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Viking Holdings Hit By Weak 2026 Pricing, Analyst Warns On Macro Uncertainty
Benzinga· 2025-05-21 19:29
Core Viewpoint - Stifel analyst Steven Wieczynski maintains a Buy rating on Viking Holdings Ltd, lowering the price forecast from $52 to $50 due to concerns over early 2026 pricing trends and macroeconomic uncertainty [1]. Financial Performance - Viking reported first-quarter total revenue of $897.1 million, reflecting a 24.9% increase compared to the same period in 2024 [1]. - The company aims for mid-single-digit yield growth for 2026, although the outcome remains uncertain [2]. Booking and Demand Insights - Viking's current 2026 booking levels are approximately 37% of inventory sold, which is ahead of forecasts [3]. - The company is not heavily relying on promotions to drive demand, indicating a strong position due to a longer booking window and a large customer base [3]. - Viking's response to booking strength concerns was reassuring, clarifying that FY25 pricing appeared inflated compared to FY24 due to the absence of a lower-yielding world cruise [4]. Marketing and Growth Potential - Viking has the capacity to drive demand through marketing without significantly increasing SG&A as a percentage of revenue, thanks to its direct marketing model [5]. - The company is projected to achieve strong EBITDA growth of approximately 18% annually through 2027 [5]. Stock Performance - Viking shares are trading lower by 2.62% to $43.59 as of the latest check [5].
2 Retail Stocks Slip as Tariff, Spending Concerns Weigh
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-21 14:27
Core Insights - Two major retailers, Target Corp and Lowe's Companies Inc, reported mixed earnings results, leading to declines in their stock prices due to cautious outlooks and macroeconomic challenges [1] Target Corp - Target's stock decreased by 7% to $91.32 after missing first-quarter revenue estimates and lowering its full-year sales outlook [2] - The retailer reported earnings of $2.03 per share, exceeding estimates, but revenue of $24.53 billion fell short of the $24.52 billion consensus [2] - Year-to-date, Target's stock is down 32.4%, with its 50-day moving average hindering any rallies this month [2] Lowe's Companies Inc - Lowe's stock fell by 1.4% to $227.79, despite beating earnings expectations with first-quarter earnings of $2.92 per share, compared to the expected $2.88 [3] - Revenue for Lowe's was $20.93 billion, slightly missing expectations [3] - The company reaffirmed its full-year outlook, projecting earnings between $12.15 and $12.40 per share and comparable sales growth between flat and 1% [3] Options Activity - Both Target and Lowe's are experiencing heightened intraday options activity, with volumes at four times the average pace for each [4] - Target has seen 2,884 calls and 2,063 puts traded, while Lowe's has recorded 2,908 calls and 2,075 puts [4]
AMGN Down 10% in 3 Months: How to Play the Stock as Tariff Woes Linger
ZACKS· 2025-05-21 13:50
Core Viewpoint - Amgen's stock has faced a decline of 10.4% over the past three months, largely attributed to macroeconomic uncertainties and trade tensions [1][2]. Group 1: Market Environment - The stock market has experienced volatility due to President Trump's tariffs and China's retaliatory measures, although a recent deal has eased tensions temporarily [2]. - The uncertainty surrounding tariffs continues to impact economic growth, despite pharmaceuticals being exempt from initial tariffs [3]. Group 2: Company Performance - Amgen's revenues grew by 9% year over year in Q1 2025, driven by increased patient demand for innovative medicines [4]. - The company is facing declining revenues from oncology biosimilars and established products like Enbrel, with competitive pressures affecting sales [5]. - Key revenue drivers include older medicines like Prolia and Repatha, as well as new drugs such as Tavneos and Tezspire, alongside rare disease drugs from the acquisition of Horizon Therapeutics [5]. Group 3: Drug Pipeline and Approvals - Amgen is evaluating several drugs for additional indications, which could enhance revenue growth, with Uplizna recently approved for IgG4-related disease [6][7]. - The company has invested significantly in M&A to diversify its pipeline, including the development of MariTide, a novel obesity treatment [8][10]. - Clinical studies for MariTide have shown promising results, and further studies are ongoing [9][10]. Group 4: Biosimilars and Market Strategy - Amgen launched several new biosimilars in 2025, generating substantial sales, including Wezlana and Pavblu, which contributed to a 35% year-over-year increase in biosimilar sales [13][15]. - The company is actively pursuing additional biosimilar approvals to mitigate the impact of upcoming patent expirations for key drugs [15][16]. Group 5: Financial Outlook - Amgen's stock has outperformed the industry and S&P 500, with a year-to-date increase of 7.3% [18]. - The stock is reasonably valued, trading at a price/earnings ratio of 13.12, lower than the industry average [21]. - Earnings estimates for 2025 and 2026 have seen upward revisions, indicating positive market sentiment [24][26]. Group 6: Long-term Growth Potential - The company is expected to maintain long-term revenue growth driven by strong performance from key drugs and innovative medicines [27]. - Despite initial data from MariTide studies being below expectations, it holds potential as a significant product for Amgen [27].
