Earnings ESP

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Will Expeditors International (EXPD) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 17:10
Core Insights - Expeditors International (EXPD) has a strong track record of exceeding earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters, with an average surprise of 15.28% [1][5] - The company reported earnings of $1.30 per share for the most recent quarter, falling short of the expected $1.47, but still achieved a surprise of 13.08% [2] - In the previous quarter, Expeditors reported $1.68 per share against an expectation of $1.43, resulting in a surprise of 17.48% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Estimates for Expeditors International have been trending upwards, influenced by its history of earnings surprises [5] - The company currently has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.11%, indicating a bullish outlook from analysts regarding its earnings prospects [8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests a high likelihood of another earnings beat in the upcoming report [8] Earnings ESP and Market Performance - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, with the Most Accurate Estimate reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7] - The next earnings report for Expeditors International is anticipated to be released on August 5, 2025 [8]
Will First Citizens (FCNCA) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 17:10
Group 1 - First Citizens BancShares (FCNCA) has a strong track record of beating earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters with an average surprise of 7.24% [1][2] - For the last reported quarter, First Citizens achieved earnings of $37.79 per share, slightly above the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $37.72, resulting in a surprise of 0.19% [2] - In the previous quarter, the company exceeded expectations significantly, reporting earnings of $45.1 per share against an estimate of $39.46, delivering a surprise of 14.29% [2] Group 2 - Recent changes in earnings estimates for First Citizens have been favorable, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating potential for another earnings beat [5][8] - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) suggests that stocks like First Citizens have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6][8] - First Citizens currently has an Earnings ESP of +1.90%, reflecting recent bullish sentiment from analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [8]
Will Evercore (EVR) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 17:10
Core Viewpoint - Evercore (EVR) is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates in upcoming quarterly reports, supported by a strong history of performance in the investment banking sector [1]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - Evercore has consistently surpassed earnings estimates, achieving an average beat of 67.86% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, Evercore was expected to report earnings of $3.49 per share but instead reported $1.6 per share, resulting in a surprise of 118.13% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the consensus estimate was $2.9 per share, while the actual earnings were $3.41 per share, leading to a surprise of 17.59% [2]. Group 2: Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable adjustment in earnings estimates for Evercore, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating potential for another earnings beat [5]. - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [6]. - Evercore currently has an Earnings ESP of +13.81%, suggesting increased analyst optimism regarding its near-term earnings potential [7]. Group 3: Importance of Earnings ESP - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7]. - A positive Earnings ESP combined with a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) indicates a high likelihood of another earnings beat for Evercore [7]. - It is crucial for investors to check a company's Earnings ESP prior to quarterly releases to enhance the probability of successful investment decisions [9].
Cintas Gears Up to Report Q4 Earnings: What's in the Offing?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 17:01
Core Viewpoint - Cintas Corporation (CTAS) is set to release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on July 17, with expectations of strong revenue growth and margin improvement despite rising costs [1][6]. Group 1: Revenue Expectations - The Uniform Rental and Facility Services segment is projected to generate revenues of $2.02 billion, reflecting a 5.7% increase year-over-year [2]. - The First Aid and Safety Services segment is expected to achieve revenues of $313.1 million, indicating a 12.8% increase from the previous year [3]. - Overall, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for total revenues is $2.63 billion, which represents a 6.3% increase compared to the same quarter last year [6]. Group 2: Margin and Cost Analysis - Cintas is anticipated to show an improvement in operating margin by 50 basis points from the prior year, driven by operational execution and pricing strategies [5]. - Selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expenses are expected to rise to $714.4 million, marking a 7% increase from the year-ago level, which may impact overall profitability [7]. Group 3: Acquisitions Impact - The acquisitions of Paris Uniform Services and SITEX are expected to contribute positively to revenues and enhance market presence in key regions [4][9].
