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【环球财经】从德国最大贸易伙伴更替看美关税冲击
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-23 14:09
Group 1 - The latest data from the German Federal Statistical Office indicates that the United States is no longer Germany's largest trading partner as of the first eight months of 2025, with China taking its place. This shift is closely related to the U.S. imposing tariffs and increasing trade barriers, reflecting the impact of protectionist measures on U.S.-EU economic ties [1] - From January to August this year, Germany's exports to the U.S. amounted to €101 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.5%. In August alone, exports were €10.9 billion, a month-on-month decline of 2.5% and a year-on-year drop of 20.1%, marking the lowest level since November 2021 [1] - In contrast, trade between Germany and China showed resilience, with total bilateral trade reaching €166.3 billion in the first eight months of this year [1] Group 2 - A survey by the German Chamber of Commerce reveals that over half of the surveyed companies plan to reduce trade with the U.S. due to the uncertainty caused by U.S. tariff policies, with about a quarter of companies indicating plans to suspend or cancel investments in the U.S. [2] - The automotive and parts industry, a major source of Germany's trade surplus with the U.S., has been significantly impacted since the U.S. imposed tariffs on imported cars and related goods in April this year, leading to continuous pressure on German exports [2] - According to a report by consulting firm Ernst & Young, approximately 51,500 jobs in the German automotive sector have been lost over the past year, representing nearly 7% of total jobs in the industry, making it the most severely affected sector [2] Group 3 - The number of corporate bankruptcies in Germany reached its highest level in 12 years in July, with expectations that over 22,000 companies will file for bankruptcy this year, averaging more than 60 companies per day [3] - The President of the German Central Bank, Joachim Nagel, stated that U.S. tariffs and policy uncertainty are suppressing Germany's economic growth, particularly impacting the industrial sector during a critical adjustment period [3] - The Munich Institute for Economic Research predicts that due to the ongoing effects of U.S. tariff policies, Germany's economy is expected to grow by only 0.2% in 2025 [3]
国际观察丨从德国最大贸易伙伴更替看美关税冲击
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-10-23 12:51
新华社柏林10月23日电 题:从德国最大贸易伙伴更替看美关税冲击 新华社记者李函林 与此同时,德国工商大会调查显示,美国关税政策正加剧企业的不确定性,超过一半受访企业计划减少 对美贸易,约四分之一企业表示将暂停或取消在美投资。德国管理学家赫尔曼·西蒙指出,美国关税政 策使德国企业对美出口面临巨大挑战,如果失去在美市场份额,企业必须开拓其他市场。 美国一直是德国重要出口市场,其中汽车及零部件行业是德国对美贸易的主要顺差来源。然而,自今年 4月美国对进口汽车及相关商品加征关税措施生效以来,德国对美出口持续承压。 咨询公司安永报告显示,在截至今年6月底的过去一年内,德国汽车行业净减岗位约5.15万个,占全部 岗位近7%,成为受冲击最严重的工业部门。德媒报道称,美国高额关税抬高了德国商品在美售价,迫 使梅赛德斯-奔驰、大众等整车制造商,以及博世、大陆集团、采埃孚等零部件供应商陆续宣布开支削 减计划。 与此同时,企业裁员潮和破产数量持续增加,加剧市场担忧。DHL宣布将在年底前裁员约8000人,西 门子宣布到2027年9月约6000人的裁员计划;到2030年,德国最大钢铁制造商蒂森克虏伯钢铁计划裁员 约1.1万人,博世计 ...
