多周期分析

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闫瑞祥:黄金日线及周线阻力压制,欧美周线支撑得失成关键
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 04:21
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed a fluctuating trend on Wednesday, reaching a high of 98.418 and a low of 98.055, closing at 98.225 [1] - The index is currently in a low-level consolidation phase, with expectations of a potential upward movement after the current fluctuations [1] - Key levels to watch include a support level at 98.30 for mid-term bullish continuation and a resistance level at 98.20 for short-term movements [1] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced an overall increase on Wednesday, with a high of 330.1 and a low of 3311.39, closing at 3348.04 [3] - The focus is on the weekly and daily resistance levels, which are critical for determining short-term bullish or bearish trends [3][4] - The current resistance level is at 3350, and a breakdown below 3332 could indicate further downward movement [4] Group 3: Euro/USD Market - The Euro/USD pair showed an upward trend on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1621 and a high of 1.1673, closing at 1.1649 [6] - The market is currently viewed as undergoing a corrective phase, with key support at 1.1590 and resistance at 1.1650 [6] - The focus remains on whether the price can maintain above the weekly support level for potential bullish continuation [6] Group 4: Economic Data and Events - Key economic events to watch include the Jackson Hole Global Central Bank Conference and various PMI data releases from France, Germany, and the Eurozone [8] - The US will also release initial jobless claims and the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, which could impact market sentiment [8]
闫瑞祥:黄金四小时阻力不破偏空,欧美区间破位后跟随
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-13 07:23
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend on Tuesday, reaching a high of 98.599 and a low of 97.868, closing at 98.032 [1] - The price is currently consolidating around the weekly support level, with a key focus on whether it can hold above 98.50 [1] - The four-hour analysis indicates a preference for a range-bound movement, with resistance at 98.25 and support between 97.70-80 [1] Gold - Gold prices experienced fluctuations on Tuesday, peaking at 3358.97 and bottoming at 3330.95, closing at 3347.97 [2] - The weekly analysis shows that the price is currently testing key support levels, with a focus on the 3337 level [2] - The four-hour analysis indicates resistance at 3355-3356 and a bearish outlook unless the price breaks above 3365 [2] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed an overall upward trend on Tuesday, with a low of 1.1598 and a high of 1.1696, closing at 1.1673 [5] - The monthly analysis suggests a bullish outlook supported by the 1.0950 level, while the weekly analysis indicates support at 1.1550 [5] - The four-hour analysis highlights resistance at 1.1640-50 and a key level at 1.1700, with a preference for a range-bound movement until a breakout occurs [5] Economic Data and Events - Key economic events to watch include the German CPI release, IEA monthly oil market report, and various speeches from Federal Reserve officials [7]
闫瑞祥:黄金短线不破周五高点先看承压,欧美关注日线支撑得失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 01:33
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend last Friday, reaching a high of 98.329 and a low of 97.948, closing at 98.248 [1] - The weekly analysis indicates that the price broke through the weekly resistance two weeks ago but fell below the support last week, with a focus on whether it can hold above 98.50 this week [1] - The four-hour analysis suggests that the price broke above the four-hour resistance last Friday, with support now at the 98.10-20 range, indicating a bullish outlook as long as it stays above this level [1] Gold - Gold prices experienced a decline last Friday, with a high of 3408.43 and a low of 3377.13, closing at 3396.95 [3] - The monthly analysis shows that the price is following a rhythm, with a focus on the high and low points for the month [3] - The four-hour analysis indicates that the key short-term price movement is dependent on the low point from last Friday, with potential for further decline if it breaks below this level [3] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed a downward trend last Friday, with a low of 1.1628 and a high of 1.1679, closing at 1.1640 [5] - The monthly analysis indicates long-term bullish sentiment supported by the 1.0950 level, while the weekly analysis shows support at 1.1550 [5] - The four-hour analysis indicates that the price has broken below the four-hour support, turning it into resistance, with a focus on the daily support level at 1.1610 [5]
闫瑞祥:黄金接近618回撤位,欧美日线阻力成关键
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-04 06:15
美元指数 在美元指数的表现上,上周五美元指数呈现出下跌的态势。当日美元指数价格最高攀升至100.233的位置,最低则下探至98.581位置,最终以98.606的价格收 盘。回顾上周五市场表现,在早盘期间价格短线先延续震荡上涨的表现,但是从整体看价格一小时出现背离,后续非农数据公布后大幅承压下跌,价格跌破 四小时支撑,之后再度测试周线支撑,后续需要关注日线及周线支撑得失。 从多周期分析,周线级别来看98.60位置为重要支撑,,所以目前从中期视角出发,美元指数的走势没有实际下破之前依旧偏多。在日线级别上,价格在7月 28日向上突破日线阻力后,价格于日线支撑上方持续多,随着时间的推移目前日线支撑于98.40区域,价格在此位置之上依旧偏多。从四小时上看,在上周 五非农数据公布后价格跌破四小时支撑,所以短期看价格在99.40-50区间下方偏空,只有进一步上破才会继续延续上行。一小时上看价格在经过上周五持续 承压后,目前短线有止步修正的表现,所以在价格没有跌破日线及周线支撑之前先关注反弹,后续四小时阻力得失决定能否进一步延续。 美指98.40-60区间多,防守97.90,目标99.10-99.50 ① 14:30 瑞士7 ...
