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Buy, Sell Or Hold CarMax Stock?
Forbes· 2025-06-24 11:05
Core Viewpoint - CarMax reported better-than-expected Q1 results, with revenue rising approximately 6% year-over-year to $7.55 billion and earnings exceeding predictions at $1.38 per share, leading to a nearly 6% surge in stock price [2] Financial Performance - CarMax experienced a 6.6% rise in same-store sales year-over-year during the quarter, indicating a positive shift after a slight decline over the past two years [2] - The company noted an improvement in gross margins, with retail gross profit per used unit nearing an all-time high due to increased demand and cost efficiencies [2] - Quarterly revenues grew 6.7% to $6.0 billion compared to $5.6 billion a year prior, contrasting with a 4.8% improvement for the S&P 500 [6] - CarMax's revenues have decreased 0.7% from $27 billion to $26 billion in the last 12 months, against a 5.5% growth for the S&P 500 [6] Valuation Comparison - CarMax's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is 0.4 compared to 3.1 for the S&P 500, and its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 19.7 versus 26.9 for the benchmark [6] - The current valuation of CarMax appears moderate when compared to its operational performance and financial health over recent years [3] Profitability Metrics - CarMax's operating income for the last four quarters was -$221 million, reflecting an operating margin of -0.8% [7] - The operating cash flow (OCF) for this period was $624 million, indicating an OCF margin of 2.4%, compared to 14.9% for the S&P 500 [7] - Net income for the four-quarter period was $501 million, resulting in a net income margin of 1.9%, against 11.6% for the S&P 500 [7] Financial Stability - CarMax's total debt was $19 billion at the end of the most recent quarter, with a market capitalization of $11 billion, leading to a debt-to-equity ratio of 194.8% compared to 19.4% for the S&P 500 [9] - Cash and cash equivalents amount to $247 million of the $27 billion in total assets, resulting in a cash-to-assets ratio of 0.9% [9] Downturn Resilience - KMX stock has historically performed worse than the S&P 500 during several downturns, indicating lower resilience in adverse market conditions [9] - The stock experienced a significant decline of 64.0% from a peak of $154.85 in November 2021 to $55.69 in October 2022, compared to a 25.4% drop for the S&P 500 [10] - During the COVID pandemic, KMX stock fell 56.6% from a high of $101.90 in February 2020 to $44.27 in March 2020, versus a 33.9% decline for the S&P 500 [11] Overall Assessment - CarMax's performance across key metrics indicates extremely weak operational performance and financial condition, leading to the conclusion that KMX is a very unattractive stock to buy [12][14]
Micron: A Key Beneficiary Of AI-Driven Demand For HBM
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-23 15:08
Focused on long/short equity strategies, conducting deep fundamental analysis to pinpoint undervalued stocks for long positions and overvalued stocks for short positions in global equity markets. Built detailed financial models using discounted cash flow (DCF), relative valuation, and scenario analysis to evaluate company fundamentals, growth potential, and risks. Delivered high-conviction investment recommendations through comprehensive research, driving alpha generation for the fund. Monitored market tren ...
摩根大通:制药行业-数据手册-估值、产品销售趋势
摩根· 2025-06-23 13:16
Japan Equity Research June 20, 2025 Pharmaceutical Sector Data Book – Valuation, Product Sales Trend Biotechnology & Pharmaceuticals/ Medical Technologies & Services Seiji Wakao, Ph.D. AC seiji.wakao@jpmorgan.com (81-3) 6736-8612 | | | | | P/E(x) | | | | | | P/B(x) | | | | | | EV/EBITDA(x) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | FY25E | FY26E | FY27E | FY28E | FY29E | FY35E | FY25E | FY26E | FY27E | FY28E | FY29E ...
