策略报告 | 投资策略 发改委提出积极支持民间投资项目发行 REITs 周观 REITs 国家发展改革委：积极支持更多符合条件的民间投资项目发行 REITs 8 月 16 日，中共国家发展和改革委员会党组在《求是》刊发题为《坚定推动 民营经济走高质量发展之路》的署名文章。文章提出，要完善民营企业参与 国家重大项目建设长效机制，持续推进基础设施竞争性领域向经营主体公平 开放，支持民营企业在新兴产业、未来产业投资布局，支持更多民间资本投 资铁路、核电、水利、公共服务等领域重大项目。规范实施政府和社会资本 合作（PPP）新机制，积极支持更多符合条件的民间投资项目发行基础设施 领域不动产投资信托基金（REITs），持续深化投贷联动合作。引导民营企业 更好参与"两重"建设和"两新"工作。 市场表现方面，本周 REITs 市场下行，中金重庆两江 REIT（+2.33%）领涨 本周（2025.8.18-2025.8.22），中证 REITs 全收益指数下跌 1.74%，REITs 总指 数下跌 1.77%，产权 REITs 指数下跌 2.06%，经营权 REITs 指数下跌 1.20%。大 类资产角度，REITs 总指数跑 ...

国家统计局数据显示，今年1至7月份，民间项目投资（扣除房地产开发民间投资）增长3.9%，展现出 较强韧性。分行业看，住宿和餐饮业民间投资增长19.6%，基础设施民间投资增长8.8%，文化、体育和 娱乐业民间投资增长8.1%，制造业民间投资增长5.0%，投资结构分化明显。 接下来，还需进一步破除市场壁垒、优化营商环境，以全国统一大市场建设降低制度成本，推动建立高 效良性的民间投资工作机制，为民营企业在政策上解惑、环境上解压、发展上解忧。多措并举激发民间 投资活力，才能让民间资本愿投、敢投、会投，从而更好赋能经济高质量发展。（中国经济网评论员 邓浩） 目前，今年"两重"建设项目清单8000亿元已全部下达完毕，中央预算内投资7350亿元已基本下达完毕。 重点项目建设的有序推进，为民间投资平稳增长起到了支撑作用。同时还要看到，作为我国消费升级的 一个主要发展方向，服务消费是未来消费需求增长最主要的动力来源。消费和投资，是内在关联且相互 促进的整体。培育服务消费新的增长点，离不开对相关产业和消费场景的投资。这样的发展趋势也体现 在相关领域民间投资的增长上。 日前召开的中央政治局会议强调，要有效释放内需潜力。会议提出，高 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - On August 19, the JM2601 contract of coking coal closed at 1,194.5, down 1.89%. The market sentiment declined due to trading volume restrictions. Fundamentally, the mine - end inventory turned from decreasing to increasing, and the clean coal inventory transferred downstream. The cumulative import growth rate has been declining for 3 consecutive months with a moderately high inventory. Technically, the daily K - line is between the 20 - day and 60 - day moving averages, and it should be treated as a volatile operation [2]. - On August 19, the J2601 contract of coke closed at 1,708.5, down 0.96%. The spot market started the seventh round of price increase. Macroscopically, the flood - control situation is still severe. Fundamentally, the raw material inventory rebounded, and the hot metal output was at a high level. The coking coal total inventory generally increased. The average profit per ton of coke for 30 independent coking plants was 20 yuan/ton. Technically, the daily K - line is between the 20 - day and 60 - day moving averages, and it should be treated as a volatile operation [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - JM主力合约收盘价: 1,194.50 yuan/ton, up 7.00 yuan; J主力合约收盘价: 1,708.50 yuan/ton, up 6.50 yuan [2]. - JM期货合约持仓量: 931,492.00 hands, down 9,578.00 hands; J期货合约持仓量: 49,890.00 hands, down 1,555.00 hands [2]. - 焦煤前20名合约净持仓: - 116,069.00 hands, up 2,014.00 hands; 焦炭前20名合约净持仓: - 6,039.00 hands, down 193.00 hands [2]. - JM1 - 9月合约价差: 143.00 yuan/ton, down 9.50 yuan; J1 - 9月合约价差: 73.50 yuan/ton, up 5.50 yuan [2]. - 焦煤仓单: 0.00; 焦炭仓单: 820.00 [2]. Spot Market - 干其毛都蒙5原煤: 954.00 yuan/ton, down 42.00 yuan; 唐山一级冶金焦: 1,720.