闫瑞祥:黄金四小时阻力决定节奏,欧美周线支撑变阻力
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 05:00
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend on Wednesday, reaching a high of 99.96 and a low of 98.675, closing at 99.937 [1] - The market experienced short-term fluctuations in the morning, followed by a rally that established a new weekly high, closing strongly [1] - From a multi-timeframe analysis, the weekly level indicates a breakout above the resistance at 98.80, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend [1] - The daily level shows a breakout above the daily resistance, with support at 98.30, indicating a bullish outlook for the upcoming period [1] - The four-hour analysis indicates sustained upward movement after breaking resistance, with key support between 99.20-30 [1] Gold - Gold prices experienced a decline on Wednesday, with a high of 3333.89 and a low of 3267.9, closing at 3274.82 [3] - The price faced pressure at the 3335 level, influenced by negative ADP data, leading to a significant downward movement [3] - The monthly analysis indicates a critical level at 3320, with potential for further declines if the weekly close is below this level [4] - The daily analysis shows a breakdown below previous support, with resistance now at 3345, suggesting a bearish outlook [4] - The four-hour analysis indicates continued pressure below the 3312 resistance level, maintaining a bearish stance [4] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed a downward trend on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1400 and a high of 1.1572, closing at 1.1402 [6] - The market initially fluctuated before facing pressure at the four-hour resistance, resulting in a significant decline [6] - The monthly analysis indicates support at 1.0950, suggesting a long-term bullish outlook, while the weekly analysis shows a breakdown below the 1.1680 support, indicating potential for mid-term declines [6] - The daily analysis indicates a bearish trend following a breakdown of support, with resistance at 1.1630 [6] - The four-hour analysis highlights resistance in the 1.1480-1.1490 range, maintaining a bearish outlook until a breakout occurs [6] Key Economic Data and Events - Upcoming economic events include the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision, China's manufacturing PMI, and various economic indicators from Germany and the U.S. [8]
闫瑞祥:黄金本周关注下破周线支撑,欧美震荡承压
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 04:01
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed an upward trend last Friday, reaching a high of 97.882 and a low of 97.402, closing at 97.664 [1] - The price is currently supported by a four-hour support level, with a focus on breaking through daily resistance [1] - The weekly resistance level is at 98.70, indicating a potential bearish trend in the medium term [1] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a decline last Friday, with a high of 3373.39 and a low of 3324.9, closing at 3336.45 [3] - The price is testing weekly support levels, and a further breakdown could indicate a bearish trend [4] - Daily resistance is identified at 3355, with a focus on whether the price can hold above this level [4] Group 3: EUR/USD - The EUR/USD pair showed a downward trend last Friday, with a low of 1.1702 and a high of 1.1760, closing at 1.1738 [5] - The monthly outlook remains bullish as long as the price holds above 1.0950, while the weekly support is at 1.1510 [5] - Daily resistance is at 1.1690, and a breakdown below this level could initiate a bearish trend [5] Group 4: Trading Strategies - Suggested trading strategy for gold is to short in the 3354-3355 range with a stop loss of 10 dollars and a target of 3320-3296 [6] - For EUR/USD, a short position is recommended in the 1.1760-70 range with a stop loss of 40 pips and a target of 1.1690-1.1660 [8] Group 5: Economic Data and Events - Key economic data to watch includes the UK CBI retail sales balance at 18:00, OPEC+ ministerial meeting at 20:00, and the US Dallas Fed business activity index at 22:30 [9]
闫瑞祥:美指短线关注上行 欧美短线短线承压
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 06:07
Group 1: US Dollar Index Performance - On July 25, the US Dollar Index showed an upward trend, reaching a high of 97.502 and a low of 97.08, closing at 97.459 [1] - The market initially experienced a slight decline in the morning but rebounded, breaking through a four-hour resistance level during the US trading session, ultimately closing strong [1] - The daily chart indicates a bullish closing, suggesting the need to monitor future resistance levels for potential breakthroughs [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis of US Dollar Index - From a weekly perspective, the price is under pressure at the 98.90 resistance level, indicating a potential bearish trend in the medium term, with a focus on whether it can break above this level [2] - The daily chart shows a previous breakout above resistance, but a subsequent drop below support, with current resistance at 97.80, necessitating further observation [2] - The four-hour analysis indicates a recent break above resistance, suggesting a short-term bullish outlook, with support identified in the 97.30-97.40 range [2] Group 3: Euro to US Dollar Exchange Rate - On July 25, the Euro to US Dollar exchange