Core Viewpoint - Trip.com Group Ltd is entering a new growth phase characterized by structural advantages rather than just post-recovery tailwinds, leading to a more durable expansion cycle [1][2] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Trip.com reported a 16% year-over-year increase in net revenue, reaching 18.3 billion Chinese yuan ($2.580 billion), exceeding expectations across various segments [3] - Adjusted EBITDA was 6.35 billion yuan, outperforming forecasts by over 6%, and non-GAAP EPADS was $3.87, benefiting from asset sales [4] Future Outlook - For Q4 2025, management is optimistic about domestic and outbound travel trends, raising revenue guidance with a forecast of 17% growth driven by leisure and cross-border demand [5] - International expansion is seen as a key growth catalyst for fiscal 2026 and beyond, with low online penetration in APAC markets and rising long-haul travel demand [6] Analyst Rating and Price Target - Analyst Fawne Jiang maintains a Buy rating and raises the price target to $82, based on a 16x multiple of the fiscal 2026 non-GAAP EPS estimate of $4.43, reflecting a 15-20% mid- to long-term earnings growth profile [7]

Group 1: Market Overview - The market experienced a rebound with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a ten-year high, and the ChiNext Index rising over 2% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 2.04 trillion, an increase of 969 billion compared to the previous trading day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.73%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.78%, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.55% by the end of the trading session [1] Group 2: E-commerce Insights - Huatai Securities estimates that the GMV for the "Double Eleven" shopping festival may see moderate growth, with a year-on-year increase in the mid to high single digits up to 10% [2] - The stable growth is attributed to active subsidies from various platforms and an extended promotional timeline, although it is partially offset by a high sales base from last year's national subsidy actions [2] - Competition among major e-commerce platforms is expected to remain intense, focusing on traffic entry and core user rights, with consumer price stabilization being a key driver for performance [2] Group 3: Convertible Bonds Analysis - Galaxy Securities noted that the overall price and premium rate of convertible bonds have risen to high levels, necessitating caution in managing downside risks [3] - The previous cycle saw strong performance in the convertible bond market, with a 1% increase in high-price indices and significant excess returns from high-volatility strategies [3] - The current environment is characterized by increased volatility, requiring timely adjustments to follow market trends and sector rotations [3] Group 4: AI Investment Opportunities - CITIC Securities highlighted the expansion of AI investment opportunities, particularly in the computing power industry chain and AI applications [4] - Since 2025, both Chinese and American tech stocks have performed well, with the computing power sector leading market gains [4] - The potential for localized computing power to replicate the long bull market seen in U.S. stocks since 2023 is promising, with specific AI applications expected to see rapid commercialization [4]

Group 1 - The Japanese technology investment company is leading an investment of up to $40 billion in OpenAI [1] - The company plans to syndicate out $10 billion to co-investors [1]

Group 1: Market Overview - The market experienced a volume contraction with the ChiNext index dropping nearly 2% and total trading volume in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges falling below 2 trillion yuan, a decrease of 191.4 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - By the end of the trading session, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.41%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 1.71%, and the ChiNext Index declined by 1.96% [1] Group 2: Communication Industry Insights - CITIC Securities reported that institutional holdings in the communication sector reached a record high in Q3 2025, with public funds and northbound capital's holdings accounting for 6.87% and 2.82% of the market value, respectively [2] - The report highlighted a strong performance in the AI computing power sector and recommended continued investment in both North American and domestic computing power supply chains, as well as AI application sectors [2] Group 3: AI Investment Trends - Huatai Securities indicated that the high growth trend in AI-related investments may continue, and discussions about whether this trend is a bubble may be premature [3] - The firm noted that while AI investments are growing rapidly and valuations are high, it is still too early to determine if a bubble exists, as the current macroeconomic conditions do not trigger significant market adjustments [3] Group 4: Copper Market Outlook - CITIC Securities projected that the supply-demand gap for copper is expected to widen, with global copper mine production declining nearly 5% year-on-year in Q3 2025, and a continued contraction anticipated in Q4 [4] - The report suggested that raw material shortages and potential "de-involution" will contribute to a reduction in domestic refined copper supply, with a forecast that LME copper prices could exceed $10,000 per ton, indicating upward potential [4]

Back in September 2020, when the world was under lockdowns, inflation wasn't even considered "transitory" yet, and most of Wall Street was stocking up on hand sanitizers to make bold predictions — BCA Research did precisely that.The firm called for the market to shrug off all the near-term and long-term concerns and more than double within the decade. They set a target for SPX to reach 7,000 by 2028. The logic was simple. A "structurally constructive" U.S. equity view, betting on peak-cycle earnings of $310 ...