瑞银:2025 年 6 月 20 日全球石油与天然气估值
瑞银· 2025-06-23 13:15
ab 20 June 2025 Global Research Global Oil and Gas Global Oil & Gas Valuation 20 June 2025 UBS Investment Research Global Oil & Gas Valuation Sheets This material has been prepared by UBS Europe SE Henri Patricot CFA, Analyst, +33-1-4888 3033, henri.patricot@ubs.com 20 June 2025 India Bharat Petroleum Hindustan Petroleum Indian Oil ONGC Reliance Industries Europe BP BW LPG Ceres Power ENI Fuchs Petrolub Galp Industrie De Nora ITM Power MOL Motor Oil North America Aemetis Antero Resources APA Corp Arc Resour ...
Top Valuations In LiDAR: Ouster Vs. Aeva
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-23 11:45
Group 1 - The core focus is on the increased investment by Sylebra, a hedge fund, in Aeva, a lidar technology company, during its SPAC phase, indicating growing confidence in the company's prospects [1] - The analysis highlights a shift in interest from solar manufacturers and renewable yieldcos to lidar companies, emphasizing the importance of technology, adoption rates, and revenue growth in this sector [1]
高盛:中国金融-整体积极趋势下的选股差异_中金公司 - H 股(买入)与富途(中性)、恒生电子(买入)与东方财富_中国券商及资管机构
Goldman Sachs· 2025-06-23 02:09
19 June 2025 | 7:30PM HKT China Brokers & Asset Managers Stock selection differences amid overall positive trend. CICC-H (Buy) and FUTU (Neutral), Hundsun (Buy) and East Since May, broker and fintech stocks (including FUTU, East Money and Hundsun) have performed well, with average returns of +27%/+9% vs. +8%/+3% for the H/A share index. Looking back at the factors that we mentioned could constrain broker and fintech valuations (see our May report), we believe positive changes on ADTV and turnover - which ar ...
花旗:中国材料 _ 2025 年实地需求监测-铝库存与消费
花旗· 2025-06-23 02:09
Investment Rating - The investment rating for Aluminum Corporation of China (Chalco) is "Buy" with a target price of Rmb9.62 per share based on a 2.22x 2025E P/B [18] - The investment rating for Baoshan Iron & Steel is "Buy" with a target price of Rmb8.2 per share based on a 0.85x 2025E P/B [22] - The investment rating for Tianqi Lithium is "Hold" with a target price of HK$23.0 for H-shares and Rmb26.26 for A-shares [24][27] Core Insights - The report indicates cautious market expectations regarding demand recovery in the aluminum sector in China, with a near-term pecking order of steel > aluminum > lithium > copper > gold > battery > thermal coal > cement [1] - Total aluminum production in China for the week of June 12-18, 2025, was 845kt, flat week-over-week (WoW), and up 3% year-over-year (YoY) [2] - Total aluminum inventory in China stood at 722kt on June 19, 2025, reflecting a 1% increase WoW but a significant 38% decrease YoY [3] - Apparent aluminum consumption in China was 849kt during the same week, down 6% WoW but up 5.8% YoY for the year-to-date [4] Production Summary - China's total aluminum production year-to-date reached 20.9 million tonnes (mnt), representing a 3.2% increase YoY, while aluminum billet production was 8.4mnt, up 6.2% YoY [2] - Aluminum billet production for the week was 365kt, flat WoW, and up 9% YoY [2] Inventory Summary - The total inventory of aluminum ingots was 493kt, down 3% WoW and 40% YoY, while aluminum billet inventory was 229kt, up 9% WoW but down 30% YoY [3] - The inventory levels are lower than the same period in 2021-2024 on a lunar calendar basis [7] Consumption Summary - Apparent consumption of aluminum ingots was 885kt, down 3% WoW but up 1% YoY, while aluminum billet apparent consumption was 329kt, down 7% WoW but up 3% YoY [4] - Year-to-date apparent consumption of aluminum in China reached 21.6mnt, reflecting a 5.8% increase YoY [4]
2 Top Stocks to Buy Now at Big Discounts and Hold for Years
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-21 08:10
Group 1: RH (Restoration Hardware) - RH has faced macroeconomic challenges, including a weak housing market and tariff uncertainties, leading to a 52% decline in stock price this year [4] - The company's trailing-12-month revenue is $3.3 billion, down from a peak of $3.9 billion, but it reported a 12% year-over-year revenue growth in the latest quarter [5] - RH is expanding into the $200 billion North American hotel industry with RH Guesthouses and offers luxury services, creating a lifestyle ecosystem beyond furniture [6] - The company has historically reported higher margins than average furniture stores, with an adjusted operating margin of 7% in the first quarter, below its 10-year average of 