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Why Hershey's Bitter Stock Performance Could Become Much Sweeter
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-18 07:25
Core Viewpoint - Hershey faces significant challenges due to rising cocoa prices and supply shortages, leading to a stock decline of over 40% in the past two years, but there are reasons for optimism regarding its future performance [1][4][12] Group 1: Challenges Faced by Hershey - Cocoa prices have surged from below $2,000 per metric ton in fall 2022 to around $10,000 per metric ton currently, significantly impacting margins [4][5] - The majority of cocoa is produced in countries like Ivory Coast, where crop yields have been affected by disease and adverse weather, contributing to the price increase [5] - Hershey's candy sales in North America accounted for 82% of its revenue in Q1 2025, but net sales fell 14% to $2.8 billion during the same period [5][6] Group 2: Reasons for Optimism - Hershey projects a net sales gain of at least 2% for 2025, indicating customer loyalty despite high cocoa prices [8] - The top three cocoa producers reported a 20% increase in supply this season, providing some relief to Hershey [8] - Hershey has maintained a dividend of $5.48 per share, with a 3.4% yield, significantly higher than the S&P 500 average of 1.3%, and has increased its dividend for 15 consecutive years [9][10] Group 3: Financial Performance and Valuation - Despite challenges, Hershey generated over $1.9 billion in free cash flow in 2024, allowing it to sustain its dividend payments [10] - The stock trades at 20 times earnings, below its five-year average P/E ratio of 25, suggesting potential for recovery as cocoa shortages ease [11]
This stock has the highest dividend yield of 41%, but should you buy?
Finbold· 2025-05-14 11:32
Core Viewpoint - ZIM Integrated Shipping Services offers an exceptionally high dividend yield of 41.73%, attracting income-focused investors, but faces potential risks due to industry volatility and analysts predict a possible 20% stock decline despite expected earnings growth [1][4][9] Company Overview - ZIM currently provides a quarterly dividend of $1.79, with its share price increasing over 20% in the past month, closing at $17.11, driven by improved trade relations between the U.S. and China [2] - The company is perceived as undervalued with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 0.96, indicating it earns nearly as much per share as its current stock price, which is uncommon in the current market [3] Financial Performance - ZIM's fundamentals show potential for future growth, with expectations of a rebound similar to its performance in 2020-2021 when container rates surged [5] - Analysts anticipate ZIM's upcoming earnings report on May 19, projecting earnings per share (EPS) of $1.66, a 121% increase year-over-year, and revenue of $1.73 billion, an 11% increase [8] Industry Context - ZIM's fleet primarily operates on the Asia-North America trade route, positioning the company to benefit from increased shipping demand as trade tensions ease [7] - The company has been proactive in innovation, launching smart containers with solar-powered trackers to enhance cargo visibility and tracking efficiency [7] Market Sentiment - Despite the attractive dividend yield, Wall Street analysts express caution, with a consensus predicting a 20% decline in ZIM's stock over the next year, setting a target price of $13.60 [9]
Is AEM Stock a Screaming Buy After the 50% YTD Price Rally?
