Inflation
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X @Wu Blockchain
Wu Blockchain· 2025-11-23 07:38
Solana community has introduced proposal SIMD-0411, which would double the inflation decrement rate from –15% to –30%. This change would accelerate SOL inflation from the current 4.18% down to the long-term 1.5% target by early 2029 instead of 2032 — roughly 3.1 years instead of 6.2. The adjustment would cut projected issuance by about 22.3 million SOL (≈$2.9B) over six years, reducing staking yield pressure and increasing holder retention. The proposal is simple, predictable, and now under governance discu ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-23 05:10
Japan is open to intervening in the currency market “to mitigate the side effects of a weak yen,” a government panel member said, reflecting Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi’s concerns about inflation https://t.co/BDOgD4hom4 ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-23 00:36
Government Policy - The UK government plans to freeze rail fares in the upcoming budget [1] - This measure aims to help voters cope with the cost-of-living crisis and curb inflation [1]
Trust the Nerds: Economics professor says latest jobs data is trustworthy but the White House isn’t
MSNBC· 2025-11-22 22:30
Now to the economy. Mixed signals from a long-awaited jobs report sewing confusion within an already divided Federal Reserve casting doubts about the outlook for December. Meanwhile, Vice President JD Vance striking a new tone when it comes to the economy, pleading for patience as millions of Americans grapple with a growing affordability crisis.>> That there's a lot more work to do. And the thing that I'd ask for the American people is a little bit of patience. And as much progress as we've made, it's goin ...
US Retail Sales Are Proving Resilient While Risks Mount
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-22 21:00
Labor Market and Economic Conditions - Labor-market conditions showed improvement after a summer low, but the onset of a government shutdown has led to renewed weakness in spending and hiring [1] - Firms are focusing on cost-cutting measures, including technology adoption and reduced hiring [1] - The Federal Reserve is expected to consider a rate cut in December to support the fragile economic recovery [1][7] Retail Sector Performance - Retail companies like Walmart Inc. and Gap Inc. reported strong quarterly sales, particularly appealing to higher-income consumers [3] - Home Depot Inc. indicated that many consumers are delaying remodeling projects and large purchases due to economic uncertainty [3] - Consumer sentiment is at its lowest since 2009, with increased concerns about job security [3][4] Consumer Spending Trends - Discretionary spending is primarily driven by upper-income shoppers benefiting from stock market gains, while lower-income consumers are affected by rising costs of essential items [4] - Retail demand remained resilient over the summer, contributing to economic growth in Q3, but there are concerns that consumer spending may decline as hiring slows [4][5] Upcoming Economic Data - Key US economic data to be released includes the producer price index and durable goods orders for September, along with weekly jobless claims [2] - Economists predict a 0.4% increase in retail sales for September, following a 0.6% gain in August [5]
Legendary investor shares bold Fed rate cut prediction
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-22 20:13
Core Insights - The stock market, particularly the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite, has faced challenges as concerns grow over the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of managing low unemployment and inflation [1][2] - The Fed's recent interest rate cuts were influenced by rising unemployment, but there is ongoing debate about potential further cuts in December [2][6] - Inflation has increased to 3% in September from 2.3% in April, primarily due to tariffs, while the job market shows signs of weakness with wages not keeping pace with inflation [3][9] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates in September and October was driven by concerns over rising unemployment [2] - Bill Gross, a veteran bond manager, has expressed skepticism about the Fed's ability to effectively manage its conflicting goals of unemployment and inflation [4][6] - The Fed's cautious approach often results in it falling behind the curve, either by acting too slowly to curb inflation or to boost jobs [7][8] Group 2 - In 2024, the Fed shifted to a dovish monetary policy, cutting the Fed Funds Rate by 1% as inflation appeared to be under control, having decreased from over 8% in 2022 to below 3% [8] - However, inflationary tariffs imposed by President Trump have hindered further rate cuts, with the effective tariff rate rising to 18% from 2.4% in January [9] - The increase in tariffs has led to an estimated average price rise of 6.14% on thousands of goods, exacerbating inflationary pressures [9]
Portugal’s TAP Draws Three Major Bidders as Swiss Inflation Anticipates Slight Acceleration
Stock Market News· 2025-11-22 19:38
Group 1: TAP Privatization - Portugal's state-owned airline TAP has received three formal expressions of interest from major European carriers: IAG, Air France-KLM, and Lufthansa for a minority stake as part of its privatization efforts [3][10] - The Portuguese government plans to sell a 44.9% stake to a strategic airline partner and an additional 5% to TAP employees, while retaining a controlling 50.1% stake in the airline [4][10] - TAP's strategic assets include vital connections to Brazil, Portuguese-speaking African countries, and the United States from its Lisbon hub, which the government aims to preserve and expand [4][5] Group 2: Swiss Inflation Outlook - Swiss National Bank President Martin Schlegel anticipates a slight acceleration in consumer-price growth in Switzerland in the coming quarters, although current inflation remains at the lower end of the SNB's target range of 0% to 2% [6][10] - The central bank's forecasts project inflation to average 0.2% in 2025, rising to 0.5% in 2026 and 0.7% in 2027, while maintaining an expansionary monetary policy with interest rates at zero [7] - Schlegel noted that uncertainty remains high due to potential downside risks from suspended U.S. tariffs on certain pharmaceutical products, with analysts expecting the SNB to keep interest rates unchanged at 0% in the upcoming decision [8]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-22 19:01
Consumer-price growth in Switzerland is expected to accelerate a bit, SNB President Martin Schlegel says https://t.co/kWM9qOGnbP ...
Goldman's Waldron on how tariffs are impacting the economy
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-22 19:00
You can see the uncertainty in the economy. You can see the uncertainty among companies navigating it better and worse depending on their positioning. If you look at earnings, you know, certain companies have much more impact, other companies less so. Certain companies have an ability to pass it on, other companies less so.>> We believe that much of the absorption of tariffs has actually been in the value chain in the company margin and hasn't been passed on. So, we would tend to expect more inflation on th ...