Demand for British exports declined at the fastest pace since April when US President Donald Trump announced his global tariffs, according to a closely watched survey https://t.co/aWUv2iWiA4 ...

India’s economic activity slowed in September, after US President Donald Trump’s 50% tariffs took effect, a flash survey by HSBC showed https://t.co/WtDH7zJOcP ...

President Xi Jinping’s export engine has proved unstoppable during five months of sky-high US tariffs, sending China hurtling towards a record $1.2 trillion trade surplus. https://t.co/ZQFVcEjNED ...

The EU and Indonesia have secured a trade deal that will eliminate tariffs or bring them close to zero on nearly all goods, boosting relations between the partners amid US President Donald Trump’s moves to upend global commerce https://t.co/u4zQIFtej3 ...

The U.S. government’s renewed embrace of tariffs may be slowing deficits at the margins, but it does little to alter the country’s long-term debt trajectory, according to macro strategist Lyn Alden. Speaking with Scott Melker, host of TheStreet Roundtable, Alden described tariffs as the largest tax increase in decades, one that policymakers have been able to push through by calling it a national emergency. “One of the levers that does somewhat slow it are the tariffs,” Alden explained. “That basically rep ...

The U.S. government is currently collecting tariff revenues at an annualized pace of roughly $350 billion, a “significant” amount, according to Torsten Slok, chief economist at Apollo Global Management. In his typical style, one of brevity and striking charts, Slok added that the figure equates to roughly 18% of annual household income tax payments, underscoring that tariffs are not a marginal tool but a significant revenue source shaping America’s economic and trade landscape. Tariffs—essentially taxes i ...

The US India trade situation is not good. Not only do we not have a deal with India, but the tariffs keep ratcheting up. Latest is obviously this H-1B visa situation.There was a lot of confusion as Secretary Lutnik came out and said that this was going to be an annual fee collected over 6 years which would have been a material ongoing sort of persistent negative for the what I think it's 71% of H-1B users that come from India. The bulk of the remainder come from China. But the negative hit of six consecutiv ...

Core Insights - The discussion highlights the philosophical mindset of the investment group, emphasizing the importance of resilience and conviction in navigating the current market landscape [5][8][96] - The investment landscape has been challenging, with significant drawdowns and volatility, particularly in small-cap and micro-cap stocks [11][16][39] - The focus is on specific companies, such as Green Plains and Cineverse, detailing their performance, challenges, and potential for recovery [18][45] Group 1: Market Overview - The market has experienced a 20% drawdown in April, one of the fastest corrections in history, followed by a strong recovery [11][37] - The current market is characterized by a focus on large-cap tech stocks, leading to a disparity in performance between small caps and larger companies [14][76] - The investment group operates primarily in the micro-cap and small-cap space, which has been more volatile and challenging compared to larger stocks [14][39] Group 2: Company Analysis - Green Plains - Green Plains is a significant ethanol producer with nine plants and a capacity of 800 million gallons [18] - The company faced challenges due to high inventories and a negative EBITDA quarter, leading to a substantial stock price drop [25][26] - Despite initial setbacks, the company has potential for recovery due to favorable legislation and management's proactive strategies [34][36] Group 3: Company Analysis - Cineverse - Cineverse has a strong niche in the horror film market, with successful titles like "Terrifier 3" contributing to revenue growth [46][54] - The company has faced stock price volatility due to mixed performance in recent releases, but has upcoming films that are expected to perform well [58][61] - Cineverse's business model includes acquiring intellectual property and leveraging marketing channels, which positions it for potential growth [50][63] Group 4: Economic and Policy Context - The Federal Reserve's recent rate cuts are seen as a cautious approach, with uncertainty about the broader economic impact [78][80] - Tariffs and their effects on small-cap companies are a concern, but the investment group does not believe their specific holdings are significantly impacted [81][84] - The discussion touches on the broader economic challenges facing younger generations, including job market difficulties and high living costs [87][88]

Company Insights - Green Plains (NASDAQ: GPRE) is a significant ethanol producer with nine plants and a capacity of 800 million gallons. The company has a carbon capture program that is expected to unlock substantial value through the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) until 2027, despite facing challenges due to high inventories and a fragmented industry [18][19][21][22]. - Cineverse (NASDAQ: CNVS) has a strong business model focused on horror films, owning platforms like Bloody and Disgusting. The company experienced a significant stock price increase, reaching $7.40 in July, but faced a downturn due to mixed performance in recent film releases [12][46][47][60][72]. Market Trends - The market has shown volatility, with a notable 20% correction in April, one of the fastest in history. However, it rebounded due to tactical trading setups and depressed valuations [11][37]. - The current investment landscape is characterized by a focus on AI and significant capital expenditure (CapEx) cycles, leading to substantial revenue growth for companies directly involved in this sector [13][14]. Investment Strategy - The investment approach emphasizes identifying mispriced opportunities in small and micro-cap stocks, particularly those with market caps under $500 million. This strategy involves thorough research and engagement with management teams to understand the business dynamics [14][41][73]. - The importance of resilience and conviction in investment decisions is highlighted, especially in the context of market fluctuations and the need for a long-term perspective [74][96].

Inflation is still above the Fed's goal of 2% each year. Frederic J. Brown / AFP via Getty Images Close Key Takeaways Today's inflation trends are either something to worry about or no big deal, depending on which Federal Reserve official you ask.On Monday, at least four members of the central bank's policy committee discussed whether the Fed should cut its key interest rate further in the months ahead. This is the first time some have spoken publicly since the central bank's policy-setting committee decide ...