多周期分析

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闫瑞祥:黄金日线及周线阻力压制,欧美周线支撑得失成关键
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-21 04:21
美元指数 在美元指数的表现上,周三美元指数呈现出震荡的态势。当日美元指数价格最高攀升至98.418的位置,最低则下探至98.055位置,最终以 98.225的价格收 盘。回顾周三市场表现,在早盘期间价格向上延续刺破周线及日线阻力,随后价格再度向下回撤调整,从当天最终收盘看价格十字状态收尾,目前美指属于 低位震荡盘整,整体依旧看震荡后上行。 从多周期分析,周线级别来看近期价格在周线支撑上下盘整,本周重点关注98.30位置站稳,一旦站稳则中期多头将延续上行。在日线级别上,在上周价格 压制在日线阻力位置下方持续震荡,目前日线阻力于98.20位置,目前在此区域震荡,后续关注进一步突破上涨。从四小时上看,四小时上是我们一直强调 短期价格走势的关键,目前价格依旧在四小时支撑98.20上方,所以暂时短期依旧偏多。从一小时上看,观察下方图表趋势线可以看到,目前短线先关注 98.10-20区间支撑,上方关注98.60-99区域。 美指98.10-20区间多,防守5美金,目标98.60-99 黄金 黄金方面,周三黄金价格总体呈现上涨的状态,当日价格最高上涨至330.1位置,最低下跌至3311.39位置,收盘于3348.04位置。 ...
闫瑞祥:黄金短线不破周五高点先看承压,欧美关注日线支撑得失
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-08-11 01:33
黄金 美元指数 在美元指数的表现上,上周五美元指数呈现出上涨的态势。当日美元指数价格最高攀升至98.329的位置,最低则下探至97.948位置,最终以 98.248的价格收 盘。回顾上周五市场表现,在早盘期间价格短线先延续下跌,但是价格受撑于前一日低点位置,美盘前价格触及四小时阻力,同时在美盘后向上突破并最终 站稳四小时阻力,后续短线先看价格反弹,后续重点关注日线及周线阻力共振位置能否站稳是关键。 从多周期分析,周线级别来看价格在上上周突破周线阻力,随后在上周再度下破周线支撑,整体上周线价格有进一步上涨的表现,目本周重点关注98.50位 置能否站稳是关键。在日线级别上,在上周三跌破日线支撑后,目前价格压制在日线阻力98.50位置,但是目前价格下跌发力,后续一旦站稳将继续上攻。 从四小时上看,四小时上是我们一直强调短期价格走势的关键,在上周五价格进行上破并且站上四小时阻力,则前期阻力变支撑,位置上关注98.10-20区间 支撑,价格在此位置之上偏多,后续关注日线及周线共振95.50得失。一小时上看价格目前同样有进一步上行的表现,所以暂时先看多头运行,上方关注 98.50位置,突破后短线先关注98.80位置。 美 ...
