Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgent need for energy to support its growth [1][2][3] - A specific company is highlighted as a key player in the AI energy sector, owning critical energy infrastructure assets that are essential for meeting the increasing energy demands of AI technologies [3][7][8] Investment Opportunity - Wall Street is investing heavily in AI, but there is a looming energy crisis as AI technologies require vast amounts of electricity, comparable to the consumption of small cities [2][3] - The company in focus is positioned to benefit from the surge in demand for electricity driven by AI data centers, making it a potentially lucrative investment [3][8] Company Profile - The company owns significant nuclear energy infrastructure assets and is capable of executing large-scale engineering, procurement, and construction projects across various energy sectors [7][8] - It is noted for being debt-free and having a substantial cash reserve, which is nearly one-third of its market capitalization, providing financial stability and growth potential [8][10] Market Position - The company is described as a "toll booth" operator in the AI energy boom, collecting fees from energy exports and benefiting from the onshoring trend driven by tariffs [5][6] - It has an equity stake in another AI-related company, offering investors indirect exposure to multiple growth engines in the AI sector [9][10] Future Outlook - The article emphasizes the importance of investing in AI and energy infrastructure as the future of technology and economic growth, with a call to action for investors to seize the opportunity before significant price increases occur [11][12][13]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The upward cycle of gold is not over, and any adjustment in gold prices should be seen as a buying opportunity on dips. The long - term trend of gold is anchored to its monetary attribute, and with the decline of the US dollar currency system, global central banks will increase their gold allocation and reduce their US dollar allocation. [2][120] - In the fourth quarter, central bank gold purchases will act as a support, and investment demand will be the driving force. Investment demand will shift from uncertain hedging transactions to interest - rate cut transactions on the monetary policy side. The target price of London gold in Q4 2025 will move up to the $4000/ounce area, with support at $3600/ounce, and the domestic price will be in the range of 820 - 900 yuan/gram. [2][121] - Silver trends generally follow gold, but there are differences in fundamentals and volatility. The expected operating range of London silver in the fourth quarter is $42 - 50/ounce, and the domestic price is 10000 - 12000 yuan/kilogram. A strategy of buying on dips is recommended. [3][121] Summary According to the Table of Contents 1. Precious Metals Market Review - In 2025, the domestic and foreign precious metals markets continued the bull market in 2024, with strong upward momentum and the relative strength of gold and silver switching. The foreign market outperformed the domestic market, mainly due to the appreciation of the RMB. [9] - In the third quarter, the precious metals market had both synchronization and differentiation. Gold started to break through upwards in late August, silver followed gold's upward movement in late August after a period of adjustment, and platinum's price moved up following gold and silver after a large - scale fluctuation in July. [9] - As of September 19, 2025, all precious metals showed significant price increases compared to the end of 2024, with COMEX silver having the highest increase of 48.05%, and the gold - to - silver ratio decreased by 3.75%. [19] 2. Cross - Market Price Difference Fluctuations Caused by Concerns over US Tariff Policies - From late last year to the first quarter of this year, concerns about the US imposing gold import tariffs led to large - scale arbitrage trading, pushing up the price difference between COMEX gold and London gold. Similar arbitrage transactions have occurred multiple times since November 2024. [23] - In the third quarter of this year, a similar story of cross - market price differences in precious metals repeated. In July, the premium of COMEX futures over London spot in the gold, silver, platinum, and palladium markets widened rapidly due to concerns that the US might extend copper import tariff measures to precious metals. [26] 3. Broad Monetary Expectations Boost Precious Metals Valuation and Investment Demand 3.1 Q3 Real Interest Rate Decline Boosts Gold Valuation - In August, the enhanced expectation of the Fed's interest - rate cut pushed down the 10 - year US Treasury real interest rate, thereby boosting the valuation of gold. Although the non - farm payroll report in early August was far below expectations, the lack of a clear signal from the Fed and the time interval between FOMC meetings limited the increase in precious metals prices. [33] - During the period of increasing interest - rate cut expectations, the US dollar index remained resilient, with a limited depreciation range. Except for the Swedish krona, the other five major currencies depreciated against the US dollar in Q3 2025, with the Japanese yen having the largest depreciation. [35] 3.2 The Fed's Monetary Easing Expectation is the Main Cause of the Decline in Real Interest Rates - The mid - to long - term decline in the real interest rate of US Treasury bonds is mainly driven by the Fed's interest - rate cut and easing expectations. At the September FOMC meeting, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points as expected. Market expectations indicate that the Fed will cut interest rates 1.728 times by the end of this year and 4.317 times by the end of 2026. [41] - The dot - plot of the September FOMC meeting shows that most Fed officials expect the Fed to cut interest rates twice this year and once each in 2026 and 2027. Compared with June, the expected number of interest - rate cuts has increased due to the Fed's shift towards the employment side in balancing inflation and employment. [45] - The Fed's September economic forecast shows an upward revision of the GDP growth rate forecast for 2025 - 2027, a downward revision of the unemployment rate forecast for 2026 and 2027, and an upward revision of the PCE forecast, reflecting the Fed officials' increased concern about inflation and reduced concern about the economy. [49] 3.3 The Fed's Broad Monetary Policy Still Has Room for Strengthening - In the fourth quarter, the US dollar index and the 10 - year US Treasury real interest rate are expected to decline further, which will continue to boost the valuation of precious metals. The Fed's interest - rate cut and possible suspension of balance - sheet reduction are likely to be further strengthened due to increased economic downward pressure in the US and the expected increase in the number of Fed officials favorable to Trump. [51] - The US economy may face greater downward pressure in the fourth quarter and 2026, as evidenced by the cooling of the employment market and the negative impact of trade tariffs on the economy. The Fed's independence is being challenged through institutional and personnel interventions, and there is also the issue of fiscal coercion. [53][63] - Since 2025, global gold investment demand has increased significantly, but there was a net outflow in May. The uncertainty brought about by Trump's policies has increased the demand for gold investment and allocation, but the "90 - day suspension period" of the "reciprocal tariff" policy and the cooling of uncertainty have led to a partial withdrawal of investment demand. [73][75] 4. Central Bank Gold Purchases as a Support - Central bank gold purchases have shown a slowdown this year. From the perspective of the fourth quarter and 2026, central bank gold purchases will act as a support rather than the core driving force for price increases. Central banks are expected to continue to support the gold market, with a concave - shaped demand curve that is more sensitive to price declines. [81] - Long - term, the relationship between central bank gold purchases and gold prices is asymmetric. Central banks are more likely to increase purchases when prices fall, and the inhibitory effect on price increases is weaker than the boosting effect on price increases when prices fall. [82] - As of July, the Polish central bank was the largest gold purchaser in 2025, but its gold purchases slowed down in the second half of the year. Many central banks, including those of Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, China, and Turkey, maintained a good demand for gold. [89] - According to a survey by the World Gold Council, most central banks expect to increase their gold reserves and reduce their US dollar reserves in the next five years. In the next 12 months, 95% of central banks expect the global central bank's gold reserves to continue to increase. [90][91][98] 5. Precious Metals Market Outlook 5.1 Q4 2025 Outlook: Reaching New Highs and Maintaining Strength - In terms of influencing factors, the decline in the US dollar index and the US Treasury real interest rate has boosted the valuation of precious metals. The rise in the precious metals market in the first half of the year was mainly due to hedging demand and interest - rate cut expectations. Central bank gold purchases provided support, and market supply - demand imbalances in the first quarter also contributed to the rise. Gold entered a consolidation phase from late April to mid - August and broke through after late August. [119] - The demand for silver is weaker than that for gold. Industrial silver demand has stagnated, and the underdeveloped investment channels in the domestic market have limited investment demand. However, the deviation of the gold - to - silver ratio and the small market size of silver have created trading opportunities. [120] - The long - term upward cycle of gold is not over, and any price adjustment should be seen as a buying opportunity. In the fourth quarter, investment demand will shift, and the price of London gold is expected to reach the $4000/ounce area, with support at $3600/ounce. The expected operating range of London silver in the fourth quarter is $42 - 50/ounce. [2][3][121]

