Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...

After weeks of sideways chop, XRP—the cryptocurrency created by the founders of Ripple—is making another run at the ever important $3.00 per coin mark. XRP is up 4% today trading just above $3.00, climbing more than 9% over the last 30 days. It’s enough to claim a top 3 spot in the crypto market, with a market cap above $182 billion. The move comes as the broader crypto market shows signs of life, with Bitcoin holding steady above $110,000—just above $120K right now—and institutional interest in XRP deri ...

Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...

Mercury General (MCY) has strong technical momentum and hit a new all-time high in Monday morning trading. MCY maintains a 100% “Buy” opinion from Barchart and a Trend Seeker “Buy” signal. Shares have gained 30% over the past year. MCY’s fundamentals show projected revenue growth, a rebound in earnings next year, and positive sentiment from both Wall Street and retail investors. Today’s Featured Stock Valued at $4.61 billion, Mercury General (MCY) is engaged primarily in writing all risk class ...

BTC USD is firmly above $110K, and the latest Bitcoin technical analysis at the end of September 2025 is here! Bull markets – everybody loves them! Except the bears, of course… But lets the question circling around lately – Will the Bull market continue or is it over? Where is Bitcoin headed next – should I sell, hold or buy? People who are serious about their finances and consider themselves investors need to make informed decisions when tackling such questions. And they do! One of the areas we get inform ...

Gold (GCZ25) prices this week hit another record high of $3,824.60, basis December Comex futures. Siver (SIZ25) prices this week scored a 14-year high of $44.77 in nearby Comex futures. Both markets this week have seen bullish upside technical “breakouts” from choppy trading ranges on the daily bar charts. Price action at mid-week is so far just routine profit taking or weak long liquidation from the shorter-term futures traders. Remember that prices do not go straight up or straight down. Instead, price ...

Market Overview - The market is experiencing new all-time highs, driven by positive news from Nvidia and Intel, contributing to a strong sentiment across the NASDAQ and broader market [2][3] - Manufacturing data shows signs of improvement, with yields ticking higher, indicating a balanced labor market and supporting upward market momentum [3] Valero Energy - Valero Energy has reached a new 52-week high, trading around 165, despite crude oil prices being relatively stable [4][5] - The recommended trade involves buying an October call spread (165-175) for approximately $2.95, aiming for a 2:1 risk-reward ratio while defining downside risk [5] - Technical analysis indicates a breakout above previous resistance at 155, with the old resistance now acting as support [6][9] Workday - Workday has gained attention following Elliot Investment Management's $2 billion stake and subsequent analyst upgrades, suggesting a potential breakout from its recent trading range [12][18] - The proposed trade is to buy an October call spread (240-260) while selling a 220 put, allowing for upside capture and potential stock acquisition at a lower price if weakness occurs [13][21] - Technical indicators suggest a breakout is imminent, with key levels at 240 and 260 aligning with moving averages and volume profiles [17][18] Casey's General Stores - Casey's has received a price target increase from Evercore ISI, now set at 580, with current trading around 552 [18][19] - The trade strategy involves buying the stock and selling a February 600 call to manage long-term exposure and defer tax consequences [21] - Chart analysis shows a strong upward trend following earnings, with significant resistance levels around 527 and 571, indicating potential volatility [23][25]

Group 1 - The article discusses the anticipation for Ex-US equities to begin outperforming due to significant valuation differences compared to domestic equities [1] - The author has a background in the hedge fund industry, with experience as a Portfolio Manager and Domestic Equity Analyst, managing a Long/Short Equity product with gross assets exceeding 1 billion dollars [1] - The investment philosophy includes fundamental, bottoms-up value investing for long positions and catalyst-oriented short investing, complemented by technical analysis for risk management [1] Group 2 - The author expresses a beneficial long position in the shares of EDIV and DFIV through various investment vehicles [2] - The article is written independently, reflecting the author's personal opinions without external compensation [2] - There is a disclaimer regarding the lack of guarantee that past performance will predict future results, emphasizing that no specific investment advice is provided [3]

Source: TradingView.com Key Takeaways Alphabet this week became just the fourth company to achieve a market capitalization of $3 trillion, boosted recently by a favorable legal ruling and optimism about the company's prospects amid the AI boom Since breaking out from a saucer pattern in late August, Alphabet shares have trended sharply higher this month. The measuring principle projects bullish price targets at $261 and $286.53. Investors should also watch key support levels on Alphabet's chart aroun ...

Trend Identification and Momentum - The 200-day moving average is a key indicator for identifying momentum in crypto markets, with price above indicating bullish control and price below indicating bearish control [4] - A potential buying opportunity arises when a crypto asset, after being below the 200-day moving average for weeks or months, closes a full day above it, especially when accompanied by a fundamental catalyst like a product launch or user growth [5][7] - Stablecoin supply growth is a powerful indicator; expanding supply during a 200-day reclaim increases confidence in the move's sustainability [8] - It's crucial to ignore the 200-day moving average when fundamentals, such as significant supply unlocks or team departures, contradict the technical signals [9] Identifying Market Tops and Bottoms - The PI cycle top, a combination of the 111-day and 350-day moving averages on BTC, serves as an alarm for potential market tops when the fast line crosses above the slow line [17] - The MVRV z-score (zed score) uses on-chain data to determine if BTC is over or underpriced compared to the average cost basis of holders; a high score indicates unrealized profit and potential tops, while a low score suggests market bottoms [20][21] - The zed score's behavior may differ from previous cycles due to the influence of large buyers like ETFs and digital asset treasuries, which are re-anchoring supply at higher prices [24] - The zed score is expected to be more reliable as a bottom signal due to the potential for long liquidity wipeouts and liquidations of smaller crypto treasuries during a harsh bear market [27][29] Trading Sideways Markets - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is useful in sideways markets; look for bounces when price is near support and RSI is low (30-40 or lower), and exits when price is near resistance and RSI is high (60-70 or higher) [42] - Bollinger Bands, which expand with rising volatility and tighten when the market is calm, can be combined with RSI for trading sideways markets; sell when RSI is over 70 and price tags the upper band, and vice versa [44] Market Fundamentals - Ethereum funds saw inflows of nearly $4 billion, indicating a clear allocation preference from large buyers [34] - The total stablecoin market cap is above $280 billion, providing fresh capital for price action [34] - September will see $45 billion unlocked across the altcoin spectrum, so it's better to focus on tokens that don't have heavy unlock schedules in their immediate future [35]