So, right now, as we monitor the impacts of the ongoing government shutdown, try to keep you all informed and updated, our nation's farmers, especially those who grow and export soybeans, are dealing with a crisis of their own. This all started with Trump's trade war with China. And I will get to that in a moment, I promise. But the way Treasury Secretary Scott Besson tells it, somehow Joe Biden, yes, the man who has not been president for eight months, is at fault here. At the meeting in Geneva, when I ask ...

Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgent need for energy to support its growth [1][2][3] - The demand for energy from AI technologies, particularly data centers, is expected to surge, leading to a potential crisis in power supply and rising electricity prices [2][3][7] - A specific company is highlighted as a key player in the energy sector, poised to benefit from the increasing energy demands of AI, owning critical infrastructure assets [3][6][8] Company Overview - The company is described as a "toll booth" operator in the AI energy boom, collecting fees from energy exports and positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for electricity [5][6] - It owns significant nuclear energy infrastructure, making it integral to America's future power strategy and capable of executing large-scale energy projects [7][8] - The company is noted for being debt-free and holding a substantial cash reserve, which is nearly one-third of its market capitalization, providing financial stability [8][10] Market Position - The company is gaining attention from Wall Street as it benefits from multiple industry trends, including the AI infrastructure supercycle and the onshoring boom driven by tariffs [6][14] - It has an equity stake in another AI-related company, offering investors indirect exposure to various AI growth opportunities without high premiums [9][10] - The stock is considered undervalued, trading at less than seven times earnings, which is attractive for investors looking for growth potential [10][11] Industry Trends - The AI sector is characterized as a major disruptor, with companies that embrace AI expected to thrive while traditional industries may struggle [11][12] - There is a significant influx of talent into the AI field, ensuring continuous innovation and advancements, which further supports the investment thesis in AI [12][13] - The future of energy, particularly in relation to AI, is framed as a critical area for investment, with the potential for substantial returns in the coming years [13][15]

Straight into our magic internet money! https://t.co/nc1wW2w9uzPolymarket (@Polymarket):BREAKING: Trump considering up to $2,000 stimulus checks, paid for via tariffs. ...

Trump Reportedly Eyeing $10 Billion Farmer Bailout—Using Tariffs: Here’s What To Knowhttps://t.co/26fRpHgu61 https://t.co/JOL4EDmYzc ...

Core Insights - Nike is facing significant pressure to increase sneaker prices due to new tariffs imposed by the U.S. government, which are expected to impact profit margins and consumer purchasing behavior [1][4][5] Company Overview - Nike has a long-standing reputation in athletic apparel, particularly in running shoes since its founding in the 1960s by Phil Knight, and has maintained a strong brand presence through partnerships with sports stars like Michael Jordan [1][3] - The company reported annual revenue of $46.3 billion for fiscal 2025, a decline from $51.3 billion in FY2024, and employs approximately 77,800 people [7][20] Financial Impact of Tariffs - New tariffs on Chinese imports are set at 30%, while those on Vietnamese imports are at 20%, leading to an estimated annualized cost increase of $1.5 billion for Nike, up from a previous estimate of $1 billion [5][16] - Nike's gross margin is expected to decline by 1.2% in fiscal 2026, with a significant impact anticipated in the upcoming quarter, where gross margins may drop by 3% to 3.75% due to these tariffs [21][16] Market Dynamics - The U.S. footwear industry is heavily reliant on imports, with 99% of products sold in the U.S. being imported, which means that companies like Nike are significantly affected by tariff increases [15] - Despite the challenges, the demand for higher-end sneakers remains, supported by a relatively stable U.S. economy, although inflation pressures are beginning to affect consumer spending [8][11] Competitive Landscape - Nike is not alone in facing these challenges; competitors like Hoka and Adidas are also increasing prices due to similar tariff pressures [22][23] - The footwear market is seeing a shift, with brands like Asics gaining traction, indicating a more competitive environment for Nike [3] Stock Market Reaction - Nike's stock has seen a significant decline of 52% since 2021, with analysts divided on the company's future prospects; some express skepticism about its ability to return to previous growth levels, while others are more optimistic about recent sales improvements [24][25]