Canada Goose beats estimates, pulls full-year guidance on 'macroeconomic uncertainty'
CNBC· 2025-05-21 12:06
Canada Goose's revenue was up 7.4% from the same period last year. Net income attributable to shareholders for the fiscal fourth quarter ending March 30 was CA$27.1 million, or 28 Canadian cents per diluted share, compared with a net income attributable to shareholders of CA$5 million, or 5 Canadian cents per diluted share in the prior year period. As of Monday's close, shares had fallen nearly 14% year to date, hitting an all-time low last month after Barclay's analysts downgraded the stock and cut their p ...
Why Home Depot Stock Is Volatile Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-20 17:56
Group 1 - Home Depot missed earnings expectations with earnings of $3.56 per share, falling short by $0.03, but reported stronger-than-expected sales of $39.9 billion, exceeding analyst expectations by approximately $600 million and reflecting a year-over-year growth of 9.5% [3][4] - The company is facing challenges due to higher interest rates and macroeconomic uncertainty, which are limiting home sales and improvement projects, thereby softening demand for its products [3][4] - Home Depot reiterated its full-year guidance, projecting total revenue growth of about 2.8% and comparable-store sales growth of 1% [4] Group 2 - The company did not repurchase any shares during the quarter but continues to pay a dividend with a yield of 2.4%, while reducing its share count by over 7% in the past five years [5] - Despite current headwinds, Home Depot's stock is priced only 12% below its all-time high, indicating that investors are aware of the challenges but do not view the stock as a bargain [6][7] - The stock is considered a good option for long-term investors, although those expecting significant gains with economic recovery may be disappointed [6][7]
Global Ship Lease(GSL) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-19 15:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported an increase in earnings and cash flow compared to Q1 2024, which was already a strong quarter [12] - Gross debt increased to just under $778 million due to financing of recently acquired vessels, while cash position stood at $428 million, with $90 million restricted [12][13] - The net debt to EBITDA ratio has improved to under 1, down from 8.4 times at the end of 2018, indicating significant deleveraging [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company added 19 charters worth approximately $352 million in contracted revenues during Q1 2025, bringing total contracted revenues to nearly $1.9 billion with an average remaining contract cover of 2.3 years [9][10] - The company has maintained a disciplined approach to fleet renewal and capital allocation, focusing on maximizing optionality while covering CapEx obligations [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The container ship charter market remains exceptionally tight, with essentially zero idle capacity globally, despite normalization of headline freight rates [5] - The company noted that tariffs and trade barriers have complicated the macroeconomic picture, but demand for mid-sized and smaller container ships remains strong [5][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maximize optionality to take advantage of the cyclical nature of the industry while ensuring long-term strength in any market conditions [7][8] - The strategy includes opportunistically monetizing older ships to build cash reserves for investment and fleet renewal [6][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the extraordinary volatility and uncertainty in the macro and geopolitical environment, focusing on financial resilience and maximizing optionality [33] - The company is well-positioned to pursue opportunities as they arise, particularly in renewing its fleet as older vessels age out [35] Other Important Information - The company has increased its annualized dividend to $2.1 per share, a 40% increase from the previous year [7] - The average cost of debt has been reduced to 3.99%, providing a strong financial position amid rising operating expenses [14][33] Q&A Session Summary Question: Interest from charter customers to extend existing charters at better rates - Management indicated that it depends on which charters are rolling off, with some fixed during high periods likely to be lower if re-fixed now, but overall appetite for attractive rates remains strong [40][41] Question: Acquisition front and asset prices - Management stated they are always looking at deals but maintain strict criteria for acquisitions, only pursuing financially sensible opportunities [43][44] Question: Charter market characterization over the past week - Management noted a similar change in sentiment in the charter market, with a brief slowdown in April followed by renewed interest and appetite in recent weeks [52][53] Question: Cash position and future plans - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining a robust cash position for flexibility and resilience, while continuing to deleverage and manage risks [56][57]
CalSTRS Ups Trump Media Stake Despite 'Unprecedented And World-Changing' Risks
Benzinga· 2025-05-16 18:01
In the first 100 days of 2025, as Donald Trump began his second presidential term, the stock market experienced one of its worst starts in decades, wiping out billions in investor wealth.Among those who were hurt and are now looking to play defense with investments are large pension funds.What Happened: The California State Teachers' Retirement System, also known as CalSTRS, has a large portfolio with thousands of stocks and other investments.Earlier this year, CalSTRS Chief Investment Officer Scott Chan sa ...
