Core Insights - Fidelity National Financial (FNF) reported quarterly earnings of $1.63 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.43 per share, and up from $1.3 per share a year ago [1][2] - The company achieved revenues of $4.03 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 13.54% and increasing from $3.6 billion year-over-year [3] Earnings Performance - The earnings surprise for the quarter was +13.99%, while the previous quarter saw a surprise of -17.14% with actual earnings of $1.16 compared to an expectation of $1.4 [2] - Over the last four quarters, FNF has exceeded consensus EPS estimates two times and topped revenue estimates three times [2][3] Future Outlook - The company's stock performance will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and the sustainability of the recent earnings numbers [4] - Current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $1.45 on revenues of $3.61 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $4.83 on revenues of $13.62 billion [8] Industry Context - The Insurance - Multi line industry, to which FNF belongs, is currently ranked in the top 27% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [9] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked using tools like the Zacks Rank [6][7]

Core Insights - Expedia reported quarterly earnings of $7.57 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.21 per share, and up from $6.13 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of +4.99% [1] - The company generated revenues of $4.41 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.61% and increasing from $4.06 billion year-over-year [2] - Expedia has outperformed consensus EPS estimates three times in the last four quarters and has also topped revenue estimates three times during the same period [2] Earnings Outlook - The sustainability of Expedia's stock price movement will largely depend on management's commentary during the earnings call and future earnings expectations [3][4] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $2.85 on revenues of $3.27 billion, while for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $14.33 on revenues of $14.34 billion [7] Industry Context - The Internet - Commerce industry, to which Expedia belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 41% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research suggests a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which can be tracked using tools like the Zacks Rank [5][6]

Core Insights - The podcast discusses stocks with the highest Zacks Rank (1 Strong Buy) and the best VGM (Value, Growth, Momentum) scores, indicating strong earnings estimates and attractive fundamentals [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Highlights - Indivior PLC (INDV) is a small-cap stock with a market cap of $3.94 billion, focusing on medicines for opioid use disorder. It has raised its 2025 revenue guidance for Sublocade, expecting earnings to rise by 30.1% in 2025 and 20.1% in 2026. Shares are up 157% year-to-date [3][4]. - The Travelers Companies, Inc. (TRV) is a large-cap property and casualty insurer with a market cap of $61.9 billion. It reported strong underwriting results in Q3 2025, with earnings expected to rise by 14.6% in 2025 and 6% in 2026. Shares are up 14% year-to-date, with a forward P/E of 11.2, indicating value [4][5]. - OppFi Inc. (OPFI) is a digital finance platform with a market cap of $877 million, providing affordable credit to 48 million Americans lacking traditional options [7].

Key Takeaways Commercial aftermarket strength likely lifted TDG's Power & Control segment revenues.Rising air travel and defense demand are expected to boost the Airframe segment performance.Consensus projects Q4 sales up 10.1% and EPS rising 4.3% from the year-ago quarter.TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) is slated to report fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results on Nov. 12, before market open. The company delivered a negative earnings surprise of 1.84% in the last reported quarter.Let’s discuss the factors t ...

Core Insights - Flushing Financial (FFIC) is experiencing solid improvement in earnings estimates, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock price [1][2] - The upward trend in estimate revisions reflects growing analyst optimism regarding Flushing Financial's earnings prospects, which is expected to influence its stock price positively [2][3] Current-Quarter Estimate Revisions - For the current quarter, Flushing Financial is expected to earn $0.35 per share, representing a significant increase of +150.0% compared to the same period last year [6] - Over the past 30 days, two estimates have been revised upward, with no negative revisions, leading to a 15% increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate [6] Current-Year Estimate Revisions - For the full year, the expected earnings per share for Flushing Financial is $1.24, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +69.9% [7] - The consensus estimate has increased by 5.68% over the past month, with two estimates moving higher and no negative revisions [7][8] Zacks Rank and Performance - Flushing Financial has achieved a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to favorable estimate revisions, which historically correlate with strong stock performance [9] - Stocks with a Zacks Rank 1 and 2 have shown significant outperformance compared to the S&P 500 [9] Bottom Line - The strong estimate revisions have led to a 5.8% increase in Flushing Financial's stock over the past four weeks, suggesting potential for further upside [10]

Core Viewpoint - Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY) is expected to report strong third-quarter earnings, with revenues projected to increase significantly year-over-year, driven by growth in fee revenues and network volume [2][9]. Financial Performance - In Q2, PGY achieved total revenues and other income of $326 million, marking a 30% year-over-year increase, primarily due to higher fee revenues [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Q3 revenues is $339 million, indicating a 31.9% year-over-year improvement [2][7]. - The earnings estimate for the upcoming quarter remains unchanged at 62 cents per share, reflecting a 40.9% growth from the same quarter last year [3][4]. Estimate Revision Trend - The earnings estimates for the current quarter have remained stable over the past 30 days, with no changes noted [4]. - The consensus estimate for network volume is $2.84 billion, which represents a 20.7% increase from the prior year [8]. Growth Strategy - Pagaya's growth strategy includes expanding product offerings, enhancing monetization of existing partnerships, and adding new enterprise lending partners, particularly large U.S. banks and auto captives [9][20]. - The company anticipates total revenues and other income for Q3 to be between $330 million and $350 million [9]. Valuation and Market Performance - PGY shares have outperformed the S&P 500 Index in Q3 but are considered expensive relative to the industry, with a trailing 12-month price/book (P/B) ratio of 4.19X compared to the industry average of 3.35X [13][16]. - While PGY trades at a premium to LendingClub, it is at a discount to LendingTree, which has a P/B of 5.97X [19]. Business Model Resilience - The company has diversified its business model beyond personal loans into auto lending and point-of-sale financing, which helps mitigate cyclical risks [20]. - Pagaya has established a network of over 135 institutional funding partners to support its asset-backed securities, enhancing liquidity and stability [21].