从德国最大贸易伙伴更替看美关税冲击
Xin Hua She· 2025-10-23 08:58
Group 1 - The United States is no longer Germany's largest trading partner as of the first eight months of 2025, with China taking its place, largely due to U.S. tariffs and trade barriers [1] - Germany's exports to the U.S. fell to €101 billion, a decrease of 6.5% year-on-year, with August exports alone dropping 20.1% compared to the previous year, marking the lowest level since November 2021 [1] - In contrast, trade between Germany and China showed resilience, with total trade reaching €166.3 billion in the same period [1] Group 2 - Over half of the surveyed German companies plan to reduce trade with the U.S. due to the uncertainty caused by U.S. tariff policies, and about a quarter are considering pausing or canceling investments in the U.S. [2] - The automotive sector, a major contributor to Germany's trade surplus with the U.S., has been significantly impacted, with approximately 51,500 jobs lost in the automotive industry over the past year [2] - Major companies like Mercedes-Benz and Volkswagen are announcing spending cuts due to increased prices of German goods in the U.S. market caused by high tariffs [2] Group 3 - The number of corporate bankruptcies in Germany reached a 12-year high in July, with over 22,000 companies expected to file for bankruptcy this year, averaging more than 60 per day [3] - The German economy is projected to grow only 0.2% in 2025, significantly affected by U.S. tariffs and policy uncertainties, particularly impacting the industrial sector [3]
欧盟打来电话,苦求两个小时,稀土出口这件事,中国还是没松口
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-23 06:08
Group 1 - The EU has expressed concerns over China's rare earth export controls, but China remains firm on its strategic position [1][3] - A video meeting lasting approximately 120 minutes took place between China's Commerce Minister Wang Wentao and EU economic official Šefčovič, discussing key trade issues including rare earth export controls and the EU's anti-subsidy investigation into Chinese electric vehicles [3] - China will implement new export restrictions on five rare earth elements starting November 8, 2025, with stricter approvals required for rare earth and permanent magnet exports from December 1, 2025 [5] Group 2 - Despite the restrictions, China continues to export rare earths to the EU, with the export volume to the EU being three times that to the US [5] - The acquisition of the Dutch company Nexperia by China's Wingtech Technology has led to tensions, with the Netherlands taking control of the company under US pressure due to national security concerns [6] - The EU's increasing trade protectionism and its broad interpretation of "national security" are causing friction, particularly in the context of the Nexperia issue [8] Group 3 - The relationship between China and the EU is facing challenges due to rising trade protectionism and accusations of unfair competition, particularly regarding electric vehicles [8] - The EU's linkage of economic issues with geopolitical concerns, such as the Ukraine war and China's relationship with Russia, is exacerbating trade tensions [8][10] - The underlying issues stem from the EU's "double standards" and external pressures, which could shift the relationship from cooperation to confrontation, impacting global economic stability [10]
“与美进程终结”,加拿大总理表态,提到中国
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-10-23 04:28
"加美数十年日益紧密经济关系进程终结",加拿大总理:正与中印重新接触 据英国路透社、美国彭博社等媒体报道,加拿大总理卡尼当地时间22日表示,加政府即将推出的首份预算将减少加拿大在经济与安全领域对美国的依赖, 并削减浪费性支出。他同时承诺未来十年将把加拿大对非美国市场的出口翻一番,并且正在与中印等国重新接触。 加拿大总理卡尼当地时间22日在渥太华大学向学生发表讲话。图源:外媒 "加美两国长达数十年日益紧密的经济关系进程已终结。"卡尼当天在渥太华大学向学生发表讲话时说,"我们昔日基于与美国的密切关系而获得的许多优 势,如今反而成了我们的软肋。" 路透社称,卡尼表示其政府的首份预算将兼顾"财政紧缩"与"大规模投资",努力保护加拿大经济免受"美国新一轮保护主义所引发危机"的影响。 另据彭博社报道,为证明其贸易目标正稳步推进,卡尼还重点推介了加方上月与印度尼西亚签署的自由贸易协定,以及与阿拉伯联合酋长国在人工智能领 域、与欧盟在防务领域、与德国在关键矿产领域达成的合作和"基础性协议"。 "在深化与传统盟友合作的同时,我们正与全球重要经济体——印度与中国重新接触。"卡尼补充说。他还计划未来几天在东盟峰会和亚太经合组织会议 ...
