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面临全球经贸不确定性,我国外贸发展态势如何?商务部回应
Nan Fang Du Shi Bao· 2025-10-10 13:01
二是动能释放。外贸结构持续优化,发展质效不断提升。前8个月,机电产品出口保持较好增势,占总 出口额的比重超六成,集成电路、智能家居、工业机器人等高技术、高附加值产品保持较高增速。民营 企业进出口增长7.4%,占整体进出口的比重达57.1%,展现出强大的适应性和创新能力。外贸新业态新 模式发展稳步推进,全国跨境电商综试区增加至178个,保税维修项目累计落地280余个。外贸数字化、 绿色化转型进入快车道,新能源汽车、风电设备、储能产品等成为中国与世界分享绿色转型发展成果的 亮丽名片。此外,我们还大力推进监管创新,推动生物航油出口,为全球绿色减排作出更多贡献。 三是开放多元。前8个月,对共建"一带一路"国家进出口增长5.4%,占比达51.7%,对东盟、非洲、拉 美等新兴市场进出口分别增长9.7%、16.6%、2.3%。中国持续扩大面向全球的高标准自由贸易网络,已 与30个国家和地区签署23个自贸协定,自贸伙伴之间贸易成本大幅降低,贸易合作更加紧密。同时,中 国不断扩大单边开放,加快推进对53个非洲建交国实施100%税目零关税举措,让更多贸易伙伴共享中 国大市场机遇。 "当前,世界百年变局加速演进,全球经贸发展面临的 ...
东莞证券2025年四季度股票组合
Dongguan Securities· 2025-10-10 10:59
Investment Themes - Recommended stocks include Huaxin Cement, China State Construction, and Ningde Times in the cyclical sector[2] - In the consumer sector, recommended stocks include Hengrui Medicine and Shanxi Fenjiu[2] - In the power equipment and new energy vehicle sector, recommended stocks include Ningde Times and Goldwind Technology[2] - In the TMT sector, recommended stocks include Longi Green Energy and Luxshare Precision[2] Market Performance - As of September 30, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 12.73%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 29.25%, and the ChiNext Index by 50.40%[4] - The average gain of the recommended stock portfolio was 33.11%, significantly outperforming the CSI 300 Index's gain of 17.90%[4] - Key outperformers included Huaxin Cement and Ningde Times, with quarterly gains exceeding 50%[4] Economic Outlook - The macroeconomic environment remains stable, with a focus on "appropriate easing" in monetary policy to support growth[4] - The manufacturing PMI showed signs of recovery but remained in contraction territory as of September[4] - The report anticipates continued inflow of foreign capital due to the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, enhancing the attractiveness of equity assets[4] Company Highlights - Huaxin Cement's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.30, with a PE ratio of 14.27[6] - China State Construction's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.16, with a PE ratio of 4.68[12] - China Rare Earth's projected EPS for 2025 is 0.34, with a PE ratio of 150.92[25] - Hengrui Medicine's projected EPS for 2025 is 1.26, with a PE ratio of 56.90[33]
风电板块持续走强 海风方向领涨
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 06:02
风电股持续走强,金风科技午后涨停,运达股份、广大特材、三一重工、大金重工、吉鑫科技等涨超 5%。消息面上,国内海风市场9月迎来招中标高峰期,海外海风市场已现拐点信号,欧洲海风装机规模 今年提升至4.5吉瓦以上;中国首个国家级海上风电试验基地即将投运,可开展目前世界最大容量风电 机组和最长尺寸风机叶片的检测试验,以及多领域国际前沿技术研究。 ...
专家解读!中国新一轮国家自主贡献目标意味着什么
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-10-07 03:00
近期召开的联合国气候变化峰会上,中国政府宣布了新一轮国家自主贡献目标——到2035年,中国全经 济范围温室气体净排放量比峰值下降7%~10%,力争做得更好。非化石能源消费占能源消费总量的比重 达到30%以上,风电和太阳能发电总装机容量达到2020年的6倍以上、力争达到36亿千瓦。同时,森林 蓄积量达到240亿立方米以上,新能源汽车成为新销售车辆的主流,全国碳排放权交易市场覆盖主要高 排放行业,气候适应型社会基本建成。 当前,百年变局加速演进,国际形势变乱交织,气候危机危害日深,全球气候治理正处于历史的十字路 口,何去何从取决于世界各国的抉择。中国新一轮国家自主贡献目标意味着什么?将会带来哪些变化? "中国政府宣布了新一轮国家自主贡献目标,首先是提振了国际社会对全球气候治理进程的信心,强化 了应对气候变化的国际行动。"北京大学碳中和研究院副院长张海滨说。 国家气候战略中心专家柴麒敏、李墨宇、丁丁等专家表示,新一轮国家自主贡献目标,是我国首次提出 碳达峰阶段后,全经济范围、全温室气体净排放下降等一揽子应对气候变化的目标,系统性构建了涵盖 能源和产业转型、政策工具创新等多维度指标的行动纲领,标志着中国迈入了更加系统 ...
