Contrarian Investment
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'Big Short' Is Long On Molina Healthcare Stock—Was He Big Wrong?
Benzinga· 2026-01-28 00:13
Core Viewpoint - Michael Burry has made a strategic investment shift from UnitedHealth Group to Molina Healthcare, betting on Molina's resilience in the face of regulatory challenges in the healthcare sector [1][3]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - Burry liquidated his stake in UnitedHealth Group in Q3 2025 and heavily invested in Molina Healthcare [1]. - Molina's stock experienced an 8% drop, but it performed better than major competitors like UnitedHealth and Humana, which saw declines of 19% and 21% respectively [2][6]. - Burry's investment in Molina is characterized as a contrarian play, with him labeling it a "generational buy" [3]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Approximately 75% of Molina's revenue is derived from Medicaid, which has allowed the company to maintain profitability despite competitors facing losses in similar contracts [4]. - Molina has demonstrated disciplined operations and conservative accounting practices, contributing to its financial stability [4]. Group 3: Market Position and Future Outlook - Burry's exit from UnitedHealth occurred just before a significant 20% drop in its stock price, indicating timely decision-making [7]. - Molina's stock broke above its 100-day moving average and entered a winning streak, surging over 13% in early January [7]. - Burry has suggested that Molina could be an attractive acquisition target, indicating a strong potential for long-term growth [7].
Caterpillar Q4 Preview: Backlog, Margins, And The AI Power Trade (NYSE:CAT)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-26 20:16
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns, indicating a systematic approach to technical analysis [1]
Intel: I Like The Demand Story, I Don't Like The Margin Story (Downgrade) (NASDAQ:INTC)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-23 18:03
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after the sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The use of multicolor lines and trend lines in technical analysis indicates a sophisticated approach to charting and market trends [1]
Netflix: One More Downside Catalyst Ahead (Hold Until April)
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-23 14:30
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and return [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Group 2: Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens through thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A key criterion for stock selection is insider buying at the new lower price, which may indicate confidence in the company's future [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares after sell-offs, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Group 3: Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - Multicolor lines are used for visualizing support and resistance, and trend lines are drawn to identify patterns [1]
Affordability Is The New Macro Trade: Here's How I'm Positioning For The Winners
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-22 11:00
Group 1 - Real estate has recently outperformed the S&P 500, becoming one of the top-performing sectors, surpassing technology and semiconductors [1] - This shift in performance comes after a period where real estate lagged behind during the AI supercycle [1] Group 2 - The article does not provide specific financial data or metrics related to individual companies or broader industry trends beyond the performance comparison [2][3] - There is no mention of specific investment strategies or recommendations related to the real estate sector in the provided content [2][3]
Consumer Staples Are Exploding Higher in 2026: Buy 5 High-Yielding Dividend Kings Now
247Wallst· 2026-01-21 14:45
Industry Overview - The consumer staples sector underperformed significantly in 2025 but is expected to see a more favorable environment in 2026 due to easing sector-specific pressures and potential fiscal stimulus boosting demand [1] - The sector has a 70-percentage-point performance gap relative to tech stocks over the past three years, indicating a contrarian opportunity for long-term investors [1] - The Consumer Staples exchange-traded fund (NYSEArca: XLP) gained 7.5% in just six trading days to start 2026, marking the strongest short-term run since 2022 [1] Investment Opportunities - The S&P 500 has produced double-digit returns over the past three years, but a shift towards safer consumer staples stocks is advisable due to potential market corrections [2] - Consumer staples stocks not only offer solid upside potential but also provide significant, dependable dividends, making them attractive for conservative growth and income investors [2] Notable Companies - Altria Group Inc. (NYSE: MO) offers a compelling entry point for value investors with a 7.30% dividend yield and focuses on smoke-free products [5] - Hormel Foods Corp. (NYSE: HRL) has a reliable 5.05% dividend yield and is restructuring its portfolio to improve performance after a 25% decline in 2025 [9] - Kimberly-Clark Corp. (NYSE: KMB) has raised its dividend for 53 consecutive years, currently yielding 5.04%, and is acquiring Kenvue Inc. in a $48.7 billion deal [13][15] - PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE: PEP) reported solid earnings and has a 3.81% dividend yield, with a potential upside of over 50% due to strategic changes proposed by activist investor Elliott Investment Management [19][20] - Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE: PG) has raised dividends for 70 straight years, with a current yield of 2.82%, focusing on branded consumer packaged goods [22][25]
Trump's Greenland Ultimatum And Why I'm (Aggressively) Moving To Cash
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-21 08:54
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are drawn in multicolor patterns, indicating a systematic approach to technical analysis [1]
Qualcomm Looks Cheap: The Next Guidance Could Make It Way Cheaper
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-20 09:35
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs [1] - A professional background check is conducted on each insider who purchased shares after the sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1] - The use of multicolor lines and trend lines in technical analysis indicates a sophisticated approach to charting and market trends [1]
Sandisk: The NAND Trade Is Getting Crowded Heading Into Q2 Earnings
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-16 22:29
Core Viewpoint - The individual investor adopts a contrarian investment style, focusing on deep value opportunities, particularly in stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events, while also considering insider buying as a positive signal [1] Investment Strategy - The investment portfolio is split approximately 50%-50% between shares and call options, indicating a balanced approach to risk and potential returns [1] - The investor's timeframe for holding positions typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, suggesting a medium-term investment horizon [1] - Fundamental analysis is employed to assess the health of companies, including their leverage and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] Stock Selection Criteria - The investor screens thousands of stocks, primarily in the US, looking for those that have undergone recent sell-offs, particularly when insiders are buying shares at lower prices [1] - Professional background checks are conducted on insiders who purchase shares post-sell-off, adding a layer of due diligence to the investment process [1] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis is utilized to optimize entry and exit points, with a focus on support and resistance levels on weekly charts, employing multicolor lines for clarity [1] - Trend lines are occasionally drawn in multicolor patterns, indicating a systematic approach to analyzing price movements [1]
This Bull Run Looks Tired: If SPY Breaks Below $685, A Big Correction May Be Next
Seeking Alpha· 2026-01-15 21:12
Core Insights - The market narrative is rapidly changing, with investors initially focusing on the $602 billion capital expenditure planned by five hyperscalers, including Oracle, for the year [1] Group 1: Investment Strategy - The investment style described is contrarian and highly risky, often involving illiquid options [1] - The portfolio allocation is approximately 50% in shares and 50% in call options, reflecting a balance between risk and traditional equity investment [1] - The investment timeframe typically ranges from 3 to 24 months, targeting stocks that have recently experienced sell-offs due to non-recurrent events [1] Group 2: Stock Screening Process - The screening process involves fundamental analysis to assess company health, leverage, and financial ratios compared to sector and industry averages [1] - Insider buying at lower prices post-sell-off is a key indicator for potential investment opportunities [1] - Technical analysis is utilized to determine optimal entry and exit points, employing multicolor lines for support and resistance levels on weekly charts [1]