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November CPI 'didn't satisfy us', says market researcher Jim Bianco
Youtube· 2025-12-18 22:59
for the potential market impact here at home. Let's bring in market forecaster Jim Biano Bianca Research. Jim, great to have you with us.There's a lot to discuss, but in terms of the CPI print, this has not in your mind put to bed the concerns about inflation going higher. >> Yeah, this number was a statistical mess. They assumed that rents in the United States were effectively zero for the month of October.They surveyed the second half of the month because the government was shut down. So when you see thin ...
Bonds are having their best year since 2020. But don't expect the same returns next year.
MarketWatch· 2025-12-18 19:36
Core Viewpoint - The uncertain outlook for inflation and interest rates is expected to drive yields higher in the coming year, which will negatively impact bond prices [1] Group 1 - The potential increase in yields is attributed to the unpredictable nature of inflation and interest rate trends [1] - Higher yields could lead to a decrease in demand for bonds, as investors may seek better returns elsewhere [1] - The bond market may face significant challenges as these economic factors evolve [1]
Gold prices holding its ground as ECB leaves interest rates unchanged
KITCO· 2025-12-18 16:46
Neils ChristensenNeils Christensen has a diploma in journalism from Lethbridge College and has more than a decade of reporting experience working for news organizations throughout Canada. His experiences include covering territorial and federal politics in Nunavut, Canada. He has worked exclusively within the financial sector since 2007, when he started with the Canadian Economic Press. Neils can be contacted at: 1 866 925 4826 ext. 1526 nchristensen at kitco.com @Neils_cShareDisclaimer: The views expressed ...
Stocks Rally as Chip Makers Soar and US Price Pressures Ease
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 16:13
Overseas stock markets are mixed today. The Euro Stoxx 50 is up +0.73%. China’s Shanghai Composite closed up +0.16%. Japan’s Nikkei Stock 225 fell to a 3-week low and closed down -1.03%.The markets are discounting a 27% chance that the FOMC will cut the fed funds target range by 25 bp at the next FOMC meeting on January 27-28.This week's market focus will be on US economic news. On Friday, Nov existing home sales are expected to be up +1.2% m/m to 4.15 million. Also, the University of Michigan Dec consumer ...
Wall Street rises after an encouraging inflation update, as Micron helps AI stocks stop their slide
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-18 05:26
NEW YORK (AP) — U.S. stocks rose on Thursday following an encouraging report on inflation that could help the Federal Reserve keep cutting interest rates next year. A strong profit report from Micron Technology also helped AI stocks halt their sharp slides, at least for now. The S&P 500 climbed 0.8% and broke a four-day losing streak. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 65 points, or 0.1%, and the strength for tech stocks sent the Nasdaq composite up a market-leading 1.4%. Some relief came from a rep ...
Nasdaq crashes today: Why Nasdaq is down today - Nasdaq Composite slides 1.1% as Nvidia, Tesla, Oracle lead tech selloff
The Economic Times· 2025-12-17 16:15
Nasdaq crashes today: U.S. stocks traded lower on Wednesday as investors pulled back from heavyweight technology names, pushing the Nasdaq into a sharp decline. The As of 11:06 a.m. ET, the Nasdaq was hovering near 22,896, down over 215 points, while the S&P 500 slipped to 6,761. The Dow held near 48,079, down just 0.07%. The divergence reflects investor caution toward tech after fresh economic data raised concerns about slowing U.S. growth and the timing of future Federal Reserve rate cuts. Selling pressu ...
Watch Fed Governor Christopher Waller speak on interest rates and the race to succeed Powell
CNBC· 2025-12-17 13:02
[The stream is slated to start at 8:15 a.m. ET. CNBC Television will start the stream when the event begins. Please refresh the page if you do not see a player above.]Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller is slated to speak at at the Yale CEO Summit on Wednesday.Waller is one of the five finalists considered for to replace Fed Chairman Jerome Powell when his term expires in May. He's set to be interviewed by President Donald Trump this week, CNBC's Steve Liesman reported. Trump has signaled that Kevin ...
Stock market falls after mixed data on the economy
Fastcompany· 2025-12-17 09:17
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is experiencing a decline, with the S&P 500 down 0.4% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 271 points or 0.6% as of 1:53 p.m. Eastern time, while the Nasdaq composite remains mostly unchanged [1] - Treasury yields have eased slightly after an initial drop, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling to 4.16% from 4.18% and the two-year Treasury yield easing to 3.48% from 3.51% [6] Economic Data - Recent mixed economic data has created uncertainty regarding future interest rate movements, with the U.S. unemployment rate reported at its worst level since 2021, but job additions exceeding economists' expectations [2][3] - A report indicated that revenue growth for U.S. retailers in October was stronger than anticipated, suggesting underlying economic strength [2] Inflation and Price Pressures - A report released indicated that average selling prices for businesses are rising sharply, with one of the fastest rates since mid-2022, while overall business activity growth has slowed to its weakest level since June [5] - Higher prices are being attributed to tariffs, affecting both manufacturing and services sectors, leading to broader affordability issues [6] Company-Specific Developments - Oracle's stock rose 2.4% and Broadcom's by 0.1%, despite previous sharp losses, as both companies reported stronger-than-expected quarterly profits [7] - CoreWeave, which provides access to AI chips, saw a decline of 4.9%, raising questions about the profitability of current AI technology investments [8] - Pfizer's stock fell 5.2% after providing a profit forecast for 2026 that was below analysts' expectations, although its revenue forecast for next year aligns closely with expectations [8] - Kraft Heinz's stock fell 0.1% following the announcement of Steve Cahillane as the new CEO, effective January 1, as the company prepares to split into two entities by the second half of 2026 [9] Global Market Trends - Stock markets in Europe and Asia experienced declines, with Japan's Nikkei 225 dropping 1.6% ahead of an anticipated interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan [10] - South Korea's Kospi fell 2.2%, while indexes in Hong Kong and Shanghai dropped by 1.5% and 1.1%, respectively [10]
Dollar Recovers From Losses After U.S. Jobs Data
Barrons· 2025-12-17 08:29
The dollar recovered after hitting a 10-week low in the previous session after the delayed U.S. nonfarm payrolls report for November showed the unemployment rate rose by more than expected to 4.6%.While the dollar initially dropped on the data, the market "isn't really jumping on the bandwagon that the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates again as early as January," Commerzbank's Antje Praefcke said in a note.The hurdle for another rate cut seemed to become somewhat higher at last week's Fed meeting and ...
Affirm Soars Double Digits on Tuesday. Is the Stock a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-17 02:01
Core Insights - Affirm's stock surged by 10.2% on a day marked by a broader upswing in the buy-now/pay-later (BNPL) and fintech sectors, influenced by a weaker-than-expected jobs report that may lead to lower interest rates [1][4][5] Company Performance - Affirm's CFO Rob O'Hare highlighted a five-year partnership extension with Amazon, which is expected to drive new customer acquisition for both companies [2][6] - The company reported a 34% increase in revenue and a GAAP operating margin of 7% in its most recent quarter, indicating strong growth and profitability [9] - Credit trends remained stable, with delinquency rates consistent with previous years, suggesting that the company's credit model is holding up [10] Market Context - The positive market reaction to Affirm's performance was also reflected in other BNPL and fintech stocks, which experienced gains due to favorable market conditions and investor sentiment [5] - The partnership with Amazon was described as a "win-win," with terms remaining mostly unchanged, reinforcing Affirm's leadership in the industry [6][9] - Evercore ISI maintained an outperform rating for Affirm, with a price target of $95, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance [7]