Loan Growth, Higher Rates to Support Truist's Q2 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 16:21
Core Insights - Truist Financial (TFC) is set to announce its second-quarter 2025 results on July 18, with a positive lending environment despite macroeconomic uncertainties [1] Lending and Loan Growth - Strong growth in commercial and industrial (C&I) loans, which make up nearly 50% of TFC's total loans, alongside decent demand for consumer loans, accounting for almost 40% of total loans [2] - The consensus estimate for TFC's average earning assets in Q2 is $478.4 billion, reflecting a slight increase from the previous year [3] Net Interest Income and Margins - The Federal Reserve maintained interest rates at 4.25-4.5%, which is expected to positively impact TFC's net interest income (NII) and net interest margin due to higher rates and loan growth [4] - The consensus estimate for Q2 NII is $3.58 billion, indicating a 1.4% year-over-year increase [4] Non-Interest Income Estimates - Service charges on deposits are estimated at $234 million, showing a marginal rise from the previous year, while card and payment-related fees are expected to decline by 2.2% to $225 million [6] - Mortgage banking income is projected to rise significantly, with a consensus estimate of $113 million, reflecting a 34.5% increase year-over-year [7] Fee Income and Expenses - Investment banking and trading income is estimated at $266 million, indicating a 7% year-over-year decline, while lending-related fees are expected to rise by 4.5% to $93 million [8][9] - Total non-interest income is projected at $1.41 billion, showing growth from the prior year [10] Cost and Expense Projections - Non-interest expenses are anticipated to rise by 5.5% year-over-year, with total adjusted non-interest expenses estimated at $2.96 billion [13] - Management expects adjusted expenses to increase by 2-3% sequentially due to higher personnel costs [13] Asset Quality and Credit Losses - TFC is likely to have set aside significant provisions for potential delinquent loans, with an estimated provision for credit losses of $407.9 million, reflecting a 9.6% year-over-year decline [14] - The consensus estimate for total non-accrual loans and leases is $1.56 billion, suggesting a 9.6% year-over-year increase [15] Earnings and Sales Expectations - The consensus estimate for TFC's earnings is 92 cents per share, indicating a 1.1% rise from the previous year, while sales are projected at $4.98 billion, reflecting a marginal year-over-year increase [17]
Alcoa Gears Up to Post Q2 Earnings: What Lies Ahead for the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 15:21
Core Viewpoint - Alcoa Corporation is expected to report an increase in revenue for the second quarter of 2025, with a consensus estimate of $2.91 billion, reflecting a 0.3% increase from the previous year [1] Revenue Expectations - The Aluminum segment's third-party sales are estimated at $1.96 billion, indicating a 3.2% increase year-over-year, while total sales for the segment are projected at $2.02 billion, a 6.2% rise from the prior year [4] - The Alumina segment's third-party sales are expected to be $836 million, representing an 8.5% decrease from the previous year, with total sales estimated at $1.37 billion, indicating a 6.5% decline [7] Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for earnings per share has decreased by 65.5% to 30 cents, although this reflects an 87.5% increase from the same quarter last year [2] Key Factors Influencing Performance - Increased demand for aluminum products in Europe and North America is anticipated to benefit the Aluminum segment, alongside the restart of the San Ciprián smelter and rising aluminum prices [3][10] - Synergistic gains from partnerships, such as the joint venture with IGNIS EQT and the acquisition of Alumina Limited, are expected to enhance revenues [5] - Efforts to increase smelter and refinery capacity are likely to support performance in the upcoming quarter [6] Challenges - The Alumina segment is expected to face challenges due to weakness in the bauxite market in China, influenced by safety and environmental inspections [7] - Global political risks and foreign exchange headwinds, particularly a stronger U.S. dollar, may negatively impact Alcoa's overseas business [8] Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict an earnings beat for Alcoa, as the Earnings ESP stands at 0.00% with both the Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate at 30 cents [9]
Matador Resources (MTDR) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 15:06
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Matador Resources despite higher revenues, with a focus on how actual results will compare to estimates [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - Matador is expected to report quarterly earnings of $1.30 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 36.6%, while revenues are projected to be $915.86 million, an increase of 8.1% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.91% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Most Accurate Estimate for Matador is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +15.51%, suggesting a strong likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - Matador has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates, achieving a surprise of +14.37% in the last reported quarter and surpassing estimates in all of the last four quarters [13][14]. Additional Considerations - While an earnings beat can influence stock movement, other factors may also play a significant role in determining stock performance post-earnings release [15].
Earnings Preview: Pegasystems (PEGA) Q2 Earnings Expected to Decline
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 15:06
Core Viewpoint - Pegasystems (PEGA) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended June 2025, with actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to be released on July 22, and if the key numbers exceed expectations, the stock may rise; conversely, a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is $0.24 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 7.7%, while revenues are projected to be $368.77 million, representing a 5% increase from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 5%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Pegasystems is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -12.03%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the deviation of actual earnings from consensus estimates, with positive readings being more reliable [9][10]. - Pegasystems currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1, but the negative Earnings ESP complicates the prediction of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Pegasystems was expected to post earnings of $0.23 per share but delivered $0.76, resulting in a surprise of +230.43% [13]. - The company has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters [14]. Conclusion - While Pegasystems does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [17].
Trustmark (TRMK) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 15:06
Company Overview - Trustmark (TRMK) is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings, with a projected EPS of $0.86, reflecting a +30.3% change, and revenues of $201.33 million, up 8.3% from the previous year [3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to be released on July 22, and the stock may rise if the actual results exceed expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating stability in analyst expectations [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - Trustmark's Earnings ESP is -5.81%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts, as the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate [11]. - Despite the negative Earnings ESP, Trustmark holds a Zacks Rank of 2, indicating a potential for a positive outcome, although the combination makes it challenging to predict an earnings beat [11]. Historical Performance - Trustmark has a history of beating consensus EPS estimates, having surpassed expectations in the last four quarters, including a +7.32% surprise in the most recent quarter [12][13]. Industry Context - In comparison, F.N.B. (FNB), another player in the Southeast banking industry, is expected to post earnings of $0.33 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -2.9%, with revenues projected at $420.8 million, up 4.2% [17][18].
Veritex Holdings (VBTX) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-07-15 15:06
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year increase in earnings for Veritex Holdings, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Veritex Holdings is expected to report quarterly earnings of $0.55 per share, reflecting a +5.8% year-over-year change, with revenues projected at $109.9 million, up 2.9% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.79% lower in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP for Veritex Holdings is +1.21%, suggesting analysts have become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Veritex Holdings exceeded the expected earnings of $0.51 per share by delivering $0.54, resulting in a surprise of +5.88% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates two times [14]. Industry Comparison - Regions Financial, another player in the Southeast banking industry, is expected to post earnings of $0.56 per share, indicating a +7.7% year-over-year change, with revenues projected at $1.85 billion, up 7.1% from the previous year [18]. - Regions Financial has an Earnings ESP of +0.23% and has beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the trailing four quarters [19].