Interest rate

Search documents
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-04 08:32
Japan’s inflation is surprisingly strong, increasing the possibility that the Bank of Japan will raise its interest rate by the end of the year, according to one of the country’s leading inflation experts. https://t.co/kRu39frXmH ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-04 04:49
Poland’s move to cut interest rates this month could be a start of a cycle likely to be continued with two more 25 basis point cuts later this year if data allows, according to policymaker Ludwik Kotecki https://t.co/3jEsPee6Nr ...
摩根士丹利:G10 外汇策略-我们的最新观点
摩根· 2025-07-04 03:04
July 3, 2025 02:31 PM GMT G10 FX Strategy | Global Our Latest Views Morgan Stanley's top G10 FX strategy views including key fundamental catalysts and technical levels to watch. Key Takeaways USD View: Bearish | Skew: Bearish The USD sell-off should continue as technical forces from FX hedging and momentum play an increasing role. Stickier inflation reducing pricing for 2025 Fed cuts is unlikely to be USD-positive if joined by weak growth. EUR View: Bullish | Skew: Bullish EUR/USD's uptrend should continue ...
摩根士丹利:美国利率策略-存在买入供应并增持陡化交易策略的机会
摩根· 2025-07-04 03:04
July 3, 2025 06:19 PM GMT US Rates Strategy | North America An Opportunity to Buy the Supply and Add to Steepeners The nonfarm payroll report, carried by state and local government education-related jobs, and the low unemployment rate suggest a dynamic aligned with our economist's view for lower US potential growth and a lower equilibrium rate leading to more Fed cuts. Stay long and in curve steepeners. Key Takeaways Please add me to your distribution list. M Idea Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC Matthew Hornbach S ...
高盛:全球利率-上涨空间有限
Goldman Sachs· 2025-07-04 03:04
3 July 2025 | 8:18PM BST Global Rates Trader Short Runway to Rally Our economists' revised Fed baseline, which implies both earlier cuts and a lower terminal rate, points to a lower range for US yields across the curve. We now expect 10y US yields at 4.20% at end-2025 vs 4.50% previously, with a modestly steeper curve the likely result. We continue to think that a larger sustained rally would likely require a weaker growth outlook than our forecasts suggest, but ongoing data uncertainty makes it hard to rul ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-07-04 02:10
Goldman Sachs has lowered its forecasts for US Treasury yields, pointing to the increased likelihood that the Fed will cut interest rates sooner than previously expected https://t.co/MarU6yQGEn ...
摩根大通:年中展望_可选消费
摩根· 2025-07-04 01:35
Asia Pacific Equity Research 30 June 2025 J P M O R G A N Mid-Year Prospects Consumer Discretionary This report forms part of J.P. Morgan Australia Mid-Year Prospects series as we take stock at the mid-point of 2025 and set out our Top Picks and Least Preferred stocks for the remainder of the year. Top Pick –Harvey Norman (HVN AU, OW) Leverage to housing cycle an earnings tailwind. Harvey Norman offers late- cycle exposure to housing, driven by a category mix which is highly leveraged to housing activity, s ...
Fmr. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester: The economy has been resilient amid uncertainty
CNBC Television· 2025-07-03 17:56
Joining us now to discuss what's next for the Fed is Loretta Mester, former president of the Cleveland Fed and currently adjunct professor of finance at the University of Pennsylvania. Loretta, it's great to have you back on the show. Welcome.Let's start right there because you called this jobs report solid. What were your takeaways. No, I think I mean given the expectations that it was going to be a very weak report, it actually came in better than most analysts expected.And I think that's good for the eco ...
Watch CNBC's full interview with U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent
CNBC Television· 2025-07-03 16:50
The so-called big beautiful bill facing a final house approval vote in the coming hours. Joining us now is Treasury Secretary Scott Bessant. Mr.. Secretary, thank you so much for joining us. We're we're going on more than six hours now where Minority Leader Jeff is speaking. What What are you hearing.What's your expectation for when and whether this could pass. Uh, well, it's going it's going to going to pass and my expectation is that we'll get a vote around 130 today. Got it.You have said that this isn't ...
Is Orchid Stock Worth Buying for Its Lucrative 20.3% Dividend Yield?
ZACKS· 2025-07-03 16:20
Core Viewpoint - Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (ORC) offers a high dividend yield of 20.3%, significantly above the industry average of 12.4%, and has increased its dividend three times in the past five years [1][9]. Dividend Yield - ORC is a specialty finance mortgage real estate investment trust (mREIT) that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) on a leveraged basis, providing favorable long-term returns and substantial dividend yields [3]. - Competitors AGNC Investment and Arbor Realty Trust have dividend yields of 15.8% and 15.5%, respectively [3]. Financial Position - As of March 31, 2025, ORC had $446.5 million in cash and cash equivalents, with no debt [4]. - The company has a share repurchase plan, with 2.7 million shares available for repurchase as of April 25, 2025 [5]. Market Conditions - The Federal Reserve has lowered interest rates by 100 basis points in 2024, and mortgage rates have slightly declined, with the average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage at 6.77% as of June 26, 2025 [7]. - Fannie Mae projects mortgage rates to reach 6.6% by the end of Q3 2025 and 6.5% by year-end [8]. Earnings Projections - Earnings for 2025 are projected to rise by 394.4%, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 266.67% for Q2 2025 [9][17]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ORC's earnings in 2025 is $0.53, with a significant increase from a loss of $0.18 the previous year [19]. Valuation Analysis - ORC is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 2.47X, higher than the industry average of 2.35X [20]. - The company's share price has increased by 12.5% over the past three months, outperforming the industry average of 10% [14]. Strategic Focus - ORC maintains a focus on agency RMBS, which positions it well in the competitive market, with expectations of improved loan demand and net interest spreads as mortgage rates decline [10][11][22]. - The company generated a positive total return of 2.6% in Q1 2025, driven by its monthly dividend [12].