ZACKS· 2025-05-12 11:45
Core Viewpoint - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) has seen a 50% increase in its shares this year, driven by rising gold prices and strong earnings performance, despite underperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry which rose by 62.2% [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - AEM's shares have outperformed the S&P 500's decline of 4.4% [1] - AEM's peers, Barrick Mining Corporation, Newmont Corporation, and Kinross Gold Corporation, have experienced stock increases of 25.5%, 45%, and 62.5% respectively during the same period [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - AEM's operating cash flow increased by approximately 33% year-over-year to $1,044 million in the first quarter [13] - Free cash flows for AEM in the first quarter reached $594 million, up around 50% year-over-year [13] - AEM reduced its net debt by $212 million sequentially to just $5 million at the end of the first quarter, with a long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio of around 5% [13] Group 3: Project Development - AEM is advancing key projects such as the Odyssey project, Detour Lake, Hope Bay, Upper Beaver, and San Nicolas, which are expected to enhance production and cash flows [10] - The Hope Bay Project has proven and probable mineral reserves of 3.4 million ounces, anticipated to significantly contribute to cash flow in the coming years [11] - The processing plant expansion at Meliadine is expected to increase mill capacity to approximately 6,250 tons per day by 2025 [11] Group 4: Market Conditions - Gold prices have surged roughly 27% this year, influenced by aggressive trade policies and increased central bank purchases [14] - Gold prices reached a record high of $3,500 per ounce on April 22, driven by geopolitical tensions and expectations of interest rate cuts [14] Group 5: Dividend and Valuation - AEM offers a dividend yield of 1.4% with a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.3% and a payout ratio of 32% [15][16] - AEM is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 19.26, which is a 17.7% premium to the peer group average of 16.37 [18] Group 6: Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM's 2025 earnings has increased, with a projected year-over-year growth of 42.1% [17] - Earnings are expected to grow by approximately 35.5% in the first quarter of 2025 [17] Group 7: Investment Recommendation - AEM presents a compelling investment case due to its strong pipeline of growth projects, solid financial health, and favorable gold pricing environment [21]
Freeport-McMoRan Stock Gains 20% in a Month: Should You Bet on It Now?
ZACKS· 2025-05-09 11:30
Core Viewpoint - Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (FCX) has seen a significant share price increase of 19.6% over the past month, outperforming both the Zacks Mining - Non Ferrous industry and the S&P 500, driven by positive guidance and share buyback activities despite a decline in first-quarter results [1]. Group 1: Price Performance - FCX's shares have outperformed its peers, with Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO) and BHP Group Limited (BHP) gaining 7.6% and 10.8%, respectively, during the same period [1]. - The stock is currently trading above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) but has been below the 200-day SMA since November 2024, indicating a bearish trend [4][5]. Group 2: Growth and Expansion - FCX is focused on organic growth opportunities, including a large-scale concentrator expansion at Cerro Verde in Peru, which is expected to add approximately 600 million pounds of copper annually [8]. - The company is evaluating a significant expansion at El Abra in Chile and conducting pre-feasibility studies in Arizona to explore further sulfide expansion opportunities [8]. - PT Freeport Indonesia has completed construction of a new greenfield smelter, expected to start up in Q2 2025, and is developing the Kucing Liar ore body with production targeted for 2030 [9]. Group 3: Financial Health - FCX generated operating cash flows of around $1.1 billion in Q1 2025 and has distributed $5 billion to shareholders since June 2021 [10]. - The company ended Q1 with $4.4 billion in cash and cash equivalents, with a net debt of $1.5 billion, below its targeted range of $3-$4 billion [11]. - FCX has a dividend yield of approximately 0.8% and a payout ratio of 22%, indicating a sustainable dividend policy [12]. Group 4: Market Challenges - Copper prices have been volatile, with a recent peak of $5.24 per pound in late March, followed by a decline to around $4.1 per pound in early April due to demand concerns [13][14]. - Earnings estimates for FCX for 2025 have been revised lower over the past 60 days, reflecting market challenges [15]. Group 5: Valuation - FCX is currently trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 20.36X, which is a 6.9% premium to the industry average of 19.04X [16]. Group 6: Investment Outlook - Despite the positives in expansion activities and financial health, declining earnings estimates and falling copper prices suggest a cautious approach, recommending to hold onto FCX stock for current investors [19].
