贸易保护主义

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墨西哥拟对中国汽车加征关税,比亚迪和特斯拉或蒙受最大损失
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-09-13 11:55
Core Viewpoint - The Mexican government's proposal to impose tariffs of up to 50% on imports from countries without free trade agreements with Mexico could significantly impact the electric vehicle market, particularly affecting companies like BYD and Tesla, while benefiting traditional U.S. automakers such as General Motors, Ford, and Stellantis [1][3]. Group 1: Tariff Proposal and Impact - The proposed tariff will primarily affect electric vehicles manufactured in China and sold in Mexico, potentially hindering the growth of the electric vehicle market in Mexico [1]. - The Mexican Congress is expected to approve the proposal due to the ruling party's majority, which could reshape the automotive market in North America [1][3]. - The Mexican Electric Vehicle Association indicated that tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles have already increased from 0% to 15% last year, with a potential rise to 50% [1][3]. Group 2: Company-Specific Developments - Tesla's plans for a factory in northern Mexico have been stalled due to economic pressures and uncertainties, which would have created up to 6,000 jobs [3]. - BYD has seen explosive growth in sales since entering the Mexican market at the end of 2023, selling approximately 40,000 vehicles in 2024, accounting for nearly half of all electric and plug-in hybrid vehicle sales in Mexico [5]. - The sales of Tesla's Model 3 and Model Y in Mexico are currently sourced from its Shanghai factory, indicating a shift in strategy due to the proposed tariffs [3][5]. Group 3: Industry Reactions and Global Context - The Canadian Automotive Parts Manufacturers Association noted that the new tariff policy could favor U.S. automakers by making it easier for them to compete against BYD [5]. - China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs expressed opposition to unilateral and protectionist measures, emphasizing the importance of mutual benefits in China-Mexico economic cooperation [5].
中国反制的时间点,让美国人感到胆寒,中方等待的时机已经来了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 10:39
美国大豆出口一半以上靠中国撑着,现在这块市场没了,价格直线往下掉,每蒲式耳跌到8美元左右, 仓库里堆着卖不出去的货,农场主得贷款维持,很多人已经在琢磨破产的事儿了。 2025年9月,眼瞅着美国中西部农场的大豆收成季节到了,本该是喜气洋洋的时候,可现实呢?美国大 豆协会的那些头头们一个个愁眉苦脸,因为中国这个最大买家,今年到现在连一单都没下。往年这个时 候,中国至少得预订美国大豆总量的10%到20%,可现在呢?零订单。这不光是数字问题,直接砸到美 国农场主的饭碗上。协会主席凯勒布·拉格兰就直言不讳,说形势严峻得像悬崖边上,农民们扛不住多 久。 中国等的就是这时候。美国2025年GDP预测跌到4.5%,北京目标5%,但通过谈判拖延,稳住自己。特 朗普团队急,中国不急。5月贸易休战,美国让步科技换中国松稀土,可依赖还在。中国"尊重先谈"姿 态,不是弱,是杠杆。北京不光生存,还在兴起。特朗普关税像回旋镖,砸自己脚。 中国这边,策略简单明了:不慌不忙,等着美国丰收期再发力。为什么说时机到了?因为美国大豆收获 季正好是9月到10月,这时候库存压力最大,没买家就得低价甩卖或烂仓库。中国提前在巴西锁定了9月 和10月的供应, ...
德国巴伐利亚州副州长最新涉华表态:保护主义非解决之道,欢迎中国投资
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-09-13 08:45
【环球网报道 记者 张倩】据香港《南华早报》报道,德国巴伐利亚州副州长兼州经济、发展和能源部长胡贝特·艾旺格近日在接受该媒体采访时表示,尽 管欧中当前关系紧张,但巴伐利亚州依然欢迎中方投资。 《南华早报》称,艾旺格承认欧洲需要增强经济韧性和自给自足的能力,但保护主义和孤立主义并非解决之道,"就像其他那些与我们保持密切关系的主 要经济体,例如美国或日本一样,这同样适用于中国……我们继续欢迎众多在巴伐利亚投资的中国企业。" "如果中国车企想要在欧洲市场立足,我们诚邀他们在巴伐利亚设立生产设施。" 艾旺格说,"他们可以直接在欧洲销售市场进行生产并因此获益,巴伐利 亚也能够借此强化工业基础。" 艾旺格还提到,欧盟针对从中国进口电动车征收反补贴关税,并非解决问题的正确途径。 "我们从根本上支持在世贸组织框架下进行开放、基于规则和价值观的贸易活动。"艾旺格说,"因此,我对欧盟去年对中国征收的反补贴关税持批评态 度。我更希望看到欧盟和中国通过谈判达成一项符合世贸组织规则的解决方案,避免采取关税措施。" 艾旺格还提到,2024年中国对巴伐利亚州的投资创下纪录,目前在当地经营的约500家中国企业已创造数千个就业岗位。 报道提到 ...