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - 俄罗斯主焦煤远期现货 (CFR): 147.00 dollars/wet ton, unchanged; 日照港准一级冶金焦: 1,520.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - 京唐港澳大利亚进口主焦煤: 1,500.00 yuan/ton, down 10.00 yuan; 天津港一级冶金焦: 1,620.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - 京唐港山西产主焦煤: 1,610.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; 天津港准一级冶金焦: 1,520.00 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. - 山西晋中灵石中硫主焦: 1,300.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; J主力合约基差: 11.50 yuan/ton, down 6.50 yuan [2]. - 内蒙古乌海产焦煤出厂价: 1,100.00 yuan/ton, unchanged; JM主力合约基差: 105.50 yuan/ton, down 7.00 yuan [2]. Upstream Situation - 314家独立洗煤厂精煤产量: 26.40 million tons, up 0.40 million tons; 314家独立洗煤厂精煤库存: 297.00 million tons, up 8.90 million tons [2]. - 314家独立洗煤厂产能利用率: 0.37%, unchanged; 原煤产量: 38,098.70 million tons, down 4,008.70 million tons [2]. - 煤及褐煤进口量: 3,561.00 million tons, up 257.00 million tons; 523家炼焦煤矿山原煤日均产量: 187.90 million tons, down 0.40 million tons [2]. - 16个港口进口焦煤库存: 447.78 million tons, down 15.27 million tons; 焦炭18个港口库存: 269.71 million tons, down 3.84 million tons [2]. - 独立焦企全样本炼焦煤总库存: 976.88 million tons, down 11.04 million tons; 独立焦企全样本焦炭库存: 62.51 million tons, down 7.22 million tons [2]. - 全国247家钢厂炼焦煤库存: 805.80 million tons, down 2.86 million tons; 全国247家样本钢厂焦炭库存: 609.80 million tons, down 9.48 million tons [2]. - 独立焦企全样本炼焦煤可用天数: 12.97 days, down 0.02 days; 247家样本钢厂焦炭可用天数: 10.83 days, down 0.08 days [2]. Industry Situation - 炼焦煤进口量: 910.84 million tons, up 172.10 million tons; 焦炭及半焦炭出口量: 89.00 million tons, up 38.00 million tons [2]. - 炼焦煤产量: 4,064.38 million tons, down 5.89 million tons; 独立焦企产能利用率: 74.34%, up 0.31% [2]. - 独立焦化厂吨焦盈利情况: 20.00 yuan/ton, up 36.00 yuan; 焦炭产量: 4,185.50 million tons, up 15.20 million tons [2]. Downstream Situation - 全国247家钢厂高炉开工率: 83.57%, down 0.20%; 247家钢厂高炉炼铁产能利用率: 90.24%, up 0.17% [2]. - 粗钢产量: 7,965.82 million tons, down 352.58 million tons [2]. Industry News - The flood - control situation is still severe, and there may be typhoons by the end of August [2]. - On August 18, mainstream coking enterprises proposed the seventh round of coke price increase, with a 50 - yuan/ton increase for tamping wet - quenched coke and a 55 - yuan/ton increase for tamping dry - quenched coke, effective from 0:00 on August 19 [2]. - Premier Li Qiang emphasized enhancing the effectiveness of macro - policies, expanding effective investment, and stabilizing the real - estate market [2]. - The steel industry achieved good results in the first half of the year, with the significant decline in crude steel output being the fundamental reason for profit improvement [2].