Fed Leaves Interest Rates Unchanged: 4 Low-Beta Utility Stocks to Buy
ZACKS· 2025-05-08 15:55
Group 1: Market Overview - Stocks experienced volatility as the Federal Reserve maintained interest rates in the range of 4.25-4.5% during its May FOMC meeting, amid high inflation and economic uncertainty due to tariffs [1][4] - The U.S. economy contracted by 0.3% in Q1 2025, contrary to expectations of a 0.4% growth, raising recession fears [7] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - Defensive stocks, particularly in the utilities sector, are recommended for investment, including The AES Corporation, DTE Energy Company, Atmos Energy Corporation, and American Water Works Company, all carrying a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) [2][3] - These stocks are characterized as low-beta (beta < 1) with high dividend yields, making them attractive during market volatility [3] Group 3: Company Profiles - **The AES Corporation**: A global power company with operations in 14 countries, expected earnings growth rate of 1.4%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.94, and a dividend yield of 6.74% [8][9] - **DTE Energy Company**: A diversified energy company with an expected earnings growth rate of 6%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.47, and a dividend yield of 3.17% [10] - **Atmos Energy Corporation**: Engaged in regulated natural gas distribution, with an expected earnings growth rate of 5.3%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.74, and a dividend yield of 2.15% [11][12] - **American Water Works Company**: Provides water services to over 14 million customers, with an expected earnings growth rate of 6.1%, Zacks Rank 2, beta of 0.73, and a dividend yield of 2.08% [13][14]
Buy Pfizer (PFE) Stock for a Rebound After Crushing Q1 EPS Expectations?
ZACKS· 2025-04-30 01:35
Core Insights - Pfizer (PFE) shares increased by 3% following the release of Q1 earnings that significantly exceeded expectations, although the stock has declined 10% year-to-date [1][6] - The company is trading near multi-year lows at approximately $20 per share, which may attract investors looking for a rebound [2][6] Q1 Results - Pfizer reported Q1 earnings of $0.92 per share, surpassing EPS expectations of $0.64 by 43% and up from $0.82 in the same quarter last year [3][4] - Q1 sales totaled $13.71 billion, falling short of estimates of $13.83 billion and down from $14.87 billion year-over-year [4] Full-Year Guidance - Pfizer reaffirmed its fiscal 2025 guidance, projecting revenues between $61 billion and $64 billion, with Zacks projections at $63.48 billion [7] - The company expects adjusted FY25 EPS to be in the range of $2.80 to $3.00, with the Zacks Consensus at $2.99 [7] Valuation Metrics - Pfizer's stock is trading at a price-to-forward earnings ratio of 7.7X, significantly lower than its decade-high of 20.1X and below the S&P 500's 21.3X [8] - The stock is also trading at a discount compared to the Zacks industry average of 16.4X [8] Dividend Information - Pfizer offers an annual dividend yield of 7.46%, which is substantially higher than the industry average of 2.51% and the benchmark's 1.33% [10] - The company has increased its dividend for 16 consecutive years, despite losing its dividend aristocrat status during the 2008 financial crisis [10] Market Sentiment - Following the Q1 report, Pfizer holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), with earnings estimate revisions for FY25 and FY26 trending upward [12] - The company's strong performance in exceeding EPS expectations and its cost-saving initiatives may enhance its valuation and attract long-term investors [13]
Pfizer: I Am Locking In A 7.5% Dividend Yield Before Earnings
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-27 10:11
Group 1 - Pfizer is expected to release its Q1 earnings soon, presenting a potential investment opportunity with a 7.55% dividend yield [1] - The dividend is considered highly likely to be safe due to Pfizer's stabilizing revenue trajectory [1] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of thorough research and a long-term investment perspective in navigating market cycles [1]
Is Altria a Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2025?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-21 16:15
