我不止一次讲过，对于普通初学者，枢轴点是最好的顺势择时信号，但真能听得进去用得好 的，估计仍是凤毛麟角。 大多数人在交易中都有极度的不安全感，什么都想尝试，但总是遇到反例，然后渐渐就不再 相信任何交易信号。心里总希望有一种精准的择时方法，而且最好还能每次涨个翻倍，但实 战中依然屡遭挫折，无法接受过程的不完美。 事实上，凡是顺势择时系统，不加运气成分，以及正确的策略体系和主观经验引导的话，无 差别选择股票交易，胜率一般都低于45%。这是天定的，没法改变。所以，从一开始你就要 有接受不完美的心理准备。 客观高胜率的择时系统都是短期逆向的，就是埃尔德的三重滤网思维，追求高胜率的人就应 该好好研究《以交易为生》的滤网系统，其中的短期逆向指标就是埃尔德首创的强力指标。 也可以用OVS指标，因为OVS就是在强力指标基础上改进的。 追求客观高胜率，必定会牺牲赔率，这也是天定的。 枢轴点是波段低位顺势择时点。在后台我看到有个新来的老铁在和AI商量，如何提高枢轴 点的确定性，探讨过程十分有趣，也很有借鉴意义。 主要思路是加入VAD>0条件的限制、RSL1和SSV1大于均值条件的限制，我回测了一下，还 是有些效果的，噪音信号会减 ...

猛兽体系其次运用长期动量指标RSR，和股魔趋势模板，过滤一切处于长期左侧的个股，过滤长期动量不足的行业板块。看下面这个图，你就会对这句话 有鲜活的印象： 首先通知一个事情，有人反映光力科技首破年高点不能在主图显示，现在我查清楚了，问题在RSLine部分代码的第一句，改成这样： RS:=CLOSE/"880003$CLOSE"; 问题就能解决。就是比对指数的问题，当时之所以用INDEXC，是因为有老铁极力建议用INDEXC，但无数事实证明，统一用880003平均股价指数是最科 学的选择。现在，大家都纠正过来吧。由于帖子的修改次数已经用完，只好置顶留言提醒了，有需要的可以去看一下M8主图2.0版本那个帖子。 昨天有个老铁给我私信，讲他去年一雪前耻扭亏为盈，这个月又再接再厉获得30%收益，除了运气成分，最大的体会是运用猛兽体系，收敛并锁定了选股 范围，使胜率大幅度提升。他非常开心现在对各种公式的运用越来越娴熟。 之前也陆陆续续收到一些私信，报成绩，谈心得，大都类似。 技术派最大的问题是注意力分散，我也有这个问题，也在改进提升当中。公式给选股带来了极大便利，效率大幅度提高，但害处也在这里，看得你眼花缭 乱，追蜂扑蝶。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article provides a detailed explanation of the M8 main chart signals, aiming to help new users understand the various indicators and their implications for stock trading. Group 1: M8 Chart Signals - RSLINE indicates the stock's performance relative to the market index, with red triangles marking new highs [3] - HOLD line serves as a mobile stop-loss line, designed by the author [3] - The 200-day moving average, shown in purple, changes to red when entering the second phase, calculated using a weighted method based on transaction amounts [3] - Pivot points are represented by blue balls, with some connected to a yellow diagonal line, serving as buy signal references [3] - The "Ants Climbing a Tree" signal appears as a yellow butterfly on the K-line, indicating rapid accumulation in early rises or potential topping in high volume [3] Group 2: Additional Signals - The "Lightning Rod" signal, depicted as a light blue sad face ball, indicates a significant sell signal on the day of a peak retreat [5] - The "First Break of Year High" signal, marked by a red cross on a white ball, occurs after a long period of consolidation and indicates a breakout above the previous year's high [5] - Further details on the usage of these signals can be found in related articles and regular updates [5]

Group 1 - The article discusses the evaluation of pivot points when RSR (strength) is high but RUN (smoothness) is low, indicating a higher risk in the current market conditions [1] - It emphasizes that RUN is more suitable for assessing the initial climbing phase, and a low RUN suggests poor trend quality and increased risk [1] - The article provides examples of stocks, such as TBEA, which have shown significant prior gains but are currently experiencing a pullback, highlighting the importance of assessing the stability of these stocks [1] Group 2 - The article compares three sets of pivot points, concluding that the first set is the most promising and safest, while the third set, despite showing some growth, is less certain [2] - It analyzes two typical stocks from the battery sector, noting that the stock with a higher RUN (Molybdenum) demonstrated greater potential compared to another stock (Tianqi Materials) with a declining RUN [3] - The essence of the analysis is to evaluate pullbacks in continuous trends using the maximum TR over a 20-day period, where more breaches indicate instability and lower potential [4] Group 3 - The article mentions that certain stocks in the optical connection sector are active but have low and declining RUN, suggesting that while they can be traded, they carry higher risks [4][6] - It highlights the importance of comparing RUN levels across different sectors to identify which stocks to choose, with a focus on those with higher RUN values [6] - The article concludes that stocks with a strong base are less favorable than those in the initial phase of a major upward trend, as profit-taking can lead to frequent TR breaches and increased risk [7]

