Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints - This week, oil prices fluctuated. OPEC+ is discussing a large - scale production increase in July without a final decision. The fifth round of US - Iran negotiations ended without a conclusive result. Fundamentally, global oil product inventories decreased this week, while US commercial crude oil seasonally increased, with absolute inventory lower than the annual average and slight increases in gasoline and diesel inventories. In the short term, refinery profits are in high - level fluctuation, refinery operations have risen as expected, leading indicators of US production have declined, the US - Iran negotiation is deadlocked, and the US continues to impose sanctions on Iran and Russia, so oil prices are likely to fluctuate upward. In the medium - to - long term, crude oil remains bearish due to OPEC's supply policy and supply - demand surplus [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Oil Price Data - From May 21 to May 27, 2025, WTI prices fluctuated, with a decrease in the latest data; BRENT prices decreased by $0.65; OMAN prices decreased by $0.73; domestic gasoline prices increased by $30.00; Japanese naphtha - BRT increased by $5.65; Singapore fuel oil 380CST decreased by $1.65; the main contract of the Shanghai Futures Exchange FU decreased by 65 points; and the main contract of the Shanghai Futures Exchange BU decreased by 10 points [3]. 3.2 Daily News - Trump warned Netanyahu not to take actions that could jeopardize the US - Iran nuclear negotiations. Israel is preparing to strike Iran's nuclear facilities if the negotiations fail. - Russia's Deputy Prime Minister said that OPEC+ has not discussed a 410,000 - barrel - per - day production increase in July. The G7 and the EU's plan to tighten the Russian oil price cap to $50 per barrel is unacceptable. - Goldman Sachs predicts that non - OPEC shale oil production (excluding Russia) may accelerate to 1 million barrels per day in the next two years, and new natural gas projects in Saudi Arabia and Qatar may increase OPEC's LNG production to an average of 200,000 barrels per day per year [5]. 3.3 Regional Fundamentals - In the week ending May 16, US strategic petroleum reserve inventory increased by 843,000 barrels to 400.5 million barrels, and commercial crude oil inventory increased by 1.328 million barrels to 443 million barrels. US domestic crude oil production increased by 500 barrels per day to 1.3392 million barrels per day, and exports increased by 138,000 barrels per day to 350,700 barrels per day. - This week, the operating rate of major refineries in China increased, while that of Shandong local refineries decreased. The production of gasoline and diesel in China increased, with an increase in both gasoline and diesel from major refineries and a decrease from local refineries. The sales - to - production ratio of local refineries for both gasoline and diesel increased. Gasoline and diesel inventories decreased. The comprehensive profit of major refineries rebounded, while that of local refineries decreased [6].

金十数据5月28日讯，一位白宫官员和一位熟悉细节的消息人士称，特朗普上周在电话中警告以色列总 理内塔尼亚胡不要采取任何可能危及美国和伊朗之间就新核协议进行谈判的行动。这名官员说，最近几 周，特朗普和其他美国高级官员越来越担心以色列可能轰炸伊朗的核设施，或采取其他可能破坏谈判的 措施。以色列一直在做好准备，以便在未来几周美伊核谈判可能谈崩时迅速打击伊朗的核设施。一位消 息人士称，以色列认为其成功打击伊朗的操作窗口可能很快就会关闭。一些美国官员担心，内塔尼亚胡 可能会在没有特朗普开绿灯的情况下下令发动袭击。白宫官员说，特朗普在上周四的电话中告诉内塔尼 亚胡，"不希望任何事情阻碍"与伊朗的外交解决方案。特朗普的信息是"他不希望在他试图解决问题的 时候与他对抗"。特朗普向内塔尼亚胡强调，"其他选择"也在考虑之中，但他希望先看看是否有可能通 过外交途径解决。 （AXIOS网站） 特朗普警告内塔尼亚胡不要轻举妄动 以免破坏伊朗核谈判 ...

不过，针对美伊核谈判，特朗普则对外放出风声称，可能会有一些"好消息"。 美媒：特朗普考虑对俄追加制裁 《华尔街日报》当地时间26日报道称，据了解特朗普想法的人士透露，由于对俄罗斯持续打击乌克兰及和平谈 判进展缓慢感到不满，特朗普本周正考虑追加对俄罗斯实施的制裁。 报道指出，美国追加的新制裁可能不包括新的银行业限制，但其他施压选项正在讨论中，目的是迫使俄方在谈 判桌上作出让步。但特朗普也可能决定不实施新制裁。 报道援引消息人士的说法称，特朗普也对和平谈判感到厌倦，正考虑若最后一次推动失败，就彻底放弃谈判。 对此，白宫新闻秘书卡莱维特26日在给美媒的一份声明中称："特朗普已明确表示希望看到通过谈判达成和平 协议。他也明智地保留了所有选项。" 此前5月25日，特朗普在社交媒体上发文，就俄罗斯向乌克兰城市发射导弹和无人机批评普京，称他一直同普 京保持着非常好的关系，但普京现在变得"疯狂"。 特朗普，又传出新动作！ 据外媒报道，美国总统特朗普正考虑对俄罗斯实施新的制裁，目的是迫使俄方在谈判桌上作出让步。报道称， 他还在考虑，如果最后一次推动和平的努力失败，就彻底退出俄乌冲突调解进程。 与此同时，特朗普与哈佛大学的矛盾也 ...

