多周期分析
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闫瑞祥:黄金3674是强势关键点,欧美四小时支撑不破仍是多
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 04:48
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed a downward trend on Monday, with a high of 97.679 and a low of 97.246, closing at 97.326 [1] - Weekly analysis indicates that the price is currently in a consolidation phase, with resistance at 97.80; a close above this level is needed for a bullish outlook [1] - Daily resistance is at 97.70, and the price must stabilize above this level for potential upward movement; otherwise, it remains under pressure [1] - The four-hour resistance is between 97.40-50, and the price is currently viewed as bearish unless it breaks above this range [1] Gold - Gold prices generally increased on Monday, reaching a high of 3685.43 and a low of 3626.42, closing at 3678.72 [3] - Monthly analysis shows a bullish trend, with 3000 as a critical long-term support level; prices above this level are considered bullish [4] - Weekly analysis indicates that the price has broken key resistance and is making new historical highs, with a critical support level at 3415 [4] - Daily support is at 3578, and the four-hour support is between 3657-3658, with a bullish outlook as long as these levels hold [4][6] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed an upward trend on Monday, with a low of 1.1715 and a high of 1.1774, closing at 1.1760 [6] - Monthly analysis indicates a bullish outlook as long as the price remains above 1.1060; the weekly support level is at 1.1690 [6] - Daily resistance is at 1.1710, and the price is expected to remain bullish above this level; four-hour support is between 1.1740-50 [6] Economic Data and Events - Key economic data to be released includes U.S. retail sales, industrial production, and Canadian CPI, which may impact market sentiment [8][9]
闫瑞祥:黄金早盘低点为分水岭,欧美日线周线支撑止步上行
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 06:09
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed a downward trend on Thursday, with a high of 98.119 and a low of 97.446, closing at 97.522 [1] - The market initially maintained an upward trend but faced pressure after testing daily and weekly resistance areas, resulting in a significant decline [1] - Weekly resistance is at the 97.90 level, and the index is viewed as bearish unless it closes above this level [1] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a decline on Thursday, with a high of 3648.99 and a low of 3612.89, closing at 3633.78 [3] - The market showed weakness initially but rebounded after data releases, closing with a significant decline [3] - The long-term bullish trend is indicated above the 3000 level, while the weekly resistance is at 3400 [3] Group 3: Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed a rebound after testing support levels, with a low of 1.1659 and a high of 1.1745, closing at 1.1732 [4] - The market initially faced downward pressure but recovered significantly during the US trading session [4] - Long-term bullish sentiment is maintained above the 1.1060 level, with key resistance at 1.1690 [4]
闫瑞祥:黄金短线关注承压,欧美关注日线及周线支撑得失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-11 06:49
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend on Wednesday, reaching a high of 97.92 and a low of 97.566, closing at 97.825 [1] - The market experienced initial fluctuations in the morning, followed by a test of four-hour support during the US trading session, ultimately closing positively [1] - Weekly resistance is noted at the 97.90 level, with a bullish outlook only if the weekly close is above this level [1] - Daily resistance is at the 98 level, and the focus is on whether the price can stabilize above this resistance [1] - Key support levels to watch are in the 97.60-70 range, with resistance above at 97.90-98 [1] Gold - Gold prices generally increased on Wednesday, with a high of 3657.43 and a low of 3620.24, closing at 3640.39 [3] - The price initially rebounded after a dip in the morning but faced pressure before the US session, breaking key support levels [3] - Monthly analysis indicates a bullish trend above the 3000 level, while the weekly analysis shows a breakthrough of key resistance, creating new historical highs [3] - Daily support is noted at the 3518 level, and the price is currently under pressure after breaking four-hour support [3] - Key resistance is identified in the 3644-3645 range, with further support levels at 3620-3600 and 3550-3520 if weakness persists [3] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair experienced a downward trend on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1682 and a high of 1.1729, closing at 1.1693 [5] - The price faced pressure in the morning and tested previous resistance levels, ultimately closing with a significant bearish candle [5] - Monthly support is at 1.1060, while weekly support is at 1.1670, which is crucial for medium-term trends [5] - Daily resistance is at 1.1680, and the focus is on the price's ability to hold above this level [5] - Short-term trading should focus on four-hour and one-hour analysis, with key resistance at 1.1700-10 [5] Economic Data and Events - Key economic events to watch include the OPEC monthly oil market report, IEA monthly oil market report, ECB interest rate decision, and US CPI data [7] - The ECB President Lagarde will hold a press conference, and US weekly jobless claims and EIA natural gas inventory data will also be released [7]
