of it), are prospective in nature and are not based on historical facts, but rather on current expectations and on numerous assumptions regarding the business strategies and the environment in which Rio Tinto, any member of the Rio Tinto group or the group following the Transaction shall operate in the future and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by those statements. The words "intend†, "aim†, "project†, "anticip ...

Core Viewpoint - Alcoa Corporation is a leading player in the aluminum industry, with a strong market position and positive financial performance indicators, despite facing slight revenue declines [1][6]. Financial Performance - Alcoa reported Q4 2025 revenue of $3.45 billion, a decrease of 1.1% year-over-year, but exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $3.24 billion, resulting in a positive surprise of 6.34% [3][6]. - The company's earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 2025 were $1.26, up from $1.04 the previous year, and significantly above the consensus estimate of $0.95, delivering a surprise of 32.63% [4][6]. - Alcoa's fourth-quarter profit increased to $226 million, compared to $202 million in the same period the previous year, driven by gains in alumina and aluminum sales [5][6]. Market Position and Ratings - B. Riley maintained a "Buy" rating for Alcoa and raised its price target from $44 to $78, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2][6]. - The current stock price of Alcoa is $63.14, reflecting a slight decrease of 1.14%, with a market capitalization of approximately $16.35 billion [5].

On San Ciprián, Oplinger said the restart was progressing well, with about 65% of capacity in operation at the end of 2025, and reiterated expectations that the restart will be completed in the first half of 2026.Operationally, the company set annual production records at five smelters and one refinery. Oplinger highlighted 16 consecutive years of increased production at Deschambault in Canada and eight consecutive years of record performance at Mosjøen in Norway. He also said shipping performance improved ...

Group 1: Materialise NV (MTLS) - Materialise NV specializes in software, medical applications, and manufacturing services related to 3D printing, holding a Zacks Rank 1 [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Materialise's current year earnings has increased by 33.3% over the last 60 days [1] - Materialise's shares have gained 2% over the last three months, outperforming the S&P 500's advance of 0.8%, and it has a Momentum Score of A [2] Group 2: Calix, Inc. (CALX) - Calix, Inc. provides cloud and software platforms and also holds a Zacks Rank 1 [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Calix's current year earnings has increased by 15.4% over the last 60 days [2] - Calix's shares have gained 12.7% over the last six months, slightly outperforming the S&P 500's advance of 12.4%, and it has a Momentum Score of B [2] Group 3: Alcoa Corporation (AA) - Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products, maintaining a Zacks Rank 1 [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alcoa's current year earnings has increased by 6.1% over the last 60 days [3] - Alcoa's shares have gained 44.3% over the last three months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's advance of 0.8%, and it has a Momentum Score of B [3]

MOSCOW, Dec 15 (Reuters) - A Russian court has ruled in favour of Rusal in the aluminium giant's 104.75-billion-rouble ($1.32 billion) lawsuit against global mining ​and metals company Rio Tinto, according to court documents. The ruling intensifies a ‌legal battle over a joint alumina refinery in Queensland, Australia, that Rio took sole control of ‌after Australia imposed sanctions on Russia over its war in Ukraine. The lawsuit was heard in closed session, and its details have not been disclosed. Rusal ...

Group 1: Commercial Metals Company (CMC) - Commercial Metals Company is a steel and metal products provider with a Zacks Rank 1 [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 12.5% over the last 60 days [1] - The company has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 11.35, significantly lower than the industry average of 21.00, and possesses a Value Score of A [1] Group 2: Alcoa Corporation (AA) - Alcoa Corporation produces and sells bauxite, alumina, and aluminum products, also holding a Zacks Rank 1 [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 5.8% over the last 60 days [2] - Alcoa has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 11.16, slightly below the industry average of 11.60, and possesses a Value Score of A [2] Group 3: James River Group Holdings, Ltd. (JRVR) - James River Group Holdings is a specialty insurance company with a Zacks Rank 1 [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 10.5% over the last 60 days [3] - The company has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 5.46, which is lower than the industry average of 8.30, and possesses a Value Score of B [3]

Core Viewpoint - Rio Tinto will reduce production at the Yarwun Alumina Refinery by 40% starting October 2026 to extend its operational life until 2035 and explore further modernization options [1][2][3] Production and Capacity - The reduction in production will lead to a decrease of approximately 1.2 million tonnes of alumina annually [5] - The Yarwun tailings facility is expected to reach capacity by 2031 at current production rates, making this curtailment necessary for future exploration [2] Economic and Employment Impact - The decision will affect around 180 roles at the refinery, with plans for redeployment across Rio Tinto sites in Gladstone [4] - The company emphasizes its commitment to alumina and aluminium operations in Gladstone, aiming to manage the transition effectively [4] Operational Continuity - Despite the production cut, there will be no impact on customer requirements or other operations, as bauxite mines and aluminium smelters will continue to operate at full capacity [5] - Yarwun currently employs about 725 people and produces around 3 million tonnes of alumina per year, which is used as feedstock for Rio Tinto's aluminium smelters and international customers [6] Environmental Initiatives - Rio Tinto is prioritizing innovative tailings solutions and decarbonisation technologies, including the Hydrogen Calcination Project supported by Australian Renewable Energy Agency funding [6]

