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聚焦中央经济工作会议丨我国将着力推动投资止跌回稳
Xin Hua Wang· 2025-12-11 16:50
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the importance of investment in expanding domestic demand and the need to stabilize and invigorate private investment in the face of a challenging external environment and declining investment returns [1][2] - The Central Economic Work Conference highlighted the goal of maintaining a strong domestic market and proposed measures to increase central budget investment, optimize project implementation, and enhance the role of new policy financial tools [1] - Fixed asset investment in China decreased by 1.7% year-on-year in the first ten months of the year, but there has been a rapid growth in investment in high-tech industries [1] Group 2 - The conference also stressed the importance of high-quality urban renewal as a means to drive investment, expand domestic demand, and stabilize growth, particularly in the context of structural adjustments and insufficient internal demand [2] - There is significant investment potential in new industrialization, urbanization, energy-saving, and carbon reduction projects, as well as in basic public services, which are crucial for supporting China's economic development [2]
聚焦中央经济工作会议|我国将着力推动投资止跌回稳
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 16:46
"相关部署将更好发挥政府投资的撬动作用,进一步优化投资结构,不断释放投资活力。"国家发展改革 委宏观经济研究院研究员张林山说。 民间投资是稳增长、调结构、促就业的重要支撑力量。会议指出,有效激发民间投资活力。 新华社北京12月11日电(记者魏弘毅)投资是扩大内需的重要抓手。12月10日至11日举行的中央经济工 作会议部署明年经济工作重点任务时提出"坚持内需主导,建设强大国内市场",并明确"推动投资止跌 回稳""有效激发民间投资活力"。 受外部环境复杂严峻、投资收益下降等因素影响,今年前10个月,全国固定资产投资同比下降1.7%。 与此同时,我国投资结构优化,高技术行业投资较快增长。 会议提出,适当增加中央预算内投资规模,优化实施"两重"项目,优化地方政府专项债券用途管理,继 续发挥新型政策性金融工具作用。 会议还提出,高质量推进城市更新。"城市更新既是民生工程,更是发展工程,能够发挥拉投资、扩内 需、稳增长的重要作用。"对外经济贸易大学教授马双表示,在我国经济面临结构调整、内部需求不足 等挑战的情况下,城市更新将有效赋能经济社会高质量发展。 当前,我国新型工业化、新型城镇化、节能降碳改造等投资需求广阔,基本公 ...
2025年12月中央经济工作会议点评:推动投资止跌回稳,督促各地主动化债
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" indicating a positive outlook for the sector [12]. Core Insights - The Central Economic Work Conference emphasized the need to stabilize investment and increase central budget investment to support key projects, particularly in light of the significant pressure on investment due to local government debt and the real estate sector [2][4]. - There is a focus on actively and prudently resolving risks in key areas, urging local governments to take initiative in debt management, which is expected to improve cash flow for construction companies [4]. - Continued deepening of state-owned enterprise reform is highlighted, aiming to enhance the core competitiveness of central state-owned enterprises, which dominate the construction industry [4]. - Green development initiatives are being advanced, with increased demand for carbon reduction transformations in major industries, which is expected to benefit construction engineering companies [4]. - The report suggests that the construction industry will stabilize in 2026, with emerging sectors likely to see higher investment opportunities due to major national strategies [4]. Summary by Sections Investment Analysis - The report indicates that from January to October 2025, fixed asset investment decreased by 1.7% year-on-year, with infrastructure investment (excluding electricity) down by 0.1% [4]. - The emphasis on central funding for key projects is expected to stimulate investment recovery [4]. Key Company Recommendations - Investment focus includes companies such as Sichuan Road and Bridge, China Chemical, and Donghua Technology in the central and western regions, and companies like Jinggong Steel Structure and Zhongsteel International for overseas expansion [4]. - Low valuation companies such as China Railway and Shanghai Construction are expected to see valuation recovery [4]. Valuation Table Insights - The report provides a valuation table for key companies in the construction sector, highlighting earnings per share (EPS) and projected net profit growth rates for 2024 to 2026 [6][7]. - For instance, China Railway is projected to have a net profit of 26,183 million yuan in 2025, with a decline of 6% from the previous year [6].