闫瑞祥:黄金日线及周线阻力压制,欧美周线支撑得失成关键
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 04:21
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed a fluctuating trend on Wednesday, reaching a high of 98.418 and a low of 98.055, closing at 98.225 [1] - The index is currently in a low-level consolidation phase, with expectations of a potential upward movement after the current fluctuations [1] - Key levels to watch include a support level at 98.30 for mid-term bullish continuation and a resistance level at 98.20 for short-term movements [1] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced an overall increase on Wednesday, with a high of 330.1 and a low of 3311.39, closing at 3348.04 [3] - The focus is on the weekly and daily resistance levels, which are critical for determining short-term bullish or bearish trends [3][4] - The current resistance level is at 3350, and a breakdown below 3332 could indicate further downward movement [4] Group 3: Euro/USD Market - The Euro/USD pair showed an upward trend on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1621 and a high of 1.1673, closing at 1.1649 [6] - The market is currently viewed as undergoing a corrective phase, with key support at 1.1590 and resistance at 1.1650 [6] - The focus remains on whether the price can maintain above the weekly support level for potential bullish continuation [6] Group 4: Economic Data and Events - Key economic events to watch include the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Conference and various PMI data releases from France, Germany, and the Eurozone [8] - The US will also release initial jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, which could impact market sentiment [8]
闫瑞祥:黄金四小时阻力不破偏空,欧美区间破位后跟随
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 07:23
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend on Tuesday, reaching a high of 98.599 and a low of 97.868, closing at 98.032 [1] - The price is currently consolidating around the weekly support level, with a key focus on whether it can hold above 98.50 [1] - The four-hour analysis indicates a preference for a range-bound movement, with resistance at 98.25 and support between 97.70-80 [1] Gold - Gold prices experienced fluctuations on Tuesday, peaking at 3358.97 and bottoming at 3330.95, closing at 3347.97 [2] - The weekly analysis shows that the price is currently testing key support levels, with a focus on the 3337 level [2] - The four-hour analysis indicates resistance at 3355-3356 and a bearish outlook unless the price breaks above 3365 [2] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed an overall upward trend on Tuesday, with a low of 1.1598 and a high of 1.1696, closing at 1.1673 [5] - The monthly analysis suggests a bullish outlook supported by the 1.0950 level, while the weekly analysis indicates support at 1.1550 [5] - The four-hour analysis highlights resistance at 1.1640-50 and a key level at 1.1700, with a preference for a range-bound movement until a breakout occurs [5] Economic Data and Events - Key economic events to watch include the German CPI release, IEA monthly oil market report, and various speeches from Federal Reserve officials [7]
闫瑞祥:黄金短线不破周五高点先看承压,欧美关注日线支撑得失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 01:33
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend last Friday, reaching a high of 98.329 and a low of 97.948, closing at 98.248 [1] - The weekly analysis indicates that the price broke through the weekly resistance two weeks ago but fell below the support last week, with a focus on whether it can hold above 98.50 this week [1] - The four-hour analysis suggests that the price broke above the four-hour resistance last Friday, with support now at the 98.10-20 range, indicating a bullish outlook as long as it stays above this level [1] Gold - Gold prices experienced a decline last Friday, with a high of 3408.43 and a low of 3377.13, closing at 3396.95 [3] - The monthly analysis shows that the price is following a rhythm, with a focus on the high and low points for the month [3] - The four-hour analysis indicates that the key short-term price movement is dependent on the low point from last Friday, with potential for further decline if it breaks below this level [3] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed a downward trend last Friday, with a low of 1.1628 and a high of 1.1679, closing at 1.1640 [5] - The monthly analysis indicates long-term bullish sentiment supported by the 1.0950 level, while the weekly analysis shows support at 1.1550 [5] - The four-hour analysis indicates that the price has broken below the four-hour support, turning it into resistance, with a focus on the daily support level at 1.1610 [5]
闫瑞祥:黄金接近618回撤位,欧美日线阻力成关键
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 06:15
美元指数 在美元指数的表现上,上周五美元指数呈现出下跌的态势。当日美元指数价格最高攀升至100.233的位置,最低则下探至98.581位置,最终以98.606的价格收 盘。回顾上周五市场表现,在早盘期间价格短线先延续震荡上涨的表现,但是从整体看价格一小时出现背离,后续非农数据公布后大幅承压下跌,价格跌破 四小时支撑,之后再度测试周线支撑,后续需要关注日线及周线支撑得失。 从多周期分析,周线级别来看98.60位置为重要支撑,,所以目前从中期视角出发,美元指数的走势没有实际下破之前依旧偏多。在日线级别上,价格在7月 28日向上突破日线阻力后,价格于日线支撑上方持续多,随着时间的推移目前日线支撑于98.40区域,价格在此位置之上依旧偏多。从四小时上看,在上周 五非农数据公布后价格跌破四小时支撑,所以短期看价格在99.40-50区间下方偏空,只有进一步上破才会继续延续上行。一小时上看价格在经过上周五持续 承压后,目前短线有止步修正的表现,所以在价格没有跌破日线及周线支撑之前先关注反弹,后续四小时阻力得失决定能否进一步延续。 美指98.40-60区间多,防守97.90,目标99.10-99.50 ① 14:30 瑞士7 ...
