热点资讯 1. 7月10日，中共中央政治局委员、外交部长王毅在吉隆坡会见俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫。双方就伊朗核问题交换意见。拉夫罗夫 介绍了俄方立场考虑。王毅表示，武力换不来和平，施压不解决问题，对话谈判才是根本出路。 2. 当地时间7月9日，特朗普宣布对铜征50%关税。中国外交部发言人毛宁对此表示：这个问题我们立场非常明确，我们一贯反 对泛化国家安全概念，我们也始终认为关税战、贸易战没有赢家，滥施关税不符合任何一方的利益。 3. 商务部回应美商务部长称可能于8月初与中方谈判代表会面：目前，双方在多个层级就经贸领域各自关切保持密切沟通。 早盘速递 2025/7/11 4. 美联储官员穆萨莱姆表示， 当前经济形势良好， 关税的具体影响可能要到今年晚些时候或明年初才会完全显现出来。 5.旧金山联储主席戴利表示，她仍认为今年可能会有两次降息，并指出关税对价格的影响较预期更为温和的可能性正在上升。 重点关注 烧碱、纯苯、焦煤、尿素、菜油 夜盘表现 板块表现 -2.00 -1.50 -1.00 -0.50 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 板块涨跌幅（%） 非金属建材, 2.75% 贵金属, 27.19% 油脂油料, ...

特朗普告知加拿大，已准备从8月1日起对进口商品征收35%的关税。此关税将与行业关税分开征收。特朗普声称加拿大对美国乳制品征收了离谱的关税，如果加拿大与美国合作阻止芬太尼流入美国，会考虑对35%的关税进行调整。外汇交易员 (@myfxtrader):特朗普表示将对加拿大商品征收35%的关税。 ...

特朗普表示，如果加拿大出于任何原因决定提高（对美）关税，那么美国对加拿大征收的35%关税也会 相应提高。 ...

Economic Data and Market Sentiment - The U.S. Labor Department reported a surprising drop in initial jobless claims to 227,000, below the Dow Jones estimate of 235,000, indicating resilience in the job market [3] - The four-week average of initial claims decreased from 241,500 to 235,500, further supporting the positive employment outlook [3] Treasury Yields - As of the latest close, the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield remained flat at 3.86%, while the 10-year yield increased by 1 basis point to 4.35%, and the 30-year yield decreased by 1 basis point to 4.865% [1] - In the European market, the 10-year German bond yield fell by 0.8 basis points to 2.654%, while the 10-year Italian bond yield rose by 1.1 basis points to 3.593% [5] Trade and Tariff Implications - The Yale Budget Lab estimated that tariffs proposed by Trump could lead to an additional $2,400 in expenses for the average American household this year [3] - There is optimism regarding a potential tariff agreement between the EU and the U.S. to avoid additional import taxes [5] Federal Reserve and Political Dynamics - Criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has intensified, with officials suggesting that the administration may be preparing to dismiss him [4] - Analysts warn that Powell's potential dismissal could negatively impact financial markets, as it may signal a loss of independence for the Federal Reserve [4] International Market Trends - In the Asia-Pacific region, Japanese bond yields increased, with the 2-year yield rising by 0.4 basis points to 0.762% [6] - The Bank of England is expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points in August, reducing the rate from 4.25% to 4.0% [5]

美国总统特朗普：我们将宣布所有剩余国家都必须支付关税，无论是20%还是15%。欧盟成员国和加拿大将不晚于周五收到关税函。周一将就俄罗斯问题发表“重要声明”，预计参议院将通过对俄制裁法案。 ...

知情人士说，这位财政部长表示，在他们处理贸易公告时，他建议特朗普要有耐心。 AI播客：换个方式听新闻 下载mp3 音频由扣子空间生成 美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特在爱达荷州太阳谷对一屋子亿万富翁表示，美国总统特朗普与他的前老板 乔治·索罗斯有一个共同的性格特点：他们在进行高风险交易时都缺乏耐心。 贝森特周三在被称为"亿万富翁夏令营"的安伦公司（Allen & Co.）年度会议上发表了讲话。据在场人士 称，当被主持人要求比较他现任和前任老板时，贝森特表示，特朗普和索罗斯在性情、要求和不耐烦方 面都很相似。 贝森特定于下周前往日本，尽管财政部表示贸易问题不会在他访问期间被提及。预计他还将很快与中国 官员以及印度尼西亚的经济事务协调部长会面。 贝森特还对前白宫顾问、特斯拉CEO埃隆·马斯克进行了几次嘲讽，据报道他与马斯克曾发生冲突。 一位知情人士说，当被问及马斯克组建政党一事时，贝森特反问道："什么党？"然后他打趣说，马斯克 可能可以在火星上获得选票，这指的是马斯克希望通过其太空公司SpaceX将人类送上火星的雄心。 知情人士说，贝森特称赞特朗普有识别问题和找到解决方案的独特能力，但表示他在执行方面有时可能 会没有耐 ...