Report Information - Report Title: Precious Metals Daily Review - Date: September 30, 2025 - Research Team: Macro Finance Team - Researchers: He Zhuoqiao (Macro Precious Metals), Huang Wenxin (Treasury Bonds and Shipping), Nie Jiayi (Stock Index) [2] 1. Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information provided in the report 2. Core View - Gold prices have started a new upward trend, which may last until the spring and summer of 2026. Investors are advised to maintain a long - position mindset in precious metals trading, and short - hedgers can appropriately reduce their hedging ratios. Due to the Fed's potential interest rate cuts and geopolitical risks, both gold and silver are expected to rise, with silver potentially outperforming gold due to its high volatility. With the approaching of the National Day and Mid - Autumn Festival holidays and numerous key data events, the volatility of precious metals may increase, and investors are advised to reduce their positions [4][5] 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Precious Metals Market Trends and Outlook 3.1.1 Intraday Market - The risk of the US government shutdown caused the US dollar index to decline for two consecutive days, falling below the 98 mark. News of potential US drone strikes in Venezuela increased risk - aversion demand. London gold broke through the $3,800 per ounce mark, and London silver reached $47.2 per ounce. Gold prices had a sideways consolidation from late April to August to digest high - valuation pressure. The Fed's interest - rate cut expectations have boosted gold prices since early September, starting a new upward trend. This week, attention should be paid to global September PMI, US September non - farm payrolls, and the progress of the US congressional game. With the approaching holidays, investors should reduce positions to avoid risks [4] 3.1.2 Medium - term Market - From late April to early August, London gold fluctuated widely between $3,100 - $3,500 per ounce to digest over - valuation. Since August, the US employment and inflation situation has supported the Fed's restart of the interest - rate cut process. Geopolitical risks also provided safe - haven demand for gold. From late August to early September, various factors drove the gold price to break through $3,500 per ounce. The new upward trend is expected to last until the spring and summer of 2026. Silver, with strong industrial attributes, will also rise with gold and may outperform gold in terms of gains [5] 3.2 Main Macroeconomic Events/Data - Trump announced new import tariffs on October 1, including a 100% tariff on patented drugs and a 25% tariff on heavy trucks, breaking the relatively calm trade situation and causing new uncertainties [17] - US consumer spending in August increased slightly more than expected, with a 0.6% increase. Personal income rose 0.4%, and the savings rate dropped to 4.6%. The PCE price index rose 0.3% month - on - month and 2.7% year - on - year, and the core PCE price index rose 0.2% month - on - month and 2.9% year - on - year [17] - Fed's regulatory vice - chair Bowman reiterated the need for decisive interest - rate cuts and supported balance - sheet reduction and adjustment of the standing repurchase mechanism. Richmond Fed President Barkin believes the risks of a significant increase in unemployment or inflation are limited [18] - OPEC+ may approve an increase in oil production of at least 137,000 barrels per day at its October 5 meeting, but the final decision is yet to be made [18]