Group 1 - The core economic indicators for July show a slowdown in consumption growth to 3.7%, investment growth down to 1.6%, and industrial value added showing signs of fatigue, prompting the government to take immediate action to stabilize the economy [1][3] - The State Council meeting emphasized the need to unify thoughts and actions with the central government's judgment, aiming to consolidate the economic recovery momentum and ensure that annual targets are not compromised [1][3] - The government plans to systematically eliminate restrictive measures, cultivate new consumption types, and unleash the potential of service consumption, with specific focus on night economy, first-release economy, and silver economy [3][5] Group 2 - Private investment growth is reported at 3.9%, with significant increases in accommodation and catering (19.6%), infrastructure (8.8%), and manufacturing (5.0%), indicating a robust investment landscape [3][5] - The government has allocated 800 billion yuan for construction projects and ensured that 735 billion yuan of central budget investment is in place, aiming to stimulate private investment and economic activity [3][5] - The real estate market is a priority, with the government aiming to stabilize it through urban renewal and renovation of old housing, with new policies in cities like Beijing, Tianjin, and Hainan acting as stabilizing pillars [5][6] Group 3 - The overall strategy focuses on domestic circulation as a stabilizing force, with a combination of policies aimed at boosting consumption, investment, private sector vitality, and real estate stability, forming a comprehensive approach to economic growth [5][6] - Key variables influencing economic performance include household income and consumer confidence, private investment activity, government investment support, real estate market stability, and the implementation of urban renewal [5][6] - The effectiveness of policies and their implementation will determine the economic trajectory for the second half of the year, with current efforts in consumption, investment, and real estate providing a solid foundation for recovery [6]

Core Viewpoint - The data from the National Bureau of Statistics indicates that private project investment (excluding real estate development) grew by 5.1% year-on-year in the first half of the year, reflecting stable growth. The recent Central Political Bureau meeting emphasized the need to "stimulate the vitality of private investment and expand effective investment," suggesting a focus on enhancing investment efficiency in the second half of the year [1] Investment Environment - Private investment is a crucial support for stabilizing growth, adjusting structure, and promoting employment. The level of private investment activity reflects the internal dynamics of an economy. Despite a 0.6% year-on-year decline in private investment growth due to a drop in real estate development investment, sectors like new energy vehicles, artificial intelligence, and various manufacturing industries showed significant growth [2] - In the first half of the year, private investment growth varied significantly across industries, with notable increases in accommodation and catering (20.3%), infrastructure (9.5%), culture, sports, and entertainment (8.4%), and manufacturing (6.7%) [2] Policy Support - The policy environment for private investment has been improving throughout the year. The implementation of the Private Economy Promotion Law on May 20 marked a significant step in supporting the high-quality development of the private economy, boosting confidence among private enterprises. The Supreme People's Court has also issued guidelines to ensure judicial support for the private economy [3] - A series of policies across fiscal, financial, and industrial sectors have been introduced to facilitate the implementation of the Private Economy Promotion Law, including a new negative list for market access and the promotion of over 3 trillion yuan worth of new projects to private capital [3] Investment Opportunities - Under the "Two New" and "Two Heavy" policies, private investment is increasingly directed towards new and green projects. Recent approvals for nuclear power projects have increased the participation of private enterprises, with total investments exceeding 200 billion yuan [4] - Local governments are actively listing private investment projects, with Jiangsu province alone having 228 major projects funded by private enterprises, totaling an investment of 150 billion yuan [4] Future Directions - The National Development and Reform Commission is working to enhance mechanisms for private enterprises to participate in major national projects, particularly in sectors like nuclear power and railways [5] - The launch of the first public real estate investment trusts (REITs) for data centers indicates a removal of financing barriers for private enterprises in large infrastructure projects, which is expected to broaden investment opportunities in various sectors [6] - The government plans to continue stimulating private investment through legal guarantees, investment incentives, and improved policy environments, focusing on both "hard investments" and "soft construction" to maximize investment potential [7] Recommendations - Experts suggest guiding more private capital into major infrastructure and social welfare projects to stabilize market expectations and enhance the role of private investment in driving domestic demand and economic growth [8]