【真灼观察】上电出海成功 候回吐买货
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-06 06:05
Core Viewpoint - Shanghai Electric's stock price surged 14% to 4.91 yuan, reaching a new high since July 2015, following the signing of a significant solar project in Romania, marking a strategic collaboration in clean energy [3][4]. Group 1: Project Developments - The company has signed a contract for the Palau Phase II 342 MW solar project in Romania, which is its fourth solar project in the country [3]. - Other ongoing projects in Romania include the Palau Phase I 91.4 MW and the Skultu 56 MW solar projects, with the Ovidiu 60 MW project currently under construction [3]. - The company is also involved in various international projects, including a 2 GW solar project in Saudi Arabia and a national-level substation project in Bangladesh [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the six months ending June 30, the company reported total revenue of 54.303 billion yuan, an increase of 8.9% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 19% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 821 million yuan, up 7.3% from the previous year, with basic earnings per share of 0.053 yuan [4]. Group 3: Order Book and Market Position - The company secured new orders totaling 109.81 billion yuan during the reporting period, with a significant portion coming from energy equipment [5]. - The breakdown of new orders includes 60.04 billion yuan for energy equipment, with coal-fired power equipment at 20.08 billion yuan, nuclear power equipment at 6.77 billion yuan, and wind power equipment at 13.9 billion yuan [5]. - The company has established a strong position in the nuclear power sector, having produced and delivered multiple nuclear devices, including those for major national projects [5].
算力圈开始卷绿电了?抖音入局200MW风光伏储微网!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-10-03 03:25
Core Insights - The competition among major internet companies has shifted from app performance to the environmental impact of their data centers, with Douyin planning to procure over 200MWh of large-scale lithium battery storage and renewable energy equipment to ensure uninterrupted power supply for its core business [1][4] - Douyin's aggressive procurement strategy reflects a sense of urgency in its green energy initiatives, aiming to respond to carbon neutrality policies, reduce reliance on traditional power grids, and ensure business continuity [4][6] - The industry is collectively transforming under policy guidance, with a mandatory requirement for new data centers to achieve over 80% green electricity usage by the end of 2025, pushing all data center operators to accelerate their green initiatives [4][6] Company Actions - Douyin's tender specifies that bidders must have experience with large-scale lithium battery storage systems of at least 30MWh, with a tight timeline for project completion by the end of December [4] - Tencent has already implemented a successful integrated wind, solar, and storage project, which is the first of its kind in China, generating 14 million kWh annually, equivalent to the annual electricity consumption of 5,000 households [6][8] - Tencent's project not only reduces carbon emissions by nearly 8,000 tons annually but also saves over 3.5 million yuan in electricity costs, demonstrating that green transformation can yield economic benefits [8] Industry Trends - The shift towards green computing is becoming a core competitive advantage in the data center industry, as the demand for computing power continues to grow alongside the digital economy [8][10] - The green electricity ratio directly impacts operational costs, and more clients are considering environmental performance when selecting cloud service providers [8] - Future policies will further clarify the direction of green energy initiatives, with ongoing plans to enhance the integration of computing power and energy management through innovative mechanisms [10]
聊城加速构建新型能源体系
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-09-30 16:18
陶春燕聊城报道 近年来,聊城市加快构建"风、光、储、氢"等多能互补的能源格局,推动高端轴承产业由大向强转变,全力 打造特色鲜明、优势突出的现代化产业体系。9月26日,聊城市政府新闻办召开"产业链上的山东好品 牌"企业家系列现场记者见面会聊城新能源和高端轴承产业链专场,市能源发展服务中心副主任赵志新介 绍了全市新能源产业链发展情况。 新能源产业链,坚持"项目为王"理念,以项目带动产业发展,不断推动新能源产业做大做强。在企业方面。 目前全市共有新能源装备制造企业7家,鲁西新能源装备集团有限公司为链主企业,规上企业共有金源新能 源、冠县民生路桥等6家。在项目方面。积极推动项目布局,目前,全市共有62个"风光储"项目。其中:集 中式风电项目2个在运,9个在建,5个"千乡万村驭风行动"风电项目有序推进;集中式光伏项目34个在运,3 个在建;储能项目4个在运,5个在建。聊城市先后赴青岛、北京等地开展新能源产业链招商活动,围绕风 电、光伏开发配套引进2个新能源装备制造项目。在指标方面。2024年,6家规上企业营业收入实现9.97亿 元,同比增长15%。多次组织市自然资源和规划局、市行政审批局等有关部门召开新能源项目推进会, ...
