which will be allocated to its flagship project, Langer Heinrich, in Namibia [4] - Norwest Minerals (ASX:NWM) has confirmed significant gold mineralization extensions at Bulgera through first-phase RC drilling, attracting attention from investors [5] - PYC Therapeutics (ASX:PYC) has appointed Alan Tribe as its new managing director [5] Commodity Prices - The Australian dollar is trading at 66.8 U.S. cents [6] - Iron Ore prices have increased by +0.7%, currently at $106.30 per tonne in Singapore [6] - Brent Crude is priced at $68.51 per barrel, while Gold is up to $3,694 [6] - U.S. natural gas futures have risen by +2.6%, reaching $3.12 per gigajoule [6]
Markets Sell Ahead of FOMC Rate Cut
ZACKS· 2025-09-16 22:41
Tuesday, September 16, 2025Market indexes closed in the red across the board this day, just ahead of a sure rate cut from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The S&P 500 and Nasdaq struck new intra-day highs early in the session before breaking lower. The Nasdaq looked as if it may eke out a green close, but dipped just ahead of the bell.The Dow gave back -125 points today, -0.27%, while the S&P 500 was -8 points lower, -0.13%. The Nasdaq was virtually flat: -14 points, -0.07% — snapping a six-day win ...
Fed set to cut rates, but forecast for rest of 2025 is key to markets with politics clouding the picture
CNBC· 2025-09-16 20:43
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell speaks at Jackson Hole on Aug. 22, 2025 in Wyoming.David A. Grogan | CNBCThe Federal Reserve meets this week with some big items on the agenda: An important rate decision and forecast of what's ahead, combined with a healthy dose of political intrigue uncommon for central bank policymakers.On the monetary side, the Federal Open Market Committee on Wednesday will release its ruling on where it will set the overnight borrowing rate. Along with that, officials will sketch ...
Wall Street Navigates Fed Meeting and Strong Retail Sales as Indexes Hover Near Records
Stock Market News· 2025-09-16 20:07
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market closed on September 16, 2025, with major indexes near all-time highs, driven by strong retail sales data and anticipation of the Federal Reserve's policy meeting [1][3] - The S&P 500 Index decreased by 0.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite finished up less than 0.1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped between 0.2% and 0.3% [2] Economic Data - U.S. retail sales for August increased by 0.6% month-over-month, exceeding expectations of 0.3%, with July's figures revised to a 0.6% growth [5] - Upcoming economic releases include Housing Starts and Building Permits, which will provide insights into the housing market's health [6] Federal Reserve Meeting - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is expected to conclude with a widely anticipated 25-basis-point reduction in the federal funds rate, aimed at boosting economic activity [4] Corporate Developments - Alphabet (GOOGL) shares rose, reaching a market capitalization above $3 trillion, following Citigroup's price target increase to $280 from $225 [7] - Tesla (TSLA) shares increased over 3% after Elon Musk's $1 billion stock purchase [7] - Emerson Electric (EMR) shares fell nearly 5% due to disappointing fiscal fourth-quarter orders guidance [8] - Webtoon Entertainment's shares soared 28% after a deal with Disney for a new digital comics platform [9] Upcoming Earnings Reports - General Mills (GIS) is set to report earnings, with other notable companies like FedEx (FDX), Micron Technology (MU), Accenture (ACN), Costco Wholesale (COST), and Nike (NKE) scheduled for later in September [12]
Dollar Slumps on Fed Easing Prospects
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-16 19:34
Group 1 - The dollar index fell by -0.69%, reaching a 2.5-month low, primarily due to expectations of a -25 basis point interest rate cut by the Fed [1] - US retail sales in August rose by +0.6% month-over-month, exceeding expectations of +0.2%, while retail sales excluding autos increased by +0.7% month-over-month, stronger than the anticipated +0.4% [3] - The markets are pricing in a 100% chance of a -25 basis point rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, with an overall expectation of a -68 basis point reduction in the federal funds rate by year-end [5] Group 2 - Concerns over Fed independence are affecting the dollar, as President Trump attempts to fire Fed Governor Cook, which may lead foreign investors to sell dollar assets [2] - The euro rose by +0.88%, reaching a 4-year high, supported by dollar weakness and central bank divergence, with the ECB seen as nearing the end of its rate-cutting cycle [6] - The US manufacturing production unexpectedly increased by +0.2% month-over-month, contrary to expectations of a -0.2% decline [3]
Fed Preview: A Rate Cut Is Baked In, Will Trump Get The 'Big Cut' He Wants
Benzinga· 2025-09-16 19:07
Rate Cut Expectations - The Federal Reserve is anticipated to announce a rate cut of at least 25 basis points during the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee meeting, marking the first cut since December 2024 [1][2] - There is a 96.1% probability of a 25-basis-point cut according to the CME FedWatch Tool, with a 3.9% chance of a 50-basis-point cut, which would be the largest since September 2024 [2] Economic Indicators - Current economic indicators show inflation, unemployment, and consumer spending are raising concerns, prompting the Fed's decision to consider rate cuts [3] - August retail sales increased by 0.6%, surpassing the consensus estimate of 0.3%, indicating healthy consumer spending [5][6] Market Reactions - Stock market indexes have reached all-time highs, raising questions about whether a 25-basis-point cut will suffice to maintain market momentum or if a larger cut is necessary [7][9] - Experts suggest that the market may experience volatility following the Fed's announcement, with potential sell-offs leading to a rally later in the year [7][8] Future Projections - Attention will be on the Dot Plot during the meeting, which will provide insights into Fed members' projections for growth, inflation, unemployment, and future rate cuts [4][8] - The upcoming FOMC meetings in October and December will be critical for determining additional rate moves or the first cut of 2025 [3]
Market Navigator: Post-Fed decision playbook
Youtube· 2025-09-16 18:53
All right, welcome back to Power Lunch. Let's talk about tomorrow's big Federal Reserve meeting and maybe one group of stocks that could benefit. It is the subject of today's market navigator.That is Dom Chu. What is on the market navigator. All right, so as we talk about tomorrow, the Fed is all but certain to cut interest rates by at least one quarter of 1%.But our next guest says that bank stocks are going to stand to benefit from a rate cut and says that in fact the sector has been overlooked and could ...
Bank of Canada Likely to Cut Rates as Economy, Job Market Sharply Weakens
WSJ· 2025-09-16 17:32
Weak economic growth and labor-market softness are on center stage for the central bank, overtaking inflation concerns. ...
Markets rally as the Fed meets to decide on what could be 2025's first interest rate cut
Fastcompany· 2025-09-16 15:31
LOGIN SUBSCRIBE advertisement BYÂ Reuters Listen to this ArticleMore info 0:00 / 0:00 An "everything rally†in markets greets the start of a two-day Federal Reserve meeting, with stocks at record highs, bond yields subsiding and a two-month low dollar taking the heat ahead of what is widely expected to be the first U.S. interest rate cut of the year. A quarter point Fed rate cut on Wednesday is fully priced. But the spotlight is as much on the central bank's institutional standing as on the policy call itsel ...
The US Housing Market Is Nearing a Turning Point, Homebuilders Say
Business Insider· 2025-09-16 14:41
America's largest group of homebuilders is feeling good about where the housing market is headed. That's because everyone seems confident that the Fed is poised to cut interest rates for the first time in 2025 this week, the National Association of Homebuilders wrote in a note Tuesday.That's expected to lower borrowing costs for buyers—a much-needed catalyst for the US housing market to reopen after years of higher mortgage rates that have sidelined buyers and sellers. The Fed looks poised to trim its ta ...