Core Viewpoint - The data from the National Bureau of Statistics indicates that private project investment (excluding real estate development) has seen a year-on-year growth of 5.1% in the first half of the year, reflecting stable growth. The recent Central Political Bureau meeting emphasized the need to "stimulate the vitality of private investment and expand effective investment," suggesting a focus on enhancing investment efficiency and optimizing the structure of private investment in the second half of the year [1][2]. Investment Environment - The policy environment for private investment has been improving throughout the year, with the implementation of the Private Economy Promotion Law on May 20, which is the first fundamental law regarding the development of the private economy in China. This law has significantly boosted the confidence of private enterprises [3]. - The Supreme People's Court has issued 25 guidelines to support the implementation of the Private Economy Promotion Law, covering market access, financing, and property rights protection, which further enhances the legal framework for private investment [3]. Sector Performance - Despite a 0.6% year-on-year decline in private investment growth due to a downturn in real estate development, certain sectors have shown promising growth. Notably, private investment in the accommodation and catering industry grew by 20.3%, infrastructure by 9.5%, and cultural, sports, and entertainment sectors by 8.4% [2]. - The manufacturing sector also saw a 6.7% increase in private investment, indicating a shift towards high-growth areas as low-end capacities are being phased out [2]. Major Projects and Opportunities - The recent approval of five nuclear power projects by the State Council, with an increased private participation ratio from 10% to 20%, is expected to generate over 200 billion yuan in investment, highlighting significant opportunities for private investment in infrastructure [4]. - In Jiangsu province, there are 228 major projects funded by private enterprises, with a planned investment of 150 billion yuan, focusing on new-generation information technology, renewable energy, and high-end equipment [4]. Future Outlook - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) is working on establishing a long-term mechanism for private enterprises to participate in major national projects, particularly in nuclear power and railways, to further encourage private investment [5]. - The introduction of public real estate investment trusts (REITs) for data centers marks a significant step in breaking down financing barriers for private enterprises in large-scale infrastructure projects, which is expected to enhance private investment confidence in the long run [6]. Policy Coordination - The NDRC plans to continue enhancing the investment environment by focusing on legal guarantees, investment incentives, and innovation-driven policies to stimulate private investment [7]. - The government aims to effectively utilize various investment tools to expand beneficial investments and promote a collaborative approach between public and private sectors to support stable growth in private investment [7]. Recommendations - Experts suggest that more private capital should be directed towards major infrastructure and social welfare projects to stabilize market expectations and enhance the role of private investment in driving domestic demand and economic growth [8].

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of stimulating private investment to effectively unleash domestic demand potential, with private project investment (excluding real estate) showing a year-on-year growth of 5.1% in the first half of the year, indicating strong resilience [2]. Group 1: Investment Growth and Support - The "Two New" and "Two Heavy" initiatives have effectively supported investment, with a significant increase in equipment and tool purchases, which rose by 17.3% year-on-year, contributing 86.0% to overall investment growth [2]. - Private investment in the manufacturing sector grew by 6.7%, with notable growth in sub-sectors such as automobile manufacturing and specialized equipment manufacturing, reflecting the accelerated transformation of policy dividends into corporate development momentum [3]. Group 2: Local Government Initiatives - Local governments have actively implemented precise measures to unblock investment bottlenecks, such as Jiangsu breaking down market access barriers for private enterprises and encouraging participation in competitive infrastructure sectors like nuclear power and wind energy [3]. - Hubei has rolled out a list of investment projects aimed at private capital, with an expected total investment of over 700 billion yuan in three years, showcasing the effectiveness of local efforts in optimizing services and facilitating private investment [3]. Group 3: Long-term Investment Environment - For sustained vitality in private investment, it is crucial to further refine measures that create a fair competitive environment in areas such as resource acquisition, market access, and rights protection, thereby reducing institutional transaction costs [3]. - The goal is to ensure that private capital perceives an accessible and rewarding investment environment, which will support corporate innovation and drive high-quality development [3].