Core Holding - Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) has been a core holding in the portfolio for over 7 years, indicating a long-term investment strategy rather than a tactical position [1]. Analyst Background - The analyst, Dilantha De Silva, has over 10 years of experience in the investment industry and specializes in equity analysis and investment research [1]. - Dilantha has a significant following on Seeking Alpha and has been featured on major financial platforms such as CNBC and Bloomberg [1]. Investment Focus - The analyst focuses on small-cap stocks that are often overlooked by Wall Street analysts, suggesting a niche investment strategy [1].

Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis focusing on key financial indicators such as Gold Spot prices, the S&P 500 index, and major technology companies like Microsoft Corporation and Apple Inc. [1] Group 2 - Gold Spot prices are analyzed in relation to the US Dollar, indicating fluctuations that may impact investment strategies [1] - The performance of the S&P 500 is discussed, highlighting its significance as a benchmark for the overall market [1] - Microsoft Corporation and Apple Inc. are examined for their market positions and potential growth opportunities within the technology sector [1]

Investment Rating - The report raises the 2025 real GDP growth forecast for China from 4.9% to 5.0% based on government spending acceleration and commitment to economic targets [6][10]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of China's manufacturing push in driving economic growth and highlights the expected annual growth of Chinese export volumes by 5-6% [9][10]. - It notes that the fiscal deficit is projected to widen by 1.0 percentage point of GDP in 2026, with total social financing stock growth expected to rise [9][10]. - The report discusses the ongoing focus on high-tech manufacturing and AI investment as a counterbalance to demographic and local government debt challenges [9][10]. Summary by Sections Current State of the Economy - The 2025 real GDP growth forecast has been raised to 5.0% due to increased government spending and commitment to economic targets [6]. 2026 Macro Views - The report anticipates a real GDP growth of 4.8% in 2026, which is significantly above market consensus [9]. - It expects the fiscal deficit to widen and further cuts in the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) and policy rates [9]. Medium- to Long-Term Views - Chinese export volumes are expected to grow by 5-6% annually, contributing to overall economic expansion [9]. - The report highlights the prioritization of manufacturing, technology, and security in China's 15th Five-Year Plan [9]. Economic Indicators - The report provides a detailed forecast of various economic indicators, including GDP growth, domestic demand, consumption, and inflation rates for the years 2025 to 2027 [13]. - It notes that household consumption is expected to grow at a rate of 4.6% in 2025, with government consumption at 4.0% [13]. Policy Measures - The report outlines several policy measures aimed at boosting consumption and investment, including a consumer goods trade-in program and increased government spending on infrastructure [81][82].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The report provides a comprehensive update on the fixed - income market, including bond price movements, new issues, and macro - economic news. It maintains a buy recommendation on the FAEACO 12.814 Perp bond, which has gained about 20 pts in the past two weeks [2]. - SoftBank Group's new bond issues are analyzed, with estimated fair values for SOFTBK 61s and SOFTBK 65s at around 7.6% and 8.4% respectively [4][8][9]. 3. Section - by - Section Summaries Trading Desk Comments - Yesterday, the TW lifers/BBLTB sub curve/HYUELE curve/PETMK curve tightened by 1 - 3 bps. There were two - way flows on JP/KR/AU front - end FRNs from PBs [2]. - Japanese insurance hybrids and AT1s edged 0.1 pt firmer with light flows, while Yankee AT1s opened cautiously in London. BNP papers recovered after a previous plunge [2]. - Chinese IG benchmarks tightened by 1 - 2 bps. In Greater China higher - beta space, NWDEVL 28 - 31s were up 0.6 - 1.5 pts, but NWDEVL Perps were down 0.3 - 1.3 pts. FAEACO 12.814 Perp gained 0.4 pt [2]. - In Chinese properties, VNKRLE 27 - 29s decreased by 0.4 - 0.6 pt after Moody's downgrade. YUZHOU 27 lost 0.7 pt. In Southeast Asia, VLLPM 27 - 29s led the space and rose 3.2 - 4.4 pts [2]. - In