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U.S. Stocks May Regain Ground As Inflation Data Matches Estimates
RTTNews· 2025-09-26 12:56
The major U.S. index futures are currently pointing to a higher open on Friday, with stocks likely to regain ground after trending lower over the past few sessions.Traders may look to pick up stocks at relatively reduced levels following the recent pullback, which partly reflected concerns about valuations and the near-term outlook for the artificial intelligence trade.The futures saw further upside following the release of a closely watched Commerce Department report showing consumer prices increased in l ...
The economy continues to have a tremendous amount of momentum, says Morgan Stanley's Daniel Skelly
CNBC Television· 2025-09-26 12:47
Market Overview & Economic Outlook - Market experienced minor declines, around 1% or less, but this reflects recent market trends [1] - The economy maintains significant momentum, supported by GDP revisions [2] - AI super cycle continues to drive growth in mega-cap tech stocks [2] - A consolidation period is expected, but the strength of the economy and the AI sector suggest it won't be a major correction [3] Investment Strategy & Sector Focus - Today is generally a good day to invest for long-term goals like retirement, savings, and college [3] - For those nearing retirement, a more conservative approach focusing on dividend growth or dividend income stocks is advisable [4] - Healthcare sector is currently undervalued, trading at its lowest relative weight in the S&P since 1994, with big pharma trading at approximately a 30% discount to the S&P [8][10] - Healthcare sector is expected to be positively transformed by AI [11] Bull Market & Historical Context - Historically, bull markets have an average length of about 8 years; the current bull market is approximately 2 and a half years old since the Chat GPT lows in October/November 2022 [5] - The NASDAQ is trading about 12% above its 200-day moving average, which is less extended compared to the technology sector in 1999 [6] Risk Factors & Confidence Level - Geopolitical risks, particularly in Eastern Europe and Ukraine, are concerning and could impact oil prices [14][15] - High confidence in avoiding a recession and limiting drawdowns to a maximum of 5-10% [16]
Fed's Barkin on Eco Data Risks, Business Uncertainty, Neutral Rate
Youtube· 2025-09-26 12:41
Joining us this morning, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin here on Bloomberg Television and radio worldwide and on radio. They can't see it, but on television, people can see you have a bit of a bandage on your head. You just had one of those older people's kind of operations.Yeah, there's no truth that it was what happened in the last meeting. All right. Speaking of the last meeting, we came out of that believing that or at least Wall Street that you're going to cut rates again in October and maybe in Dece ...
Fed’s Barkin on Eco Data Risks, Business Uncertainty, Neutral Rate
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-26 12:41
Joining us this morning, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin here on Bloomberg Television and radio worldwide and on radio. They can't see it, but on television, people can see you have a bit of a bandage on your head. You just had one of those older people's kind of operations.Yeah, there's no truth that it was what happened in the last meeting. All right. Speaking of the last meeting, we came out of that believing that or at least Wall Street that you're going to cut rates again in October and maybe in Dece ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-26 12:33
Shares of furniture retailers tumbled after President Donald Trump announced that the US will enact new tariffs on imported kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanities and other home products next week https://t.co/oZY0JipnIS ...
Gutierrez: This is a big move, pharma is getting hit
CNBC Television· 2025-09-26 12:32
Carlos, this is a lot to unpack. At the end of the day, the pharmaceutical tariffs we kind of knew were coming because he hinted at them. Just how much of an impact will it be on companies not just here in the US, but global ones who sell to the US as well.>> Yeah, this is a big move and as you say, this was announced back uh some time ago. We knew it was coming, especially the threat that unless you build a plant in the US, you're going to get these tariffs. happen a lot quicker than than I expected and an ...