闫瑞祥:黄金四小时阻力决定节奏,欧美周线支撑变阻力
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-31 05:00
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend on Wednesday, reaching a high of 99.96 and a low of 98.675, closing at 99.937 [1] - The market experienced short-term fluctuations in the morning, followed by a rally that established a new weekly high, closing strongly [1] - From a multi-timeframe analysis, the weekly level indicates a breakout above the resistance at 98.80, suggesting a continuation of the bullish trend [1] - The daily level shows a breakout above the daily resistance, with support at 98.30, indicating a bullish outlook for the upcoming period [1] - The four-hour analysis indicates sustained upward movement after breaking resistance, with key support between 99.20-30 [1] Gold - Gold prices experienced a decline on Wednesday, with a high of 3333.89 and a low of 3267.9, closing at 3274.82 [3] - The price faced pressure at the 3335 level, influenced by negative ADP data, leading to a significant downward movement [3] - The monthly analysis indicates a critical level at 3320, with potential for further declines if the weekly close is below this level [4] - The daily analysis shows a breakdown below previous support, with resistance now at 3345, suggesting a bearish outlook [4] - The four-hour analysis indicates continued pressure below the 3312 resistance level, maintaining a bearish stance [4] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed a downward trend on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1400 and a high of 1.1572, closing at 1.1402 [6] - The market initially fluctuated before facing pressure at the four-hour resistance, resulting in a significant decline [6] - The monthly analysis indicates support at 1.0950, suggesting a long-term bullish outlook, while the weekly analysis shows a breakdown below the 1.1680 support, indicating potential for mid-term declines [6] - The daily analysis indicates a bearish trend following a breakdown of support, with resistance at 1.1630 [6] - The four-hour analysis highlights resistance in the 1.1480-1.1490 range, maintaining a bearish outlook until a breakout occurs [6] Key Economic Data and Events - Upcoming economic events include the Bank of Japan's interest rate decision, China's manufacturing PMI, and various economic indicators from Germany and the U.S. [8]
闫瑞祥:黄金本周关注下破周线支撑,欧美震荡承压
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-28 04:01
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed an upward trend last Friday, reaching a high of 97.882 and a low of 97.402, closing at 97.664 [1] - The price is currently supported by a four-hour support level, with a focus on breaking through daily resistance [1] - The weekly resistance level is at 98.70, indicating a potential bearish trend in the medium term [1] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a decline last Friday, with a high of 3373.39 and a low of 3324.9, closing at 3336.45 [3] - The price is testing weekly support levels, and a further breakdown could indicate a bearish trend [4] - Daily resistance is identified at 3355, with a focus on whether the price can hold above this level [4] Group 3: EUR/USD - The EUR/USD pair showed a downward trend last Friday, with a low of 1.1702 and a high of 1.1760, closing at 1.1738 [5] - The monthly outlook remains bullish as long as the price holds above 1.0950, while the weekly support is at 1.1510 [5] - Daily resistance is at 1.1690, and a breakdown below this level could initiate a bearish trend [5] Group 4: Trading Strategies - Suggested trading strategy for gold is to short in the 3354-3355 range with a stop loss of 10 dollars and a target of 3320-3296 [6] - For EUR/USD, a short position is recommended in the 1.1760-70 range with a stop loss of 40 pips and a target of 1.1690-1.1660 [8] Group 5: Economic Data and Events - Key economic data to watch includes the UK CBI retail sales balance at 18:00, OPEC+ ministerial meeting at 20:00, and the US Dallas Fed business activity index at 22:30 [9]
闫瑞祥:美指短线关注上行 欧美短线短线承压
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 06:07
Group 1: US Dollar Index Performance - On July 25, the US Dollar Index showed an upward trend, reaching a high of 97.502 and a low of 97.08, closing at 97.459 [1] - The market initially experienced a slight decline in the morning but rebounded, breaking through a four-hour resistance level during the US trading session, ultimately closing strong [1] - The daily chart indicates a bullish closing, suggesting the need to monitor future resistance levels for potential breakthroughs [2] Group 2: Technical Analysis of US Dollar Index - From a weekly perspective, the price is under pressure at the 98.90 resistance level, indicating a potential bearish trend in the medium term, with a focus on whether it can break above this level [2] - The daily chart shows a previous breakout above resistance, but a subsequent drop below support, with current resistance at 97.80, necessitating further