Core Insights - Artificial intelligence (AI) is identified as the greatest investment opportunity of the current era, with a strong emphasis on the urgent need for energy to support its growth [1][2][3] - A specific company is highlighted as a key player in the AI energy sector, owning critical energy infrastructure assets that are essential for meeting the increasing energy demands of AI technologies [3][7][8] AI and Energy Demand - AI technologies, particularly large language models like ChatGPT, are extremely energy-intensive, with data centers consuming as much energy as small cities [2] - The energy requirements for AI are expected to escalate, leading to potential crises in power grids and rising electricity prices [2][3] Investment Opportunity - The company in focus is positioned to benefit from the surge in demand for electricity driven by AI, making it a unique investment opportunity [3][6] - It is noted that this company is not a chipmaker or cloud platform but plays a crucial role in the energy infrastructure needed for AI [3][6] Financial Position - The company is described as debt-free and holding a significant cash reserve, which is nearly one-third of its market capitalization [8] - It is trading at a low valuation of less than 7 times earnings, indicating potential for significant upside [10] Market Trends - The company is involved in the U.S. LNG exportation sector, which is expected to grow under the current administration's energy policies [7] - The onshoring trend driven by tariffs is also mentioned as a factor that could benefit the company, as it is positioned to support domestic manufacturing [5][14] Future Outlook - The influx of talent into the AI sector is expected to drive continuous innovation and advancements, reinforcing the importance of investing in AI-related companies [12] - The overall sentiment is that investing in AI and its supporting infrastructure is crucial for capitalizing on future growth opportunities [13][15]

多个德国化工和制药领域行业协会日前表示，美国政府对进口药品滥施关税，将严重冲击德国和欧洲制 药业，并对美欧贸易关系造成负面影响。 德国制药业协会表示，美方举措"强硬粗暴，且存在问题"，是一种"不计代价的自我封锁"。该协会在一 份声明中指出，这不仅是对国际贸易和欧洲药品供应保障的严重打击，也是对德国制药业发出的危险信 号。 （文章来源：新华社） 美国政府日前宣布，自10月1日起，美国将对进口的所有品牌或专利药品征收100%关税。 德国化学工业协会就此发表声明说，对美方举措"深感担忧"。该协会首席执行官沃尔夫冈·格罗塞·恩特 鲁普表示，这是对欧盟"当头又一棒"，标志着美欧贸易关系跌至新低。 公开资料显示，美国是德国制药产业最重要的出口市场之一。2024年，德国对美药品出口额超过270亿 欧元，占德国制药出口总额约四分之一。 德国药品研发与生产者联合会指出，全球制药产业高度依赖稳定政策框架和开放市场，美国关税举措将 对德国和欧洲制药业造成沉重打击。该联合会主席施托伊特尔表示，新关税将严重冲击国际供应链，推 高药品生产成本，并危及美欧患者用药供应。"我们已经看到，在德国的制药投资计划出现冻结迹象。" ...