闫瑞祥:黄金四小时阻力决定节奏,欧美周线支撑变阻力
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 05:00
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend on Wednesday, reaching a high of 99.96 and a low of 98.675, closing at 99.937 [1] - The market experienced short-term fluctuations in the morning, followed by a rally that established a new weekly high, closing strongly [1] - From a multi-timeframe analysis, the weekly level indicates a breakout above the resistance at 98.80, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend [1] - The daily level shows a breakout above the daily resistance, with support at 98.30, indicating a bullish outlook for the upcoming period [1] - The four-hour analysis indicates sustained upward movement after breaking resistance, with key support between 99.20-30 [1] Gold - Gold prices experienced a decline on Wednesday, with a high of 3333.89 and a low of 3267.9, closing at 3274.82 [3] - The price faced pressure at the 3335 level, influenced by negative ADP data, leading to a significant downward movement [3] - The monthly analysis indicates a critical level at 3320, with potential for further declines if the weekly close is below this level [4] - The daily analysis shows a breakdown below previous support, with resistance now at 3345, suggesting a bearish outlook [4] - The four-hour analysis indicates continued pressure below the 3312 resistance level, maintaining a bearish stance [4] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed a downward trend on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1400 and a high of 1.1572, closing at 1.1402 [6] - The market initially fluctuated before facing pressure at the four-hour resistance, resulting in a significant decline [6] - The monthly analysis indicates support at 1.0950, suggesting a long-term bullish outlook, while the weekly analysis shows a breakdown below the 1.1680 support, indicating potential for mid-term declines [6] - The daily analysis indicates a bearish trend following a breakdown of support, with resistance at 1.1630 [6] - The four-hour analysis highlights resistance in the 1.1480-1.1490 range, maintaining a bearish outlook until a breakout occurs [6] Key Economic Data and Events - Upcoming economic events include the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision, China's manufacturing PMI, and various economic indicators from Germany and the U.S. [8]
闫瑞祥:黄金本周关注下破周线支撑,欧美震荡承压
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 04:01
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed an upward trend last Friday, reaching a high of 97.882 and a low of 97.402, closing at 97.664 [1] - The price is currently supported by a four-hour support level, with a focus on breaking through daily resistance [1] - The weekly resistance level is at 98.70, indicating a potential bearish trend in the medium term [1] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a decline last Friday, with a high of 3373.39 and a low of 3324.9, closing at 3336.45 [3] - The price is testing weekly support levels, and a further breakdown could indicate a bearish trend [4] - Daily resistance is identified at 3355, with a focus on whether the price can hold above this level [4] Group 3: EUR/USD - The EUR/USD pair showed a downward trend last Friday, with a low of 1.1702 and a high of 1.1760, closing at 1.1738 [5] - The monthly outlook remains bullish as long as the price holds above 1.0950, while the weekly support is at 1.1510 [5] - Daily resistance is at 1.1690, and a breakdown below this level could initiate a bearish trend [5] Group 4: Trading Strategies - Suggested trading strategy for gold is to short in the 3354-3355 range with a stop loss of 10 dollars and a target of 3320-3296 [6] - For EUR/USD, a short position is recommended in the 1.1760-70 range with a stop loss of 40 pips and a target of 1.1690-1.1660 [8] Group 5: Economic Data and Events - Key economic data to watch includes the UK CBI retail sales balance at 18:00, OPEC+ ministerial meeting at 20:00, and the US Dallas Fed business activity index at 22:30 [9]
闫瑞祥:美指短线关注上行 欧美短线短线承压
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 06:07
Group 1: US Dollar Index Performance - On July 25, the US Dollar Index showed an upward trend, reaching a high of 97.502 and a low of 97.08, closing at 97.459 [1] - The market initially experienced a slight decline in the morning but rebounded, breaking through a four-hour resistance level during the US trading session, ultimately closing strong [1] - The daily chart indicates a bullish closing, suggesting the need to monitor future resistance levels for potential breakthroughs [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis of US Dollar Index - From a weekly perspective, the price is under pressure at the 98.90 resistance level, indicating a potential bearish trend in the medium term, with a focus on whether it can break above this level [2] - The daily chart shows a previous breakout above resistance, but a subsequent drop below support, with current resistance at 97.80, necessitating further observation [2] - The four-hour analysis indicates a recent break above resistance, suggesting a short-term bullish outlook, with support identified in the 97.30-97.40 range [2] Group 3: Euro to US Dollar Exchange Rate - On July 25, the Euro to US Dollar exchange rate experienced a decline, with a low of 1.1729 and a high of 1.1788, closing at 1.1748 [4] - The monthly analysis indicates long-term bullish sentiment supported by a level at 1.0950, while the weekly perspective shows support at 1.1470, viewing recent declines as corrections [4] - The daily chart indicates a position above 1.1690, suggesting a bullish outlook, but caution is advised for potential pullbacks [4] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Euro to US Dollar Exchange Rate - The four-hour analysis highlights the need to monitor the 1.1750-1.1760 resistance area, with expectations of downward pressure until the previous high is broken [4] - The short-term outlook indicates a bearish trend, with a focus on the lower range of 1.1720-1.1690 [5] Group 5: Upcoming Economic Data - Key economic data to be released includes UK retail sales for June, Germany's IFO Business Climate Index for July, and US durable goods orders for June [5]