rate experienced a decline, with a low of 1.1729 and a high of 1.1788, closing at 1.1748 [4] - The monthly analysis indicates long-term bullish sentiment supported by a level at 1.0950, while the weekly perspective shows support at 1.1470, viewing recent declines as corrections [4] - The daily chart indicates a position above 1.1690, suggesting a bullish outlook, but caution is advised for potential pullbacks [4] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Euro to US Dollar Exchange Rate - The four-hour analysis highlights the need to monitor the 1.1750-1.1760 resistance area, with expectations of downward pressure until the previous high is broken [4] - The short-term outlook indicates a bearish trend, with a focus on the lower range of 1.1720-1.1690 [5] Group 5: Upcoming Economic Data - Key economic data to be released includes UK retail sales for June, Germany's IFO Business Climate Index for July, and US durable goods orders for June [5]
闫瑞祥:黄金关注进一步测试周线支撑,欧美短线承压
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 05:57
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed an upward trend on Thursday, reaching a high of 97.502 and closing at 97.459 after a low of 97.08 [1] - The market initially experienced a slight decline but rebounded, breaking through resistance levels during the US trading session [1] - The weekly resistance level is at 98.90, indicating a potential bearish trend in the medium term, while the daily resistance is at 97.80 [1] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a decline on Thursday, with a high of 3393.22 and a low of 3351.28, closing at 3368.28 [3] - The market showed weakness after failing to maintain the previous day's high, with a significant bearish closing [3] - The daily support level is critical, and a breakdown could lead to testing the weekly support area [4] Group 3: EUR/USD - The EUR/USD pair showed a downward trend on Thursday, with a low of 1.1729 and a high of 1.1788, closing at 1.1748 [6] - The market initially surged but faced resistance, closing with a bearish sentiment [6] - Long-term bullish sentiment remains supported by the monthly low of 1.0950, while the weekly support is at 1.1470 [6] Group 4: Economic Data and Events - Key economic data to watch includes the UK retail sales for June, Germany's IFO business climate index for July, and the US durable goods orders for June [8]
闫瑞祥:黄金短线多需注意风险,欧美回踩日线阻力
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 03:40
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed a downward trend on Monday, with a high of 98.484 and a low of 97.673, closing at 97.82 [1] - The price is currently facing resistance at the 98.90 level on a weekly basis, indicating a bearish outlook in the medium term, while the daily support level is between 97.70-80 [2] - The price has broken through the daily resistance, which has now become support, suggesting a potential for upward movement if it remains above this support level [2] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices increased on Monday, reaching a high of 3401.35 and a low of 3344.83, closing at 3396.85 [3] - The market is currently experiencing a high-level consolidation, with a key support level at 3342, and prices above this level are expected to trend upwards [4] - Short-term resistance is noted at the 3415 level, with caution advised for potential pullbacks if prices approach this resistance [4] Group 3: Euro to US Dollar Exchange Rate - The Euro to US Dollar exchange rate showed an upward trend on Monday, with a low of 1.1614 and a high of 1.1716, closing at 1.1691 [7] - The market is supported at the 1.0950 level on a monthly basis, indicating a long-term bullish outlook, while the daily resistance needs to be monitored for potential pressure [7] - Short-term trading strategies suggest a bearish position in the 1.1690-1.1700 range, with targets set at 1.1620-1.1570 [9]
闫瑞祥:黄金震荡关注趋势线阻力,欧美日线阻力压制
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-21 02:30
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed a downward trend last Friday, with a high of 98.647 and a low of 98.067, closing at 98.466 [1] - The index is currently operating within a weekly resistance and daily support range, with a key focus on breaking these levels for future movement [1] - The mid-term outlook suggests a bearish trend, with a critical support level at 97.80, indicating a potential for upward movement if maintained above this level [1][3] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced an upward trend last Friday, reaching a high of 3361.1 and a low of 3331.67, closing at 3350.44 [3] - The market is currently in a consolidation phase, with key resistance levels to watch at 3366 and 3377, and a support level at 3345 [4][6] - The overall sentiment remains cautiously bullish, pending a breakout from the current range [4] Group 3: Euro/USD Pair - The Euro/USD pair showed an upward movement last Friday, with a low of 1.1586 and a high of 1.1671, closing at 1.1621 [6] - The price is currently under pressure from daily resistance levels, with a focus on the 1.1680-90 range for potential short positions [6][8] - Long-term outlook remains bullish, supported by a monthly low of 1.0950, while short-term strategies should consider resistance levels for potential downward corrections [6]