WMS' Q4 Earnings & Sales Miss Expectations, Margins Down Y/Y
ZACKS· 2025-05-16 15:40
Core Insights - Advanced Drainage Systems, Inc. (WMS) reported disappointing fourth-quarter results for fiscal 2025, with adjusted earnings and net sales falling short of expectations and declining year-over-year due to higher interest rates and economic uncertainties [1][3] - The company’s outlook for fiscal 2026 remains sluggish, but its diversified market exposure and innovative strategies may help it navigate market challenges [2] Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) for the fourth quarter were $1.03, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.09 by 5.5%, and down from $1.23 in the same quarter last year [3] - Net sales for the quarter were $615.8 million, missing the consensus mark of $659 million by 6.5% and declining 5.8% year-over-year, primarily due to weather-related demand weakness in construction and agriculture [3] - Gross profit decreased 10.2% to $226.3 million, influenced by unfavorable volume and price mix, while SG&A expenses as a percentage of net sales contracted 70 basis points year-over-year to 14.8% [4] Segment Performance - The Pipe segment's net sales fell 11.3% year-over-year to $318.1 million, while Infiltrator Water Technologies saw a 15.3% increase in net sales to $122.3 million [6] - The International segment's net sales dropped 17.6% to $30 million, and the Allied Products & Other segment's net sales decreased 4.8% to $145.4 million [7] Annual Overview - For fiscal 2025, WMS generated net sales of $2.9 billion, a slight increase of 1% from fiscal 2024, with adjusted EPS decreasing from $6.39 to $5.89 [8] - Adjusted EBITDA for the year fell 3.7% to $889.2 million, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 30.6%, down 150 basis points year-over-year [9] Liquidity and Capital Management - As of March 31, 2025, WMS had total liquidity of $1.1 billion, including cash of $463.3 million, and long-term debt slightly decreased to $1.25 billion [10] - During fiscal 2025, the company repurchased 0.4 million shares for $69.9 million, with $147.7 million remaining under its share repurchase authorization [11] Fiscal 2026 Guidance - WMS expects net sales for fiscal 2026 to range between $2.825 billion and $2.975 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected between $850 million and $910 million, and capital expenditures around $275 million [12]
ARMOUR Residential REIT: Hold, A High Yield In A Risky Environment
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-16 15:06
Group 1 - ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. (ARR) presents a balanced investment profile, suggesting a hold decision for investors [1] - The company offers a high dividend yield, making it attractive for income-focused investors [1] - ARMOUR faces risks related to uncertain interest rates and portfolio leverage, which could impact its performance [1]
Nvidia's 2025 Pain Looks Overdone -- Fundamentals Suggest Strong Q1 (Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-16 13:56
Group 1 - The article discusses the challenges Nvidia Corporation may face in 2025, highlighting demand uncertainty and competitive pressures as significant factors [1] - Since the publication of the previous article, Nvidia shares have experienced fluctuations, indicating market volatility and investor sentiment [1]