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Tesla's Stock Has Crashed 30% This Year. 1 Thing to Know Before You Buy.
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-25 14:52
Core Insights - Tesla's stock has decreased approximately 30% in value since the beginning of the year, with its price-to-sales ratio dropping from over 15 to 9.2 [1][2] - The recent decline in Tesla's stock price has reverted its valuation to historical averages, as the valuation had previously soared to over 16 times sales in late 2024 [2][3] - Despite the correction, Tesla's price-to-sales multiple remains above its multiyear average, indicating that the stock is not as cheap as it appears [3][5] Valuation Analysis - Historically, Tesla's valuation has ranged between 5 and 10 times sales, but the recent correction has only brought it back toward these historical norms [3] - The forward price-to-sales multiple, which accounts for expected sales growth, still shows Tesla shares trading slightly above their long-term average [5] - The stock's valuation correction began from abnormally high levels, suggesting that the current price may not reflect a significant discount for long-term investors [6]
Is Most-Watched Stock Deere & Company (DE) Worth Betting on Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-25 14:05
Core Viewpoint - Deere's stock performance has been closely monitored, with a recent return of -3.2% over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500's -4.8% and the Zacks Manufacturing - Farm Equipment industry's -4% [1] Earnings Estimate Revisions - For the current quarter, Deere is expected to report earnings of $5.68 per share, reflecting a -33.4% change year-over-year, with a consensus estimate change of -1.1% over the last 30 days [4] - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year is $18.91, indicating a -26.2% change from the previous year, with a -2% change in the estimate over the last 30 days [4] - For the next fiscal year, the consensus estimate is $21.22, showing a +12.2% change from the prior year, with a -2.7% change in the estimate over the past month [5] - Deere holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) due to the recent changes in consensus estimates and other related factors [6] Projected Revenue Growth - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $10.65 billion, indicating a -21.8% year-over-year change [10] - For the current fiscal year, the sales estimate is $38.23 billion, reflecting a -14.6% change, while the next fiscal year's estimate of $40.56 billion indicates a +6.1% change [10] Last Reported Results and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Deere's revenues were $6.81 billion, down -35.1% year-over-year, with an EPS of $3.19 compared to $6.23 a year ago [11] - The reported revenues were -11.51% below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $7.7 billion, while the EPS surprise was +1.92% [11] - Deere has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters and topped revenue estimates three times during this period [12] Valuation - Deere is graded D on the Zacks Value Style Score, indicating it is trading at a premium compared to its peers [16]
Is Trending Stock Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) a Buy Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-25 14:01
Grab Holdings Limited (GRAB) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future.Shares of this company have returned -2.5% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -4.8% change. The Zacks Internet - Software industry, to which Grab belongs, has lost 9.1% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term?Althoug ...
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (DBD) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It
ZACKS· 2025-04-24 14:06
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated (DBD) is one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com visitors lately. So, it might be a good idea to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock.Shares of this company have returned -1.3% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -5.1% change. The Zacks Internet - Software industry, to which Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated belongs, has lost 9.1% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the ...
Is Most-Watched Stock Owens Corning Inc (OC) Worth Betting on Now?
ZACKS· 2025-04-24 14:05
Core Viewpoint - Owens Corning (OC) has been experiencing notable stock performance fluctuations, with recent trends indicating potential challenges ahead for the company in the near term [1][2]. Earnings Estimates - For the current quarter, Owens Corning is projected to report earnings of $2.82 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decline of -21.5% [5]. - The consensus earnings estimate for the current fiscal year stands at $14.10, indicating a year-over-year decrease of -11.4% [5]. - For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate is $15.10, which represents an increase of +7.1% compared to the previous year [6]. - The Zacks Rank for Owens Corning is 4 (Sell), indicating a negative outlook based on recent earnings estimate revisions [7]. Revenue Growth Forecast - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $2.52 billion, which indicates a year-over-year growth of +9.4% [11]. - For the current fiscal year, the sales estimate is $10.58 billion, reflecting a decrease of -3.6%, while the estimate for the next fiscal year is $10.72 billion, indicating a slight increase of +1.4% [11]. Last Reported Results and Surprise History - In the last reported quarter, Owens Corning achieved revenues of $2.84 billion, marking a year-over-year increase of +23.3% [12]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for the same period was $3.22, slightly up from $3.21 a year ago [12]. - The company has consistently beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters and has exceeded revenue estimates three times during this period [13]. Valuation - Owens Corning is graded B on the Zacks Value Style Score, suggesting that the stock is trading at a discount compared to its peers [17].
A Once-in-a-Decade Opportunity: Alphabet Stock Looks Like an Incredible Buy Right Now
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-24 11:45
Alphabet (GOOG 2.63%) (GOOGL 2.75%) looks like a strong bargain right now, if you have the patience to hold it. There are many reasons to be scared right now if you're an Alphabet shareholder, which is why the stock is so cheap. But if you can maintain a long-term outlook (three to five years), you can realize that Alphabet's stock is significantly undervalued right now and could be a fantastic value pick that makes a strong profit over that time frame. Alphabet has a lot of negative headlines working again ...
