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“抛售日本”开始了?高市早苗执意“玩火”引发市场冲击波!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 17:18
Group 1 - Japan's Prime Minister, Taro Kono, made erroneous statements leading to heightened tensions in Sino-Japanese relations, prompting China to implement countermeasures such as suspending multiple exchanges and restricting Japanese seafood imports, which indirectly affects Japan's manufacturing supply chain [1] - Market risk aversion has surged, with investors concerned about regional stability, resulting in accelerated capital withdrawal from the Japanese market. Invesco strategist Kinoshita noted that the deterioration of Sino-Japanese relations is a significant driver of the "sell Japan" trend [1] Group 2 - On November 21, Kono's cabinet announced a 21.3 trillion yen (approximately 140 billion USD) economic stimulus plan aimed at revitalizing the sluggish economy, which has raised fears of worsening Japan's fiscal situation [3] - Japanese government bonds have faced sell-offs, with bond yields rising for several consecutive days, and the 30-year bond yield reaching a historic high, indicating a potential collapse risk for the world's third-largest bond market [3] - The yen is under devaluation pressure, nearing the 160 mark, which approaches the intervention threshold set by the Bank of Japan [3] - The Nikkei 225 index experienced a significant drop of over 2,500 points in a single week, erasing all gains since Kono took office [3] Group 3 - Investors are worried that Japan may repeat the "mini-budget crisis" seen during former UK Prime Minister Liz Truss's tenure, where aggressive fiscal policies led to a collapse in market confidence [4] Group 4 - Japan's GDP contracted at an annualized rate of 1.8% in the third quarter, marking a return to negative growth after the first quarter of 2024, primarily due to weak domestic demand and export challenges from U.S. tariffs [6] - High valuations in technology stocks have led to correction pressures, compounded by fiscal risks, creating a vicious cycle of "sell-off in stocks, bonds, and currency" [6] - Analysts warn that if Kono loses policy credibility, the sell-off could extend to all Japanese assets, indicating that the current "sell Japan" trend is still in its early stages [6] - There is a critical need for the Kono administration to balance fiscal expansion with debt management; otherwise, prolonged diplomatic stalemates could lead to systemic crises [6] - Bloomberg analysis suggests Japan must find a balance between policy credibility and market stability to avoid a repeat of the "lost decade" [6]
失去中国市场后,日本水产品找不到替补
第一财经· 2025-11-20 06:48
2025.11. 20 中国此前一直是日本农林水产品的最大出口市场。但自2023年福岛核电站"排污入海"以来,这一局 面已然发生了重大改变。 日本扇贝去年对华零出口 据日本农林水产省的数据,2022年日本农林水产品与食品的出口额达到 1.4万亿日元(约合人民币 735亿元) 。从出口目的地来看,中国市场贡献了最大消费力,增长达到25.2%,增至2783亿日元。 扇贝、海参等海产品以及日本烧酒、威士忌、饮料等,均为出口至中国市场的主要产品。 本文字数:1561,阅读时长大约2分钟 作者 | 第一财经 潘寅茹 据新华社消息,就中方向日方通报暂停进口日本水产品,外交部发言人毛宁19日在例行记者会上表 示,日方此前承诺履行输华水产品的监管责任,保障产品质量安全,这是日本水产品输华的先决条 件。但是,日方目前未能提供所承诺的技术材料。近期,由于日本首相高市早苗倒行逆施,在台湾等 重大问题上的错误言论引起中国民众的强烈公愤。"当前形势下,即使日本水产品向中国出口也不会 有市场。" 细分品类来看,当年,日本水产品对华出口额约为871亿日元(约合人民币43亿元),占日本对全球 水产品出口总额的约22%。 虽然近些年来日本农林 ...
收评:沪指和创业板指小幅上涨 水产品、船舶、军贸概念等多板块大涨
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 07:28
新华财经北京11月19日电(罗浩)沪深两市三大股指19日早间普遍微幅低开。各股指盘初小幅冲高后回 落,调整至平盘附近后开始震荡上扬,创业板指早盘盘中一度涨1.43%,此后各股指开始逐渐收窄涨 幅。午后,各主要股指窄幅整理,13时44分后再现震荡上扬行情,但尾盘有所回落,最终沪指和创业板 指小幅上涨,深成指基本收平。 19日,水产品股上演涨停潮,国联水产收于约20%涨停,獐子岛、大湖股份、天马科技、百洋股份、开 创国际、中水渔业、东方海洋、好当家等多股收于约10%涨停。船舶、军贸概念、贵金属等板块较大幅 度上涨,石油、保险、有色、稀缺资源、日用化工等板块显著上涨。海南自贸、复合铜箔、传媒娱乐板 块跌幅靠前。 截至收盘,沪指报3946.74点,涨幅0.18%,成交额约7209亿元;深成指报13080.09点,下跌0.40点,跌 幅0.00%,成交额约10050亿元;创业板指报3076.85点,涨幅0.25%,成交额约4637亿元;科创综指报 1578.39点,跌幅1.13%,成交额约1527亿元;北证50指数报1461.12点,跌幅1.40%,成交额约169亿 元。 机构观点 家电再生材料使用规范国家标准发布 据 ...