Core Insights - Sea Limited (SE) is expected to report third-quarter 2025 results on November 11, with earnings estimated at $1.03 per share, a decrease of 7.2% from the previous 30 days, compared to 54 cents per share in the same quarter last year. Revenue is projected at $5.97 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 39.90% [1][2]. Group 1: Performance Drivers - Shopee's sustained momentum is anticipated to positively impact Sea Limited's performance, with Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) growing 25% year-over-year in the first half of 2025, and continued growth expected into the third quarter. Shopee has achieved record quarters and remains the market leader in Brazil, marking its fifth anniversary with significant growth and profitability [3][8]. - SeaMoney's rapid loan book expansion, reaching approximately $6.9 billion with a nearly 90% year-over-year growth, is expected to support performance. The fintech arm maintains a stable 90-day non-performing loan ratio of around 1.0%, reflecting disciplined risk management and robust portfolio health [4][8]. - Garena's strong gaming performance, driven by multiple titles achieving double-digit growth and a massive global player base exceeding 100 million daily active users, is likely to enhance Sea Limited's results. Management has raised full-year bookings guidance to over 30% year-over-year, indicating confidence in sustained engagement and monetization [5][8]. Group 2: Financial Considerations - Sea Limited's focus on expansion in e-commerce and fintech has led to significantly higher operating expenditures, with sales and marketing expenses increasing nearly 30% year-over-year to about $1.0 billion. This aggressive investment strategy may pressure profitability in the upcoming quarter [6]. - The company's current Earnings ESP stands at -6.5% with a Zacks Rank of 3, indicating that the model does not predict an earnings beat this time [7][9].

Core Viewpoint - Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive outlook on its earnings estimates, which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][3]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Impact - The Zacks rating system is based on changes in earnings estimates, which are closely correlated with stock price movements, particularly due to institutional investors adjusting their valuations based on these estimates [4][6]. - An increase in earnings estimates typically leads to higher fair value calculations by institutional investors, resulting in buying or selling actions that affect stock prices [4]. Company-Specific Insights - For Canadian Natural Resources, the recent upgrade reflects an improvement in its underlying business, which is expected to drive the stock price higher as investors respond to this positive trend [5][10]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Canadian Natural Resources indicates an expected earnings per share of $2.43 for the fiscal year ending December 2025, with a 6.3% increase in estimates over the past three months [8]. Zacks Rating System Overview - The Zacks Rank system classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [7]. - Only the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks receive a "Strong Buy" rating, indicating superior earnings estimate revisions and potential for market-beating returns [9][10].

Core Viewpoint - The comparison between Matrix Service (MTRX) and Aecom Technology (ACM) indicates that MTRX presents a better value opportunity for investors at this time [1]. Valuation Metrics - MTRX has a forward P/E ratio of 23.11, while ACM has a forward P/E of 23.30 [5]. - MTRX's PEG ratio is 1.28, compared to ACM's PEG ratio of 1.94, suggesting MTRX has a more favorable expected EPS growth rate [5]. - MTRX's P/B ratio is 3.02, significantly lower than ACM's P/B ratio of 6.48, indicating MTRX is more aligned with its book value [6]. Earnings Outlook - MTRX has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), indicating a stronger improvement in its earnings outlook compared to ACM, which has a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) [3]. - MTRX holds a Value grade of A, while ACM has a Value grade of D, further supporting MTRX as the superior value option [6].

Core Viewpoint - Dillard's (DDS) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues, with the consensus outlook indicating a potential impact on its near-term stock price [1][3]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is expected to show quarterly earnings of $6.43 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 16.8% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $1.42 billion, which is a slight decline of 0.2% compared to the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 0.42% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Dillard's is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +2.70%, suggesting a recent bullish sentiment among analysts [12]. Historical Performance - Dillard's has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates, achieving this in the last four quarters [14]. - In the last reported quarter, Dillard's exceeded expectations by delivering earnings of $4.66 per share against an expected $3.79, resulting in a surprise of +22.96% [13]. Predictive Indicators - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a favorable Zacks Rank; however, Dillard's currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [10][12]. - The predictive power of the Earnings ESP model is significant primarily for positive readings, indicating that a negative reading does not necessarily predict an earnings miss [9][11]. Conclusion - While Dillard's does not appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].