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Mercado Libre stock has best long-term opportunity: Strategy Asset Managers' Hulick
CNBC Television· 2025-07-11 20:22
Market Overview & Strategy - The market has largely priced in positive news, suggesting limited further upside and increased downside risk if earnings disappoint [1][7] - Strategy Asset Managers favors international markets due to the depreciating dollar, creating advantages for certain stocks [2] - A weak dollar is generally beneficial for US net exporters and should aid international stocks through translation effects [6][8] - The firm advises clients to look beyond short-term market noise and maintain a confident long-term outlook [5] Investment Opportunities - Marcato Libre, an e-commerce and fintech company with exposure to Argentina, is favored due to growth potential in Latin America, which is considered greater than in Europe [3] - The healthcare sector, particularly biotechnology and pharmaceuticals, is highlighted as a key area of focus [13] - Eli Lilly (Lily) is favored for its potential in the GLP-1 drug market, targeting the billion people globally who are obese [13] - Next-generation vaccines and personalized cancer vaccines represent exciting advancements in biotechnology [14] Monetary Policy & Economic Factors - The market anticipates the Federal Reserve to implement rate cuts, potentially starting towards the end of the year [10] - The high US deficit necessitates eventual rate cuts, although the timing remains uncertain [10][11]
'The bull trend is under way,' says BMO's Brian Belski
CNBC Television· 2025-06-17 17:03
Market Trends & Investment Strategies - Nvidia shares are up 50% from their April low, outperforming other Mag 7 stocks [1] - The market bull trend is considered underway, but short-term concerns exist due to falling company guidance [2] - Selective stock picking within the Mag 7 is advised, with overweight stances in Microsoft and Amazon maintained, and adding to Apple expected [3][4] - Professional investors showed pessimism, but the market is near a new high, suggesting a time to be less fearful [4][5] Macroeconomic Factors & Policy Impacts - Potential transformational changes in tax policy, such as expensing capital expenditure on software, could monetize the AI trade beyond the MAG 7 [6] - Expected tariff rates are decreasing, which could lead to more guidance from companies and increased optimism from professional investors [6][7] - Uncertainty remains regarding the full impact of Trump's tariffs and immigration policies on various industries [8][9] - Despite concerns, GDP growth is at 38%, averaging 25% for the first and second quarters [10] Currency & International Markets - The US dollar has lost 10% of its value since President Trump took office, which can be seen as beneficial for multinationals or as a sign of declining faith in American exceptionalism [12] - International investors, particularly in Europe, have been overweight in European stocks, but there's a growing reluctance to buy US stocks [17][19] - The dollar's weakness is beginning to slow down, with a trend towards solidification [16] - The consensus at the beginning of the year was that the dollar was overvalued, predating recent political events [21]