美国总统特朗普上周五表示，他建议从6月1日起对来自欧盟的商品直接征收50%的关税，称欧盟在贸易 上一直很难打交道。 美联储古尔斯比示，未来10 - 16个月仍有可能降低借贷成本，但近期降息的门槛"略高"。古尔斯比周五 在接受采访时表示："一切都摆在桌面上，但我觉得在我们等待一些明确消息之际，我在任何方向采取 行动的门槛都要高一些。" 【黄金技术面分析】 黄金日线图显示短线高位震荡走势，价格在3340—3360美元之间遇到上方阻力。MACD动能趋缓，RSI 指标略有回落迹象，暗示短期可能进入盘整。但只要价格维持在3300美元上方，整体中期上涨趋势不 变，若后续重新站稳3370美元，将有望挑战年内高点3500美元。 周一（5月26日）亚市早盘，国际黄金震荡微跌，目前下跌交投于3347.39美元/盎司，跌幅0.29%；美元 指数在近一个月低位徘徊，目前交投于98.81附近，建议关注日线级别布林线下轨98.66附近支撑。 【要闻速递】 美国财长贝森特上周五表示，特朗普总统认为欧盟向美国提出的贸易提议质量不够高，他希望6 月 1 日 起对欧盟商品征收50% 关税的威胁能够在美欧谈判中"给欧盟施压"。 美国和伊朗谈判代表 ...

伊朗外长阿格拉齐5月21日重申，无论是否与美国达成协议，伊朗铀浓缩活动都将继续进行。这已经是 阿格拉齐在10天内5次重申这一立场。伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊5月20日警告称，美国所谓"不允许伊朗进 行铀浓缩活动"的言论很荒唐。而美国国务卿鲁比奥当天则表示，与伊朗谈判的重点是伊朗的铀浓缩能 力。阿格拉齐还表示，目前正在评估是否参加下一轮美伊核谈判以及具体时间。美国与伊朗分别于4月 12日、4月19日、4月26日及5月11日举行了四轮间接谈判。5月11日的第四轮谈判结束后，双方至今都没 有宣布下一轮谈判的时间。路透社5月19日曾援引消息人士的话报道称，伊朗与美国拟于本周末在意大 利首都罗马举行第五轮间接谈判。(CCTV国际时讯) ...

Energy - The EU is considering implementing zero quotas on Russian gas imports, allowing European buyers to terminate agreements with Russian suppliers due to force majeure [2] - Kazakhstan's oil production increased by 2% this month, reaching 1.86 million barrels per day, with the Tengiz oil field contributing 932,000 barrels per day [2] - The Kazakh Energy Ministry expects no further increase in Tengiz oil field production this year, as the country is taking measures to comply with OPEC+ obligations [2] - Qatar's Energy Minister stated that Indian LNG buyers are negotiating to increase procurement from Qatar, with capital expenditures for LNG expansion requiring oil prices to reach $70 or $80 [2] Other Commodities - International gold prices have returned to $3,300 per ounce, while domestic gold jewelry prices have surpassed 1,000 yuan [2] - The International Tin Association announced that Myanmar's Wa State has been granted permission to fully resume tin mining production by late April 2025, and production is gradually recovering [2] - Argentina's Economy Minister announced an extension of tax exemptions on wheat and barley exports until March 31, 2026, excluding soybeans, corn, sunflowers, sorghum, or by-products [2] Geopolitical Developments - U.S. officials indicated that intelligence suggests Israel may be preparing to strike Iranian nuclear facilities, although a final decision has not been made [3] - Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister stated that Iran has received proposals for the next round of U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations and is currently reviewing them [3] - Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei expressed skepticism about the success of nuclear negotiations with the U.S. [3] - The Ukrainian Foreign Minister suggested that the price cap on Russian oil should be lowered to $30 per barrel [3] - India plans to spend $10 billion by 2040 to purchase 112 crude oil tankers [3] - The U.S. is preparing to extend Chevron's exemption in Venezuela for another 60 days [3] - Qatar Energy Company's CEO announced that the North Field East expansion project is expected to commence production by mid-2026 [3] - Poland's oil company discovered a new smaller oil field during drilling, with reserves estimated at 2 million barrels of oil [3]