威海市环翠区水产品消费行为专项调查展开
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-17 11:46
为全面掌握不同饮食模式居民在动物性水产品消费方面的具体行为特征,建立健全与饮食模式、消费模 式紧密相关的参数数据库,从而为国家及省级层面的微生物风险评估工作提供坚实的数据支撑,近日, 环翠区疾病预防控制中心(卫生监督所)营养与食品科积极行动,联合竹岛街道、鲸园街道以及环翠楼 街道,共同开展了针对环翠区居民水产品消费行为的专项调查工作。 认真了解相关情况。 工作人员在 与此同时,环翠区疾控中心高度重视数据质量,定期组织经验丰富的质控人员深入一线进行实地走访与 复核,及时汇总调查过程中遇到的疑点和难点问题。每周召开专项会议,召集所有参与调查的项目人员 进行集体商讨和研究,针对共性问题和特殊情况制定出一系列切实可行的解决方案与标准化操作流程。 这一机制不仅有效解决了现场工作中出现的各类挑战,也进一步构建起一套高效、严密且可持续优化的 工作体系,为整个调查工作的顺利推进和数据质量的可靠性提供了强有力的技术支持和组织保障。 目前,这项调查工作正在有条不紊地稳步推进中,并已成功完成了既定的阶段性目标。 王颖倩 文/图 随着社会的快速发展和人们生活方式的显著转变,居民的膳食结构正在经历一场深刻且广泛的变化。本 次调查覆盖了 ...
2025年9月中国食用水产品进出口数量分别为42万吨和39万吨
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-11-11 03:17
相关报告:智研咨询发布的《2026-2032年中国水产品行业市场行情监测及投资前景研判报告》 数据来源:中国海关,智研咨询整理 近一年中国食用水产品出口情况统计图 数据来源:中国海关,智研咨询整理 知前沿,问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构,十数年持续深耕产业研究领域,提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力,专注于提供完善的产业解决方案,为您的投资决策赋能。 根据中国海关数据显示:2025年9月中国食用水产品进口数量为42万吨,同比增长8.9%,进口金额为 17.8亿美元,同比增长14.4%,2025年9月中国食用水产品出口数量为39万吨,同比增长12.6%,出口金 额为16.73亿美元,同比增长1.7%。 近一年中国食用水产品进口情况统计图 ...
商务预报:10月20日至26日食用农产品和生产资料价格小幅上涨
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-10-31 06:42
Group 1: Agricultural Products Market - The national edible agricultural product market prices increased by 1.6% from the previous week [1] - The average wholesale price of 30 types of vegetables reached 5.24 yuan per kilogram, rising by 7.4%, with bitter melon, cauliflower, and cucumber seeing increases of 21.6%, 18.5%, and 17.3% respectively [1] - The average wholesale price of six types of fruits saw a slight increase, with watermelon, citrus, and grapes rising by 5.4%, 2.7%, and 2.2% respectively [1] - Wholesale prices for grain and oil remained stable, with rice and flour holding steady, while soybean oil, peanut oil, and rapeseed oil decreased by 0.1% [1] - Wholesale prices for aquatic products slightly declined, with grass carp, crucian carp, and large yellow croaker decreasing by 0.9%, 0.3%, and 0.3% respectively [1] - Meat wholesale prices predominantly decreased, with pork priced at 18.47 yuan per kilogram, down by 0.2%, and beef also down by 0.2%, while lamb remained stable [1] - Poultry product wholesale prices saw a slight decline, with eggs and broiler chickens decreasing by 0.9% and 0.1% respectively [1] Group 2: Production Materials Market - The prices of basic chemical raw materials generally increased, with sulfuric acid rising by 3.1%, while soda ash and polypropylene remained stable, and methanol decreased by 0.1% [2] - Prices of non-ferrous metals saw slight increases, with copper, aluminum, and zinc rising by 0.9%, 0.6%, and 0.3% respectively [2] - Coal prices predominantly increased, with coking coal and thermal coal priced at 1,050 yuan and 770 yuan per ton, rising by 1.0% and 0.9% respectively, while anthracite coal decreased by 0.2% [2] - Rubber prices experienced slight increases, with natural rubber and synthetic rubber rising by 0.7% and 0.2% respectively [2] - Steel prices remained stable, with rebar and hot-rolled strip steel priced at 3,308 yuan and 3,511 yuan per ton, both increasing by 0.1%, while welded steel pipes and ordinary plates decreased by 0.5% and 0.3% respectively [2] - Wholesale prices for refined oil slightly decreased, with 92-octane gasoline, 95-octane gasoline, and 0-octane diesel all declining by 0.5% [2] - Fertilizer prices remained stable with slight declines, as compound fertilizer held steady while urea decreased by 0.6% [2]
不到24小时就变脸!加拿大突然发起调查,要对中国企业重拳出击
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-27 10:09
Core Insights - Recent trade negotiations between Canada and the U.S. have gained attention following Trump's abrupt termination of talks, leading Canada to initiate anti-dumping investigations against Chinese companies within 24 hours, indicating a calculated political and economic strategy [1][3] Trade Relations - Canada relies heavily on the U.S. for trade, with exports to the U.S. consistently accounting for 75.9% of its total exports. In 2022, the trade volume between the two countries exceeded $1 trillion, with key industries like steel, aluminum, and automotive tightly integrated into U.S. supply chains [1] U.S. Tariff Concerns - Trump's halt in negotiations was ostensibly due to a protest against a CAD 75 million anti-tariff advertisement from Ontario, but it also relates to the legality of tariffs, as the U.S. Supreme Court is set to review compliance