今年，南通市共有37个民间投资项目列入江苏省民间投资重点产业项目清单，计划总投资432.2亿元， 年度计划投资106.8亿元，同比增加24.9亿元，民间投资项目个数和年度计划投资均为全省第一。 市发展改革委相关负责人表示，将以优化营商环境为抓手，充分激发民间资本投资活力，持续增强民间 投资意愿和能力，推动全市民营经济健康发展，以实际行动切实扛好经济大市挑大梁的责任担当。刘璐 严春花 8月初，位于苏锡通园区的思格新能源南通智慧光储充系统量产基地一片繁忙景象，首条生产线已满负 荷运行，预计正式投产后可年产逆变器及储能PACK超30万台。该项目总投资5亿元，从注册到试生产 仅用时2个多月，不仅是南通智能制造高地的新样本，也是民间投资项目蒸蒸日上的新代表，将助力区 域产业集群升级。 民间投资对经济景气的敏感度高、反应迅速，对于固定资产投资具有风向标意义。今年以来，南通市 以"民企感受"为导向，推动服务民企主体大走访"零距离"，共有57个民间投资项目实现"拿地即开工"， 项目建设"南通速度"持续刷新。上半年，全市民间投资同比增长3%，增速位居全省前列，有力支撑经 济运行稳中向好。 民间投资活力迸发，得益于持续优化的营商 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the gradual recovery and growth potential of private investment in China, driven by policy support and regional differentiation, despite a slight overall decline in the first half of the year [1][2][3]. Group 1: Investment Trends - In the first half of the year, private investment in China saw a year-on-year decline of 0.6%, but several provinces reported positive growth, indicating regional differentiation [1]. - Notable growth was observed in Xinjiang with a 23.2% increase, and in Shaanxi with a 13.8% increase, significantly above the national average [1]. - The manufacturing sector, particularly in emerging fields like new energy and intelligent manufacturing, is experiencing robust growth, with Shaanxi's manufacturing investment rising by 31.4% [2]. Group 2: Structural Changes - The real estate market's downturn has negatively impacted overall private investment, with real estate development investment dropping by 11.2% in the first half of the year [2]. - Excluding real estate, other private investments grew by 5.1%, indicating a shift of capital towards new sectors [2]. - The manufacturing sector's rapid growth is closely linked to industrial upgrades, enhancing China's overall economic competitiveness [2]. Group 3: Policy Support and Environment - National policies, such as the implementation of the Private Economy Promotion Law, have bolstered private enterprise confidence and investment activity [3]. - Local governments are optimizing the business environment and addressing financing challenges to stimulate private investment [3]. - The National Development and Reform Commission has introduced over 3,200 projects to attract private capital, with a total investment exceeding 3 trillion yuan [3]. Group 4: Future Directions - The central government has emphasized the need to "stimulate private investment vitality," with plans to enhance policies promoting private investment in sectors like transportation and energy [4]. - As policies are implemented, private capital is expected to flourish in these areas, leveraging its inherent flexibility and innovation [4].

Core Insights - The article highlights the gradual recovery and growth potential of private investment in China, driven by favorable policies and an improving business environment [2][4][5] Group 1: Private Investment Trends - In the first half of the year, private investment in China saw a year-on-year decline of 0.6%, but several provinces reported positive growth, indicating regional and structural differentiation [2] - Notably, Xinjiang experienced a robust growth of 23.2% in private investment, while Shaanxi and Sichuan reported increases of 13.8% and 2.4%, respectively [2] - The real estate market's downturn has significantly impacted overall private investment, with real estate development investment dropping by 11.2% in the first half of the year [3] Group 2: Sectoral Shifts - Excluding real estate, other private investments grew by 5.1%, suggesting a shift of private capital towards new sectors [3] - Manufacturing sectors, particularly in new energy, new materials, and intelligent manufacturing, have shown strong growth, with Shaanxi's manufacturing private investment increasing by 31.4% [3] - The automotive manufacturing sector in Shaanxi saw a remarkable growth of 45.9%, supporting industrial transformation [3] Group 3: Policy Support and Business Environment - National policies, such as the implementation of the Private Economy Promotion Law, have bolstered private enterprise confidence and reduced market entry barriers [4] - Local governments are enhancing the business environment and providing policy guidance to stimulate private investment, with over 3,200 new projects introduced to private capital, totaling over 3 trillion yuan [4] - The central government has emphasized the need to "stimulate private investment vitality," indicating a clear policy direction for the second half of the year [5]