12% [7] - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-sales multiple of 1.16, significantly below its 10-year average of over 2 times sales, presenting a buying opportunity for long-term investors [8] Group 2: Roku - Roku's stock is trading about 32% below its price from five years ago, despite showing double-digit revenue growth [10] - As a leading connected-TV streaming platform, Roku benefits from a growing digital advertising market, which constitutes the majority of its revenue [11] - The platform achieved 35.8 billion total streaming hours in the first quarter, a 16% year-over-year increase, indicating strong user engagement [13] - Roku's recent integration with Amazon Ads allows advertisers to access 80% of U.S. connected TV households, potentially boosting advertising revenue [14] - The stock is priced at a 2.74 price-to-sales multiple, at the low end of its historical range, suggesting potential for future gains as advertising investment increases [16]
NYU's Aswath Damodaren: Earnings have held up, warranting valuations
CNBC Television· 2025-06-20 21:07
Back. It's a question almost every investor is thinking about given the uncertainty in the markets. Are stocks overvalued at current levels or not.Well, who better than the so-called Dean evaluation to weigh in. Oswerin of NYU Stern School of Business joins us now. It's good to see you.What What would your answer be. Well, if you thought stocks were fairly valued at the start of the year, you got to think they're fairly valued still because you come through a trial by fire. And it's amazing to me that stock ...
KNSL Lags Industry, Trades at Premium: How to Play the Stock
ZACKS· 2025-06-20 15:00
Core Insights - Kinsale Capital Group, Inc. (KNSL) shares have increased by 17.4% over the past year, slightly underperforming the Finance sector's growth of 18.2% and the industry growth of 17.5%, but outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite return of 9.5% [1] - The company has a market capitalization of $10.74 billion, with an average trading volume of 0.2 million shares over the last three months [4] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Kinsale Capital's 2025 earnings per share indicates a year-over-year increase of 10%, with revenues projected at $1.75 billion, reflecting a 10.2% improvement [5] - Earnings have grown by 44.3% over the past five years, surpassing the industry average of 20.8%, with a long-term earnings growth rate expected at 15%, compared to the industry average of 6.8% [6] Earnings Performance - Kinsale Capital has consistently surpassed earnings estimates in the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 11.07% [7] Financial Metrics - The return on equity (ROE) for Kinsale Capital stands at 26.37%, significantly higher than the industry average of 7.8%, indicating efficient use of shareholders' funds [10] - The return on invested capital (ROIC) is reported at 22.7%, compared to the industry's 5.9%, reflecting effective capital utilization [11] Analyst Sentiment - Mixed analyst sentiment is observed, with six out of eight analysts raising estimates for 2025, while six out of seven have lowered estimates for 2026 over the past 60 days [12] Valuation - Kinsale Capital shares are currently trading at a price-to-book value of 6.79X, which is higher than the industry average of 1.55X, indicating a premium valuation [13] Price Target - The average price target for Kinsale Capital, based on short-term estimates from eight analysts, is $474.63 per share, suggesting a potential upside of 2.9% from the last closing price [14] Market Positioning - Kinsale Capital is well-positioned in the excess and surplus (E&S) market, benefiting from high retention rates and improved underwriting results compared to the broader P&C industry [16] - The company targets small to medium-sized accounts, which allows for better pricing and reduced competition, with management estimating low double-digit rate increases across its business [17] Operational Efficiency - Kinsale Capital's proprietary technology platform enhances operational efficiency and expense ratios, contributing to improved margins and lower loss ratios [18] - The company has maintained a free cash flow conversion rate exceeding 85% in recent quarters, reflecting stable earnings [19] Dividend and Share Repurchase - Kinsale Capital has a strong dividend history, with a seven-year CAGR of 12.1% from 2017 to 2024, and has authorized a share repurchase program of up to $100 million [21]