中欧将就稀土问题进行紧急会谈?外交部回应→
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-10-22 14:20
Group 1 - The Chinese government emphasizes the importance of free trade and opposes trade protectionism, urging the EU to provide a fair and transparent business environment for all countries [2] - China and ASEAN's trade relationship is strengthening, with a reported total import and export value of 5.57 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of the year, marking a 9.6% increase year-on-year [5] - The comprehensive strategic partnership between China and ASEAN is deepening, with plans to sign the upgraded version of the free trade agreement (FTA 3.0) within the year, enhancing regional economic integration [5][6] Group 2 - China supports Malaysia's role as the ASEAN chair and emphasizes the importance of cooperation with ASEAN countries [4] - The "China-ASEAN Year of Cultural Exchange" is actively promoting cooperation in education, youth, think tanks, and media, with significant achievements [6] - China is committed to maintaining regional peace and stability, supporting ASEAN's central role in regional frameworks, and promoting dialogue to resolve disputes in the South China Sea [6][7]
透视新兴市场“危”与“机”,广交会送上“掘金”指南
21世纪经济报道· 2025-10-22 10:10
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the opportunities and risks faced by Chinese enterprises as they expand into emerging markets, particularly in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative and the changing global trade environment [1][3]. Group 1: Trade Environment and Market Trends - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's imports and exports to Belt and Road countries reached 17.37 trillion yuan, an increase of 6.2%, accounting for 51.7% of total trade value, up by 1.1 percentage points [1]. - The growth in trade with ASEAN, Latin America, Africa, and Central Asia was 9.6%, 3.9%, 19.5%, and 16.7% respectively, indicating a diversification of China's export markets [1]. - The overall credit risk for small and medium-sized foreign trade enterprises has been on the rise, with an average annual increase of 7.2% in the risk index over the past three years [3][4]. Group 2: Risks in Emerging Markets - The global trade environment is increasingly influenced by protectionism and resource nationalism, leading to heightened uncertainty and risk in international trade [4]. - Labor-intensive industries like textiles and light manufacturing face challenges from trade barriers and raw material cost fluctuations, while technology-intensive sectors like electronics and new energy vehicles encounter rising compliance costs and intense competition [4]. - Emerging market currencies are often volatile, with examples like the Turkish lira experiencing daily fluctuations exceeding 10% [8]. Group 3: Compliance and Legal Risks - Companies expanding into Southeast Asia must be aware of environmental compliance and ESG requirements, as neglecting these can lead to significant penalties and operational disruptions [9]. - Intellectual property risks, such as trademark squatting and technology leakage, are prevalent in Southeast Asia, necessitating proactive measures from companies [9]. Group 4: Strategies for Risk Management - Companies are advised to conduct compliance planning before entering new markets, ensuring that tax compliance is integrated into business strategy [11]. - For managing currency risks, companies can use hedging strategies involving direct transactions with the renminbi or through a two-step process involving the US dollar [11]. - Establishing a knowledge property defense matrix is recommended, including simultaneous IP registration in target countries and monitoring mechanisms to track trademark registrations [13].
中欧将就稀土问题进行紧急会谈?外交部回应→
证券时报· 2025-10-22 09:11
10月22日,外交部发言人郭嘉昆主持例行记者会。 外交部:望欧方恪守支持自由贸易、反对贸易保护主义的承诺 有记者问,欧盟委员会官员表示,欧盟和中国官员已同意在布鲁塞尔会面,就中国稀土出口管制问题进行 紧急会谈。中方对此有何评论? 郭嘉昆表示,我要强调的是,中欧经贸关系的本质是优势互补、互利共赢。我们希望欧方恪守支持自由贸 易、反对贸易保护主义的承诺,为各国企业提供公平透明、非歧视的营商环境,以实际行动维护市场经济 和世贸组织规则,坚持通过对话协商妥善解决贸易分歧。 外交部:中方在半岛问题上的立场和政策保持连续性、稳定性 有记者问,今天上午朝鲜发射多枚短程弹道导弹,朝鲜发射弹道导弹是联合国安理会对朝决议所禁止的活 动,请问中方对此有何评论? 郭嘉昆表示,中方在半岛问题上的立场和政策保持连续性、稳定性,对有关发射活动我们没有新的评论。 外交部:中方支持马来西亚作为东盟轮值主席国的工作 有记者问,请问中方哪一位代表会出席10月26日在吉隆坡举行的东盟峰会? 郭嘉昆表示,中方高度重视同东盟关系和东亚合作,支持马来西亚作为东盟轮值主席国的工作。关于你提 到的具体问题,相信你应该了解中方出席的惯例,我们会适时发布消息。 ...
