政府停摆
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The September was initially scheduled for release on Oct. 3
WSJ· 2025-11-20 13:34
Core Insights - Job growth accelerated in the month leading up to the government shutdown, indicating a robust labor market despite potential economic disruptions [1] Group 1: Job Growth - The acceleration in job growth suggests resilience in the economy, with employers continuing to hire in anticipation of future demand [1] - This trend may reflect confidence among businesses regarding economic conditions prior to the shutdown [1] Group 2: Economic Implications - The increase in employment figures could influence policymakers' decisions regarding fiscal measures and economic support during the shutdown [1] - A strong labor market may mitigate some negative impacts of the government shutdown on consumer spending and overall economic activity [1]
全美停摆!工会反水起诉白宫,4000万人将断粮,对华战略彻底混乱
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 06:10
Core Points - The U.S. government has been in a shutdown for four weeks, severely impacting federal services and leaving over 750,000 non-essential government employees on unpaid leave, with more than 4,000 receiving layoff notices [1][3] - The shutdown has created significant economic pressure on federal employees, with many unable to receive their salaries, leading some to apply for short-term loans to cover living expenses [3] - Low-income families relying on government food assistance are facing immense pressure, with warnings that the SNAP program may run out of funds, potentially affecting around 40 million Americans [5] - The American Federation of Government Employees (AFGE) has shifted its stance, calling for a clean temporary funding bill to restore government operations, which has sparked political controversy [7][9] - The shutdown has disrupted public services, including air traffic control and public health, with significant delays and the suspension of critical health data collection [11] - National parks and infrastructure projects have been halted, leading to financial strain on state and local governments [13] - The Federal Reserve's operations are impacted due to the lack of key economic data, hindering its ability to make informed policy decisions [15] Group 1 - The government shutdown has left over 750,000 employees on unpaid leave and affected 400,000 families facing food insecurity [1][5] - Federal employees are experiencing economic stress, with some unable to pay mortgages and school fees [3] - The AFGE's call for a clean funding bill has led to political backlash and legal actions against the government for illegal layoffs [7][9] Group 2 - Public services, including air traffic control and health services, are severely disrupted, leading to delays and halted research [11] - National parks and infrastructure projects are facing shutdowns, causing financial strain on local governments [13] - The Federal Reserve's decision-making is compromised due to the unavailability of critical economic data [15]
停摆、狂欢、分裂!反特朗普联盟强势崛起,美国深陷罗生门?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 04:49
Core Points - The recent U.S. government shutdown has exposed the fragility of the national machinery, leading to significant disruptions in various sectors, including air travel [1][3] - The shutdown is rooted in a political struggle over citizen welfare qualifications, driven by the controversial "Great and Beautiful Act" pushed by Trump and the Republican Party [3][5] - The act's provisions are expected to result in over 12 million people losing healthcare coverage and threaten food assistance for nearly 5 million [5][19] Group 1: Political Dynamics - The "Great and Beautiful Act" aims to redefine social welfare eligibility, mandating that non-disabled adults must provide proof of at least 80 hours of work per month to receive medical and food assistance [3][5] - The act includes tax cuts that favor specific groups, such as restaurant workers and blue-collar employees, which aligns with Trump's core support base [5][10] - The government shutdown has been utilized strategically by the Trump administration to target perceived Democratic supporters within the federal workforce [8][10] Group 2: Economic Implications - The act is projected to create a fiscal deficit of $5 to $6 trillion over the next decade, exacerbating an already high deficit rate, which is expected to rise from 6.4% to 7.3% [19][21] - The historical context of tax cuts leading to economic instability is highlighted, referencing the 1920s and the subsequent Great Depression as a cautionary tale [21][23] - The current political maneuvering is seen as a potential threat to the independence of the Federal Reserve and long-term economic stability [16][18] Group 3: Social Impact - The welfare debate has transformed into a moral judgment on who deserves assistance, fostering negative sentiments towards welfare recipients and creating new social divides [7][10] - Local elections have shown a backlash against the Republican strategy, with Democratic candidates successfully focusing on economic issues rather than cultural controversies [12][14] - The political landscape is shifting, with signs indicating a potential increase in Democratic control over Congress, reflecting changing public sentiment [23][25]
We won't get an October jobs report because of the government shutdown
Business Insider· 2025-11-19 18:07
Core Points - The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will not release the October jobs report due to a lack of data collection during the government shutdown [1] - The collection period for November 2025 data will be extended, with the new release date set for December 16 instead of December 5 [2] - The Federal Reserve will lack timely jobs data before its last meeting of the year on December 9 and 10, as the last full jobs report was released in early September [3] - Following the BLS announcement, the prediction of a hold in the December Federal Reserve meeting increased from approximately 50% to 66% [4] - The BLS will not publish a separate Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for September, including that data in the October report scheduled for December 9 [4] - The government shutdown lasted for a record 43 days, affecting funding and operations across all agencies [4]
美国新一批数据发布时间敲定 涉CFTC周报、PPI等
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-19 00:12
Honick表示,在补录这些缺失的数据时,劳工部不会像往常一样发布配套的新闻稿。缺失的数据会直接 公布在劳工部官网上。劳工部最新的公告还显示,其计划于北京时间11月25日21:30公布9月的PPI数 据、于12月3日21:30发布9月的进出口物价指数。 此外,美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)亦宣布本周将开始发布交易员持仓报告,首份报告预计将于 北京时间周四凌晨发布。 CFTC每周将发布多达两份报告,直到明年1月23日,届时发布进度将恢复正常。 新华财经北京11月19日电美国劳工部一位发言人表示,劳工部计划在当地时间周四结束前补齐政府停摆 期间缺失的周度初请失业金数据。 (文章来源:新华财经) 发言人Ryan Honick表示,由于技术问题,一项初始数据——截至10月18日当周初请失业金人数为23.2 万人,意外地比预期提前公布。 ...