美国关税政策又有变数！ 当地时间9月26日，美国白宫表示，最新针对药品的关税措施不适用于已与美国达成贸易协定的国家。 牛市来了还没上车？上天天基金APP搜索777注册即可领500元券包，优选基金10元起投！限 量发放！先到先得！ 当天，在美股市场上，医药股涨跌分化，诺瓦瓦克斯医药涨2.52%，辉瑞涨0.68%，葛兰素史克涨 0.84%，Moderna跌0.49%，联合健康跌0.43%。 此前一天，美国总统特朗普在其社交媒体"真实社交"宣布，将自10月1日起对进口的所有品牌或专利药品 征收100%关税。受该消息影响，日本、韩国股市医药股26日多数下跌，住友制药跌超3%，三星生物制 剂跌超2%，第一三共跌近2%。 事关药品关税 美国白宫当地时间26日表示，最新针对药品的关税措施不适用于已与美国达成贸易协定的国家。 据央视新闻援引路透社消息，白宫官员表示，对于欧盟、日本等贸易伙伴，美国将继续遵守协定中规定的 15%关税上限。 彭博社也报道了上述消息，该媒体称，一位白宫官员表示，特朗普对药品进口的新关税将不适用于与美国 谈判达成包含药品条款的协议的国家。这意味着，包括欧盟和日本在内的经济体将获得美国本已承诺的待 遇。 ...

And meantime, we're getting some more clarity on the newlyannounced tariffs. Let's get to Aean Jabvers with that story. Aean.Yeah, Melissa, this is an important clarification from the White House on the tariffs that the president announced last night. The White House is telling me that any country that has a trade deal with the United States where they got a specific carveout for a specific type of import uh to be protected or capped in terms of the tariffs. Those carveouts and caps will apply to the tariff ...

大宗商品研究所 黑色金属研发报告 黑色金属早报 2025 年 09 月 26 日 黑色金属每日早盘观察 钢材 【相关资讯】 1.据央视新闻，当地时间 9 月 25 日，美国总统特朗普在其社交媒体"真实社交"宣布， 自 10 月 1 日起，美国将对多类进口产品实施新一轮高额关税。措施包括对厨房橱柜、 浴室洗手台及相关建材征收 50%关税，对进口家具征收 30%关税，并对专利及品牌药 品加征 100%关税 2.墨西哥政府拟对中国等非自贸伙伴的产品提高进口关税税率的相关措施，具体涉及汽 车及零部件、纺织品、服装、塑料、钢铁、家电、铝、玻璃等产品类别。商务部决定 对墨西哥相关涉华限制措施启动贸易投资壁垒调查。 现货价格：网价上海地区螺纹 3290 元（+10），北京地区 3190（-），上海地区热卷 3400 元（-），天津地区热卷 3330 元（-）。 【逻辑分析】 期货从业证号：F03134259 投资咨询证号：Z0021009 研究员：丁祖超 期货从业证号：F03105917 投资咨询证号：Z0018259 昨日夜盘黑色板块依然维持震荡走势，25 日建筑钢材成交为 10.82 万吨。本周钢联数 据公布，五大材总 ...

Pharma, biotech, and healthc care stocks across Asia are in red this morning. This is after President Trump announced fresh tariffs on branded or patented drugs entering the United States. A duty of 100% will be imposed on those pharma imports starting on October the 1st.The US leader said an exemption will be granted if companies are building drug manufacturing plants in the country, which includes companies that have already broken ground on projects. Trump also unveiled a 25% levy on heavy truck imports ...

"这无异于一记重击。"甘巴尔代拉说，汽车产业是欧洲经济一大支柱，德国、法国、意大利等国都 依赖庞大的汽车产业链，这一链条直接或间接关联数百万个工作岗位。美国关税政策将迫使欧洲车企要 么自行消化高昂成本，进一步压缩利润空间，要么将成本转嫁给消费者，导致市场份额遭到挤压。 自今年4月起，美国对进口汽车加征25%的关税，导致欧盟对美汽车出口遭遇高达27.5%的关税。 受美国关税政策冲击，2025年上半年欧洲五大汽车巨头利润均同比下滑或转为亏损。财报数据显 示，大众2025年上半年净利润为40.05亿欧元，同比下降37%。其中，因美国关税带来的额外成本高达 13亿欧元。宝马上半年净利润为40.15亿欧元，同比下滑29%。斯泰兰蒂斯集团更是因为推迟旗下美国 品牌车型的研发与销售战略，从上年同期的盈利56亿欧元转为亏损22.56亿欧元。 新华社布鲁塞尔9月25日电（记者康逸）美国政府24日表示，正式执行与欧盟达成的贸易协议，确 认对欧盟汽车及零部件征收15%的关税自8月1日起生效。欧洲观察人士认为，美国关税政策正给欧洲汽 车业带来严重冲击。 中欧数字协会主席路易吉·甘巴尔代拉表示，根据美欧达成的新贸易协议，美国对欧盟出口 ...