Group 1 - Altria's stock is currently viewed with caution due to geopolitical market uncertainty, despite its attractive 7.2% dividend yield [1] - The company's primary product, cigarettes, is addictive, leading to consistent consumer demand even during economic downturns, which may appeal to income-focused investors in 2025 [2][3] - Altria has demonstrated strong pricing power, consistently increasing product prices to support dividend growth, which has been raised annually since 2009 [4] Group 2 - The dividend payout ratio was approximately 60% in 2024, indicating that while it is somewhat high, it is manageable for a consumer staples company, suggesting near-term dividend safety [5] - Despite the current resilience, Altria faces long-term challenges as cigarette volumes have been declining, with a significant drop of 10.2% in 2024 [6] - Investors should monitor Altria closely, as it is not a company that can be held indefinitely without scrutiny, even if it maintains dividend payments in the short term [7] Group 3 - The ongoing decline in cigarette volumes raises concerns about the sustainability of Altria's business model, as price increases may eventually exacerbate the issue [8] - Altria is actively seeking to diversify its product offerings to counteract cigarette volume declines, but past efforts in vaping and marijuana have faced challenges, including a patent lawsuit with Juul [10] - For investors seeking high-yield opportunities, there are alternative companies with stronger business fundamentals compared to Altria, despite its current yield [11] Group 4 - Altria may be a suitable choice for investors looking for high yield and resilience in the current geopolitical climate, but long-term trends are concerning [12]
How To Earn $500 A Month From 3M Stock Ahead Of Q1 Earnings
Benzinga· 2025-04-21 13:02
Earnings Report - 3M Company is set to release its earnings results for Q1 on April 22, with analysts expecting earnings of $1.77 per share, a decrease from $2.39 per share in the same period last year [1] - Projected quarterly revenue is $5.73 billion, down from $8 billion a year earlier [1] - Citigroup analyst Andrew Kaplowitz has maintained a Neutral rating on 3M and lowered the price target from $152 to $142 [1] Dividend Information - 3M currently offers an annual dividend yield of 2.24%, translating to a quarterly dividend of 73 cents per share, or $2.92 annually [2] - To achieve a monthly income of $500 from dividends, an investment of approximately $267,582 or around 2,055 shares is required [2] - For a more modest monthly income of $100, an investment of $53,516 or around 411 shares is necessary [2] Dividend Yield Mechanics - The dividend yield is calculated by dividing the annual dividend payment by the stock's current price [3] - Changes in stock price affect the dividend yield; for instance, if a stock priced at $50 pays a $2 annual dividend, the yield is 4%, but if the price rises to $60, the yield drops to 3.33% [3] - Conversely, if the stock price falls to $40, the yield increases to 5% [3] Impact of Dividend Changes - Changes in dividend payments also impact the yield; an increase in dividends raises the yield if the stock price remains constant, while a decrease lowers the yield [4] - 3M's shares fell 0.2% to close at $130.21 on Thursday [4]
Down 62%, Should You Buy the Dip on Pfizer?
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-08 08:40
Core Viewpoint - The narrative surrounding Pfizer is currently negative, but this presents an interesting investment opportunity as the stock price has significantly declined from its peak during the COVID-19 pandemic [1][2]. Financial Performance - Pfizer's stock has decreased over 63% from its peak in 2022, following a sell-off in the market [1]. - The dividend yield has increased to 7.5%, providing a substantial annual return for investors as long as the dividend is maintained [4]. - Pfizer's price-to-earnings ratio is currently less than 8 times the 2025 earnings estimates, indicating a low valuation [5]. Dividend Sustainability - The high dividend yield is more a reflection of negative market sentiment rather than a sign of unsustainable business fundamentals [6][7]. - Pfizer's management recently raised the quarterly dividend, and the annual payout of $1.72 per share represents only 61% of the lower end of the 2025 earnings guidance [7]. Growth Potential - Pfizer's pipeline includes promising drugs, such as danuglipron for diabetes, which could tap into a market projected to exceed $150 billion by 2030 [11]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions, such as Seagen for $43 billion, to bolster its oncology business [11]. - Despite potential declines in sales due to patent expirations for key products, Pfizer's pipeline and acquisitions position it for future growth [10][11]. Market Outlook - Analysts have varying long-term earnings growth expectations for Pfizer, ranging from 2.5% to over 13.8% [12]. - Even with minimal growth, the stock could still deliver 10% annualized total returns due to the dividend, with potential for higher returns if growth exceeds expectations [13].