Group 1 - The Supreme Court may issue an opinion on tariffs today, which could impact market direction as the S&P 500 is at a critical juncture [1] - The S&P 500 is showing signs of a topping area rather than a "melt-up," with low volatility still prevailing [1] - Economic data is not affecting long-term rates, as evidenced by the CPI report having no impact on the 30-year yield [1] Group 2 - Japan's 10-year government bond yield is rising, currently at 2.17%, with potential to reach 2.25% based on current patterns [1] - The USD/JPY currency pair has broken above resistance at 159, with a move towards 162 appearing likely due to Japan's fiscal spending plans [1] Group 3 - Software stocks have experienced significant declines, with Salesforce, ServiceNow, and Workday seeing substantial drops [1] - ServiceNow has returned to its 2021 highs, while Workday's performance appears even worse [1] - The market sentiment suggests concerns that these software companies may be negatively impacted by AI advancements [1] Group 4 - AI computing powers are transforming the stock market, with a significant portion of global portfolios outperforming benchmarks [2] - The Tech Titans strategy has notably doubled the S&P 500 within 18 months, featuring high-performing stocks like Super Micro Computer and AppLovin [2]

Market Overview - The Dow Jones led a market retreat from recent highs, with financials and software sectors experiencing declines [4][5] - Google and other AI-related stocks are noted to be performing well despite the overall market downturn [4] Economic Indicators - The ongoing dispute between President Trump and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell regarding interest rates is expected to continue, potentially impacting market sentiment [4] - Recent inflation data has influenced investor behavior, contributing to the market's reaction [7] Company-Specific News - Delta Air Lines has announced a deal with Boeing and provided guidance for 2026 amid increasing demand [6] - JPMorgan and Bank of New York Mellon have reported diverging earnings results, indicating varied performance within the banking sector [7] - The upcoming earnings season is highlighted by key companies such as JPMorgan, Goldman Sachs, and Taiwan Semiconductor [9]

What's going on, guys? Today we got a great conversation with John Pompiano. In this conversation, we talk about what's going on with Jerome Powell. He's in hot water, inflation, monetary policy, how it's impacting the market, what's going on with Bitcoin, and then we talk a little bit about the NYC token and what Eric Adams got himself into as well. All that and more in this conversation with John Pompiano. All right, John, what's the first topic? >> All right, Jerome Powell seems to be the guy, talk of th ...

Economic Indicators - Core consumer prices rose 0.2% month-over-month in December, matching November's pace and below the 0.3% consensus, resulting in a year-over-year increase of 2.6%, slightly under the 2.7% forecast [2] - Headline CPI increased by 0.3% month-over-month and 2.7% year-over-year, aligning with monthly expectations but slightly exceeding annual forecasts, with shelter costs being the largest contributor at 0.4% [2] Central Bank Actions - Global central bank officials, including leaders from the ECB, BoE, BOC, and RBA, issued a statement supporting Fed Chair Jay Powell and emphasizing the importance of central bank independence for economic stability [5] Company Earnings and Guidance - JPMorgan Chase's stock rose after providing optimistic guidance for 2026, with net interest income expectations surpassing consensus and expenses projected to be in line [6] - Delta Air Lines guided 2026 EPS to a range of $6.50–$7.50, slightly below the $7.20 consensus, resulting in a slight decline in its stock [7] - Intel and AMD stocks gained after being upgraded to Overweight by KeyBanc, driven by strong demand for server CPUs amid increasing data center and AI needs [7] Mergers and Acquisitions - Denny's shareholders approved a $620 million buyout by TriArtisan Capital Advisors, which owns TGI Fridays and P.F. Chang's, along with Treville Capital and Yadav Enterprises [8] Industry Challenges - Wells Fargo issued a warning for cable operators, downgrading Charter Communications, Comcast, Altice's Optimum, and Cable One to Underweight, anticipating a loss of approximately 1 million residential broadband subscribers this year due to competition from fixed wireless and fiber [10][11]

The Fed chairman is under fire. My initial reaction, frankly, is this entire thing sucks for America. We are being distracted.Instead of doing the things that are important in terms [clears throat] of getting interest rates down, spurring innovation and economic growth, and also making life more affordable for Americans, we instead now are sitting here all talking about the fact that the Federal Reserve chairman may or may not have lied to Congress about renovations that are using billions of dollars of pub ...