海外市场周观察(1110-1116):美国政府最长停摆结束
Huafu Securities· 2025-11-17 04:49
Group 1 - The US government ended its longest shutdown lasting 43 days on November 12, with President Trump signing a temporary funding bill [8][9] - The US stock market showed a pattern of initial gains followed by declines, with the Nasdaq Composite dropping by 2.3% on Thursday [8][10] - The Federal Reserve officials adopted a hawkish tone, indicating that the government shutdown could impact the December meeting, leading to a decrease in the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in December [8][10] Group 2 - Key economic data includes the NFIB Small Business Confidence Index for October at 98.2, below expectations of 98.5 and the previous value of 98.8 [9] - The yield on the 10-year Treasury auction on November 12 was 4.074%, down from the previous 4.12% [9] - API crude oil inventory for the week ending November 7 was reported at 1.3 million barrels, lower than the previous 6.521 million barrels [9] Group 3 - Global major asset classes showed mixed performance, with COMEX silver rising by 9.67% and COMEX gold by 4.23% [26] - The French CAC40 index had the highest gain at 3.55%, while the Shenzhen Composite Index fell by 1.40% [30] - In the US equity market, the healthcare sector saw the largest increase of 4.11%, while the consumer discretionary sector experienced the largest decline of 1.60% [36] Group 4 - The foreign exchange market saw the Australian dollar appreciating by 1.07% against the RMB, while the Japanese yen depreciated by 1.42% [37] - The commodity market had mixed results, with COMEX silver leading gains at 9.67%, while NYMEX light crude oil fell by 2.07% [43] - The liquidity environment showed varied trends in long-term interest rates, with the 10-year Treasury yield in Germany rising by 4 basis points to 2.71% [46]
FAA to Lift Government Shutdown-Related Flight Restrictions
WSJ· 2025-11-17 01:59
Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy and FAA Administrator Bryan Bedford said Sunday that the 6% traffic cut implemented last week would be terminated at 6 a.m. ET Monday morning. ...
The FAA says it's lifting shutdown-related flight cuts at airports nationwide
Business Insider· 2025-11-17 01:46
The Federal Aviation Administration has announced that government shutdown-related flight cuts will end on Monday at 6 a.m. The lifting of flight restrictions will set airports back on a path to step up travel just before Thanksgiving.The FAA made the announcement in a Sunday evening press release, stating that it had conducted reviews of safety trends before lifting its flight reduction emergency order. According to the FAA, the number of staffing triggers — a situation where the number of air traffic con ...
政府重新“开门”后,美国航班削减幅度降至3%
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-11-16 01:15
Core Viewpoint - The U.S. government shutdown has officially ended, leading to a gradual recovery in flight operations, with flight reductions decreasing from 6% to 3% starting November 15 [1] Group 1: Government Actions - On November 12, President Trump signed a temporary funding bill passed by Congress, officially ending the government shutdown [1] - The Federal Aviation Administration and the Department of Transportation announced the restoration of flight operations following the end of the shutdown [1] Group 2: Industry Impact - Although air traffic controller shortages are expected to improve gradually, flight delays and cancellations are likely to persist for some time [1]
The Government Reopened, The Market Sold The News
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-15 13:15
Core Points - The US government shutdown, lasting 43 days, is ending as the House passed a funding bill to reopen most agencies until January 30, 2026 [1] Group 1 - The funding bill includes provisions for food assistance, veteran's affairs, and Congress itself [1]