issues that could result in the government needing to refund nearly $1 trillion in tariffs [3] Canadian Strategy - Canada's anti-dumping investigation against Chinese firms is seen as a risky balancing act, aiming to demonstrate loyalty to the U.S. while seeking leverage in negotiations. However, past experiences, such as the significant drop in electric vehicle exports to China, highlight the potential backlash from such actions [3][5] Domestic Impact - The investigation into truck body components poses significant risks, as nearly 40% of parts required by Canadian truck manufacturers come from China. Imposing anti-dumping duties could increase costs, adversely affecting consumers and exacerbating inflationary pressures [5] Geopolitical Positioning - Canada’s role in the trade dynamics is increasingly precarious, as the U.S. seeks to leverage allies to pressure China. As a member of the "Five Eyes" alliance, Canada’s position is crucial in diminishing China's market share in North America while providing a model for other allies [5] Future Challenges - Canada faces the challenge of navigating its foreign policy to maintain a balance between U.S. pressures and its economic interests with China. The current anti-dumping investigation could jeopardize Canada's strategy to diversify exports away from the U.S. and may lead to economic repercussions if not managed carefully [7]
2025年8月中国食用水产品进出口数量分别为39万吨和34万吨
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-10-26 02:46
Core Insights - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights the growth in China's seafood import and export market, indicating a positive trend in both quantity and monetary value for the year 2025 [1] Import Data - In August 2025, China's seafood imports reached 390,000 tons, marking a year-on-year increase of 4.2% - The import value for the same period was $1.616 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.3% [1] Export Data - In August 2025, China's seafood exports totaled 340,000 tons, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.4% - The export value was $1.632 billion, also showing a year-on-year growth of 0.4% [1] Industry Overview - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research and providing comprehensive consulting services to support investment decisions [1]
2025年8月中国水产品进出口数量分别为41万吨和34万吨
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-10-24 03:36
Core Insights - The report by Zhiyan Consulting highlights the growth in China's seafood import and export market, indicating a positive trend in both quantity and monetary value [1] Import Data - In August 2025, China's seafood imports reached 410,000 tons, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.4% - The import value for the same period was $1.629 billion, showing a year-on-year growth of 9.3% [1] Export Data - In August 2025, China's seafood exports totaled 340,000 tons, with a year-on-year increase of 0.4% - The export value was $1.633 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 0.5% [1] Industry Overview - Zhiyan Consulting is recognized as a leading industry consulting firm in China, specializing in in-depth industry research and providing comprehensive consulting services to support investment decisions [1]
担忧经济疲软,缓解国内压力,加拿大减免部分中美钢铝关税
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-10-21 22:57
Group 1 - Canada has reduced tariffs on certain steel and aluminum products imported from China and the U.S. to alleviate domestic pressure [1] - The Canadian government has provided exemptions to several companies to avoid the costs of retaliatory tariffs on products that are in short supply or needed under existing contracts [1] - The new exemption measures aim to protect workers and families from the impact of retaliatory measures, particularly in downstream industries [1] Group 2 - China's response to Canada's tariff reductions includes anti-dumping investigations and increased tariffs on Canadian canola seeds, canola oil, seafood, and pork, putting pressure on Canada's agricultural sector [2] - Canadian Prime Minister Carney has sent officials to China for exploratory talks, indicating an effort to repair relations, although challenges remain in persuading China to lift measures against Canadian canola [2] - There is a growing pessimism regarding economic growth in Canada, with over half of Canadians believing the economy will weaken in the next six months, and reports of significant layoffs due to tariffs [2]