Futures Flat Ahead Of Fed's Favorite Inflation Indicator
ZeroHedge· 2025-09-26 12:25
Market Overview - US equity futures are flat as investors await the core PCE report and consider the Fed's next policy move following stronger-than-expected US data [1] - The S&P futures are unchanged while Nasdaq futures drop 0.1%, indicating a potential continuation of recent losses [1] - The Magnificent 7 stocks show mixed performance in premarket trading, with Nvidia being the largest underperformer at -0.8% [1][3] Tariff Announcements - President Trump announced a series of tariffs, including a 100% tariff on branded pharmaceuticals, 50% on housing products, 30% on furniture, and 25% on heavy trucks, impacting various sectors [1][4] - Truckmaker PACCAR saw a gain of over 5% following the tariff announcement on heavy trucks, while shares of several European peers declined [5][6] - The pharmaceutical sector is experiencing mixed reactions, with some companies like Eli Lilly and Merck rising by 1% or more, while Apellis Pharmaceuticals fell by 6.2% after a rating downgrade [5][6] Economic Data and Expectations - Today's economic data includes August personal income and spending, with expectations of a 0.4% increase in both personal income and spending [6][12] - The core PCE price index is anticipated to rise by 2.9% year-over-year, consistent with the previous month, while the headline PCE price index is expected to increase by 2.72% from a year earlier [6][12] - The upcoming inflation report and monthly jobs data are critical for market sentiment, especially in light of the recent tariff announcements [4][6] Sector Performance - Healthcare stocks underperformed following the tariff announcements, particularly in Europe, where the Stoxx Europe 600 index edged higher by 0.3% despite the tariffs [7][20] - Asian stocks fell, with significant declines in chipmakers and Chinese tech shares, as the MSCI Asia Pacific Index dropped by 1% [8] - The technology sector is facing valuation concerns, contributing to a broader market selloff, particularly among large-cap tech companies [4][38] Company-Specific Movements - Concentrix shares slumped by 21% after a disappointing fourth-quarter profit outlook [5] - Intel and GlobalFoundries gained 4% and 9%, respectively, following reports of potential new plans to reduce reliance on overseas semiconductor manufacturing [5] - Wayfair's shares declined by 2% in response to the new tariffs targeting specific furniture products [5]
Expect the Fed to continue to gradually cut rates, says JPMorgan's Priya Misra
CNBC Television· 2025-09-26 11:23
Market Outlook & Strategy - Diversified portfolios are recommended, with fixed income providing both income and diversification against economic slowdowns [5] - Fixed income is attractive as a hedge against potential slowdowns, especially if the labor market weakens [5][6] - Bond funds are considered sensible, particularly those with exposure to structural AI, strong corporate balance sheets, credit, and duration [7] - Extending duration is advised, potentially banking on a range of 375 to 425 basis points (375%-425%) [19] Interest Rates & Fed Policy - Interest rates are viewed as restrictive, justifying the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cuts [4] - The Fed is expected to continue gradually cutting rates, potentially reaching a neutral rate, with debate around whether that rate is 250 or 300 basis points (250%-300%) [17][18] - The current Fed funds rate is at 425 basis points (425%) [18] Labor Market & Economic Uncertainty - Uncertainty around tariffs is causing companies to pause hiring [9] - Risks to the labor market are balanced, with potential for both downside (increased firing) and upside (increased hiring) [12] - A potential government shutdown could further cloud the labor market outlook, especially if it involves layoffs [15] Investment Opportunities - 5-year and 10-year high-grade corporate paper are favored [8] - Opportunities exist in double B and single B high-yield corporate bonds [8] - Investment-grade credit offers a yield of around 550 basis points (550%), while triple B+ bonds yield approximately 650 basis points (650%) [20]
5 Things To Know: September 26, 2025
CNBC Television· 2025-09-26 11:16
Five things to know ahead of today's opening bell. President Trump threatening the pharmaceutical industry with 100% tariffs unless drug companies manufacture or at least start to build manufacturing plants in the United States. The president also saying that he plans to slap a 25% tariff on imported heavy trucks starting October 1st.Separately, President Trump said yesterday he hopes to take some of the money raised by his tariffs and give it to US farmers. Retaliation to President Trump's tariffs have red ...
CAC 40 Modestly Higher Despite Trump's New Tariff Announcement
RTTNews· 2025-09-26 11:03
After back to back losses, the French market is up in positive territory on Friday with investors picking up stocks, shrugging off U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement of a fresh round of tariffs.Trump announced on Thursday that branded pharmaceuticals imported into the U.S. will be levied a 100% tariff, and heavy-duty trucks will be imposed a 25% levy, effective October 1st. He has also proposed levies on kitchen cabinets, bathroom vanities.and upholstered furniture.The benchmark CAC 40 was up 30.41 ...