美议员访华示好,特朗普却逼欧盟对华加税,欧洲作何选择?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 07:48
Group 1 - The article highlights the contradictory actions of the U.S. government, where President Trump is seeking assistance from the EU to impose tariffs, indicating a shift from unilateralism to a more collaborative approach [1][4][10] - The potential impact of a 100% tariff on U.S. companies like Ford and Apple is significant, with Ford's vehicle prices potentially doubling, leading to a drastic reduction in market share in China [12][14] - European companies, particularly in the automotive and luxury goods sectors, are expressing strong opposition to U.S. tariffs, emphasizing their deep integration with the Chinese market [51][53] Group 2 - The article discusses the rising global trade tariffs, which have reached their highest levels in 15 years, and the implications of a trade war involving over $750 billion in trade [10][49] - The response from emerging markets like China and India is proactive, as they seek to diversify their trade partnerships and reduce reliance on the U.S. [29][33] - The article notes that multinational companies are planning to reconfigure their supply chains to mitigate risks associated with trade tensions, with 41% of companies indicating plans to do so within 18 months [53][55]
墨西哥对美国屈服,将对中国加征50%关税?别把中国提醒当软弱
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 07:48
Core Viewpoint - Mexico's President announced a significant trade policy adjustment, imposing punitive tariffs of up to 50% on imports from China, Russia, and some Asian countries starting in 2026, which is perceived as a response to U.S. pressure [2][5] Group 1: Trade Policy Impact - The tariff adjustment will affect over 1,400 product categories, including automotive, textiles, steel, plastics, and furniture [2] - The automotive industry will be particularly impacted, with tariffs on Chinese light vehicles potentially rising from 15% to 50%, affecting brands like SAIC and Chery [2] - Mexico's trade with China reached $109.426 billion in 2024, making China Mexico's second-largest trading partner [5] Group 2: Economic Consequences - The Mexican Chinese Chamber of Commerce warned that the 50% tariff could lead to increased domestic prices, with an estimated 8.2% rise in annual household expenditures [6] - The policy could hinder Mexico's transition to renewable energy, especially in the electric vehicle supply chain [6] - It may undermine Mexico's competitive advantage as a manufacturing hub in North America, prompting foreign companies to reassess their investment plans [6] Group 3: Geopolitical Context - The U.S. has been applying pressure on multiple trade partners to challenge China, indicating a strategy to create a trade encirclement [8] - This tactic mirrors previous U.S. strategies during the Trump administration, aiming to create a perception of isolation for China [10] - Mexico faces a strategic choice between being a pawn in great power competition or pursuing an independent trade policy [12]
美媒悟了:买中国货有利国安啊,谁会跟最大客户过不去?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-09-13 07:45
【文/观察者网 柳白】 美国政府屡屡打着"国安"的幌子封杀中国无人机等产品,不少美媒也跟着吆喝"中国威胁论"。 不过,"福布斯"杂志网站9月12日发表的一篇文章,发现这事儿不太对——进口中国产品,反而有利于 国安。 文章称,眼下,美国联邦政府扬言要封杀中国企业大疆生产的无人机,人们更该想想开放市场那永不过 时的智慧。这项禁令只会损害美国企业利益、削弱美国生产力,进而拖垮美国经济;更危险的是,它还 会降低许多保守派鼓噪的"中国未来对美动武"的成本。 这篇文章开门见山称,对外国产品开放市场,是世界上有史以来最伟大的国家安全战略,其他任何做法 都无法相比。原因很简单:没有哪个国家愿意把枪炮导弹对准自己最重要的客户。毕竟,对"最大客 户"动武不仅代价高昂、会导致本国经济衰退,进而还会威胁自身国家安全,这是显而易见的道理,无 需多言。 尽管该文煞有介事用上了"中国对美动武"这样唬人的措辞,但也抛出了这样一种观点:封杀中国无人机 等产品实际上是在危及美国的国家安全。因为这种贸易保护主义不仅会削弱生产力,从而拖垮支撑国防 的美国经济,还减少了中国企业对美国市场的依赖。 一位美国士兵在使用大疆无人机 美军照片 要明白禁令的危 ...
塔亚尼表示将于10月8日在米兰举办中意政府间委员会
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-12 16:33
在谈及与中国的关系时,塔亚尼指出,中国依然是意大利重要的合作伙伴和关键供应来源,意方希 望继续深化与中方的合作。为此,双方将于10月8日在米兰举行政府间委员会,全面探讨双边政治与经 济议题。同时,塔亚尼强调,近期一系列事件——特别是新冠疫情的深远影响——凸显出保障经济安全 需要推进供应链多元化战略。在这一方面,拉丁美洲可以发挥关键作用。除南共市国家外,智利、安第 斯国家和中美洲国家也在欧盟的贸易布局中占据重要位置,与这些国家签署的协议将有助于降低欧盟在 部分关键领域的战略依赖。 (原标题:塔亚尼表示将于10月8日在米兰举办中意政府间委员会) 意大利外交部官网9月5日发布消息,意大利副总理兼外交部长塔亚尼近日在接受意大利媒体采访时 表示,欧盟与南方共同市场(Mercosur)达成的自由贸易协议,是巩固双边经贸关系的重要一步,也是 意大利政府力争到2027年实现7000亿欧元出口目标的重要组成部分。当前,美国重新实施对欧盟及其他 主要市场的关税政策,贸易保护主义抬头,在这一背景下,该协议具有深远的战略和政治意义,有助于 在美洲大陆构建稳定的战略伙伴关系。 ...