第一件事，有关主图公式的差异，这件事其实以前声明过，我个人用的版本和分享的版本不同，主要是因为我自己的版本经常调试，编写方法和信号点自 然会出现差异，大家不必大惊小怪。我的版本中有黄圈信号，这个确实是口袋支点，我的支点公式当然和市面流行的不同，信号质量肯定优于其它，但不 管怎样，从我实践的历史经验总结，我认为口袋支点并不是务实的操盘点，驾驭难度偏大，这是我不愿公开的主要原因，当然还有其它原因。 我的口袋支点公式的编写框架和枢轴点是一样的，只不过在转折点条件上有些差异，个人认为枢轴点更加实用，这就是为什么我首先向大家推荐枢轴点公 式，我随便举两个例子： 第二件事，是想咨询一下大家。有很多券商的销售人员加了本号，向我推荐他们的低费率开户资源，有些甚至还提供迅投量化平台（包含数据接口），我 不知道大家怎么看这个，有没有这个需要，如果有需要，请在下方投票器投上一票，如果需求数量大，就一起商量一下引入一两家，如果没有需要，也请 券商朋友不要再骚扰我了： 所以，我劝大家一句，不要一山望着那山高，而忽略你已经拥有的东西。公式这个东西，只是一个工具，关键还是取决于使用工具者的那颗脑袋。 如上图，蓝圈是枢轴点，黄圈是口袋支点， ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the use of pivot points in stock selection, emphasizing their practical application in trading strategies [1] - It defines pivot points based on price patterns and volume indicators, integrating the "Beast Momentum System" for more effective trading [1] - The article also introduces the concept of low entry points, focusing on extreme volume reduction and price pullback exhaustion, which serve as practical references for timing buy-ins [1] Group 2 - The article highlights the importance of timing in stock selection but stresses that it should not replace the stock selection process itself [1] - It references previous articles for further reading on stock selection processes and the use of strength indicators [1]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the divergence in the Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy and its implications for gold prices and commodity futures in the upcoming week [1] Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is exhibiting a split between hawkish and dovish perspectives, which may influence market movements [1] - The article highlights the importance of analyzing popular commodity futures and provides insights on capturing trading opportunities using various analytical tools [1]

Core Insights - The global commodity market exhibits a complex technical landscape as of July 9, 2025, with various futures reflecting market participants' expectations for future price movements [1] - Technical analysis tools are crucial for assessing commodity price trends, with pivot point analysis providing clear identification of key price ranges for different commodities [3] Precious Metals and Energy Commodity Technical Patterns - Spot gold's pivot point is set at $3311.43 per ounce, with a support and resistance range from $3218.5 to $3394.45 per ounce, indicating market divergence on gold's value [4] - Spot silver shows a more concentrated technical performance, with a pivot point at $36.62 per ounce and a narrower support and resistance range of $35.79 to $37.56 per ounce, reflecting its dual industrial and investment characteristics [4] - NYMEX platinum's pivot point is at $1381.52 per ounce, with a wider support and resistance range from $1315.74 to $1450.74 per ounce, highlighting changes in supply-demand dynamics and industrial demand uncertainty [4] - WTI crude oil's pivot point is at $68.1 per barrel, with a support and resistance range of $65.71 to $70.45 per barrel, indicating a balanced state in the current oil market [4] Agricultural Commodity Futures Market Dynamics - The agricultural futures market shows a clear divergence, with most contracts declining as of July 7, 2025, particularly coffee futures, which fell 4.06% to 277.85 cents per pound [5] - Cocoa futures were the only commodity to rise, increasing by 2.32% to $8289.00 per ton, contrasting with the downward trend in other agricultural products [6] - Chicago Board of Trade agricultural futures also faced downward pressure, with soybean futures down 2.72% to 1020.75 cents per bushel and corn futures down 3.93% to 403.75 cents per bushel [6] - Historical data from July 3, 2025, shows a different market pattern, with most agricultural futures closing higher, indicating the sensitivity of the agricultural market to external factors [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the upcoming end of the suspension of reciprocal tariffs and its impact on the commodity futures market, particularly focusing on gold's volatility and future trends in commodity futures trading [1] Group 1 - The article highlights the importance of understanding both fundamental and technical aspects of popular futures products to capture trading opportunities [1] - It mentions the use of tools such as funding bombs, harmonic patterns, and pivot points for effective trading strategies [1] - The live broadcast features insights from a seasoned futures researcher, Leo, who provides a forward-looking analysis of the market [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the spot gold market experienced volatility following the U.S. CPI data release, leading to both bullish and bearish movements [1] - The analysis suggests that the resistance level to watch is around 3346, which includes pivot points, previous highs, Bollinger Bands, and Fibonacci levels [1] - If the price does not break above the 3346 resistance, the short-term outlook remains bearish, with a potential decline towards the support level around 3331 [1] Group 2 - A breakthrough above the 3346 resistance could signal a retest of the high points established after the data release [1]