港股异动 | 风电股集体走高 国内前8月风电新增装机量高增 以大代小贡献陆风需求增量
智通财经网· 2025-09-29 02:32
Group 1 - Wind power stocks collectively rose, with China High-Speed Transmission up 5.17% to HKD 1.83, Longyuan Power up 4.57% to HKD 8.23, and Goldwind Technology up 4.12% to HKD 13.91 [1] - From January to August, China's newly installed wind power generation capacity reached 57.84 GW, an increase of 24.24 GW year-on-year [1] - According to Wood Mackenzie, global new wind power installations are expected to reach 170 GW in 2025, setting a historical record, with average annual new installations exceeding 170 GW over the next five years [1] Group 2 - The "large replaces small" wind power project in Ningxia Huadian has commenced, indicating a shift from older 1.5 MW models to larger capacities, which suggests significant potential for demand growth in onshore wind power [1] - The historical dominance of the 1.5 MW model in China's wind power market creates substantial room for replacement and capacity enhancement under the "large replaces small" strategy [1]
行业比较与配置系列(2025年10月):10月行业配置关注:高景气持续与困境反转的线索
CMS· 2025-09-28 14:01
Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing high prosperity in certain sectors and the potential for recovery in struggling areas, focusing on industries such as non-ferrous metals, power equipment, machinery, automotive, electronics, and media [2][4][5]. Market Performance and Economic Indicators - In the past month, the market experienced slight fluctuations upward, with the overall indices showing mixed results, particularly in the technology TMT sector and midstream manufacturing, which saw improved prosperity [2][4][17]. - Economic data indicated a general slowdown, with production outpacing demand, and various sectors showing different levels of performance [4][18]. Sector Recommendations - **Non-Ferrous Metals**: Supply disruptions and seasonal demand are expected to drive prices higher, particularly for industrial metals like copper and aluminum, as well as small metals such as rare earths [5][16]. - **Power Equipment**: The solid-state battery industry is advancing, and the solar power sector is benefiting from increased demand and improved pricing structures [5][16]. - **Machinery**: The humanoid robot sector is poised for growth due to domestic technological advancements and supportive policies [5][16]. - **Automotive**: The automotive industry is entering a recovery phase with improved supply-demand dynamics and supportive government policies [5][16]. - **Electronics**: The consumer electronics sector is entering a peak season, driven by innovation and strong demand for AI-related products [5][16]. - **Media**: The gaming sector is experiencing structural recovery, supported by content optimization and AI technology [5][16]. Economic and Sectoral Trends - The report notes that the market is entering a bullish phase, with significant sector rotation expected, particularly in technology-driven areas [4][5][7]. - Analysts have raised profit expectations for several industries, including steel, military electronics, and insurance, indicating a positive outlook for these sectors [7][12]. Trading Dynamics - Recent trading activity has shown a divergence across sectors, with high turnover in consumer electronics and automotive parts, while sectors like oil and gas have seen lower trading volumes [5][7]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring policy impacts and fundamental recovery in the coming months, particularly in technology innovation as a growth driver [7][12].
十月策略及十大金股:为牛市换挡
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-09-28 13:06
Group 1: Strategy Overview - The report emphasizes a transition towards a bull market, driven by recovering demand for physical assets amidst supply constraints, particularly in the copper market [3][9][12] - Recent disruptions in copper supply, notably from the Grasberg mine, are expected to create price elasticity for future manufacturing demand recovery [9][12] - The report highlights a shift from a focus on financial assets to physical assets, indicating a potential new cycle for resource commodities [4][12] Group 2: Key Companies and Industries - **Engineering Machinery: Hengli Hydraulic (601100.SH)** is positioned for growth due to increased overseas demand and domestic infrastructure projects, with a favorable outlook for its core business [14] - **Non-Banking Financial: Sichuan Shuangma (000935.SZ)** is transitioning to an innovative drug CDMO model, with significant growth potential from its investment projects and pharmaceutical capacity expansion [15][16] - **Food and Beverage: Angel Yeast (600298.SH)** is expected to benefit from overseas expansion and improved domestic demand, with a favorable cost environment [17] - **Transportation: Juneyao Airlines (603885.SH)** is set to gain from industry supply-demand improvements and reduced interest expenses, with positive short-term catalysts from seasonal demand [18] - **Retail: Gu Ming (1364.HK)** is leveraging a unique store expansion strategy in the competitive milk tea market, with significant growth potential in coffee products [19] - **Media and Internet: Tencent Holdings (0700.HK)** is integrating AI across its ecosystem, enhancing its competitive edge and driving growth through high-margin businesses [20][21] - **Electronics: Lante Optics (688127.SH)** is experiencing strong demand in various sectors, with supply constraints on production equipment [22] - **Computing: Hikvision (002415.SZ)** is seeing a recovery in operating quality and profitability, with a focus on AI-driven products [23] - **Pharmaceuticals: Innovent Biologics (9969.HK)** is a leader in hematology and autoimmune therapies, with significant growth potential from its core products [24] - **Defense and Military: Guobo Electronics (688375.SH)** is positioned to benefit from growth in military and satellite internet sectors, with a strong market outlook [25]