WTO总干事证实美国平均关税18.4%,全球贸易面临压力测试|全球贸易观察
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 10:33
Group 1 - WTO analysis indicates that approximately 72% of global goods trade still operates under basic "Most Favored Nation" tariff conditions, a decrease from 80% at the beginning of the year, and this percentage may continue to decline [1][4] - The global goods trade volume is projected to grow by 0.9% this year, which is significantly lower than the pre-tariff prediction of 2.7%, but an improvement from the April forecast of a 0.2% contraction [3] - The average actual tariff rate in the U.S. has risen to 17.4%, the highest level since 1935, due to new tariffs implemented this year [6] Group 2 - The global trade system is undergoing a stress test, with the U.S. facing economic downturn risks, and the growth rate is expected to slow down to 1.2%-1.3% in the third and fourth quarters from over 3% in the second quarter [6][7] - The U.S. economy's slowdown is largely seen as temporary compared to other developed economies, but risks remain, including potential further depreciation of the dollar and a slowdown in productivity growth [7] - The new tariff policies are expected to reduce the openness of the U.S. economy, with projections indicating a 1.7 percentage point decrease in the share of goods exports in GDP by 2030 compared to earlier forecasts [7]
墨西哥对中国商品加征关税,只是因为美国吗?
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-09-12 10:24
【文/观察者网 潘昱辰 编辑/高莘】据墨西哥《每日报》报道,墨西哥总统辛鲍姆于9月9日向国会下议 院提交了一项立法提案,旨在修改《一般进出口税法》,以便对来自没有与墨西哥达成自由贸易协定的 国家的各种进口商品,征收最高达50%的关税。 墨西哥经济部长埃布拉德于9月10日进一步表示,墨西哥将把中国和其他没有与墨西哥达成自由贸易协 定的其他国家(如韩国和印度)制造的汽车的关税,提高到世界贸易组织允许的最高水平(即50%)。 而目前墨西哥对来自以上国家的汽车等产品征收20%的关税。 同为全球南方重要成员,墨西哥为何突然考虑对中国产品加征关税?仅仅是因为美国施压? Banco Base经济分析总监加布里埃拉·席勒(Gabriela Siller)在X上表示,墨西哥将加征关税的进口商品 超过70%来自中国,加权平均关税估计为33.96%。在此背景下,墨西哥对中国汽车的需求将在短期内增 加,进而提高其价格。 在她看来,墨西哥提高对中国商品关税的目标有两个,其一是增加税收,其二则是安抚特朗普,从而有 利于墨西哥在明年USMCA审查期间与美国和加拿大的谈判。 位于墨西哥城的比亚迪、奇瑞与本田4S店 视觉中国 为安抚美国? 近 ...
专访丨中国倡议为完善全球治理注入强大动力——访南非政治分析师索玛多达·菲克尼
Xin Hua She· 2025-09-12 10:07
Core Viewpoint - China's global governance initiative provides significant guidance for establishing a more just and reasonable international order, injecting strong momentum into the reform of the global governance system [1][2]. Group 1: Global Governance Initiative - The initiative addresses the urgent need for reform in the current international governance system, calling for a governance framework that respects national sovereignty and cultural diversity while enhancing the representation and voice of developing countries [1][3]. - It aims to lead collaborative efforts with the international community to tackle global challenges such as climate change and promote a more equitable international order [1][2]. Group 2: China's Role in Global Governance - China plays a crucial role in global governance, advocating for and promoting reforms in multilateral institutions to enhance fairness and inclusivity, especially in the context of the U.S. withdrawing from multilateral mechanisms [2][3]. - The country has made significant contributions in areas like climate change and infrastructure development, demonstrating a commitment to true multilateralism that reflects the common aspirations of developing countries rather than serving the interests of a few [2][3]. Group 3: High-Quality Development - High-quality development is seen as key to addressing global inequality, with China's success in lifting over 700 million people out of poverty highlighting the importance of ensuring basic livelihoods for social development [2]. - China leverages its advantages in resources, infrastructure, and technology to bridge the development gap between the Global North and South, promoting more inclusive and balanced global development [2]. Group 4: Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) - The SCO demonstrates significant stability and continuity, promoting a new type of international order shaped by non-Western countries through deepening institutional reforms and expanding cooperation [3]. - The global governance initiative aligns with China's previous initiatives, such as the global development, security, and civilization initiatives, reflecting the country's vision and responsibility as a major power [3].