美停摆三周!美联储降息预期下,美股科技巨头如何改写投资逻辑?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-22 09:03
Market Performance - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant rally on October 20, 2025, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising over 500 points, driven primarily by technology and financial stocks [1][3] - The earnings season exceeded expectations, particularly for S&P 500 companies, leading to upward revisions in profit forecasts [3][11] Company Highlights - Apple's stock reached an all-time high, with iPhone 17 sales surpassing those of iPhone 16 shortly after launch, prompting an upgrade from "Hold" to "Buy" by Loop Capital, raising the target price to $315 [5][3] - Amazon's stock rose by 1.6% despite a temporary service outage in AWS, as investors focused on the long-term potential of its cloud computing business [5][3] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index hit a record high, with Intel and Qualcomm shares increasing by 3% and 2%, respectively [7][11] Economic Indicators - The potential end of the government shutdown and upcoming CPI data release on October 24 could influence market sentiment, with expectations of a possible interest rate cut if inflation decreases [9][11] - The KBW Bank Index rose by 2.8% as regional banks reported stable credit conditions, alleviating previous concerns about their financial health [11][9] Global Market Dynamics - The Nasdaq Golden Dragon Index, which tracks Chinese stocks, increased by 2.4%, with notable gains in Alibaba (3.8%) and Netease (3.1%) [15][13] - The international oil prices saw a slight decline, with WTI crude oil dropping to over $57 per barrel, attributed to rising U.S. shale oil production and concerns over global economic slowdown [17][20] Commodity Trends - Gold prices surged to $4,376 per ounce, reaching a historical high as investors sought safe-haven assets amid a weakening dollar and strong demand from central banks [20][18] - The energy market showed contrasting trends, with oil prices declining while gold prices rose significantly [20][17] Upcoming Events - Key economic data releases, including the Federal Reserve's Beige Book and durable goods orders, will provide insights into the U.S. economy's health [24][26] - Major tech companies, including Tesla and Netflix, are set to report earnings, which will be closely monitored for insights into their performance amid ongoing price competition [26][30]
中方:望欧方坚持通过对话协商妥善解决贸易分歧
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-10-22 07:44
来源:中国新闻网 中方:望欧方坚持通过对话协商妥善解决贸易分歧 中新网北京10月22日电 (记者 曾玥)中国外交部发言人郭嘉昆22日主持例行记者会。 有记者提问:欧盟委员会贸易和经济安全委员谢夫乔维奇表示,欧盟和中国官员已同意在布鲁塞尔举行 紧急会谈,讨论中国针对稀土的出口管制问题。外交部能否证实并提供更多信息? 郭嘉昆:中方有关部门已经发布了相关的消息稿,你可以查阅。我要强调的是,中欧经贸关系的本质是 优势互补,互利共赢。我们希望欧方恪守支持自由贸易、反对贸易保护主义的承诺,为各国企业提供公 平、透明、非歧视的营商环境,以实际行动维护市场经济和世贸组织规则,坚持通过对话协商妥善解决 贸易分歧。(完) 编辑:王永乐 广告等商务合作,请点击这里 本文为转载内容,授权事宜请联系原著作权人 中新经纬版权所有,未经书面授权,任何单位及个人不得转载、摘编或以其它方式使用。 关注中新经纬微信公众号(微信搜索"中新经纬"或"jwview"),看更多精彩财经资讯。 ...