【基本面分析】 昨日美国8月零售销售虽优于预期，但未能提振美元。就业市场疲软与关税推升物价，令投资者担忧经济前景，同 时市场持续押注美联储降息，美元走势承压。欧洲方面，欧元区7月工业生产虽恢复缓慢，但仍录得回升，为欧元 提供支撑。 澳美一小时图，走势震荡走高并刷新近期高点，显示买盘增强；如后续回落未击破前期支撑，则走势或继续向 上，故建议短多操作。 【技术分析】 操作建议：建议0.6672短多，止损0.6650以下，目标0.6690-0.6703。 黄金一小时图，走势向上回升并刷新短线高点，显示买盘力道增强；如后续回落未击破前期支撑，则走势或继续 向上，故建议短多操作。 【技术分析】 操作建议：建议3668短多，止损3643以下，目标3700。 【技术分析】 欧美一小时图，走势震荡走高并刷新近期高点，显示买盘增强；如后续回落未击破前期支撑，则走势或继续向 上，故建议短多操作。 操作建议：建议1.1851短多，止损1.1820以下，目标1.1900-1.1930。 风险警告：以上的内容仅供参考，并不代表 ZFX山海证券的立场。ZFX山海证券不承担根据本文而进行的任何交 易操作所造成的任何形式的损失。请大家鉴定自 ...

Dollar Index - The dollar index showed an upward trend on Wednesday, reaching a high of 97.92 and a low of 97.566, closing at 97.825 [1] - The market experienced initial fluctuations in the morning, followed by a test of four-hour support during the US trading session, ultimately closing positively [1] - Weekly resistance is noted at the 97.90 level, with a bullish outlook only if the weekly close is above this level [1] - Daily resistance is at the 98 level, and the focus is on whether the price can stabilize above this resistance [1] - Key support levels to watch are in the 97.60-70 range, with resistance above at 97.90-98 [1] Gold - Gold prices generally increased on Wednesday, with a high of 3657.43 and a low of 3620.24, closing at 3640.39 [3] - The price initially rebounded after a dip in the morning but faced pressure before the US session, breaking key support levels [3] - Monthly analysis indicates a bullish trend above the 3000 level, while the weekly analysis shows a breakthrough of key resistance, creating new historical highs [3] - Daily support is noted at the 3518 level, and the price is currently under pressure after breaking four-hour support [3] - Key resistance is identified in the 3644-3645 range, with further support levels at 3620-3600 and 3550-3520 if weakness persists [3] Euro/USD - The Euro/USD pair experienced a downward trend on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1682 and a high of 1.1729, closing at 1.1693 [5] - The price faced pressure in the morning and tested previous resistance levels, ultimately closing with a significant bearish candle [5] - Monthly support is at 1.1060, while weekly support is at 1.1670, which is crucial for medium-term trends [5] - Daily resistance is at 1.1680, and the focus is on the price's ability to hold above this level [5] - Short-term trading should focus on four-hour and one-hour analysis, with key resistance at 1.1700-10 [5] Economic Data and Events - Key economic events to watch include the OPEC monthly oil market report, IEA monthly oil market report, ECB interest rate decision, and US CPI data [7] - The ECB President Lagarde will hold a press conference, and US weekly jobless claims and EIA natural gas inventory data will also be released [7]

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar index showed a downward trend on Wednesday, with fluctuations between 98.611 and 97.985, closing at 98.123, indicating a potential bottoming pattern despite a bearish daily close [1] US Dollar Index - The dollar index experienced a high of 98.611 and a low of 97.985, closing at 98.123, suggesting a consolidation phase [1] - The weekly resistance level is at 98, with support at 98.10, indicating a preference for a bullish stance as long as prices remain above these levels [1] - Short-term focus is on the 98.25 level for stability, with a bullish outlook if this level holds [1] Gold Market - Gold prices rose on Wednesday, reaching a high of 3578.34 and a low of 3526.17, closing at 3558.98, reflecting a strong bullish trend [3][4] - The key support level to watch is at 3416, with a bullish outlook as long as prices remain above this level [4] - The early morning low is critical for determining short-term trends, with a preference for bullish positions unless this level is broken [4] Euro/USD Market - The Euro/USD pair showed an upward trend on Wednesday, with a low of 1.1607 and a high of 1.1681, closing at 1.1660, indicating a strong bullish sentiment [6] - The monthly support level is at 1.1060, while the weekly support is at 1.1640, suggesting a bullish outlook as long as prices stay above these levels [6] - The price is currently oscillating within the 1.1575-1.1740 range, with a focus on breakout potential [6][8] Economic Data and Events - Key economic data to be released includes ADP employment figures and initial jobless claims, which may impact market movements [8] - Other important data includes the Eurozone retail sales and US trade balance, which are crucial for assessing economic health [8]

Fundamental Analysis - The request from the U.S. President for Fed Governor Cook to resign temporarily weakened the dollar [1] - Meeting minutes revealed that officials supporting interest rate cuts in July did not receive majority support, indicating a cautious stance from the Fed [1] - The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased significantly more than the Consumer Price Index (CPI), suggesting tariff pressures have not fully transmitted to consumer prices, which may lead the Fed to maintain its current position [1] - Powell's potential continued role as a governor after his term ends could hinder Trump's plans to reshape the dovish management team, further increasing market volatility [1] Technical Analysis - Gold's one-hour chart shows a breakdown followed by a quick recovery, but it has not yet regained key resistance levels, indicating an unclear short-term trend [2] - The GBP/USD one-hour chart indicates a downward breakout after a period of volatility, suggesting increased selling pressure; if subsequent rebounds fail to surpass previous resistance, the trend may continue downward, recommending short positions [3] - The EUR/USD one-hour chart also shows a downward breakout after fluctuations, indicating heightened selling pressure; similar to GBP/USD, if rebounds do not break previous resistance, short positions are advised [4]

Group 1 - The article emphasizes the importance of stop-loss strategies in trading, stating that having trading principles is crucial for success [1] - It highlights the significance of not holding onto losing positions, advocating for a strict stop-loss approach [1] Group 2 - The analysis of gold prices indicates that the key resistance levels are at 3345 and 3366, with potential for further upward movement if these levels are breached [3][6] - The commentary on silver suggests a strong upward trend, with a focus on shorting opportunities above the 38.2 resistance level [5] - The dollar index is expected to continue its bullish trend, with caution advised for potential short-term pullbacks [6][9] Group 3 - The report on crude oil suggests a bullish outlook, with targets set between 69 and 70, while also advising on strict stop-loss measures [6][8] - The S&P futures are being monitored for short positions, with a target range of 6120 to 6000, indicating a bearish sentiment in the medium term [6][9]