Would be hilarious if BTC chopped around for a month and then decided to wake up and be extra volatile Christmas week when everyone is off screens hanging with family. ...

💡 Key Takeaways🔹 Track your 15-day point balance daily: inactivity drops you below 220-230 eligibility thresholds🔹 Exit delisted tokens before Dec. 19 when spreads widen and liquidity dries up🔹 Monitor when funding rates exceed 0.01%: historically signals 20%+ correction within 48 hours🔹 Brace for Jan. 13 CPI release as primary catalyst for volatility flush🔹 Avoid low-cap tokens with 3x+ turnover: exits become difficult during selloffsStay informed, stay ahead:https://t.co/8jZzrytttH8/8 ...

🔮 January Catalysts Ahead🔹 Jan. 13 CPI release: 264% funding rate spike signals traders positioned for sharp volatility🔹 Jan. 15 MSCI DAT classification: Potential $2.8B-$8.8B outflows from Bitcoin-heavy companies🔹 Feb. 2 Brazil regulation: $2M-$37M capital requirements and $100K transaction caps take effect🔹 Social sentiment at 4.79/10 shows disconnect between bearish mood and bullish leverage7/8 ...

Core Viewpoint - The ProShares Ultra S&P 500 ETF (SSO) and the Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares ETF (SPXL) are both leveraged ETFs designed to amplify returns from daily movements in the S&P 500, with SPXL offering triple leverage and SSO offering double leverage, impacting their risk profiles and potential returns [1][2][7]. Cost and Size Comparison - Both SSO and SPXL have an expense ratio of 0.87% and similar costs, but SPXL has a slightly higher dividend yield of 0.75% compared to SSO's 0.69% [3]. - As of December 16, 2025, SSO has a one-year return of 16.54% while SPXL has a return of 17.10% [3]. - SSO has assets under management (AUM) of $7.3 billion, while SPXL has $6.2 billion [3]. Performance and Risk Comparison - Over five years, SSO has a maximum drawdown of -46.73%, while SPXL has a significantly higher drawdown of -63.80% [4]. - An investment of $1,000 would grow to $2,588 in SSO and $3,144 in SPXL over five years, indicating higher potential gains with SPXL but also greater risk [4]. - SPXL's higher beta of 3.07 compared to SSO's 2.02 indicates greater volatility and risk associated with SPXL [3][4]. Portfolio Composition - SPXL holds just over 500 stocks, with significant allocations in technology (35%), financial services (14%), and consumer cyclical (11%), with top holdings including Nvidia, Apple, and Microsoft [5]. - SSO has a similar sector profile and top holdings as SPXL, but with 2x daily leverage [6]. Implications for Investors - Leveraged ETFs like SSO and SPXL present higher risks but also the potential for significant returns, with SPXL offering higher earning potential at the cost of increased volatility [7][8]. - SPXL's total returns have outperformed SSO over the past five years, but its higher max drawdown indicates more severe price fluctuations [8][9].

Economic Outlook & Growth Drivers - The economy faces hurdles including government shutdowns affecting growth and delaying data collection [2] - "Prosec" (production for security) is a key positive thesis, focusing on domestic production in areas of national security interest like chips, data centers, AI, electricity, and rare earth minerals [3][4][5] - Tariffs are starting to impact earnings potential and may spread to consumers [6][7] - Tax cuts, tilted towards upper-end households, and deregulation are expected to inject cash into the economy in the first half of 2026 [9][10][11] - The dynamic properties inside the tax bill should facilitate 23% to 25% growth next year [14] Market & Investment Strategies - Companies are questioning spending on AI, which could drag on the economy if it slows [6][15] - The market and economy have diverged, with a "little i-shaped economy" where a small segment is doing well while the rest is just okay [16][17] - Fund manager surveys show bullish sentiment, but there's a disconnect with the real economy [19] - Tech companies may become more careful with spending plans [21] AI & Technology - Focus should shift from those working on AI to those working with AI, emphasizing adoption policies to drive productivity growth [24][25] - Data centers are driving significant debt issuance, estimated at $150 billion to $175 billion per year [30] - Governments are accelerating the development of AI value chains for economic and national security [52] - Sovereign AI is a key theme, with governments focusing on algorithms, critical minerals for semiconductors, and data [52][53] Crypto & Regulation - The Senate is considering the Clarity Act to provide a market structure for crypto in the US [33] - Banks are exploring stablecoins, which could lead to greater adoption and efficiency in the financial system [35][36] - Bitcoin is heavily influenced by leverage players, requiring new standards and safeguards [37][38][39] Trade & Geopolitics - Uncertainty around tariff policies is expected to continue, along with export controls and trade restrictions [42][43] - Companies are using scenario planning to manage geopolitical risks [46] - Geopolitical competition for resources like critical minerals and fresh water is a key story for 2026 [47][48] - Geopolitical competition around access to capital and the growing politization of capital allocation are reshaping the global financial system [50]

🚨 UPDATE: $BTC has become less volatile than Nvidia stock in 2025, with Bitwise citing BTC’s market maturation, rising institutional ownership, and ETF inflows as key drivers. https://t.co/ydoyfTcbDE ...

Uh, joining us now is Chris Murphy, Susuana's co-head of derivative strategy. I love illquid markets, Chris, because bigger price moves, more to talk about. >> You're right. You're right.I mean, it could be more exciting at the end of the year. We hope it is. I mean, I'm stuck here most of the days until the end of the year, so I wouldn't mind some some excitement, but yeah, probably the highest volume day of the year uh till the end of the year.And then with those um expiration notional stats, uh sure it i ...

🚨 ALERT: $60M liquidated in last one hour as volatility spikes again. https://t.co/Mjtq4vjaR3 ...

🎯 Key Takeaways:🔹 Set clear stop losses to protect capital while volatility resets.🔹 Track upcoming macro events for potential catalysts, Trump claims new Fed Chair will slash rates.🔹 Touch grass, review performance, recalibrate strategy for the next rotation.📊 Stay disciplined, stay informed!https://t.co/sazVmSR6hE6/6 ...

Most people are taught to avoid volatility. They hide from it. They want something that's safe and stable.That's not how you drive returns. In order to capture returns, you need asymmetry. If you need asymmetry, you need volatility.So, I recently saw CZ, the founder of Binance. He had a great tweet where he said, "If you were ever jealous of people buying crypto on the cheap and being able to hold them through the cycles, think about what they did in moments like this." Obviously, cryptocurrencies have fall ...