LGFV space, there were mixed, light two - way flows. RMs and AMs were topping up IG USD and AAA - guaranteed issues, and flows on higher - yielding papers were sporadic [3]. Morning Update - This morning, the new ASBBNK 4.155 30 tightened 1 bp from initial issuance at T + 60, and ASBBNK Float 30 tightened 10 bps from RO at SOFR+90. The new GSCCOR 4.25 30 tightened 1 bp from pricing at T + 77 [4]. - The new GEZHOU 4.25 Perp traded up to 0.1 pt higher with light flows. SOFTBKs were unchanged, and LGELECs were unchanged after S&P revised the outlook of LG Electronics to positive from stable [4]. Top Performers and Underperformers - Top performers included VLLPM 7 1/4 07/20/27 (price 69.2, change 4.4) and NWDEVL 4 1/2 05/19/30 (price 72.7, change 1.5). Top underperformers included NWDEVL 5 1/4 PERP (price 48.8, change - 1.3) and YUZHOU 7 06/30/27 (price 12.0, change - 0.7) [5]. Macro News Recap - On Tuesday, the S&P was flat (+0.00%), the Dow rose 0.47%, and the Nasdaq fell 0.16%. UST yields were lower, with 2/5/10/30 - year yields at 3.45%/3.56%/3.98%/4.55% [7]. Desk Analyst Comments on SoftBank - SoftBank Group proposes to issue 35.5NC5.5 and 40NC10 Reg S USD subordinated bonds (S&P: B+) and 37NC7 EUR subordinated bonds for general corporate purposes [8]. - The fair value of the new SOFTBK 61 (first call Apr'31) is estimated at around 7.6% vs IPT at 7.875% - 8%, and for the new SOFTBK 65 (first call Oct'35) at around 8.4% vs IPT at 8.5% - 8.625% [9]. - The bonds have step - up mechanisms, and will receive 50% equity credit from S&P and JCR until the first reset date. SoftBank has a track record of calling its bonds on the first call date [10]. - In Jun'25, SoftBank's investment portfolio was valued at about USD269.6 bn, with 76% in listed shares (about USD205 bn). It held cash of about USD25.3 bn and standalone net debts of about USD45.9 bn, with an LTV ratio of 17.0% [11][12]. - While it has completed refinancing for the current fiscal year, there is a medium - term refinancing requirement in 2028 - 31, but it has access to diverse funding channels [12]. Offshore Asia New Issues - Priced new issues include ASB Bank (USD500/300 mn, 5 - year, 4.155%/SOFR+90), China Energy Overseas Investment (USD100/100 mn, 3 - year/PerpNC5, 3.8%/4.25%), GS Caltex Corporation (USD300 mn, 5 - year, 4.25%), and Republic of Kazakhstan (USD1500 mn, 5 - year, 4.412%) [16]. - Pipeline new issues include Avation Plc, China Three Gorges Corporation, Softbank Group, and The Republic of Korea with various tenors and coupon rates [17]. News and Market Color - Yesterday, there were 158 onshore credit bonds issued with an amount of RMB156 bn. Month - to - date, 910 credit bonds were issued with a total amount of RMB889 bn, a 31.1% yoy increase [18]. - S&P revised the outlook of LG Electronics to positive from stable, and the Republic of Indonesia is looking to price 5 - year/10 - year dim sum bonds tomorrow [18]. - Other corporate news includes S&P revising the outlook of Japfa Comfeed to stable from negative, NWD denying LME on perps, San Miguel obtaining a USD1.5 bn syndicated loan, Sun Hung Kai Properties announcing a USD10 bn debt instruments issuance programme, and Woodside Energy's 9M25 oil and gas output rising 5% yoy [25].

Core Insights - Bitcoin mining stock prices have surged recently, driven by market enthusiasm for miners engaging in AI ventures [1][7] Company Performance - Major bitcoin miners such as Bitdeer, Bitfarms, Hut 8, CleanSpark, and Core Scientific have seen significant price increases, with Bitdeer leading at a 27% rise [2] - Over the past week, Bitfarms has outperformed with a 66% increase, followed by Bitdeer at 29.5%, TeraWulf at 23.2%, Hut 8 at 21.4%, CleanSpark at 20.4%, and Cipher at 17.5% [3] - IREN has shown a remarkable performance, up 1,100% over the last six months, despite lagging behind peers in the weekly timeframe [4] Financial Developments - IREN has closed a $1 billion convertible note to support its AI business, with Cantor Fitzgerald setting a $100 price target based on its neocloud business and the potential of its Sweetwater campus [5] - Bitdeer announced plans to have 200 MW of critical IT load operational in Southeast Asia by the end of 2026, projecting an estimated annual recurring revenue of $2 billion [6] Market Trends - The bitcoin mining sector has been experiencing a strong upward trend since summer, largely due to the AI investment wave, leaving miners without AI or high-performance computing initiatives at a disadvantage [7]