observation [2] - The four-hour analysis indicates a recent break above resistance, suggesting a short-term bullish outlook, with support identified in the 97.30-97.40 range [2] Group 3: Euro to US Dollar Exchange Rate - On July 25, the Euro to US Dollar exchange rate experienced a decline, with a low of 1.1729 and a high of 1.1788, closing at 1.1748 [4] - The monthly analysis indicates long-term bullish sentiment supported by a level at 1.0950, while the weekly perspective shows support at 1.1470, viewing recent declines as corrections [4] - The daily chart indicates a position above 1.1690, suggesting a bullish outlook, but caution is advised for potential pullbacks [4] Group 4: Technical Analysis of Euro to US Dollar Exchange Rate - The four-hour analysis highlights the need to monitor the 1.1750-1.1760 resistance area, with expectations of downward pressure until the previous high is broken [4] - The short-term outlook indicates a bearish trend, with a focus on the lower range of 1.1720-1.1690 [5] Group 5: Upcoming Economic Data - Key economic data to be released includes UK retail sales for June, Germany's IFO Business Climate Index for July, and US durable goods orders for June [5]
闫瑞祥:黄金关注进一步测试周线支撑,欧美短线承压
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-25 05:57
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed an upward trend on Thursday, reaching a high of 97.502 and closing at 97.459 after a low of 97.08 [1] - The market initially experienced a slight decline but rebounded, breaking through resistance levels during the US trading session [1] - The weekly resistance level is at 98.90, indicating a potential bearish trend in the medium term, while the daily resistance is at 97.80 [1] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a decline on Thursday, with a high of 3393.22 and a low of 3351.28, closing at 3368.28 [3] - The market showed weakness after failing to maintain the previous day's high, with a significant bearish closing [3] - The daily support level is critical, and a breakdown could lead to testing the weekly support area [4] Group 3: EUR/USD - The EUR/USD pair showed a downward trend on Thursday, with a low of 1.1729 and a high of 1.1788, closing at 1.1748 [6] - The market initially surged but faced resistance, closing with a bearish sentiment [6] - Long-term bullish sentiment remains supported by the monthly low of 1.0950, while the weekly support is at 1.1470 [6] Group 4: Economic Data and Events - Key economic data to watch includes the UK retail sales for June, Germany's IFO business climate index for July, and the US durable goods orders for June [8]
闫瑞祥:黄金短线多需注意风险,欧美回踩日线阻力
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-22 03:40
Group 1: US Dollar Index - The US Dollar Index showed a downward trend on Monday, with a high of 98.484 and a low of 97.673, closing at 97.82 [1] - The price is currently facing resistance at the 98.90 level on a weekly basis, indicating a bearish outlook in the medium term, while the daily support level is between 97.70-80 [2] - The price has broken through the daily resistance, which has now become support, suggesting a potential for upward movement if it remains above this support level [2] Group 2: Gold Market - Gold prices increased on Monday, reaching a high of 3401.35 and a low of 3344.83, closing at 3396.85 [3] - The market is currently experiencing a high-level consolidation, with a key support level at 3342, and prices above this level are expected to trend upwards [4] - Short-term resistance is noted at the 3415 level, with caution advised for potential pullbacks if prices approach this resistance [4] Group 3: Euro to US Dollar Exchange Rate - The Euro to US Dollar exchange rate showed an upward trend on Monday, with a low of 1.1614 and a high of 1.1716, closing at 1.1691 [7] - The market is supported at the 1.0950 level on a monthly basis, indicating a long-term bullish outlook, while the daily resistance needs to be monitored for potential pressure [7] - Short-term trading strategies suggest a bearish position in the 1.1690-1.1700 range, with targets set at 1.1620-1.1570 [9]
闫瑞祥:黄金日线618如期承压下跌,欧美震荡下跌不变
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-15 05:20
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend on Monday, reaching a high of 98.112 and a low of 97.737, closing at 98.088 [1] - The market exhibited a volatile upward movement, with a significant bullish closing [1] - From a multi-timeframe analysis, the weekly resistance is at 98.90, while the daily support is at 97.30, indicating a potential bullish outlook above this level [1] Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a decline on Monday, with a high of 3374.85 and a low of 3340.89, closing at 3343.19 [3] - The price initially gapped higher but faced resistance at the 618 retracement level, leading to a significant bearish closing [3] - The four-hour support level is critical, with a focus on the 3340 position for short-term trading strategies [4] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair showed a volatile performance on Monday, with a low of 1.1653 and a high of 1.1697, closing at 1.1663 [6] - The market is currently in a corrective phase, with a focus on the 1.1730 level for potential bearish strategies [6] - Multi-timeframe analysis suggests long-term bullish sentiment supported by the monthly low of 1.0950, while short-term strategies should consider resistance at 1.1690 [6] Economic Data and Events - Key economic data and events to watch include China's GDP report, retail sales, and industrial output, as well as U.S. inflation metrics and Federal Reserve speeches [8] - The market will also be attentive to the OPEC monthly oil market report and comments from the Bank of England's officials [8]