中东地区的局势，再度紧张起来！ 据CNN报道，美国获取的情报显示，以色列可能正在准备对伊朗核设施发动打击。消息人士称，美国观察到 的最新动向显示，"以色列袭击伊朗核设施的可能性大大增加"。 报道称，有美国官员表示，若以色列对伊朗核设施发动袭击，将是与特朗普的公然决裂，还可能引发中东地区 更广泛的冲突。 受上述消息刺激，周三早盘，国际油价一度大涨3.5%。金价盘中也大幅拉升，盘中突破3300美元/盎司，而在 此前一天，金价已大涨近2%。 中东传来大消息 当地时间5月20日下午，美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）报道称，有多名美国官员透露说，美国获取的情报显 示，以色列可能正在准备对伊朗核设施发动打击。 报道称，两位知情人士透露，美国观察到的以色列军事动向包括航空弹药的调动以及一次空中演习的完成。官 员们指出，目前尚不清楚以色列领导人是否已做出最终决定。这些迹象也可能只是以色列在向伊朗施加压力， 试图促使其放弃核计划中的关键内容。 美国官员表示，若以色列对伊朗核设施发动袭击，将是与特朗普的公然决裂。这还可能引发中东地区更广泛的 冲突——自2023年加沙战争加剧紧张局势以来，美国一直试图避免这种情况。 据报道，一位熟悉情 ...

金十数据5月21日讯，据CNN报道，多名美国官员表示，美国获得了新的情报，表明以色列正在准备袭 击伊朗的核设施。美国官员表示，这样的打击将是与特朗普总统的公然决裂，还可能引发中东地区更广 泛的地区冲突——自2023年加沙战争引发紧张局势以来，美国一直试图避免这种冲突。 官员警告称， 目前尚不清楚以色列领导人是否已作出最终决定，事实上，美国政府内部对以色列最终采取行动的可能 性存在严重分歧。以色列是否以及如何打击伊朗可能取决于其对美国与伊朗核谈判的看法。但另一位消 息人士表示："最近几个月，以色列袭击伊朗核设施的可能性显著上升。""美伊谈判无法消除伊朗所有 的铀，这一前景加大了以色列实施打击的可能性。" 美国情报：以色列准备打击伊朗核设施 但最终决定尚未作出 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information provided regarding the report industry investment rating in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The report indicates that short - term oil prices are likely to be volatile and on the stronger side, while in the medium - to - long - term, crude oil is expected to maintain a bearish pattern due to OPEC's supply policy and supply - demand surplus. The market has different expectations for OPEC's July production increase, with a 10 - 40 million barrels per day increase having a higher probability. The global refined oil products are seasonally accumulating inventory, and the US commercial crude oil inventory is lower than in previous years and continues to be depleted. The domestic refinery operations have stabilized, and gasoline and diesel are being further destocked, with refinery profits showing some recovery [6]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Oil Price Data - From May 13 - 19, 2025, WTI increased by $0.20 to $62.69, BRENT increased by $0.13 to $65.54, and DUBAI decreased by $0.04 to $64.03. The spread between WTI - BRENT increased by $0.07 to - $2.85, and the spread between DUBAI - BRT increased by $0.07 to $1.70. Other related spreads and prices also showed corresponding changes [3]. 3.2 Daily News - US President Trump mentioned that it might be time to sanction Russia, and the sanctions could push the situation forward. Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister stated that if the US adheres to the "zero uranium enrichment" policy, the nuclear negotiations between Iran and the US will fail. The EU may propose to the G7 to lower the price cap on Russian oil to $50 per barrel [3][4]. 3.3 Regional Fundamentals - In the week of May 9, the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) inventory increased by 528,000 barrels to 399.7 million barrels, and domestic crude oil production increased by 20,000 barrels to 1.3387 million barrels per day. Crude oil exports decreased by 637,000 barrels per day to 336,900 barrels per day. The average four - week supply of US refined oil products decreased by 1.19% compared to the same period last year. In China, the operating rates of major refineries and Shandong local refineries stabilized. The production of gasoline and diesel increased, with the production of both gasoline and diesel increasing in major refineries and decreasing in local refineries. The sales - to - production ratios of gasoline and diesel in local refineries increased. Gasoline and diesel were slightly destocked, and the comprehensive profit of major refineries rebounded month - on - month, while that of local refineries decreased [5]. 3.4 Weekly Views - The oil price fluctuated this week. The US - Iran negotiations were deadlocked again over the weekend. The market still has different expectations for OPEC's production increase in July, with a 10 - 40 million barrels per day increase having a higher probability. Globally, refined oil products are seasonally accumulating inventory, the US commercial crude oil inventory is lower than in previous years and continues to be depleted, and the shale oil drilling rig count is basically flat. The global refinery profit has recovered, and the US refinery operations continue to strengthen. The inventory of gasoline and diesel in the US is still low, and the cracking of gasoline and diesel is supported. It is expected to maintain a pattern of stronger gasoline and weaker diesel in the near term. Domestically, refinery operations have stabilized, gasoline and diesel are being further destocked, and refinery profits have recovered. In the short term, the oil price is expected to be volatile and on the stronger side, while in the medium - to - long - term, crude oil is expected to maintain a bearish pattern [6].

据报道，周二伊朗审议举行第五轮美伊核谈判的提议之际，伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊对与美国的核谈判能 否达成协议持怀疑态度。哈梅内伊表示，"我认为与美国的核谈判不会有结果。我不知道。"他还表示， 美国应避免在谈判中说废话，美国要求伊朗停止铀浓缩是无礼的。 ...