Fundamental Analysis
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Alphabet: On Track To Retest $200s By Year End
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-01 06:41
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens for stocks that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when there is insider buying at the new lower price, indicating potential recovery [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1]
Intel: Unlikely To Rebound This Year
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-30 23:12
Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]
Anheuser-Busch InBev Q1 Preview: A Steady Transformation Worth Watching
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-30 13:16
Group 1 - Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV (BUD) is set to report earnings on May 8, with significant changes in operational conditions expected [1] - The upcoming earnings report will provide insights beyond just quarterly numbers, indicating a shift in the company's operational landscape [1] Group 2 - The company is under scrutiny for its performance metrics and competitive positioning in the market [1]
ARS Pharmaceuticals Has A Blockbuster Candidate
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-30 10:51
Group 1 - The investing style described is termed "Fundamental Options," which combines fundamental analysis with options strategies [1] - The investment strategies include income-oriented investments, particularly in Business Development Companies (BDCs) and Utilities, as well as growth investments in technology at reasonable prices [1] - The approach also encompasses deep value investing based on discounted cash flow and other industry-specific valuation methods, along with a focus on Dividend Aristocrats [1] Group 2 - The investor typically engages in long-term stock investments but also employs 20-25 options strategies for various purposes, including hedging, bullish substitutes, neutral trades, trading volatility, and earnings-related trades [1] - Teaching and coaching in various life areas, including investing, is a passion, with a history of authoring a free local investing newsletter [1]
Air Lease: Are Repurchases Imminent With Q1 Earnings?
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-29 17:24
Group 1 - The article discusses the author's initial investment in the aircraft leasing sector, specifically in Air Lease (NYSE: AL), highlighting its perceived value [1] - The author emphasizes a fundamental analysis approach, focusing on undervalued assets that present a favorable risk/reward profile [1] - The investment strategy includes the use of options, such as covered calls on overvalued stocks and writing puts on desired stocks at lower prices [1] Group 2 - The author has a beneficial long position in Air Lease (AL) and AerCap (AER) through various financial instruments [2] - The article is a personal opinion piece, with no external compensation received for its content [2] - There is a disclaimer regarding the lack of guarantee that past performance will predict future results, and no specific investment advice is provided [3]
Tesla: Early Signs Of A Turnaround, But Fundamentals Are Not Driving It
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-29 13:08
Small deep value individual investor, with a modest private investment portfolio, split approx. 50%-50% between shares and call options. I have a B.Sc. in aeronautical engineering and over 6 years of experience as an engineering consultant in the aerospace sector. The latter statement is not relevant in any way whatsoever to my investment style, but I thought to add it for self-indulgent purposes. I have a contrarian investment style, highly risky, and often dealing with illiquid options. How illiquid? Well ...
Old National Bancorp: AOCI Remains A Cause For Concern
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-28 20:25
Group 1 - The previous analysis of Old National Bancorp (NASDAQ: ONB) highlighted the quality of its deposits but noted unrealized losses that limited its upside potential [1] - The company has faced challenges with loan growth on a quarterly basis, indicating potential issues in its lending operations [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide any specific financial metrics or performance indicators for Old National Bancorp, focusing instead on qualitative aspects of the company's financial health [1]
Micron: I'm Finally Bullish (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-28 06:02
Group 1 - The investor has a contrarian investment style, focusing on high-risk, illiquid options and shares, with a portfolio split of approximately 50%-50% [1] - The investment strategy involves buying stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are purchasing shares at lower prices [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, their leverage, and to compare financial ratios with sector and industry averages [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, primarily using multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The investor conducts professional background checks on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs to ensure credibility [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, indicating a medium-term investment horizon [1]
Business First Bancshares: A Small, Solid, And Undervalued Bank
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-27 06:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that Business First Bancshares (NASDAQ: BFST) has shown significant improvements, including a return to growth in net interest margin (NIM), declining deposit costs, and the acquisition of Oakwood, making it a stronger bank [1]. Group 2 - The bank's NIM has returned to growth, indicating improved profitability from its lending activities [1]. - Deposit costs are declining, which suggests better management of funding expenses and potentially higher margins [1]. - The acquisition of Oakwood is a strategic move that enhances the bank's market position and operational capabilities [1].
Cathay General Bancorp: Fixed Rate Exposure Is Not Currently In Its Favor (Rating Upgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-26 07:24
Group 1 - The article discusses the challenges faced by Cathay General Bancorp in increasing its net interest margin due to high deposit costs and a loan-to-deposit ratio close to 100% [1] - The management's limited flexibility in adjusting financial strategies is highlighted, indicating potential difficulties in improving profitability [1] Group 2 - The author emphasizes a fundamental analysis approach, focusing on actual company performance rather than market trends, which is crucial for long-term investment strategies [1] - The article serves as a platform for sharing insights and engaging with the investment community, reflecting the author's commitment to continuous learning in the financial markets [1]