Economic Outlook - The likelihood of a recession is perceived to be higher than what markets currently anticipate, with signs of a significant economic slowdown evident [1] - There is an increase in defaults across various loan types, particularly in student loans, credit cards, and auto loans, indicating consumer financial stress [1] Consumer Impact - The recent bankruptcy of the seventh largest used car retailer highlights the pressure on consumers, which is expected to persist as tariffs are passed on to them [2] - This situation is described as a "perfect storm" that could potentially lead to a recession [2] Stock Market Dynamics - Despite economic concerns, the stock market is experiencing a strong performance, with a five-month winning streak and entering Q4, which is historically the best quarter [3] - There is a possibility that the stock market has decoupled from the economy, driven by excitement around AI spending, which could continue to support the S&P 500 [3][4] - However, there is also a risk that stocks may begin to anticipate a significant economic downturn, leading to a potential drawdown in Q4 [4]

A major blow for the Trump administration's chip plan. Taiwan's tariff negotiators said this week they never discussed commerce secretary Lutnik's 50-50 semiconductor production split and they're just not interested. This matters because Secretary Lutnik's threatening 100% tariffs unless companies make one chip domestically for every chip imported.But raw semiconductor imports were only $45 billion last year, about 1% of total US imports. Most chips come in finished products like phone and servers. Enforcin ...

Key Points Shares slid in September following management's move to lower its full-year outlook. Management cited weaker U.S. demand and a meaningful hit to margins from tariffs. Even after the sell-off, valuation is not a clear bargain, given softer growth in the company's largest region. 10 stocks we like better than Lululemon Athletica Inc. › Shares of Lululemon Athletica (NASDAQ: LULU) fell 12% in September, according to data from S&P Global Market Intelligence, as investors digested the athle ...

Core Insights - The U.S. soybean industry is facing significant challenges due to retaliatory tariffs imposed by China, which have increased the overall duty rate on U.S. soybeans to 34% by 2025, making U.S. soybeans prohibitively expensive compared to South American supplies [1][2] - China has not purchased any U.S. soybeans for the 2025-26 marketing year, marking a drastic shift as it previously accounted for around 52% of U.S. soybean exports [3][12] - The U.S. is expected to lose soybean market share to South America permanently, as China increasingly sources soybeans from Brazil and Argentina due to lower prices [4][5] Tariffs and Market Dynamics - The combination of tariffs and trade wars has blunted the competitive advantage of U.S. soybean growers, leading to a significant decline in exports to China [2][3] - U.S. soybean prices have been negatively impacted, with current prices around $10.13 per bushel, down from profitable levels of $14 to $15 [16] Shifts in Supply Chains - China has been building its reserve storage of soybeans, allowing it to reduce reliance on U.S. supplies [7] - Investment in Brazil's agricultural infrastructure by China has facilitated increased soybean production there, further diminishing U.S. market share [8] Domestic Demand and Biofuel - The U.S. biofuel program may help replace some lost soybean demand, with biomass-diesel production rising significantly from 1,471.7 million gallons a decade ago to 4,292.4 million gallons in 2023 [10][11] - However, the U.S. will not be able to fully compensate for the lost demand from China through domestic biofuel policies alone, as it will take years to build the necessary infrastructure [11] Economic Impact on Farmers - The lack of Chinese purchases is expected to create substantial losses for U.S. farmers, leading to storage issues and financial strain [13][15] - Input costs for farming have been rising, further squeezing profit margins for farmers [17]

Breaking: President Trump is considering providing $10 billion or more in aid to U.S. farmers as the agriculture sector warns of economic fallout from his tariffs https://t.co/w6m5t5QtPo ...