Core Viewpoint - Trump's comments on tariffs have led to a significant market reaction, with Nasdaq futures declining and the US dollar index rising, indicating investor concerns about potential trade implications [1] Market Reactions - Nasdaq futures have seen a decline of 0.6% following Trump's tariff remarks [1] - The US dollar index (DXY) has increased by 0.2%, reflecting a stronger dollar amidst the tariff discussions [1] - The Canadian dollar has depreciated against the US dollar by approximately 0.5%, indicating currency market volatility [1] - Spot gold prices have experienced a slight increase, suggesting a shift towards safe-haven assets in response to market uncertainty [1]

Core Viewpoint - The outlook for interest rate cuts may exceed expectations, and after fluctuations, gold prices are anticipated to rise again [1][6]. Market Performance - On July 10, international gold prices rebounded, closing up 0.32% after fluctuating between a high of $3330.16 and a low of $3310.15 [1]. - The dollar index experienced a rise but faced resistance at the mid-line, limiting the downward pressure on gold prices [3]. Economic Indicators - Some Federal Reserve officials indicated that inflation impacts are not yet visible, suggesting a delay until next year, which has pressured gold prices [3]. - However, the possibility of two interest rate cuts this year, as mentioned by Fed's Daly, has supported gold prices [5]. Future Projections - Economic growth consensus for 2025 and 2026 has been revised down from 2.2% to 1.5%, indicating a potential for more aggressive monetary easing by the Fed in the future [6]. - The anticipated interest rate cuts next year could lead to significant increases in gold prices, similar to or exceeding the gains seen in the past two years [6]. Technical Analysis - Monthly charts indicate a potential top formation for gold prices, with risks of a decline to $3000 or $2600 unless the price remains above the May moving average [8]. - Daily charts show that while gold prices have been fluctuating downwards, they remain above the support of the weekly ascending channel, suggesting a possible upcoming rebound [10]. Trading Strategy - Suggested trading points for gold include support levels at $3313 or $3304 and resistance levels at $3334 or $3344 [10]. - For silver, support is noted at $36.95 or $36.75, with resistance at $37.30 or $37.60 [10].

Group 1: Trade and Tariffs - The US announced a 50% tariff on Brazilian goods starting August 1, prompting Brazilian President Lula to seek negotiations with the US and consider retaliatory measures if negotiations fail [1] - Lula emphasized that Brazil can survive without trading in US dollars and suggested that Trump should address tariff issues at the G20 [1] - The US Treasury Secretary hinted at the need for patience in trade discussions, comparing Trump's temperament to that of George Soros [1] Group 2: Market Performance - Major US stock indices reached new highs, with the Nasdaq up 0.09%, S&P 500 up 0.27%, and Dow Jones up 0.43% [1][3] - Nvidia's stock rose 47% since the announcement of tariffs, reflecting strong performance in the tech sector [1] - The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index increased by 0.90%, with Alibaba rising over 2% and Netease dropping over 2% [2] Group 3: Economic Indicators - The US initial jobless claims for the week ending July 5 were reported at 227,000, lower than the expected 235,000 [14] - The US Treasury yields showed slight changes, with the 10-year yield at 4.351% [5] - The dollar index increased by 0.10%, indicating a slight strengthening of the US dollar [5] Group 4: Corporate Developments - Tesla's stock rose by 4.73%, while AMD increased by 4.15% [2] - TSMC reported a 26.9% year-on-year increase in sales for June, with total sales for the first half of the year up 40% [11] - BYD announced its advanced parking assistance technology, claiming it can achieve L4-level autonomous parking [12]

特朗普表示将对加拿大商品征收35%的关税。 ...