Core Insights - Grocery prices have surged, but this increase has been offset by lower price increases for appliances and vehicles, indicating a mixed inflationary environment ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting [1] Group 1: Grocery Prices - The report highlights a significant rise in grocery prices, which is a key concern for consumers and policymakers [1] Group 2: Appliances and Vehicles - In contrast to grocery prices, the increases in prices for appliances and vehicles have been lower, suggesting some relief in these sectors [1] Group 3: Federal Reserve Context - This report is the last one before the Federal Reserve convenes to discuss interest rates, making it particularly relevant for monetary policy considerations [1]

The market’s focus this week will be on economic news and any fresh news on the Federal Reserve. On Wednesday, Nov PPI final demand is expected to increase +2.7% y/y, and Nov core PPI is also expected to climb by +2.7% y/y. Also, Nov retail sales are expected to have increased +0.5% m/m and +0.4% m/m ex-autos. In addition, Dec existing home sales are expected to climb +2.2% m/m to 4.22 million. Finally, the Supreme Court on Wednesday may rule on the legality of President Trump’s tariffs. On Thursday, weekly ...

Core Insights - Grocery prices have surged, but this increase has been offset by lower price increases for appliances and vehicles, indicating a mixed inflationary environment ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting [1] Group 1: Grocery Prices - The report highlights a significant rise in grocery prices, which is a key concern for consumers and the economy [1] Group 2: Appliances and Vehicles - In contrast to grocery prices, the increases in prices for appliances and vehicles have been lower, suggesting some relief in these sectors [1] Group 3: Federal Reserve Context - This report is the last one before the Federal Reserve convenes to discuss interest rates, making it a critical indicator for potential monetary policy decisions [1]

JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon warns the Justice Department's grand jury subpoena of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell risks undermining confidence in the central bank and could ultimately push inflation expectations and interest rates higher. ...

Economic Indicators - October new home sales are expected to decline by -10.6% month-over-month to 715,000 units [1] - November PPI final demand is projected to rise by +2.7% year-over-year, with core PPI also expected to increase by +2.7% year-over-year [1] - December existing home sales are anticipated to increase by +2.2% month-over-month to 4.22 million [1] - Weekly initial unemployment claims are expected to rise by +7,000 to 215,000 [1] - January Empire manufacturing survey is expected to improve by +4.9 to 1.0 [1] - December manufacturing production is forecasted to decrease by -0.1% month-over-month [1] Stock Market Movements - Credit card companies are experiencing declines, with Visa down more than -3% and Mastercard down more than -2% following President Trump's comments on interest rate caps [3][12] - Energy-producing stocks are rising, with WTI crude oil increasing over 1% to a 1.75-month high due to geopolitical risks [4] - The S&P 500 Index is down -0.02%, while the Nasdaq 100 Index is up +0.09% [6] - Mining stocks are gaining, with Hecla Mining up more than +3% and Barrick Mining up more than +2% due to rising silver prices [11] Earnings and Forecasts - Q4 earnings growth for S&P companies is expected to rise by +8.4%, with a +4.6% increase excluding the Magnificent Seven tech stocks [7] - Option Care Health's stock is up more than +9% after a positive EBITDA growth forecast for 2026 [12] - Revvity's preliminary Q4 revenue of $772 million exceeds the consensus of $756.9 million, leading to a stock increase of more than +9% [13] - Cardinal Health raised its full-year adjusted EPS forecast to at least $10.00, stronger than the consensus of $9.83, resulting in a stock increase of more than +3% [14] International Markets - The Euro Stoxx 50 reached a new record high, up +0.41%, while Japan's Nikkei Stock 225 closed up sharply by +3.10% [8]