Group 1: Currency Exchange and Economic Indicators - The USD/CAD exchange rate fell to around 1.3950 due to a weakening dollar, with upcoming US retail sales data and PPI being focal points [1] - In March 2025, the total value of Canadian building permits decreased by 4.1% month-on-month to CAD 12.88 billion (approximately USD 9.24 billion), marking the largest decline since October of the previous year and exceeding economists' expectations of a 1.2% drop [1] - Year-on-year, the total value of building permits in March increased by 15.0%, with non-residential permits down 14.5% to CAD 4.23 billion, primarily affected by declines in Ontario and British Columbia [1] Group 2: Commodity Prices and Market Sentiment - The upward momentum of the Canadian dollar was reversed due to falling commodity prices, which weakened its strength [2] - Oil prices dropped by 1%, copper prices fell by 0.25%, and gold faced pressure due to weak US inflation data and easing trade tensions [3] - The lack of significant economic data from Canada and the US may continue to anchor the Canadian dollar at lower trend levels [4] Group 3: Technical Analysis and Market Outlook - Key support levels for the Canadian dollar are at the psychological level of 1.3900, the 10-day moving average at 1.3883, and the May 8 low at 1.3814 [5] - Resistance levels are identified at the Wednesday high of 1.3940, the upper Bollinger Band at 1.3963, and the 200-day moving average at 1.4019 [6] - A potential double bottom pattern is forming, but a breakthrough above 1.4015 is needed to confirm an upward trend towards the 1.4160-1.4200 range [6] - If the exchange rate falls below the 1.3900 support, particularly below the critical level of 1.3750, it may accelerate downward to the 1.3650-1.3700 range [7]

Core Insights - The article discusses the recent decline in Malaysian palm oil prices, highlighting a six-day consecutive drop that has breached the lower Bollinger Band, raising concerns about the stability of the critical support level at 3750 [1] Group 1: Market Trends - Malaysian palm oil prices have experienced a significant downturn, with a six-day losing streak indicating a bearish trend in the market [1] - The breach of the lower Bollinger Band suggests increased volatility and potential further declines in palm oil prices [1] Group 2: Support Levels - The critical support level at 3750 is under scrutiny, with market analysts questioning whether it will hold or collapse under current market pressures [1] - The importance of this support line is emphasized, as its failure could lead to further price declines and market instability [1]