Summary of the Conference Call on China's Aluminium Sector Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Aluminium Sector** and its supply-demand dynamics, highlighting the constrained supply and rising prices due to tight fundamentals [2][4][9]. Key Points Supply Constraints - China's aluminium industry capacity is capped at **45.2 million tonnes per annum (mtpa)**, currently operating at over **98% utilization** [3][9]. - Planned capacity additions for 2026 include **200,000 tonnes per annum (ktpa)** from Tianshan and **350 ktpa** from Zhalv, with no new capacity expected for 2027 [3][9]. - Ex-China, new capacity is anticipated mainly from Indonesia, contributing **400 kt** and **200 kt** YoY in 2026 and 2027, respectively [3][9]. Demand Growth - UBS forecasts global primary aluminium demand growth of **4%** for both 2026 and 2027, while supply growth is expected to be only **1-2%**, potentially leading to market deficits [4][9]. Price Forecasts - Aluminium price forecasts for China have been raised by **5%** for 2026 and **7%** for 2027, now projected at **Rmb22,000/t** and **Rmb23,000/t**, respectively [2][16]. - The global aluminium price is also expected to rise, with UBS increasing its LME aluminium price forecasts by approximately **15%** [2][16]. Earnings Revisions - Net profit estimates for major companies in the sector have been revised upwards: - **Hongqiao**: +11% for 2026E, +16% for 2027E - **Chalco**: +14% for 2026E, +22% for 2027E - **Tianshan**: +12% for 2026E, +26% for 2027E [5][17][18][19]. Price Target Adjustments - Price targets (PT) for key companies have been adjusted significantly: - **Hongqiao**: Raised from **HK$28.0** to **HK$38.60** (implying a **10x** 2026E PE) [5][17]. - **Chalco-H**: Increased from **HK$8.60** to **HK$13.10** [5][18]. - **Chalco-A**: Upgraded from **HK$8.30** to **HK$12.40** [5][18]. - **Tianshan**: Increased from **Rmb12.60** to **Rmb17.00** [5][19]. Investment Ratings - The report reiterates **Buy** ratings on **Hongqiao**, **Tianshan**, and **Chalco-H**, while upgrading **Chalco-A** to **Buy** from Neutral [5][18][19]. Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of corporate governance improvements and stable earnings delivery for Chalco, which supports the upgraded ratings [18]. - The aluminium market is expected to remain tight, with potential drawdowns in visible inventory supporting price increases [4][9]. Conclusion - The outlook for China's aluminium sector remains positive, driven by constrained supply, rising demand, and improved earnings forecasts for key players, making it an attractive investment opportunity.

Core Insights - Jamalco, a joint venture of Century Aluminum, has resumed production after Hurricane Melissa, with no injuries or material damage reported [1][2] - The company is working with the Government of Jamaica to support affected communities [2] - Century Aluminum does not anticipate a material impact on its financial results from the hurricane [2] Company Overview - Century Aluminum is an integrated producer of bauxite, alumina, and primary aluminum products, and is the largest primary aluminum producer in the United States [3] - The company operates production facilities in Iceland, the Netherlands, and Jamaica [3]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue decreased 1% sequentially to $3 billion [11] - Net income attributable to Alcoa increased to $232 million from $164 million in the prior quarter, with earnings per share rising to $0.88 [11] - Adjusted EBITDA was $270 million, reflecting a sequential decrease of $43 million primarily due to increased U.S. Section 232 tariff costs and unfavorable currency impacts [12][13] - Cash flow activities showed a cash balance of $1.5 billion at the end of the quarter, with cash used for operations at $85 million [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the alumina segment, third-party revenue decreased 9% due to lower volumes and bauxite prices [11] - In the aluminum segment, third-party revenue increased 4% driven by higher average realized prices, despite lower shipments [11] - Adjusted EBITDA for the alumina segment decreased by $72 million, while the aluminum segment saw an increase of $210 million due to higher metal prices [12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Alumina prices have declined significantly, with recent prices around $315 per metric ton due to ample supply and refinery expansions [18] - LME aluminum prices rose approximately 7% sequentially, reaching $2,775 per metric ton, influenced by a weaker U.S. dollar and persistent supply tightness [20] - The Midwest premium increased, reaching import parity, reflecting declining inventories and reduced aluminum imports [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on increasing profitability through higher shipments, improved operations, and strategic investments such as the Massena energy contract [10] - A new long-term energy contract for Massena operations was announced, along with a $60 million investment in anode bake furnace [8] - The company is exploring M&A opportunities across its product line, with no specific focus area currently identified [30] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management emphasized the importance of safety following a tragic incident at the Alumar smelter, reinforcing safety protocols [5] - The outlook for the fourth quarter includes expectations for improved performance in the alumina segment and potential unfavorable impacts in the aluminum segment due to restart inefficiencies [16] - Management noted that while demand remains steady in packaging and electrical sectors, the automotive sector is weak due to tariff uncertainties [21] Other Important Information - The company is progressing with the development of a gallium plant in Australia, supported by funding from the U.S. and Australian governments [7] - The Kwinana Refinery's permanent closure resulted in significant restructuring charges, but the company anticipates recovering closure costs through land sales [12][98] Q&A Session Summary Question: Capital allocation and M&A opportunities - Management indicated a priority to pay down debt while evaluating returns to shareholders and potential growth options [29][30] Question: U.S.-Australia Alcoa partnership - The partnership was initiated with Japanese entities seeking gallium offtake, providing a supply chain outside of China [34] Question: Canadian-U.S. negotiations regarding aluminum tariffs - Management is providing information to both governments to aid in decision-making regarding trade flows [41] Question: Interest in rolling business - Management confirmed no interest in re-entering the rolling business [57] Question: Gallium project economics and impact on mining permits - The gallium project will not impact ongoing mining permit processes, and the economics are still under negotiation [52] Question: Demand profile and market conditions - Management noted that demand remains stable in certain sectors, with automotive demand being weak, but not indicative of demand destruction [105]