Why Hasbro, Mattel, and Walmart Stock Investors Love President Trump's Latest Tariffs Promise
The Motley Fool· 2025-04-23 16:42
Group 1 - The U.S. stock market experienced a significant rebound after a period of decline, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average gaining 2.6%, S&P 500 up 3%, and Nasdaq increasing by 4% [2] - Consumer goods companies such as Hasbro and Mattel saw notable stock price increases, with Hasbro up 5.1% and Mattel up 6.6% [2] - The optimism in the market is attributed to President Trump's announcement of a potential substantial reduction in tariffs on Chinese imports, which previously stood at 145% [5][6] Group 2 - Hasbro and Mattel rely heavily on imports from China, with estimates suggesting that up to 70% of their toys are sourced from there, making them vulnerable to high tariffs [5][6] - Walmart, as a major retailer, also sources a significant portion of its consumer goods from China, thus benefiting from the reduced tariff threat [6] - Valuation remains a critical factor for investors, with Hasbro trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19 and Mattel at 9, compared to Walmart's higher P/E ratio of nearly 40 [7]
Roku's Bottom-Line Reversal At Risk - Discounted Valuations Trigger Rich Upside
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-23 13:30
Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting personal in-depth research and due diligence before making investment decisions [3]. Group 1 - The analysis is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered professional investment advice [3]. - There is a clear statement that past performance does not guarantee future results, highlighting the inherent uncertainties in investment [4]. - The article expresses that the views or opinions may not reflect those of the platform as a whole, indicating a diversity of perspectives among analysts [4].
估值被严重低估,但ASML为何不再值得买入?
美股研究社· 2025-04-23 11:00
Core Viewpoint - ASML's stock has declined approximately 14% since analysts rated it as a strong buy in early February, and while it appears undervalued, it is currently not a buy due to bearish technical indicators and weak growth expectations for the second quarter [1][14]. Technical Analysis - The downward trend for ASML began with a bearish engulfing pattern in mid-February, and the stock is currently far below its trend line, indicating a lack of support and potential for further declines [3][4]. - The 50-day moving average has remained significantly below the 200-day moving average, indicating a consistent long-term bearish momentum [5]. - Recent price action shows that ASML has fallen below all Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting that the recent rebound is failing [6]. - There are no signs of improvement in ASML's situation, with bearish indicators persisting [8]. Financial Performance - ASML reported net sales of €7.742 billion for Q1 2025, a year-over-year increase of 46.4%, aligning with expectations, and a dollar growth of 41.77% to $8.82 billion, exceeding forecasts by $35.52 million [11]. - The company’s bookings were €3.936 billion, slightly above the previous year's €3.611 billion, and adjusted earnings per share were $6.83, surpassing expectations by $0.31 [11]. - However, a concerning signal is the significant decline in operating cash flow, which, while historically normal for Q1, raises some alarm [11]. Future Guidance - ASML expects Q2 2025 revenue to be between €7.2 billion and €7.7 billion, representing a 19.3% increase from €6.243 billion in Q2 2024, but this is a significant slowdown compared to Q1's growth rate [12]. - The anticipated gross margin for Q2 is projected to be between 50% and 53%, which is consistent with the previous year's margin of 51.5% [12]. Valuation - The current price-to-sales ratio for ASML is 7.394, down from over 15 in mid-2024, indicating that the stock is undervalued despite the disappointing guidance for Q2 [14]. - The valuation reflects excessive pessimism, as the expected revenue growth remains around average levels, and the stock is trading at a premium of 193% compared to the median price-to-sales ratio in the IT sector [14][15]. - Although the stock may present a long-term investment opportunity, the combination of weak technicals and slowing growth suggests that short-term gains are unlikely [15].
Should You Buy Dollar General Stock at Its Current Valuation?
ZACKS· 2025-04-21 13:35
Valuation and Performance - Dollar General Corporation (DG) is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16.38, which is significantly lower than the industry average of 31.95, raising questions about whether the stock is undervalued or reflects underlying challenges [1] - The stock closed at $93.07, with an 11.9% increase over the past month, outperforming the industry's 5.6% rise, and is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bullish trend [4] Growth Drivers - Despite margin pressures and a challenging consumer environment, Dollar General has gained market share through a resilient product mix, real estate expansion, and strategic initiatives aimed at delivering value [6] - The company has implemented a "back-to-basics" initiative, achieving a 6.9% inventory reduction per store and removing 1,000 SKUs, which has improved productivity [7] - Dollar General plans to execute 4,885 real estate projects in fiscal 2025, including 575 new store openings in the U.S. and up to 15 in Mexico, along with 2,000 remodels and 2,250 upgrades under the "Project Elevate" initiative, which has shown first-year comparable sales lifts of 3% to 5% [9] - The company is expanding its digital presence through a partnership with DoorDash, targeting home delivery to 10,000 locations by the end of fiscal 2025, with initial results showing higher average order values compared to in-store purchases [10] - Management aims to diversify its product mix, targeting a boost in non-consumable sales by at least 100 basis points by fiscal 2027 [11] Challenges and Outlook - Dollar General's core customer base is sensitive to inflation and economic pressures, with a reported 1.1% decline in traffic in the final quarter of fiscal 2024 [12] - Management anticipates selling, general, and administrative expenses to increase in 2025 due to retail wage inflation and elevated depreciation, with the first half of fiscal 2025 expected to be particularly pressured [13] - The company projects a year-over-year decline in EPS for the first half of fiscal 2025, with expected declines of 11.3% and 7.6% in the first and second quarters, respectively [14] - Analysts have revised down the Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share, with current estimates at $5.55 and $6.14 for the current and next fiscal years, respectively [15] Long-Term Strategy - Management has outlined a roadmap targeting net sales growth of 3.5%-4% annually starting in fiscal 2025, with same-store sales growth targeted at 2%-3% from 2026 [17] - Operating margin expansion is expected to resume, potentially reaching 6%-7% by 2028, with EPS growth of at least 10% annually anticipated beginning in 2026 [17]