闫瑞祥:黄金如期跌破周线支撑,欧美关注趋势线阻力
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 23:52
Dollar Index - The dollar index showed volatility on Tuesday, reaching a high of 97.816 and a low of 97.151, closing at 97.471 [1] - The price initially tested support before a strong upward movement, breaking daily resistance during the US trading session [1] - The focus is on whether the index can maintain its position above the four-hour support and daily resistance levels [1] Multi-Timeframe Analysis - On the weekly level, the dollar index faces resistance around the 99 area, indicating a bearish trend in the medium term [2] - The daily key resistance is at 97.40, with the price currently testing this area [2] - The four-hour support is at 97.30, and the price is expected to remain bullish as long as it stays above this level [2] Gold Market - Gold prices experienced a decline on Monday, with a high of 3345.68 and a low of 3286.89, closing at 3301.47 [4] - The price faced resistance at the daily level, leading to a weak performance and a new weekly low [4] - The weekly support level is at 3311, and the price has broken below this, suggesting a bearish outlook [5] Multi-Timeframe Analysis for Gold - The four-hour support has become a key resistance after being broken, with a focus on the 3320 area [5] - The price is expected to remain bearish below this level, with targets set at 3275-3250 [7] Euro/USD Market - The Euro/USD pair showed an upward trend on Tuesday, with a low of 1.1682 and a high of 1.1765, closing at 1.1724 [7] - The monthly support is at 1.0950, indicating a long-term bullish outlook [7] - The daily focus is on the 1.1700 level and the previous low, with potential for further movement depending on market conditions [7] Multi-Timeframe Analysis for Euro/USD - The four-hour resistance is at 1.1730, with a trendline resistance between 1.1760-70 [7] - A bearish position is suggested in the 1.1760-70 range, with targets set at 1.0700-1.0640 [9]
闫瑞祥:欧洲央行决议与美联储官员讲话,市场再迎考验
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-05 06:47
Macroeconomic Overview - On June 4, international gold prices rose significantly by 0.56%, driven by complex global economic conditions. Poor U.S. economic data, such as the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI dropping to 49.9 and ADP employment figures falling short of expectations, led investors to seek refuge in gold, with prices reaching a peak of $3384.55 per ounce [1] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.5%, and the yield on 10-year U.S. Treasury bonds decreased, reducing the opportunity cost of holding gold and enhancing its appeal [1] - The Trump administration's tariff policies, which doubled steel and aluminum import tariffs on June 4, have severely impacted global supply chains, further highlighting gold's safe-haven value [1] - Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have surged, with a 77% probability for a cut in September, supported by ADP employment data and inflation pressures [1] - Investors are awaiting the U.S. non-farm payroll report on June 6, which will influence market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and subsequently affect gold prices [1] U.S. Dollar Index - On June 4, the U.S. dollar index exhibited a fluctuating trend, reaching a high of 99.372 and a low of 98.646, ultimately closing at 98.789 [2] - The market showed weak continuation after an initial upward movement, leading to a significant bearish close [2] - The weekly resistance level is noted at 101.10, suggesting a bearish outlook for the dollar index in the medium term [2] Gold Market - Gold prices on June 4 showed an overall upward trend, with a high of $3384.55 and a low of $3343.68, closing at $3372.24 [4] - The market is currently experiencing alternating bullish and bearish trends, with a focus on whether this pattern will continue [4] - Key support levels for gold are identified at $3320-$3322, with a critical threshold at $3360 for short-term movements [5][7] Euro and U.S. Dollar Pair - The Euro to U.S. dollar exchange rate showed an overall increase on June 4, with a low of 1.1356 and a high of 1.1434, closing at 1.1412 [7] - The market remains above key support levels, indicating a bullish outlook in the medium term [7]